ABBV Deep Analytical Report

AbbVie Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 2.96% ($6.65) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2013-01-01 → 2026-02-01 (158 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.66% 1.33% 1.42% 2.06% 1.69% 1.77% 221.03 228.65 217.32 232.56
Weekly 3.70% 3.31% 3.66% 4.72% 3.73% 3.89% 216.58 233.36 208.64 242.23
Monthly 7.17% 6.49% 7.08% 10.37% 7.77% 8.10% 208.01 242.97 192.46 262.59
Quarterly 11.00% 10.14% 10.39% 17.71% 13.45% 14.03% 196.51 257.18 171.77 294.22
Annual 26.91% 28.06% 171.77 294.22 131.25 385.06
Option Time Horizon 10.35% 10.79% 202.71 249.32 182.78 276.51
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:17 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $224.81  |  Strike (K): $230.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.2000 (Bid $6.9000 / Ask $7.5000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.96%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 26.91% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 27.24% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 28.06% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-16 $1.7300
2025-10-15 $1.6400
2025-07-15 $1.6400
2025-04-15 $1.6400
2025-01-15 $1.6400
2024-10-15 $1.5500
2024-07-15 $1.5500
2024-04-12 $1.5500
2024-01-12 $1.5500
2023-10-12 $1.4800
2023-07-13 $1.4800
2023-04-13 $1.4800
2023-01-12 $1.4800
2022-10-13 $1.4100
2022-07-14 $1.4100
2022-04-13 $1.4100
2022-01-13 $1.4100
2021-10-14 $1.3000
2021-07-14 $1.3000
2021-04-14 $1.3000
2021-01-14 $1.3000
2020-10-14 $1.1800
2020-07-14 $1.1800
2020-04-14 $1.1800
2020-01-14 $1.1800
2019-10-11 $1.0700
2019-07-12 $1.0700
2019-04-12 $1.0700
2019-01-14 $1.0700
2018-10-12 $0.9600
2018-07-12 $0.9600
2018-04-12 $0.9600
2018-01-11 $0.7100
2017-10-12 $0.6400
2017-07-12 $0.6400
2017-04-11 $0.6400
2017-01-11 $0.6400
2016-10-12 $0.5700
2016-07-13 $0.5700
2016-04-13 $0.5700
2016-01-13 $0.5700
2015-10-13 $0.5100
2015-07-13 $0.5100
2015-04-13 $0.5100
2015-01-13 $0.4900
2014-10-10 $0.4200
2014-07-11 $0.4200
2014-04-11 $0.4200
2014-01-13 $0.4000
2013-10-10 $0.4000
2013-07-11 $0.4000
2013-04-11 $0.4000
2013-01-11 $0.4000
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.10 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.89%270.82%0.82%
-4.89% to -3.65%381.15%1.97%
-3.65% to -2.40%993.00%4.97%
-2.40% to -1.16%36210.96%15.92%
-1.16% to 0.09%108732.91%48.83%
0.09% to 1.33%115835.06%83.89%
1.33% to 2.57%37411.32%95.22%
2.57% to 3.82%1113.36%98.58%
3.82% to 5.06%280.85%99.42%
Greater than 5.06%190.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.57%1.75% 78.11%68.27%
±2σ -3.23%3.40% 95.31%95.45%
±3σ -4.89%5.06% 98.61%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.92. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 31.51 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.81%00.00%0.00%
-1.81% to -0.81%00.00%0.00%
-0.81% to 0.18%00.00%0.00%
0.18% to 1.18%47514.38%14.38%
1.18% to 2.17%164049.64%64.01%
2.17% to 3.17%71021.49%85.50%
3.17% to 4.16%2868.66%94.16%
4.16% to 5.16%982.97%97.12%
5.16% to 6.15%401.21%98.34%
Greater than 6.15%551.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.84%3.50% 87.41%68.27%
±2σ -0.48%4.82% 96.31%95.45%
±3σ -1.81%6.15% 98.34%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.53. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.29%160.48%0.48%
-4.29% to -3.23%280.85%1.33%
-3.23% to -2.17%1303.93%5.27%
-2.17% to -1.10%42912.98%18.25%
-1.10% to -0.04%109633.17%51.42%
-0.04% to 1.02%104431.60%83.02%
1.02% to 2.09%37011.20%94.22%
2.09% to 3.15%1163.51%97.73%
3.15% to 4.21%411.24%98.97%
Greater than 4.21%341.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.46%1.38% 76.88%68.27%
±2σ -2.88%2.80% 94.95%95.45%
±3σ -4.29%4.21% 98.49%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.68%71.02%1.02%
-10.68% to -7.91%50.73%1.75%
-7.91% to -5.13%233.36%5.11%
-5.13% to -2.36%7410.80%15.91%
-2.36% to 0.42%22332.55%48.47%
0.42% to 3.19%23133.72%82.19%
3.19% to 5.97%9013.14%95.33%
5.97% to 8.74%223.21%98.54%
8.74% to 11.52%40.58%99.12%
Greater than 11.52%60.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.28%4.12% 75.47%68.27%
±2σ -6.98%7.82% 95.47%95.45%
±3σ -10.68%11.52% 98.10%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.39 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.57%00.00%0.00%
-4.57% to -2.08%00.00%0.00%
-2.08% to 0.40%00.00%0.00%
0.40% to 2.89%10915.89%15.89%
2.89% to 5.37%31545.92%61.81%
5.37% to 7.86%16423.91%85.71%
7.86% to 10.34%537.73%93.44%
10.34% to 12.82%223.21%96.65%
12.82% to 15.31%101.46%98.10%
Greater than 15.31%131.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.06%8.68% 84.69%68.27%
±2σ -1.25%12.00% 96.06%95.45%
±3σ -4.56%15.31% 98.10%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.15%40.58%0.58%
-11.15% to -8.41%50.73%1.31%
-8.41% to -5.66%213.06%4.37%
-5.66% to -2.92%8812.83%17.20%
-2.92% to -0.17%25036.44%53.64%
-0.17% to 2.58%20930.47%84.11%
2.58% to 5.32%6910.06%94.17%
5.32% to 8.07%243.50%97.67%
8.07% to 10.81%91.31%98.98%
Greater than 10.81%71.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.83%3.49% 76.82%68.27%
±2σ -7.49%7.15% 94.61%95.45%
±3σ -11.15%10.81% 98.40%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.33 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.77%00.00%0.00%
-19.77% to -14.39%21.27%1.27%
-14.39% to -9.01%85.10%6.37%
-9.01% to -3.63%2214.01%20.38%
-3.63% to 1.75%4931.21%51.59%
1.75% to 7.12%4126.11%77.71%
7.12% to 12.50%2616.56%94.27%
12.50% to 17.88%63.82%98.09%
17.88% to 23.26%31.91%100.00%
Greater than 23.26%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.43%8.92% 65.61%68.27%
±2σ -12.60%16.09% 94.90%95.45%
±3σ -19.77%23.26% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.08%00.00%0.00%
-7.08% to -2.21%00.00%0.00%
-2.21% to 2.65%00.00%0.00%
2.65% to 7.52%3220.25%20.25%
7.52% to 12.38%6138.61%58.86%
12.38% to 17.25%4125.95%84.81%
17.25% to 22.11%138.23%93.04%
22.11% to 26.98%53.16%96.20%
26.98% to 31.85%31.90%98.10%
Greater than 31.85%31.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.89%18.87% 79.75%68.27%
±2σ -0.59%25.36% 94.94%95.45%
±3σ -7.08%31.85% 98.10%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.57 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.12%00.00%0.00%
-22.12% to -16.80%21.27%1.27%
-16.80% to -11.49%85.06%6.33%
-11.49% to -6.18%2717.09%23.42%
-6.18% to -0.86%4226.58%50.00%
-0.86% to 4.45%4629.11%79.11%
4.45% to 9.76%2012.66%91.77%
9.76% to 15.07%116.96%98.73%
15.07% to 20.39%00.00%98.73%
Greater than 20.39%21.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.95%6.22% 70.25%68.27%
±2σ -15.03%13.30% 96.84%95.45%
±3σ -22.12%20.39% 98.73%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.26 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.94%00.00%0.00%
-27.94% to -19.69%00.00%0.00%
-19.69% to -11.44%59.43%9.43%
-11.44% to -3.19%611.32%20.75%
-3.19% to 5.06%1732.08%52.83%
5.06% to 13.30%1426.42%79.25%
13.30% to 21.55%611.32%90.57%
21.55% to 29.80%47.55%98.11%
29.80% to 38.05%11.89%100.00%
Greater than 38.05%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.94%16.05% 66.04%68.27%
±2σ -16.94%27.05% 98.11%95.45%
±3σ -27.94%38.05% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.01 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.10%00.00%0.00%
-8.10% to -0.49%00.00%0.00%
-0.49% to 7.11%00.00%0.00%
7.11% to 14.72%1018.52%18.52%
14.72% to 22.32%2240.74%59.26%
22.32% to 29.93%1324.07%83.33%
29.93% to 37.53%47.41%90.74%
37.53% to 45.14%35.56%96.30%
45.14% to 52.74%00.00%96.30%
Greater than 52.74%23.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.18%32.46% 83.33%68.27%
±2σ 2.04%42.60% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -8.10%52.74% 96.30%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.19 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.79%00.00%0.00%
-33.79% to -25.99%00.00%0.00%
-25.99% to -18.20%35.56%5.56%
-18.20% to -10.40%916.67%22.22%
-10.40% to -2.60%1833.33%55.56%
-2.60% to 5.19%1324.07%79.63%
5.19% to 12.99%611.11%90.74%
12.99% to 20.78%59.26%100.00%
20.78% to 28.58%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 28.58%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.00%7.79% 66.67%68.27%
±2σ -23.39%18.18% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -33.79%28.58% 100.00%99.73%