ABBV Deep Analytical Report

AbbVie Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 3.24% ($6.65) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2013-01-01 → 2026-03-01 (159 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.66% 1.32% 1.42% 2.06% 2.07% 2.11% 199.20 207.61 195.12 211.95
Weekly 3.71% 3.31% 3.67% 4.75% 4.56% 4.63% 194.30 212.84 185.65 222.76
Monthly 7.24% 6.48% 7.17% 10.48% 9.48% 9.65% 184.96 223.59 168.23 245.83
Quarterly 11.14% 10.12% 10.54% 17.78% 16.42% 16.71% 172.56 239.66 146.42 282.44
Annual 32.85% 33.42% 146.42 282.44 105.43 392.27
Option Time Horizon 12.40% 12.61% 179.65 230.20 158.70 260.59
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:31 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $203.36  |  Strike (K): $210.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.3750 (Bid $7.1500 / Ask $7.6000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 3.24%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 32.85% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 33.24% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 33.42% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-16 $1.7300
2025-10-15 $1.6400
2025-07-15 $1.6400
2025-04-15 $1.6400
2025-01-15 $1.6400
2024-10-15 $1.5500
2024-07-15 $1.5500
2024-04-12 $1.5500
2024-01-12 $1.5500
2023-10-12 $1.4800
2023-07-13 $1.4800
2023-04-13 $1.4800
2023-01-12 $1.4800
2022-10-13 $1.4100
2022-07-14 $1.4100
2022-04-13 $1.4100
2022-01-13 $1.4100
2021-10-14 $1.3000
2021-07-14 $1.3000
2021-04-14 $1.3000
2021-01-14 $1.3000
2020-10-14 $1.1800
2020-07-14 $1.1800
2020-04-14 $1.1800
2020-01-14 $1.1800
2019-10-11 $1.0700
2019-07-12 $1.0700
2019-04-12 $1.0700
2019-01-14 $1.0700
2018-10-12 $0.9600
2018-07-12 $0.9600
2018-04-12 $0.9600
2018-01-11 $0.7100
2017-10-12 $0.6400
2017-07-12 $0.6400
2017-04-11 $0.6400
2017-01-11 $0.6400
2016-10-12 $0.5700
2016-07-13 $0.5700
2016-04-13 $0.5700
2016-01-13 $0.5700
2015-10-13 $0.5100
2015-07-13 $0.5100
2015-04-13 $0.5100
2015-01-13 $0.4900
2014-10-10 $0.4200
2014-07-11 $0.4200
2014-04-11 $0.4200
2014-01-13 $0.4000
2013-10-10 $0.4000
2013-07-11 $0.4000
2013-04-11 $0.4000
2013-01-11 $0.4000
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.90%280.84%0.84%
-4.90% to -3.65%371.11%1.96%
-3.65% to -2.41%1013.04%4.99%
-2.41% to -1.16%36110.86%15.85%
-1.16% to 0.08%109833.03%48.89%
0.08% to 1.33%116334.99%83.87%
1.33% to 2.57%37711.34%95.22%
2.57% to 3.82%1123.37%98.59%
3.82% to 5.06%280.84%99.43%
Greater than 5.06%190.57%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.58%1.74% 78.10%68.27%
±2σ -3.24%3.40% 95.31%95.45%
±3σ -4.90%5.06% 98.59%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 31.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.80%00.00%0.00%
-1.80% to -0.81%00.00%0.00%
-0.81% to 0.19%00.00%0.00%
0.19% to 1.18%48414.56%14.56%
1.18% to 2.17%164449.44%64.00%
2.17% to 3.17%71421.47%85.47%
3.17% to 4.16%2888.66%94.14%
4.16% to 5.16%982.95%97.08%
5.16% to 6.15%421.26%98.35%
Greater than 6.15%551.65%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.85%3.50% 87.31%68.27%
±2σ -0.48%4.82% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -1.80%6.15% 98.35%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.53. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.29%160.48%0.48%
-4.29% to -3.23%280.84%1.32%
-3.23% to -2.17%1323.97%5.29%
-2.17% to -1.10%43212.99%18.29%
-1.10% to -0.04%110633.26%51.55%
-0.04% to 1.03%104431.40%82.95%
1.03% to 2.10%37511.28%94.23%
2.10% to 3.16%1163.49%97.71%
3.16% to 4.22%411.23%98.95%
Greater than 4.22%351.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.45%1.39% 76.93%68.27%
±2σ -2.88%2.80% 94.89%95.45%
±3σ -4.29%4.22% 98.50%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.71%71.02%1.02%
-10.71% to -7.93%50.73%1.74%
-7.93% to -5.16%243.48%5.22%
-5.16% to -2.38%7510.89%16.11%
-2.38% to 0.40%22432.51%48.62%
0.40% to 3.18%23033.38%82.00%
3.18% to 5.96%9213.35%95.36%
5.96% to 8.74%223.19%98.55%
8.74% to 11.52%40.58%99.13%
Greater than 11.52%60.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.30%4.11% 75.76%68.27%
±2σ -7.01%7.81% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -10.71%11.52% 98.11%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.70. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.36 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.54%00.00%0.00%
-4.54% to -2.06%00.00%0.00%
-2.06% to 0.42%00.00%0.00%
0.42% to 2.90%11015.94%15.94%
2.90% to 5.38%31545.65%61.59%
5.38% to 7.86%16724.20%85.80%
7.86% to 10.34%547.83%93.62%
10.34% to 12.82%213.04%96.67%
12.82% to 15.30%101.45%98.12%
Greater than 15.30%131.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.07%8.69% 84.49%68.27%
±2σ -1.23%11.99% 96.09%95.45%
±3σ -4.54%15.30% 98.12%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.16%40.58%0.58%
-11.16% to -8.41%50.72%1.30%
-8.41% to -5.66%213.04%4.35%
-5.66% to -2.90%9013.04%17.39%
-2.90% to -0.15%25336.67%54.06%
-0.15% to 2.60%21130.58%84.64%
2.60% to 5.35%659.42%94.06%
5.35% to 8.10%243.48%97.54%
8.10% to 10.85%101.45%98.99%
Greater than 10.85%71.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.82%3.51% 76.81%68.27%
±2σ -7.49%7.18% 94.49%95.45%
±3σ -11.16%10.85% 98.41%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.28 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.03%00.00%0.00%
-20.03% to -14.60%21.27%1.27%
-14.60% to -9.17%95.70%6.96%
-9.17% to -3.75%2213.92%20.89%
-3.75% to 1.68%4729.75%50.63%
1.68% to 7.11%4327.22%77.85%
7.11% to 12.53%2616.46%94.30%
12.53% to 17.96%63.80%98.10%
17.96% to 23.38%31.90%100.00%
Greater than 23.38%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.56%8.91% 65.82%68.27%
±2σ -12.79%16.15% 94.94%95.45%
±3σ -20.03%23.38% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.68 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.02%00.00%0.00%
-7.02% to -2.16%00.00%0.00%
-2.16% to 2.69%00.00%0.00%
2.69% to 7.55%3320.75%20.75%
7.55% to 12.41%6037.74%58.49%
12.41% to 17.27%4226.42%84.91%
17.27% to 22.13%138.18%93.08%
22.13% to 26.98%53.14%96.23%
26.98% to 31.84%31.89%98.11%
Greater than 31.84%31.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.93%18.89% 79.87%68.27%
±2σ -0.54%25.37% 94.97%95.45%
±3σ -7.02%31.84% 98.11%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.51 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.30%00.00%0.00%
-22.30% to -16.92%21.26%1.26%
-16.92% to -11.54%85.03%6.29%
-11.54% to -6.17%2716.98%23.27%
-6.17% to -0.79%4528.30%51.57%
-0.79% to 4.59%4427.67%79.25%
4.59% to 9.96%2012.58%91.82%
9.96% to 15.34%116.92%98.74%
15.34% to 20.72%00.00%98.74%
Greater than 20.72%21.26%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.96%6.38% 69.81%68.27%
±2σ -15.13%13.55% 96.23%95.45%
±3σ -22.29%20.72% 98.74%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.35 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.55%00.00%0.00%
-28.55% to -20.19%00.00%0.00%
-20.19% to -11.83%59.43%9.43%
-11.83% to -3.48%713.21%22.64%
-3.48% to 4.88%1630.19%52.83%
4.88% to 13.24%1426.42%79.25%
13.24% to 21.59%611.32%90.57%
21.59% to 29.95%47.55%98.11%
29.95% to 38.31%11.89%100.00%
Greater than 38.31%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.26%16.02% 64.15%68.27%
±2σ -17.40%27.16% 98.11%95.45%
±3σ -28.55%38.31% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.01%00.00%0.00%
-8.01% to -0.42%00.00%0.00%
-0.42% to 7.17%00.00%0.00%
7.17% to 14.76%1018.52%18.52%
14.76% to 22.35%2240.74%59.26%
22.35% to 29.94%1324.07%83.33%
29.94% to 37.53%47.41%90.74%
37.53% to 45.12%35.56%96.30%
45.12% to 52.72%00.00%96.30%
Greater than 52.72%23.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.23%32.47% 83.33%68.27%
±2σ 2.11%42.59% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -8.01%52.72% 96.30%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.37. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.33 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -34.02%00.00%0.00%
-34.02% to -26.12%00.00%0.00%
-26.12% to -18.22%35.56%5.56%
-18.22% to -10.32%916.67%22.22%
-10.32% to -2.42%1833.33%55.56%
-2.42% to 5.49%1324.07%79.63%
5.49% to 13.39%611.11%90.74%
13.39% to 21.29%59.26%100.00%
21.29% to 29.19%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 29.19%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.95%8.12% 64.81%68.27%
±2σ -23.48%18.66% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -34.02%29.19% 100.00%99.73%