ABBV 深度分析报告

AbbVie Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 3.31% ($6.65) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2013-01-01 → 2026-04-01 (160 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 1.66% 1.32% 1.42% 2.08% 2.15% 2.16% 194.49 203.03 190.35 207.43
周度 3.70% 3.30% 3.66% 4.78% 4.73% 4.76% 189.53 208.33 180.78 218.42
月度 7.20% 6.46% 7.12% 10.54% 9.84% 9.90% 180.08 219.27 163.20 241.95
季度 11.20% 10.10% 10.61% 17.91% 17.05% 17.15% 167.56 235.65 141.29 279.47
Annual 34.10% 34.29% 141.29 279.47 100.46 393.04
Option Time Horizon 13.00% 13.07% 174.49 226.29 153.23 257.69
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:44 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $198.71  |  Strike (K): $200.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $9.6750 (Bid $9.5000 / Ask $9.8500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 3.31%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 34.10% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 34.02% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 34.29% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-04-15 $1.7300
2026-01-16 $1.7300
2025-10-15 $1.6400
2025-07-15 $1.6400
2025-04-15 $1.6400
2025-01-15 $1.6400
2024-10-15 $1.5500
2024-07-15 $1.5500
2024-04-12 $1.5500
2024-01-12 $1.5500
2023-10-12 $1.4800
2023-07-13 $1.4800
2023-04-13 $1.4800
2023-01-12 $1.4800
2022-10-13 $1.4100
2022-07-14 $1.4100
2022-04-13 $1.4100
2022-01-13 $1.4100
2021-10-14 $1.3000
2021-07-14 $1.3000
2021-04-14 $1.3000
2021-01-14 $1.3000
2020-10-14 $1.1800
2020-07-14 $1.1800
2020-04-14 $1.1800
2020-01-14 $1.1800
2019-10-11 $1.0700
2019-07-12 $1.0700
2019-04-12 $1.0700
2019-01-14 $1.0700
2018-10-12 $0.9600
2018-07-12 $0.9600
2018-04-12 $0.9600
2018-01-11 $0.7100
2017-10-12 $0.6400
2017-07-12 $0.6400
2017-04-11 $0.6400
2017-01-11 $0.6400
2016-10-12 $0.5700
2016-07-13 $0.5700
2016-04-13 $0.5700
2016-01-13 $0.5700
2015-10-13 $0.5100
2015-07-13 $0.5100
2015-04-13 $0.5100
2015-01-13 $0.4900
2014-10-10 $0.4200
2014-07-11 $0.4200
2014-04-11 $0.4200
2014-01-13 $0.4000
2013-10-10 $0.4000
2013-07-11 $0.4000
2013-04-11 $0.4000
2013-01-11 $0.4000
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (负向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of -0.66. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.89%280.84%0.84%
-4.89% to -3.65%381.14%1.97%
-3.65% to -2.41%1013.02%4.99%
-2.41% to -1.16%36410.88%15.86%
-1.16% to 0.08%110533.01%48.88%
0.08% to 1.32%116734.87%83.75%
1.32% to 2.57%38311.44%95.19%
2.57% to 3.81%1143.41%98.60%
3.81% to 5.05%280.84%99.43%
Greater than 5.05%190.57%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.58%1.74% 77.83%68.27%
±2σ -3.23%3.40% 95.34%95.45%
±3σ -4.89%5.06% 98.60%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 31.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.79%00.00%0.00%
-1.79% to -0.80%00.00%0.00%
-0.80% to 0.19%00.00%0.00%
0.19% to 1.18%48914.61%14.61%
1.18% to 2.17%164949.25%63.86%
2.17% to 3.17%72521.65%85.51%
3.17% to 4.16%2888.60%94.12%
4.16% to 5.15%1002.99%97.10%
5.15% to 6.14%421.25%98.36%
Greater than 6.14%551.64%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.85%3.50% 87.34%68.27%
±2σ -0.47%4.82% 96.33%95.45%
±3σ -1.79%6.14% 98.36%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.53. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.39 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.29%160.48%0.48%
-4.29% to -3.23%280.84%1.31%
-3.23% to -2.17%1344.00%5.32%
-2.17% to -1.10%43512.99%18.31%
-1.10% to -0.04%111233.21%51.52%
-0.04% to 1.03%105131.39%82.92%
1.03% to 2.10%37711.26%94.18%
2.10% to 3.16%1193.55%97.73%
3.16% to 4.22%411.22%98.95%
Greater than 4.22%351.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.45%1.39% 76.88%68.27%
±2σ -2.88%2.80% 94.92%95.45%
±3σ -4.29%4.22% 98.51%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.70%71.01%1.01%
-10.70% to -7.93%60.86%1.87%
-7.93% to -5.15%233.31%5.19%
-5.15% to -2.38%7711.10%16.28%
-2.38% to 0.40%22532.42%48.70%
0.40% to 3.17%23133.29%81.99%
3.17% to 5.95%9113.11%95.10%
5.95% to 8.72%243.46%98.56%
8.72% to 11.50%40.58%99.14%
Greater than 11.50%60.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.30%4.10% 75.94%68.27%
±2σ -7.00%7.80% 95.39%95.45%
±3σ -10.70%11.50% 98.13%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.71. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 11.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.51%00.00%0.00%
-4.51% to -2.04%00.00%0.00%
-2.04% to 0.44%00.00%0.00%
0.44% to 2.91%11216.12%16.12%
2.91% to 5.38%31545.32%61.44%
5.38% to 7.86%16924.32%85.76%
7.86% to 10.33%547.77%93.53%
10.33% to 12.80%223.17%96.69%
12.80% to 15.27%101.44%98.13%
Greater than 15.27%131.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.09%8.68% 84.60%68.27%
±2σ -1.21%11.98% 96.12%95.45%
±3σ -4.51%15.27% 98.13%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.65. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.45 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.14%40.58%0.58%
-11.14% to -8.39%50.72%1.29%
-8.39% to -5.64%213.02%4.32%
-5.64% to -2.90%9213.24%17.55%
-2.90% to -0.15%25236.26%53.81%
-0.15% to 2.60%21330.65%84.46%
2.60% to 5.34%679.64%94.10%
5.34% to 8.09%243.45%97.55%
8.09% to 10.84%101.44%98.99%
Greater than 10.84%71.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.81%3.51% 76.69%68.27%
±2σ -7.47%7.17% 94.53%95.45%
±3σ -11.14%10.84% 98.42%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.09. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.27 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.96%00.00%0.00%
-19.96% to -14.55%21.26%1.26%
-14.55% to -9.15%85.03%6.29%
-9.15% to -3.75%2415.09%21.38%
-3.75% to 1.65%4729.56%50.94%
1.65% to 7.05%4125.79%76.73%
7.05% to 12.45%2817.61%94.34%
12.45% to 17.85%63.77%98.11%
17.85% to 23.26%31.89%100.00%
Greater than 23.26%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.55%8.85% 65.41%68.27%
±2σ -12.75%16.05% 94.97%95.45%
±3σ -19.96%23.26% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.97%00.00%0.00%
-6.97% to -2.12%00.00%0.00%
-2.12% to 2.72%00.00%0.00%
2.72% to 7.57%3320.62%20.62%
7.57% to 12.41%6138.12%58.75%
12.41% to 17.26%4125.62%84.38%
17.26% to 22.10%148.75%93.12%
22.10% to 26.95%53.12%96.25%
26.95% to 31.79%31.88%98.12%
Greater than 31.79%31.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.95%18.87% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -0.51%25.33% 95.00%95.45%
±3σ -6.97%31.79% 98.12%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.37. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.48 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.14%00.00%0.00%
-22.14% to -16.79%21.25%1.25%
-16.79% to -11.45%85.00%6.25%
-11.45% to -6.11%2716.88%23.12%
-6.11% to -0.77%4528.12%51.25%
-0.77% to 4.58%4326.88%78.12%
4.58% to 9.92%2213.75%91.88%
9.92% to 15.26%116.88%98.75%
15.26% to 20.60%00.00%98.75%
Greater than 20.60%21.25%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.89%6.36% 68.75%68.27%
±2σ -15.01%13.48% 96.88%95.45%
±3σ -22.13%20.60% 98.75%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess 峰度 of -0.37 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.77%00.00%0.00%
-28.77% to -20.37%00.00%0.00%
-20.37% to -11.97%59.43%9.43%
-11.97% to -3.57%611.32%20.75%
-3.57% to 4.83%1732.08%52.83%
4.83% to 13.24%1426.42%79.25%
13.24% to 21.64%611.32%90.57%
21.64% to 30.04%59.43%100.00%
30.04% to 38.44%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 38.44%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.37%16.04% 64.15%68.27%
±2σ -17.57%27.24% 98.11%95.45%
±3σ -28.77%38.44% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.56. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.05 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.87%00.00%0.00%
-7.87% to -0.30%00.00%0.00%
-0.30% to 7.27%00.00%0.00%
7.27% to 14.85%1120.37%20.37%
14.85% to 22.42%2138.89%59.26%
22.42% to 29.99%1324.07%83.33%
29.99% to 37.56%47.41%90.74%
37.56% to 45.13%35.56%96.30%
45.13% to 52.71%00.00%96.30%
Greater than 52.71%23.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.32%32.51% 83.33%68.27%
±2σ 2.23%42.61% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -7.87%52.71% 96.30%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.38. Further, an Excess 峰度 of -0.36 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -34.19%00.00%0.00%
-34.19% to -26.23%00.00%0.00%
-26.23% to -18.27%35.56%5.56%
-18.27% to -10.32%916.67%22.22%
-10.32% to -2.36%1833.33%55.56%
-2.36% to 5.59%1324.07%79.63%
5.59% to 13.55%611.11%90.74%
13.55% to 21.51%59.26%100.00%
21.51% to 29.46%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 29.46%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.97%8.25% 64.81%68.27%
±2σ -23.58%18.86% 98.15%95.45%
±3σ -34.19%29.46% 100.00%99.73%