ALLY Deep Analytical Report

Ally Financial Inc. | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 3.12% ($1.20) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2014-01-01 → 2026-03-01 (147 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.38% 1.99% 1.92% 3.29% 2.61% 2.71% 38.22 40.27 37.24 41.33
Weekly 5.17% 5.53% 5.21% 7.76% 5.74% 5.98% 37.04 41.55 34.97 44.00
Monthly 9.56% 14.45% 10.78% 15.88% 11.95% 12.44% 34.81 44.21 30.89 49.82
Quarterly 18.45% 31.89% 20.40% 27.82% 20.70% 21.55% 31.89 48.25 25.93 59.35
Annual 41.41% 43.09% 25.93 59.35 17.14 89.80
Option Time Horizon 15.63% 16.26% 33.55 45.87 28.70 53.63
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:43 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $39.23  |  Strike (K): $40.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.1250 (Bid $2.0000 / Ask $2.2500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 3.12%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 41.41% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 41.72% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 43.09% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-02 $0.3000
2025-10-31 $0.3000
2025-08-01 $0.3000
2025-05-01 $0.3000
2025-01-31 $0.3000
2024-11-01 $0.3000
2024-08-01 $0.3000
2024-04-30 $0.3000
2024-01-31 $0.3000
2023-10-31 $0.3000
2023-07-31 $0.3000
2023-04-28 $0.3000
2023-01-31 $0.3000
2022-10-31 $0.3000
2022-07-29 $0.3000
2022-04-29 $0.3000
2022-01-31 $0.3000
2021-10-29 $0.2500
2021-07-30 $0.2500
2021-04-29 $0.1900
2021-01-29 $0.1900
2020-10-29 $0.1900
2020-07-30 $0.1900
2020-04-30 $0.1900
2020-01-30 $0.1900
2019-10-31 $0.1700
2019-07-31 $0.1700
2019-04-30 $0.1700
2019-01-31 $0.1700
2018-10-31 $0.1500
2018-07-31 $0.1500
2018-04-30 $0.1300
2018-01-31 $0.1300
2017-10-31 $0.1200
2017-07-28 $0.1200
2017-04-27 $0.0800
2017-01-30 $0.0800
2016-10-28 $0.0800
2016-07-28 $0.0800
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.08%230.76%0.76%
-7.08% to -5.30%210.70%1.46%
-5.30% to -3.52%1003.32%4.79%
-3.52% to -1.73%32510.80%15.59%
-1.73% to 0.05%101433.71%49.30%
0.05% to 1.83%107535.74%85.04%
1.83% to 3.62%32210.70%95.74%
3.62% to 5.40%722.39%98.14%
5.40% to 7.18%361.20%99.34%
Greater than 7.18%200.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.33%2.43% 80.15%68.27%
±2σ -4.71%4.81% 95.55%95.45%
±3σ -7.08%7.19% 98.57%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.99. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 124.25 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.16%00.00%0.00%
-3.16% to -1.67%00.00%0.00%
-1.67% to -0.18%00.00%0.00%
-0.18% to 1.32%32610.83%10.83%
1.32% to 2.81%160053.17%64.01%
2.81% to 4.30%69723.16%87.17%
4.30% to 5.79%2217.34%94.52%
5.79% to 7.28%852.82%97.34%
7.28% to 8.78%441.46%98.80%
Greater than 8.78%361.20%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.82%4.80% 89.27%68.27%
±2σ -1.17%6.79% 96.71%95.45%
±3σ -3.16%8.78% 98.80%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.71%180.60%0.60%
-5.71% to -4.27%250.83%1.43%
-4.27% to -2.83%862.86%4.29%
-2.83% to -1.39%40213.36%17.65%
-1.39% to 0.05%104634.76%52.41%
0.05% to 1.49%93030.91%83.32%
1.49% to 2.93%32410.77%94.08%
2.93% to 4.37%1203.99%98.07%
4.37% to 5.80%341.13%99.20%
Greater than 5.80%240.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.87%1.97% 76.67%68.27%
±2σ -3.79%3.89% 95.28%95.45%
±3σ -5.71%5.80% 98.60%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.18 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.27%81.28%1.28%
-15.27% to -11.39%40.64%1.92%
-11.39% to -7.51%182.88%4.79%
-7.51% to -3.63%7912.62%17.41%
-3.63% to 0.25%19831.63%49.04%
0.25% to 4.13%21734.66%83.71%
4.13% to 8.01%6510.38%94.09%
8.01% to 11.88%274.31%98.40%
11.88% to 15.77%60.96%99.36%
Greater than 15.77%40.64%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.93%5.42% 80.51%68.27%
±2σ -10.10%10.59% 95.69%95.45%
±3σ -15.27%15.77% 98.08%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.96 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.32%00.00%0.00%
-9.32% to -5.17%00.00%0.00%
-5.17% to -1.02%00.00%0.00%
-1.02% to 3.13%6911.00%11.00%
3.13% to 7.28%33954.07%65.07%
7.28% to 11.42%14222.65%87.72%
11.42% to 15.57%467.34%95.06%
15.57% to 19.72%101.59%96.65%
19.72% to 23.87%81.28%97.93%
Greater than 23.87%132.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.75%12.81% 90.91%68.27%
±2σ -3.79%18.34% 96.17%95.45%
±3σ -9.32%23.87% 97.93%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.50%20.32%0.32%
-15.50% to -11.59%30.48%0.80%
-11.59% to -7.68%243.83%4.63%
-7.68% to -3.77%7812.44%17.07%
-3.77% to 0.14%23136.84%53.91%
0.14% to 4.05%19531.10%85.01%
4.05% to 7.96%6410.21%95.22%
7.96% to 11.88%152.39%97.61%
11.88% to 15.79%71.12%98.72%
Greater than 15.79%81.28%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.07%5.36% 80.38%68.27%
±2σ -10.29%10.57% 95.69%95.45%
±3σ -15.50%15.79% 98.41%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.54. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.73%10.68%0.68%
-27.73% to -20.56%32.05%2.74%
-20.56% to -13.39%64.11%6.85%
-13.39% to -6.22%1711.64%18.49%
-6.22% to 0.95%4530.82%49.32%
0.95% to 8.12%4228.77%78.08%
8.12% to 15.30%2718.49%96.58%
15.30% to 22.47%42.74%99.32%
22.47% to 29.64%00.00%99.32%
Greater than 29.64%10.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.61%10.51% 75.34%68.27%
±2σ -18.17%20.08% 95.21%95.45%
±3σ -27.73%29.64% 98.63%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.46. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 58.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.07%00.00%0.00%
-27.07% to -16.23%00.00%0.00%
-16.23% to -5.40%00.00%0.00%
-5.40% to 5.43%85.44%5.44%
5.43% to 16.27%8557.82%63.27%
16.27% to 27.10%4228.57%91.84%
27.10% to 37.94%64.08%95.92%
37.94% to 48.77%32.04%97.96%
48.77% to 59.60%21.36%99.32%
Greater than 59.60%10.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.82%30.71% 91.84%68.27%
±2σ -12.62%45.16% 97.96%95.45%
±3σ -27.07%59.60% 99.32%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.58. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.41 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -32.09%00.00%0.00%
-32.09% to -24.00%10.68%0.68%
-24.00% to -15.92%32.04%2.72%
-15.92% to -7.84%2315.65%18.37%
-7.84% to 0.24%5436.73%55.10%
0.24% to 8.32%4832.65%87.76%
8.32% to 16.40%106.80%94.56%
16.40% to 24.48%42.72%97.28%
24.48% to 32.56%32.04%99.32%
Greater than 32.56%10.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.54%11.02% 82.99%68.27%
±2σ -21.31%21.79% 96.60%95.45%
±3σ -32.09%32.57% 99.32%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.92 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.25%00.00%0.00%
-52.25% to -38.41%12.04%2.04%
-38.41% to -24.58%00.00%2.04%
-24.58% to -10.74%1122.45%24.49%
-10.74% to 3.10%1326.53%51.02%
3.10% to 16.93%1326.53%77.55%
16.93% to 30.77%714.29%91.84%
30.77% to 44.60%36.12%97.96%
44.60% to 58.44%12.04%100.00%
Greater than 58.44%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.35%21.54% 69.39%68.27%
±2σ -33.80%39.99% 93.88%95.45%
±3σ -52.25%58.44% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.84. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -63.24%00.00%0.00%
-63.24% to -39.33%00.00%0.00%
-39.33% to -15.41%00.00%0.00%
-15.41% to 8.50%12.00%2.00%
8.50% to 32.42%3570.00%72.00%
32.42% to 56.34%1020.00%92.00%
56.34% to 80.25%24.00%96.00%
80.25% to 104.17%12.00%98.00%
104.17% to 128.08%00.00%98.00%
Greater than 128.08%12.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.53%64.31% 94.00%68.27%
±2σ -31.36%96.19% 98.00%95.45%
±3σ -63.25%128.08% 98.00%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.03. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -60.26%00.00%0.00%
-60.26% to -44.96%00.00%0.00%
-44.96% to -29.66%12.00%2.00%
-29.66% to -14.36%510.00%12.00%
-14.36% to 0.94%2448.00%60.00%
0.94% to 16.23%1122.00%82.00%
16.23% to 31.53%816.00%98.00%
31.53% to 46.83%00.00%98.00%
46.83% to 62.13%00.00%98.00%
Greater than 62.13%12.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -19.46%21.33% 82.00%68.27%
±2σ -39.86%41.73% 98.00%95.45%
±3σ -60.26%62.13% 98.00%99.73%