ALLY Deep Analytical Report

Ally Financial Inc. | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 2.86% ($1.20) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2014-01-01 → 2026-02-01 (146 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.38% 1.99% 1.92% 3.29% 2.12% 2.31% 41.24 43.02 40.37 43.94
Weekly 5.17% 5.54% 5.21% 7.73% 4.66% 5.09% 40.20 44.13 38.37 46.23
Monthly 9.58% 14.50% 10.80% 15.87% 9.70% 10.60% 38.23 46.41 34.69 51.14
Quarterly 18.40% 32.01% 20.38% 27.38% 16.80% 18.36% 35.61 49.83 30.10 58.94
Annual 33.60% 36.72% 30.10 58.94 21.51 82.48
Option Time Horizon 15.93% 17.40% 35.92 49.39 30.63 57.92
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:25 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (82 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $42.12  |  Strike (K): $43.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.3250 (Bid $2.1000 / Ask $2.5500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.86%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 33.60% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 33.87% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 36.72% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-02 $0.3000
2025-10-31 $0.3000
2025-08-01 $0.3000
2025-05-01 $0.3000
2025-01-31 $0.3000
2024-11-01 $0.3000
2024-08-01 $0.3000
2024-04-30 $0.3000
2024-01-31 $0.3000
2023-10-31 $0.3000
2023-07-31 $0.3000
2023-04-28 $0.3000
2023-01-31 $0.3000
2022-10-31 $0.3000
2022-07-29 $0.3000
2022-04-29 $0.3000
2022-01-31 $0.3000
2021-10-29 $0.2500
2021-07-30 $0.2500
2021-04-29 $0.1900
2021-01-29 $0.1900
2020-10-29 $0.1900
2020-07-30 $0.1900
2020-04-30 $0.1900
2020-01-30 $0.1900
2019-10-31 $0.1700
2019-07-31 $0.1700
2019-04-30 $0.1700
2019-01-31 $0.1700
2018-10-31 $0.1500
2018-07-31 $0.1500
2018-04-30 $0.1300
2018-01-31 $0.1300
2017-10-31 $0.1200
2017-07-28 $0.1200
2017-04-27 $0.0800
2017-01-30 $0.0800
2016-10-28 $0.0800
2016-07-28 $0.0800
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.20 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.08%230.77%0.77%
-7.08% to -5.30%200.67%1.44%
-5.30% to -3.51%983.28%4.72%
-3.51% to -1.73%32410.85%15.57%
-1.73% to 0.05%101033.81%49.38%
0.05% to 1.84%106535.65%85.04%
1.84% to 3.62%32010.71%95.75%
3.62% to 5.41%722.41%98.16%
5.41% to 7.19%351.17%99.33%
Greater than 7.19%200.67%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.32%2.43% 80.15%68.27%
±2σ -4.70%4.81% 95.55%95.45%
±3σ -7.08%7.19% 98.56%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.02. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 124.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.17%00.00%0.00%
-3.17% to -1.68%00.00%0.00%
-1.68% to -0.18%00.00%0.00%
-0.18% to 1.31%32410.84%10.84%
1.31% to 2.80%158953.18%64.02%
2.80% to 4.29%69323.19%87.22%
4.29% to 5.79%2187.30%94.51%
5.79% to 7.28%842.81%97.32%
7.28% to 8.78%441.47%98.80%
Greater than 8.78%361.20%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.81%4.79% 89.36%68.27%
±2σ -1.18%6.78% 96.65%95.45%
±3σ -3.17%8.78% 98.80%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.97. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.49 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.70%190.64%0.64%
-5.70% to -4.26%240.80%1.44%
-4.26% to -2.82%862.88%4.32%
-2.82% to -1.39%39713.29%17.60%
-1.39% to 0.05%104134.84%52.44%
0.05% to 1.49%92430.92%83.37%
1.49% to 2.92%32110.74%94.11%
2.92% to 4.36%1173.92%98.03%
4.36% to 5.79%351.17%99.20%
Greater than 5.79%240.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.86%1.97% 76.81%68.27%
±2σ -3.78%3.88% 95.28%95.45%
±3σ -5.70%5.79% 98.56%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.25%81.29%1.29%
-15.25% to -11.38%40.64%1.93%
-11.38% to -7.50%182.89%4.82%
-7.50% to -3.62%8012.86%17.68%
-3.62% to 0.26%19431.19%48.87%
0.26% to 4.14%21734.89%83.76%
4.14% to 8.01%6510.45%94.21%
8.01% to 11.89%264.18%98.39%
11.89% to 15.77%60.96%99.36%
Greater than 15.77%40.64%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.91%5.43% 80.71%68.27%
±2σ -10.08%10.60% 95.66%95.45%
±3σ -15.25%15.77% 98.07%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.92 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.38%00.00%0.00%
-9.38% to -5.22%00.00%0.00%
-5.22% to -1.06%00.00%0.00%
-1.06% to 3.10%6510.43%10.43%
3.10% to 7.25%34355.06%65.49%
7.25% to 11.41%13922.31%87.80%
11.41% to 15.57%457.22%95.02%
15.57% to 19.73%101.61%96.63%
19.73% to 23.89%81.28%97.91%
Greater than 23.89%132.09%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.71%12.80% 90.85%68.27%
±2σ -3.83%18.34% 96.15%95.45%
±3σ -9.38%23.88% 97.91%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.90 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.51%20.32%0.32%
-15.51% to -11.60%30.48%0.80%
-11.60% to -7.69%243.85%4.65%
-7.69% to -3.78%7712.36%17.01%
-3.78% to 0.13%22836.60%53.61%
0.13% to 4.04%19631.46%85.07%
4.04% to 7.95%6310.11%95.18%
7.95% to 11.87%152.41%97.59%
11.87% to 15.78%71.12%98.72%
Greater than 15.78%81.28%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.08%5.35% 80.58%68.27%
±2σ -10.30%10.56% 95.67%95.45%
±3σ -15.51%15.78% 98.39%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.05 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.72%10.69%0.69%
-27.72% to -20.54%32.07%2.76%
-20.54% to -13.35%64.14%6.90%
-13.35% to -6.17%1711.72%18.62%
-6.17% to 1.01%4531.03%49.66%
1.01% to 8.19%4228.97%78.62%
8.19% to 15.37%2617.93%96.55%
15.37% to 22.56%42.76%99.31%
22.56% to 29.74%00.00%99.31%
Greater than 29.74%10.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.57%10.59% 75.17%68.27%
±2σ -18.14%20.16% 95.17%95.45%
±3σ -27.72%29.74% 98.62%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.43. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 57.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.22%00.00%0.00%
-27.22% to -16.35%00.00%0.00%
-16.35% to -5.47%00.00%0.00%
-5.47% to 5.40%74.79%4.79%
5.40% to 16.27%8558.22%63.01%
16.27% to 27.15%4228.77%91.78%
27.15% to 38.02%64.11%95.89%
38.02% to 48.89%32.05%97.95%
48.89% to 59.77%21.37%99.32%
Greater than 59.77%10.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.78%30.77% 91.78%68.27%
±2σ -12.72%45.27% 97.95%95.45%
±3σ -27.22%59.77% 99.32%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.40 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -32.19%00.00%0.00%
-32.19% to -24.09%10.68%0.68%
-24.09% to -15.99%32.05%2.74%
-15.99% to -7.89%2215.07%17.81%
-7.89% to 0.21%5537.67%55.48%
0.21% to 8.31%4732.19%87.67%
8.31% to 16.41%106.85%94.52%
16.41% to 24.50%42.74%97.26%
24.50% to 32.60%32.05%99.32%
Greater than 32.60%10.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.59%11.01% 82.88%68.27%
±2σ -21.39%21.80% 96.58%95.45%
±3σ -32.18%32.60% 99.32%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.96 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -51.95%00.00%0.00%
-51.95% to -38.15%12.04%2.04%
-38.15% to -24.35%00.00%2.04%
-24.35% to -10.55%1122.45%24.49%
-10.55% to 3.24%1428.57%53.06%
3.24% to 17.04%1530.61%83.67%
17.04% to 30.84%48.16%91.84%
30.84% to 44.63%36.12%97.96%
44.63% to 58.43%12.04%100.00%
Greater than 58.43%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.15%21.64% 69.39%68.27%
±2σ -33.55%40.03% 93.88%95.45%
±3σ -51.95%58.43% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.80. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -63.83%00.00%0.00%
-63.83% to -39.83%00.00%0.00%
-39.83% to -15.82%00.00%0.00%
-15.82% to 8.19%12.00%2.00%
8.19% to 32.19%3468.00%70.00%
32.19% to 56.20%1122.00%92.00%
56.20% to 80.20%24.00%96.00%
80.20% to 104.21%12.00%98.00%
104.21% to 128.21%00.00%98.00%
Greater than 128.21%12.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.18%64.20% 94.00%68.27%
±2σ -31.82%96.20% 98.00%95.45%
±3σ -63.83%128.21% 98.00%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.73 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -60.36%00.00%0.00%
-60.36% to -45.07%00.00%0.00%
-45.07% to -29.79%12.00%2.00%
-29.79% to -14.50%510.00%12.00%
-14.50% to 0.78%2346.00%58.00%
0.78% to 16.07%1224.00%82.00%
16.07% to 31.35%816.00%98.00%
31.35% to 46.64%00.00%98.00%
46.64% to 61.92%00.00%98.00%
Greater than 61.92%12.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -19.60%21.16% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -39.98%41.54% 98.00%95.45%
±3σ -60.36%61.92% 98.00%99.73%