ALL Deep Analytical Report

The Allstate Corporation | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.95% ($4.00) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1993-06-01 → 2026-03-01 (394 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.89% 1.78% 1.65% 2.21% 1.79% 1.95% 203.44 210.83 199.84 214.63
Weekly 3.89% 4.58% 3.86% 5.26% 3.93% 4.28% 199.12 215.40 191.44 224.04
Monthly 7.35% 10.02% 8.13% 11.28% 8.18% 8.92% 190.83 224.76 175.84 243.92
Quarterly 11.23% 15.88% 11.92% 17.70% 14.17% 15.45% 179.74 238.63 155.99 274.96
Annual 28.34% 30.90% 155.99 274.96 117.49 365.06
Option Time Horizon 10.70% 11.66% 186.09 230.48 167.21 256.51
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:34 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $207.10  |  Strike (K): $210.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.8000 (Bid $7.1000 / Ask $8.5000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.95%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 28.34% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 28.57% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 30.90% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-02 $1.0800
2025-12-01 $1.0000
2025-08-29 $1.0000
2025-06-09 $1.0000
2025-03-10 $1.0000
2024-11-29 $0.9200
2024-08-30 $0.9200
2024-05-31 $0.9200
2024-03-01 $0.9200
2023-11-29 $0.8900
2023-08-30 $0.8900
2023-06-01 $0.8900
2023-02-27 $0.8900
2022-11-29 $0.8500
2022-08-30 $0.8500
2022-06-02 $0.8500
2022-02-25 $0.8500
2021-11-29 $0.8100
2021-08-30 $0.8100
2021-06-03 $0.8100
2021-03-03 $0.8100
2020-11-27 $0.5400
2020-08-27 $0.5400
2020-05-28 $0.5400
2020-02-28 $0.5400
2019-11-27 $0.5000
2019-08-29 $0.5000
2019-05-30 $0.5000
2019-02-27 $0.5000
2018-11-29 $0.4600
2018-08-30 $0.4600
2018-05-30 $0.4600
2018-03-02 $0.4600
2017-11-29 $0.3700
2017-08-29 $0.3700
2017-06-01 $0.3700
2017-02-24 $0.3700
2016-11-28 $0.3300
2016-08-29 $0.3300
2016-06-01 $0.3300
2016-02-25 $0.3300
2015-11-25 $0.3000
2015-08-27 $0.3000
2015-05-27 $0.3000
2015-02-26 $0.3000
2014-11-25 $0.2800
2014-08-27 $0.2800
2014-05-28 $0.2800
2014-02-27 $0.2800
2013-11-26 $0.2500
2013-08-28 $0.2500
2013-05-29 $0.2500
2013-02-26 $0.2500
2012-11-28 $0.2200
2012-08-29 $0.2200
2012-05-30 $0.2200
2012-03-01 $0.2200
2011-11-28 $0.2100
2011-08-29 $0.2100
2011-05-26 $0.2100
2011-03-09 $0.2100
2010-11-26 $0.2000
2010-08-27 $0.2000
2010-05-26 $0.2000
2010-03-10 $0.2000
2009-11-25 $0.2000
2009-08-27 $0.2000
2009-05-27 $0.2000
2009-03-11 $0.2000
2008-11-25 $0.4100
2008-08-27 $0.4100
2008-05-28 $0.4100
2008-03-12 $0.4100
2007-11-28 $0.3800
2007-08-29 $0.3800
2007-05-30 $0.3800
2007-03-07 $0.3800
2006-11-28 $0.3500
2006-08-29 $0.3500
2006-05-26 $0.3500
2006-03-08 $0.3500
2005-11-28 $0.3200
2005-08-29 $0.3200
2005-05-26 $0.3200
2005-03-09 $0.3200
2004-11-26 $0.2800
2004-08-27 $0.2800
2004-05-26 $0.2800
2004-02-25 $0.2800
2003-11-25 $0.2400
2003-08-27 $0.2300
2003-05-28 $0.2300
2003-02-26 $0.2300
2002-11-26 $0.2100
2002-08-28 $0.2100
2002-05-29 $0.2100
2002-02-26 $0.2100
2001-11-28 $0.1900
2001-08-29 $0.1900
2001-05-29 $0.1900
2001-02-26 $0.1900
2000-11-28 $0.1700
2000-08-29 $0.1700
2000-05-26 $0.1700
2000-02-25 $0.1700
1999-11-26 $0.1500
1999-08-27 $0.1500
1999-05-26 $0.1500
1999-02-24 $0.1500
1998-11-25 $0.1350
1998-08-27 $0.1350
1998-05-27 $0.1350
1998-02-25 $0.1350
1997-11-24 $0.1200
1997-08-27 $0.1200
1997-05-28 $0.1200
1997-02-26 $0.1200
1996-11-25 $0.1060
1996-08-28 $0.1060
1996-05-29 $0.1060
1996-02-27 $0.1060
1995-11-28 $0.0975
1995-08-17 $0.0975
1995-06-02 $0.0975
1995-03-03 $0.0975
1994-12-02 $0.0900
1994-09-01 $0.0900
1994-06-02 $0.0900
1994-03-14 $0.0900
1993-12-02 $0.0900
1993-09-09 $0.0900
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.61%730.88%0.88%
-5.61% to -4.19%600.73%1.61%
-4.19% to -2.77%1992.41%4.02%
-2.77% to -1.36%85910.40%14.43%
-1.36% to 0.06%299236.24%50.67%
0.06% to 1.48%291435.30%85.96%
1.48% to 2.89%7819.46%95.42%
2.89% to 4.31%2332.82%98.24%
4.31% to 5.73%780.94%99.19%
Greater than 5.73%670.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.83%1.95% 81.54%68.27%
±2σ -3.72%3.84% 95.49%95.45%
±3σ -5.61%5.73% 98.30%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 43.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.14%00.00%0.00%
-3.14% to -1.81%00.00%0.00%
-1.81% to -0.47%00.00%0.00%
-0.47% to 0.86%6928.38%8.38%
0.86% to 2.20%479158.02%66.40%
2.20% to 3.53%175821.29%87.70%
3.53% to 4.87%5696.89%94.59%
4.87% to 6.20%2082.52%97.11%
6.20% to 7.54%810.98%98.09%
Greater than 7.54%1581.91%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.42%3.98% 90.67%68.27%
±2σ -1.36%5.76% 96.39%95.45%
±3σ -3.14%7.54% 98.09%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.70. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.35 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.98%650.79%0.79%
-4.98% to -3.74%680.82%1.61%
-3.74% to -2.50%2272.75%4.36%
-2.50% to -1.26%84110.19%14.55%
-1.26% to -0.02%286834.73%49.28%
-0.02% to 1.22%298836.19%85.47%
1.22% to 2.46%83810.15%95.62%
2.46% to 3.69%2422.93%98.55%
3.69% to 4.93%590.71%99.26%
Greater than 4.93%610.74%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.67%1.63% 80.78%68.27%
±2σ -3.33%3.28% 95.82%95.45%
±3σ -4.98%4.93% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.39%170.99%0.99%
-11.39% to -8.47%191.11%2.10%
-8.47% to -5.55%412.40%4.50%
-5.55% to -2.64%18010.52%15.02%
-2.64% to 0.28%57833.78%48.80%
0.28% to 3.19%61535.94%84.75%
3.19% to 6.11%18610.87%95.62%
6.11% to 9.03%502.92%98.54%
9.03% to 11.94%110.64%99.18%
Greater than 11.94%140.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.61%4.17% 79.84%68.27%
±2σ -7.50%8.05% 95.68%95.45%
±3σ -11.39%11.94% 98.19%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 60.10 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.29%00.00%0.00%
-8.29% to -4.85%00.00%0.00%
-4.85% to -1.42%00.00%0.00%
-1.42% to 2.02%1176.83%6.83%
2.02% to 5.45%102059.58%66.41%
5.45% to 8.89%37221.73%88.14%
8.89% to 12.32%1257.30%95.44%
12.32% to 15.76%301.75%97.20%
15.76% to 19.19%181.05%98.25%
Greater than 19.19%301.75%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.87%10.03% 91.82%68.27%
±2σ -3.71%14.61% 96.73%95.45%
±3σ -8.29%19.19% 98.25%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.23 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.64%110.64%0.64%
-11.64% to -8.75%130.76%1.40%
-8.75% to -5.86%482.80%4.21%
-5.86% to -2.96%19511.39%15.60%
-2.96% to -0.07%63637.15%52.75%
-0.07% to 2.82%56132.77%85.51%
2.82% to 5.72%1709.93%95.44%
5.72% to 8.61%462.69%98.13%
8.61% to 11.51%110.64%98.77%
Greater than 11.51%211.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.93%3.79% 81.13%68.27%
±2σ -7.79%7.65% 95.62%95.45%
±3σ -11.64%11.50% 98.13%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.73. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.89%41.02%1.02%
-20.89% to -15.38%30.76%1.78%
-15.38% to -9.87%112.80%4.58%
-9.87% to -4.36%4812.21%16.79%
-4.36% to 1.15%13233.59%50.38%
1.15% to 6.66%12632.06%82.44%
6.66% to 12.17%5012.72%95.17%
12.17% to 17.68%143.56%98.73%
17.68% to 23.20%30.76%99.49%
Greater than 23.20%20.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.19%8.50% 76.08%68.27%
±2σ -13.54%15.85% 95.42%95.45%
±3σ -20.89%23.20% 98.47%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.82. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 34.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.97%00.00%0.00%
-17.97% to -10.45%00.00%0.00%
-10.45% to -2.94%00.00%0.00%
-2.94% to 4.58%215.33%5.33%
4.58% to 12.10%24361.68%67.01%
12.10% to 19.61%9423.86%90.86%
19.61% to 27.13%153.81%94.67%
27.13% to 34.65%112.79%97.46%
34.65% to 42.16%41.02%98.48%
Greater than 42.16%61.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.08%22.12% 91.62%68.27%
±2σ -7.95%32.14% 96.95%95.45%
±3σ -17.97%42.16% 98.48%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.76. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.76 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.69%10.25%0.25%
-24.69% to -18.59%10.25%0.51%
-18.59% to -12.49%102.54%3.05%
-12.49% to -6.39%5213.20%16.24%
-6.39% to -0.28%14837.56%53.81%
-0.28% to 5.82%12832.49%86.29%
5.82% to 11.92%399.90%96.19%
11.92% to 18.02%82.03%98.22%
18.02% to 24.12%20.51%98.73%
Greater than 24.12%51.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.42%7.85% 80.46%68.27%
±2σ -16.55%15.98% 96.45%95.45%
±3σ -24.69%24.12% 98.48%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.12. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.66 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -30.48%10.76%0.76%
-30.48% to -22.05%00.00%0.76%
-22.05% to -13.63%86.11%6.87%
-13.63% to -5.21%1712.98%19.85%
-5.21% to 3.22%3728.24%48.09%
3.22% to 11.64%4433.59%81.68%
11.64% to 20.06%1712.98%94.66%
20.06% to 28.49%64.58%99.24%
28.49% to 36.91%00.00%99.24%
Greater than 36.91%10.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.02%14.45% 71.76%68.27%
±2σ -19.25%25.68% 96.18%95.45%
±3σ -30.48%36.91% 98.47%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.07 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.98%00.00%0.00%
-25.98% to -14.07%00.00%0.00%
-14.07% to -2.17%00.00%0.00%
-2.17% to 9.74%139.85%9.85%
9.74% to 21.65%7254.55%64.39%
21.65% to 33.56%3425.76%90.15%
33.56% to 45.47%64.55%94.70%
45.47% to 57.37%21.52%96.21%
57.37% to 69.28%10.76%96.97%
Greater than 69.28%43.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.77%37.53% 93.18%68.27%
±2σ -10.10%53.41% 96.21%95.45%
±3σ -25.98%69.28% 96.97%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.77 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.06%00.00%0.00%
-37.06% to -28.12%10.76%0.76%
-28.12% to -19.18%21.52%2.27%
-19.18% to -10.23%1712.88%15.15%
-10.23% to -1.29%5642.42%57.58%
-1.29% to 7.65%3425.76%83.33%
7.65% to 16.59%129.09%92.42%
16.59% to 25.54%96.82%99.24%
25.54% to 34.48%00.00%99.24%
Greater than 34.48%10.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.21%10.63% 77.27%68.27%
±2σ -25.14%22.55% 96.97%95.45%
±3σ -37.06%34.48% 99.24%99.73%