ANF Deep Analytical Report

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1996-09-01 → 2026-02-01 (354 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.53% 2.59% 2.84% 4.88% 4.23% 4.32% 92.42 100.57 88.59 104.92
Weekly 8.01% 7.26% 8.17% 11.65% 9.31% 9.51% 87.84 105.82 80.03 116.14
Monthly 15.47% 16.30% 16.45% 26.32% 19.38% 19.79% 79.42 117.03 65.43 142.05
Quarterly 29.85% 28.96% 31.06% 49.85% 33.57% 34.28% 68.92 134.87 49.27 188.66
Annual 67.13% 68.57% 49.27 188.66 25.18 369.18
Option Time Horizon 25.82% 26.37% 74.47 124.81 57.52 161.59
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:23 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $96.41  |  Strike (K): $100.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $8.7000 (Bid $8.1000 / Ask $9.3000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 67.13% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 67.73% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 68.57% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2020-03-05 $0.2000
2019-12-05 $0.2000
2019-09-05 $0.2000
2019-06-06 $0.2000
2019-03-07 $0.2000
2018-12-06 $0.2000
2018-09-06 $0.2000
2018-06-07 $0.2000
2018-03-08 $0.2000
2017-11-30 $0.2000
2017-08-30 $0.2000
2017-05-31 $0.2000
2017-03-01 $0.2000
2016-11-30 $0.2000
2016-08-31 $0.2000
2016-06-01 $0.2000
2016-03-02 $0.2000
2015-11-27 $0.2000
2015-08-28 $0.2000
2015-05-29 $0.2000
2015-02-27 $0.2000
2014-11-28 $0.2000
2014-08-28 $0.2000
2014-06-03 $0.2000
2014-03-04 $0.2000
2013-11-27 $0.2000
2013-08-29 $0.2000
2013-05-30 $0.2000
2013-02-28 $0.2000
2012-11-21 $0.1750
2012-08-23 $0.1750
2012-05-24 $0.1750
2012-02-23 $0.1750
2011-11-23 $0.1750
2011-08-25 $0.1750
2011-05-25 $0.1750
2011-02-23 $0.1750
2010-11-23 $0.1750
2010-08-25 $0.1750
2010-05-26 $0.1750
2010-02-24 $0.1750
2009-11-24 $0.1750
2009-08-26 $0.1750
2009-05-27 $0.1750
2009-02-25 $0.1750
2008-11-25 $0.1750
2008-08-27 $0.1750
2008-05-28 $0.1750
2008-02-27 $0.1750
2007-11-30 $0.1750
2007-08-30 $0.1750
2007-06-01 $0.1750
2007-03-02 $0.1750
2006-11-24 $0.1750
2006-08-25 $0.1750
2006-05-25 $0.1750
2006-02-24 $0.1750
2005-11-25 $0.1750
2005-08-26 $0.1750
2005-05-27 $0.1250
2005-02-25 $0.1250
2004-11-26 $0.1250
2004-08-27 $0.1250
2004-05-27 $0.1250
2004-03-05 $0.1250
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.70 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.50%560.76%0.76%
-10.50% to -7.85%550.74%1.50%
-7.85% to -5.20%2202.97%4.48%
-5.20% to -2.55%83611.30%15.78%
-2.55% to 0.10%257834.86%50.64%
0.10% to 2.75%248133.55%84.18%
2.75% to 5.39%83111.24%95.42%
5.39% to 8.04%2142.89%98.31%
8.04% to 10.69%620.84%99.15%
Greater than 10.69%630.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.44%3.63% 80.12%68.27%
±2σ -6.97%7.16% 95.59%95.45%
±3σ -10.50%10.69% 98.39%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.26. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.57 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.58%00.00%0.00%
-3.58% to -1.64%00.00%0.00%
-1.64% to 0.31%00.00%0.00%
0.31% to 2.25%123816.74%16.74%
2.25% to 4.20%337345.60%62.34%
4.20% to 6.14%167422.63%84.97%
6.14% to 8.09%6358.58%93.55%
8.09% to 10.03%2403.24%96.80%
10.03% to 11.98%1201.62%98.42%
Greater than 11.98%1171.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.61%6.79% 84.17%68.27%
±2σ -0.99%9.38% 96.01%95.45%
±3σ -3.58%11.98% 98.42%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.31. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.46%440.59%0.59%
-8.46% to -6.33%710.96%1.55%
-6.33% to -4.20%2873.88%5.43%
-4.20% to -2.07%95812.95%18.39%
-2.07% to 0.06%238932.30%50.68%
0.06% to 2.19%230431.15%81.83%
2.19% to 4.32%93712.67%94.50%
4.32% to 6.45%2653.58%98.08%
6.45% to 8.58%991.34%99.42%
Greater than 8.58%430.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.78%2.90% 75.72%68.27%
±2σ -5.62%5.74% 95.13%95.45%
±3σ -8.46%8.58% 98.82%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.54%110.72%0.72%
-23.54% to -17.53%231.50%2.22%
-17.53% to -11.53%402.61%4.82%
-11.53% to -5.52%18211.86%16.69%
-5.52% to 0.48%53134.62%51.30%
0.48% to 6.49%48231.42%82.72%
6.49% to 12.49%17411.34%94.07%
12.49% to 18.50%624.04%98.11%
18.50% to 24.50%201.30%99.41%
Greater than 24.50%90.59%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.52%8.49% 77.31%68.27%
±2σ -15.53%16.50% 94.52%95.45%
±3σ -23.54%24.50% 98.70%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.45%00.00%0.00%
-10.45% to -5.01%00.00%0.00%
-5.01% to 0.44%00.00%0.00%
0.44% to 5.88%29219.02%19.02%
5.88% to 11.32%67644.04%63.06%
11.32% to 16.77%33121.56%84.63%
16.77% to 22.21%1207.82%92.44%
22.21% to 27.66%593.84%96.29%
27.66% to 33.10%261.69%97.98%
Greater than 33.10%312.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.07%18.58% 83.19%68.27%
±2σ -3.19%25.84% 94.92%95.45%
±3σ -10.45%33.10% 97.98%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.33. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.39 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.23%40.26%0.26%
-24.23% to -18.10%150.98%1.24%
-18.10% to -11.97%523.39%4.63%
-11.97% to -5.85%20113.09%17.72%
-5.85% to 0.28%54135.24%52.96%
0.28% to 6.41%48331.47%84.43%
6.41% to 12.54%15710.23%94.66%
12.54% to 18.67%442.87%97.52%
18.67% to 24.80%211.37%98.89%
Greater than 24.80%171.11%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.89%8.46% 78.76%68.27%
±2σ -16.06%16.63% 95.37%95.45%
±3σ -24.23%24.80% 98.63%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.60 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.51%00.00%0.00%
-44.51% to -32.91%41.13%1.13%
-32.91% to -21.31%164.53%5.67%
-21.31% to -9.71%5415.30%20.96%
-9.71% to 1.89%11131.44%52.41%
1.89% to 13.49%9526.91%79.32%
13.49% to 25.09%4813.60%92.92%
25.09% to 36.69%185.10%98.02%
36.69% to 48.30%51.42%99.43%
Greater than 48.30%20.57%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.58%17.36% 71.67%68.27%
±2σ -29.05%32.83% 94.05%95.45%
±3σ -44.51%48.29% 99.43%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.03. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.60 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.59%00.00%0.00%
-21.59% to -9.36%00.00%0.00%
-9.36% to 2.86%00.00%0.00%
2.86% to 15.08%6418.08%18.08%
15.08% to 27.31%16446.33%64.41%
27.31% to 39.53%6718.93%83.33%
39.53% to 51.75%308.47%91.81%
51.75% to 63.98%143.95%95.76%
63.98% to 76.20%82.26%98.02%
Greater than 76.20%71.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.01%43.60% 82.20%68.27%
±2σ -5.29%59.90% 95.20%95.45%
±3σ -21.59%76.20% 98.02%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.71 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -48.67%00.00%0.00%
-48.67% to -36.33%00.00%0.00%
-36.33% to -23.99%154.24%4.24%
-23.99% to -11.65%5515.54%19.77%
-11.65% to 0.69%13137.01%56.78%
0.69% to 13.03%9225.99%82.77%
13.03% to 25.36%3710.45%93.22%
25.36% to 37.70%143.95%97.18%
37.70% to 50.05%61.69%98.87%
Greater than 50.05%41.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.77%17.14% 74.58%68.27%
±2σ -32.22%33.59% 95.20%95.45%
±3σ -48.67%50.04% 98.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.23 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -83.15%00.00%0.00%
-83.15% to -60.76%00.00%0.00%
-60.76% to -38.37%54.24%4.24%
-38.37% to -15.98%2117.80%22.03%
-15.98% to 6.40%4134.75%56.78%
6.40% to 28.79%2521.19%77.97%
28.79% to 51.18%1512.71%90.68%
51.18% to 73.57%108.47%99.15%
73.57% to 95.95%10.85%100.00%
Greater than 95.95%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -23.45%36.25% 66.10%68.27%
±2σ -53.30%66.10% 97.46%95.45%
±3σ -83.15%95.95% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.05 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.49%00.00%0.00%
-31.49% to -9.77%00.00%0.00%
-9.77% to 11.95%00.00%0.00%
11.95% to 33.67%2924.37%24.37%
33.67% to 55.39%4033.61%57.98%
55.39% to 77.11%2722.69%80.67%
77.11% to 98.83%119.24%89.92%
98.83% to 120.55%75.88%95.80%
120.55% to 142.27%43.36%99.16%
Greater than 142.27%10.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 26.43%84.35% 74.79%68.27%
±2σ -2.53%113.31% 94.96%95.45%
±3σ -31.49%142.27% 99.16%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.29 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -90.68%00.00%0.00%
-90.68% to -67.39%00.00%0.00%
-67.39% to -44.09%10.84%0.84%
-44.09% to -20.80%2722.69%23.53%
-20.80% to 2.50%4336.13%59.66%
2.50% to 25.79%2722.69%82.35%
25.79% to 49.09%97.56%89.92%
49.09% to 72.38%86.72%96.64%
72.38% to 95.67%32.52%99.16%
Greater than 95.67%10.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -28.56%33.55% 73.95%68.27%
±2σ -59.62%64.61% 95.80%95.45%
±3σ -90.68%95.67% 99.16%99.73%