ANF Deep Analytical Report

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1996-09-01 → 2026-03-01 (355 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.53% 2.59% 2.84% 4.87% 3.25% 3.31% 85.18 90.91 82.46 93.92
Weekly 8.00% 7.25% 8.17% 11.60% 7.16% 7.28% 81.92 94.53 76.26 101.55
Monthly 15.46% 16.27% 16.43% 25.97% 14.91% 15.15% 75.81 102.15 65.31 118.57
Quarterly 29.88% 28.83% 31.07% 50.36% 25.82% 26.24% 67.97 113.92 52.51 147.49
Annual 51.64% 52.48% 52.51 147.49 31.33 247.18
Option Time Horizon 19.49% 19.81% 72.42 106.94 59.59 129.95
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:40 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $88.00  |  Strike (K): $90.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $6.2000 (Bid $5.4000 / Ask $7.0000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 51.64% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 51.97% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 52.48% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2020-03-05 $0.2000
2019-12-05 $0.2000
2019-09-05 $0.2000
2019-06-06 $0.2000
2019-03-07 $0.2000
2018-12-06 $0.2000
2018-09-06 $0.2000
2018-06-07 $0.2000
2018-03-08 $0.2000
2017-11-30 $0.2000
2017-08-30 $0.2000
2017-05-31 $0.2000
2017-03-01 $0.2000
2016-11-30 $0.2000
2016-08-31 $0.2000
2016-06-01 $0.2000
2016-03-02 $0.2000
2015-11-27 $0.2000
2015-08-28 $0.2000
2015-05-29 $0.2000
2015-02-27 $0.2000
2014-11-28 $0.2000
2014-08-28 $0.2000
2014-06-03 $0.2000
2014-03-04 $0.2000
2013-11-27 $0.2000
2013-08-29 $0.2000
2013-05-30 $0.2000
2013-02-28 $0.2000
2012-11-21 $0.1750
2012-08-23 $0.1750
2012-05-24 $0.1750
2012-02-23 $0.1750
2011-11-23 $0.1750
2011-08-25 $0.1750
2011-05-25 $0.1750
2011-02-23 $0.1750
2010-11-23 $0.1750
2010-08-25 $0.1750
2010-05-26 $0.1750
2010-02-24 $0.1750
2009-11-24 $0.1750
2009-08-26 $0.1750
2009-05-27 $0.1750
2009-02-25 $0.1750
2008-11-25 $0.1750
2008-08-27 $0.1750
2008-05-28 $0.1750
2008-02-27 $0.1750
2007-11-30 $0.1750
2007-08-30 $0.1750
2007-06-01 $0.1750
2007-03-02 $0.1750
2006-11-24 $0.1750
2006-08-25 $0.1750
2006-05-25 $0.1750
2006-02-24 $0.1750
2005-11-25 $0.1750
2005-08-26 $0.1750
2005-05-27 $0.1250
2005-02-25 $0.1250
2004-11-26 $0.1250
2004-08-27 $0.1250
2004-05-27 $0.1250
2004-03-05 $0.1250
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.69 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.49%560.76%0.76%
-10.49% to -7.85%550.74%1.50%
-7.85% to -5.20%2212.98%4.48%
-5.20% to -2.55%84111.34%15.82%
-2.55% to 0.10%258234.81%50.63%
0.10% to 2.74%248833.54%84.17%
2.74% to 5.39%83411.24%95.42%
5.39% to 8.04%2152.90%98.31%
8.04% to 10.69%620.84%99.15%
Greater than 10.69%630.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.43%3.62% 80.10%68.27%
±2σ -6.96%7.15% 95.58%95.45%
±3σ -10.49%10.69% 98.40%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.26. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.57%00.00%0.00%
-3.57% to -1.63%00.00%0.00%
-1.63% to 0.31%00.00%0.00%
0.31% to 2.26%124416.77%16.77%
2.26% to 4.20%337945.55%62.32%
4.20% to 6.14%167922.63%84.96%
6.14% to 8.09%6388.60%93.56%
8.09% to 10.03%2413.25%96.81%
10.03% to 11.97%1201.62%98.42%
Greater than 11.97%1171.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.61%6.79% 84.13%68.27%
±2σ -0.98%9.38% 96.02%95.45%
±3σ -3.57%11.97% 98.42%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.32. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.46%440.59%0.59%
-8.46% to -6.33%710.96%1.55%
-6.33% to -4.20%2873.87%5.42%
-4.20% to -2.07%96312.98%18.40%
-2.07% to 0.06%239532.29%50.69%
0.06% to 2.19%230931.13%81.81%
2.19% to 4.32%94112.69%94.50%
4.32% to 6.45%2653.57%98.07%
6.45% to 8.57%1001.35%99.42%
Greater than 8.57%430.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.78%2.90% 75.69%68.27%
±2σ -5.62%5.74% 95.13%95.45%
±3σ -8.46%8.57% 98.83%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.20 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.54%110.72%0.72%
-23.54% to -17.53%231.50%2.21%
-17.53% to -11.53%412.67%4.88%
-11.53% to -5.53%18211.83%16.71%
-5.53% to 0.48%53234.59%51.30%
0.48% to 6.48%48331.40%82.70%
6.48% to 12.48%17511.38%94.08%
12.48% to 18.48%624.03%98.11%
18.48% to 24.49%201.30%99.41%
Greater than 24.49%90.59%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.53%8.48% 77.31%68.27%
±2σ -15.53%16.48% 94.54%95.45%
±3σ -23.54%24.49% 98.70%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.40 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.44%00.00%0.00%
-10.44% to -5.00%00.00%0.00%
-5.00% to 0.45%00.00%0.00%
0.45% to 5.89%29218.97%18.97%
5.89% to 11.33%67944.12%63.09%
11.33% to 16.77%33121.51%84.60%
16.77% to 22.21%1207.80%92.40%
22.21% to 27.65%603.90%96.30%
27.65% to 33.09%261.69%97.99%
Greater than 33.09%312.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.07%18.58% 83.17%68.27%
±2σ -3.18%25.84% 94.93%95.45%
±3σ -10.44%33.09% 97.99%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.33. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.39 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.21%40.26%0.26%
-24.21% to -18.08%150.97%1.23%
-18.08% to -11.96%523.38%4.61%
-11.96% to -5.84%20113.06%17.67%
-5.84% to 0.29%54235.22%52.89%
0.29% to 6.41%48631.58%84.47%
6.41% to 12.54%15710.20%94.67%
12.54% to 18.66%442.86%97.53%
18.66% to 24.79%211.36%98.90%
Greater than 24.79%171.10%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.88%8.46% 78.69%68.27%
±2σ -16.04%16.62% 95.39%95.45%
±3σ -24.21%24.79% 98.64%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.60 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.52%00.00%0.00%
-44.52% to -32.92%41.13%1.13%
-32.92% to -21.33%164.52%5.65%
-21.33% to -9.73%5515.54%21.19%
-9.73% to 1.86%11131.36%52.54%
1.86% to 13.46%9526.84%79.38%
13.46% to 25.05%4813.56%92.94%
25.05% to 36.64%185.08%98.02%
36.64% to 48.24%51.41%99.44%
Greater than 48.24%20.56%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.60%17.32% 71.75%68.27%
±2σ -29.06%32.78% 94.07%95.45%
±3σ -44.52%48.24% 99.44%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.03. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.52%00.00%0.00%
-21.52% to -9.32%00.00%0.00%
-9.32% to 2.89%00.00%0.00%
2.89% to 15.09%6418.03%18.03%
15.09% to 27.30%16546.48%64.51%
27.30% to 39.50%6718.87%83.38%
39.50% to 51.71%308.45%91.83%
51.71% to 63.91%143.94%95.77%
63.91% to 76.12%82.25%98.03%
Greater than 76.12%71.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.02%43.57% 81.97%68.27%
±2σ -5.25%59.85% 95.21%95.45%
±3σ -21.52%76.12% 98.03%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.72 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -48.60%00.00%0.00%
-48.60% to -36.27%00.00%0.00%
-36.27% to -23.95%154.23%4.23%
-23.95% to -11.62%5515.49%19.72%
-11.62% to 0.70%13237.18%56.90%
0.70% to 13.03%9225.92%82.82%
13.03% to 25.35%3710.42%93.24%
25.35% to 37.68%143.94%97.18%
37.68% to 50.00%61.69%98.87%
Greater than 50.00%41.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.73%17.14% 74.65%68.27%
±2σ -32.17%33.57% 95.21%95.45%
±3σ -48.60%50.00% 98.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.24 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -83.31%00.00%0.00%
-83.31% to -60.90%00.00%0.00%
-60.90% to -38.49%54.24%4.24%
-38.49% to -16.08%2117.80%22.03%
-16.08% to 6.33%4033.90%55.93%
6.33% to 28.74%2622.03%77.97%
28.74% to 51.15%1512.71%90.68%
51.15% to 73.56%108.47%99.15%
73.56% to 95.97%10.85%100.00%
Greater than 95.97%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -23.55%36.21% 66.10%68.27%
±2σ -53.43%66.09% 97.46%95.45%
±3σ -83.31%95.97% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.08 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -30.98%00.00%0.00%
-30.98% to -9.35%00.00%0.00%
-9.35% to 12.27%00.00%0.00%
12.27% to 33.89%3025.21%25.21%
33.89% to 55.51%3932.77%57.98%
55.51% to 77.13%2722.69%80.67%
77.13% to 98.75%119.24%89.92%
98.75% to 120.37%75.88%95.80%
120.37% to 141.99%43.36%99.16%
Greater than 141.99%10.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 26.68%84.34% 75.63%68.27%
±2σ -2.15%113.16% 94.96%95.45%
±3σ -30.97%141.99% 99.16%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.27 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -90.63%00.00%0.00%
-90.63% to -67.33%00.00%0.00%
-67.33% to -44.02%10.84%0.84%
-44.02% to -20.72%2722.69%23.53%
-20.72% to 2.58%4235.29%58.82%
2.58% to 25.88%2823.53%82.35%
25.88% to 49.18%97.56%89.92%
49.18% to 72.48%86.72%96.64%
72.48% to 95.78%32.52%99.16%
Greater than 95.78%10.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -28.49%33.65% 73.11%68.27%
±2σ -59.56%64.72% 95.80%95.45%
±3σ -90.63%95.78% 99.16%99.73%