AVGO 深度分析报告

Broadcom Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 0.59% ($2.48) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2009-08-01 → 2026-04-01 (201 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.39% 1.65% 1.89% 3.32% 3.33% 3.39% 408.91 437.07 395.52 451.87
周度 5.29% 4.52% 5.11% 8.05% 7.33% 7.45% 392.88 454.91 365.11 489.51
月度 9.36% 9.19% 8.50% 18.59% 15.26% 15.51% 362.93 492.45 311.57 573.63
季度 13.59% 15.65% 11.19% 33.62% 26.43% 26.87% 324.57 550.65 249.19 717.23
Annual 52.86% 53.74% 249.19 717.23 146.88 1216.81
Option Time Horizon 20.14% 20.48% 345.63 517.10 282.58 632.48
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:43 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $422.76  |  Strike (K): $430.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $31.6000 (Bid $31.2000 / Ask $32.0000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.59%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 52.86% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 53.00% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 53.74% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-23 $0.6500
2025-12-22 $0.6500
2025-09-22 $0.5900
2025-06-20 $0.5900
2025-03-20 $0.5900
2024-12-23 $0.5900
2024-09-19 $0.5300
2024-06-24 $0.5250
2024-03-20 $0.5250
2023-12-19 $0.5250
2023-09-20 $0.4600
2023-06-21 $0.4600
2023-03-21 $0.4600
2022-12-19 $0.4600
2022-09-21 $0.4100
2022-06-21 $0.4100
2022-03-21 $0.4100
2021-12-21 $0.4100
2021-09-21 $0.3600
2021-06-21 $0.3600
2021-03-19 $0.3600
2020-12-18 $0.3600
2020-09-21 $0.3250
2020-06-19 $0.3250
2020-03-20 $0.3250
2019-12-20 $0.3250
2019-09-20 $0.2650
2019-06-21 $0.2650
2019-03-20 $0.2650
2018-12-18 $0.2650
2018-09-18 $0.1750
2018-06-19 $0.3500
2018-03-21 $0.3500
2017-12-18 $0.1750
2017-09-18 $0.1020
2017-06-15 $0.1020
2017-03-16 $0.1020
2016-12-14 $0.1020
2016-09-15 $0.0510
2016-06-15 $0.0500
2016-03-16 $0.0490
2015-12-16 $0.0440
2015-09-16 $0.0420
2015-06-17 $0.0400
2015-03-18 $0.0380
2014-12-17 $0.0350
2014-09-17 $0.0320
2014-06-17 $0.0290
2014-03-18 $0.0270
2013-12-18 $0.0250
2013-09-17 $0.0230
2013-06-13 $0.0210
2013-03-21 $0.0190
2012-12-13 $0.0170
2012-09-18 $0.0160
2012-06-14 $0.0150
2012-03-15 $0.0130
2011-12-15 $0.0120
2011-09-15 $0.0110
2011-06-15 $0.0090
2011-03-16 $0.0080
2010-12-13 $0.0070
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.33. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.00%200.48%0.48%
-7.00% to -5.21%441.05%1.52%
-5.21% to -3.42%1483.52%5.04%
-3.42% to -1.62%49711.82%16.86%
-1.62% to 0.17%141833.73%50.59%
0.17% to 1.96%137632.73%83.33%
1.96% to 3.75%48311.49%94.81%
3.75% to 5.55%1403.33%98.14%
5.55% to 7.34%431.02%99.17%
Greater than 7.34%350.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.22%2.56% 77.74%68.27%
±2σ -4.61%4.95% 95.39%95.45%
±3σ -7.00%7.34% 98.69%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.31. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 24.69 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.09%00.00%0.00%
-2.09% to -0.85%00.00%0.00%
-0.85% to 0.39%00.00%0.00%
0.39% to 1.62%75017.84%17.84%
1.62% to 2.86%186144.26%62.09%
2.86% to 4.10%92522.00%84.09%
4.10% to 5.34%4009.51%93.60%
5.34% to 6.58%1563.71%97.31%
6.58% to 7.82%541.28%98.60%
Greater than 7.82%591.40%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.21%4.51% 83.07%68.27%
±2σ -0.44%6.17% 96.31%95.45%
±3σ -2.09%7.82% 98.60%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.10. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.28 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.65%200.48%0.48%
-5.65% to -4.24%410.98%1.45%
-4.24% to -2.83%1764.19%5.64%
-2.83% to -1.41%55613.22%18.86%
-1.41% to 0.00%136532.46%51.32%
0.00% to 1.42%126630.11%81.43%
1.42% to 2.83%52612.51%93.94%
2.83% to 4.24%1704.04%97.98%
4.24% to 5.66%591.40%99.38%
Greater than 5.66%260.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.88%1.89% 75.08%68.27%
±2σ -3.77%3.77% 95.05%95.45%
±3σ -5.65%5.66% 98.91%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.52. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.53 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.06%50.57%0.57%
-15.06% to -11.09%111.26%1.83%
-11.09% to -7.12%283.21%5.05%
-7.12% to -3.15%11012.61%17.66%
-3.15% to 0.82%28232.34%50.00%
0.82% to 4.79%28132.22%82.22%
4.79% to 8.76%11312.96%95.18%
8.76% to 12.73%262.98%98.17%
12.73% to 16.70%101.15%99.31%
Greater than 16.70%60.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.47%6.11% 75.92%68.27%
±2σ -9.77%11.41% 95.41%95.45%
±3σ -15.06%16.70% 98.74%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.08. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 17.40 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.05%00.00%0.00%
-6.05% to -2.66%00.00%0.00%
-2.66% to 0.73%00.00%0.00%
0.73% to 4.12%13515.46%15.46%
4.12% to 7.51%41547.54%63.00%
7.51% to 10.90%20022.91%85.91%
10.90% to 14.29%687.79%93.70%
14.29% to 17.69%273.09%96.79%
17.69% to 21.08%121.37%98.17%
Greater than 21.08%161.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.99%12.03% 84.31%68.27%
±2σ -1.53%16.55% 95.99%95.45%
±3σ -6.06%21.08% 98.17%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.68. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.78 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.70%30.34%0.34%
-15.70% to -11.88%80.92%1.26%
-11.88% to -8.05%273.09%4.35%
-8.05% to -4.22%11413.06%17.41%
-4.22% to -0.39%30935.40%52.81%
-0.39% to 3.44%26730.58%83.39%
3.44% to 7.27%869.85%93.24%
7.27% to 11.10%404.58%97.82%
11.10% to 14.93%111.26%99.08%
Greater than 14.93%80.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.49%4.72% 77.66%68.27%
±2σ -10.60%9.82% 95.53%95.45%
±3σ -15.70%14.93% 98.74%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.70. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.88 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.74%00.00%0.00%
-24.74% to -17.72%10.50%0.50%
-17.72% to -10.69%115.50%6.00%
-10.69% to -3.67%2713.50%19.50%
-3.67% to 3.35%6834.00%53.50%
3.35% to 10.38%5829.00%82.50%
10.38% to 17.40%2110.50%93.00%
17.40% to 24.42%94.50%97.50%
24.42% to 31.44%31.50%99.00%
Greater than 31.44%21.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.01%12.72% 72.50%68.27%
±2σ -15.38%22.08% 95.50%95.45%
±3σ -24.74%31.44% 99.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 16.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.60%00.00%0.00%
-10.60% to -3.71%00.00%0.00%
-3.71% to 3.18%00.00%0.00%
3.18% to 10.07%3115.42%15.42%
10.07% to 16.96%9547.26%62.69%
16.96% to 23.85%4522.39%85.07%
23.85% to 30.74%209.95%95.02%
30.74% to 37.63%41.99%97.01%
37.63% to 44.52%31.49%98.51%
Greater than 44.52%31.49%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.77%26.14% 85.07%68.27%
±2σ -1.42%35.33% 97.01%95.45%
±3σ -10.60%44.52% 98.51%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.95 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.70%10.50%0.50%
-27.70% to -21.32%21.00%1.49%
-21.32% to -14.95%83.98%5.47%
-14.95% to -8.58%2914.43%19.90%
-8.58% to -2.21%6431.84%51.74%
-2.21% to 4.17%5627.86%79.60%
4.17% to 10.54%2512.44%92.04%
10.54% to 16.91%136.47%98.51%
16.91% to 23.29%21.00%99.50%
Greater than 23.29%10.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.70%6.29% 71.64%68.27%
±2σ -19.20%14.79% 96.02%95.45%
±3σ -27.70%23.29% 99.00%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.63. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.75 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -30.48%00.00%0.00%
-30.48% to -20.28%00.00%0.00%
-20.28% to -10.09%46.06%6.06%
-10.09% to 0.11%1015.15%21.21%
0.11% to 10.30%2030.30%51.52%
10.30% to 20.50%1928.79%80.30%
20.50% to 30.69%1015.15%95.45%
30.69% to 40.89%00.00%95.45%
40.89% to 51.08%23.03%98.48%
Greater than 51.08%11.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.29%23.90% 66.67%68.27%
±2σ -16.88%37.49% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -30.48%51.08% 98.48%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.35. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.83 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.98%00.00%0.00%
-15.98% to -4.25%00.00%0.00%
-4.25% to 7.49%00.00%0.00%
7.49% to 19.23%1420.90%20.90%
19.23% to 30.97%2638.81%59.70%
30.97% to 42.71%1725.37%85.07%
42.71% to 54.45%68.96%94.03%
54.45% to 66.18%22.99%97.01%
66.18% to 77.92%11.49%98.51%
Greater than 77.92%11.49%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 15.32%46.62% 79.10%68.27%
±2σ -0.33%62.27% 97.01%95.45%
±3σ -15.98%77.92% 98.51%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.05. Further, an Excess 峰度 of -0.46 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.71%00.00%0.00%
-40.71% to -32.32%11.49%1.49%
-32.32% to -23.93%34.48%5.97%
-23.93% to -15.54%1116.42%22.39%
-15.54% to -7.15%2131.34%53.73%
-7.15% to 1.24%1623.88%77.61%
1.24% to 9.63%710.45%88.06%
9.63% to 18.02%811.94%100.00%
18.02% to 26.41%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 26.41%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.33%4.04% 62.69%68.27%
±2σ -29.52%15.23% 97.01%95.45%
±3σ -40.71%26.41% 100.00%99.73%