BLMN Deep Analytical Report

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | Category: Equity Micro Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 7.73% ($0.45) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2012-08-01 → 2026-03-01 (164 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.03% 2.98% 2.76% 4.37% 4.05% 3.89% 5.88 6.37 5.64 6.64
Weekly 6.47% 7.54% 7.21% 10.06% 8.90% 8.56% 5.60 6.69 5.12 7.31
Monthly 12.81% 26.88% 16.25% 20.76% 18.54% 17.82% 5.08 7.37 4.22 8.87
Quarterly 18.83% 55.06% 20.24% 30.99% 32.11% 30.86% 4.44 8.44 3.22 11.63
Annual 64.21% 61.72% 3.22 11.63 1.69 22.11
Option Time Horizon 23.04% 22.15% 4.86 7.71 3.86 9.70
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-01T12:15 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (47 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $6.12  |  Strike (K): $7.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $0.1500 (Bid $0.1000 / Ask $0.2000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.74% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 7.28%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 64.21% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 63.52% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 61.72% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-08-19 $0.1500
2025-05-20 $0.1500
2025-03-11 $0.1500
2024-11-25 $0.2400
2024-08-20 $0.2400
2024-05-17 $0.2400
2024-03-05 $0.2400
2023-11-13 $0.2400
2023-08-11 $0.2400
2023-05-09 $0.2400
2023-02-28 $0.2400
2022-11-08 $0.1400
2022-08-09 $0.1400
2022-05-10 $0.1400
2022-03-01 $0.1400
2020-02-27 $0.2000
2019-11-15 $0.1000
2019-08-09 $0.1000
2019-05-10 $0.1000
2019-02-22 $0.1000
2018-11-13 $0.0900
2018-08-08 $0.0900
2018-05-04 $0.0900
2018-03-02 $0.0900
2017-11-10 $0.0800
2017-08-07 $0.0800
2017-05-04 $0.0800
2017-02-23 $0.0800
2016-11-07 $0.0700
2016-08-08 $0.0700
2016-05-04 $0.0700
2016-02-25 $0.0700
2015-11-10 $0.0600
2015-08-14 $0.0600
2015-05-13 $0.0600
2015-03-02 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.29. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.06%320.93%0.93%
-9.06% to -6.79%180.53%1.46%
-6.79% to -4.52%742.16%3.62%
-4.52% to -2.24%37711.01%14.64%
-2.24% to 0.03%122635.82%50.45%
0.03% to 2.31%122335.73%86.18%
2.31% to 4.58%3249.47%95.65%
4.58% to 6.85%832.42%98.07%
6.85% to 9.13%381.11%99.18%
Greater than 9.13%280.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.00%3.06% 82.27%68.27%
±2σ -6.03%6.09% 95.68%95.45%
±3σ -9.06%9.13% 98.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 119.44 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.15%00.00%0.00%
-5.15% to -2.92%00.00%0.00%
-2.92% to -0.68%00.00%0.00%
-0.68% to 1.56%1845.37%5.37%
1.56% to 3.80%207360.54%65.92%
3.80% to 6.03%79323.16%89.08%
6.03% to 8.27%2196.40%95.47%
8.27% to 10.51%661.93%97.40%
10.51% to 12.74%401.17%98.57%
Greater than 12.74%491.43%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.81%6.78% 91.82%68.27%
±2σ -2.17%9.76% 96.90%95.45%
±3σ -5.15%12.74% 98.57%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.14. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.68 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.17%150.44%0.44%
-8.17% to -6.10%351.02%1.46%
-6.10% to -4.02%912.66%4.12%
-4.02% to -1.95%37210.86%14.98%
-1.95% to 0.12%124436.33%51.31%
0.12% to 2.19%116634.05%85.37%
2.19% to 4.26%37110.84%96.20%
4.26% to 6.34%712.07%98.28%
6.34% to 8.41%250.73%99.01%
Greater than 8.41%340.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.64%2.88% 81.54%68.27%
±2σ -5.41%5.65% 95.97%95.45%
±3σ -8.17%8.41% 98.57%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.57. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.53 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.26%60.85%0.85%
-19.26% to -14.41%91.27%2.11%
-14.41% to -9.56%172.39%4.51%
-9.56% to -4.71%8712.25%16.76%
-4.71% to 0.14%24634.65%51.41%
0.14% to 4.99%23132.54%83.94%
4.99% to 9.84%669.30%93.24%
9.84% to 14.69%375.21%98.45%
14.69% to 19.54%60.85%99.30%
Greater than 19.54%50.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.33%6.60% 79.44%68.27%
±2σ -12.79%13.07% 94.51%95.45%
±3σ -19.26%19.54% 98.45%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 34.20 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.14%00.00%0.00%
-13.14% to -7.49%00.00%0.00%
-7.49% to -1.83%00.00%0.00%
-1.83% to 3.82%537.45%7.45%
3.82% to 9.47%42459.63%67.09%
9.47% to 15.12%15121.24%88.33%
15.12% to 20.77%456.33%94.66%
20.77% to 26.43%182.53%97.19%
26.43% to 32.08%60.84%98.03%
Greater than 32.08%141.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.93%17.00% 91.70%68.27%
±2σ -5.60%24.54% 96.62%95.45%
±3σ -13.14%32.08% 98.03%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 36.78 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.21%00.00%0.00%
-21.21% to -15.80%30.42%0.42%
-15.80% to -10.40%233.23%3.66%
-10.40% to -5.00%7911.11%14.77%
-5.00% to 0.41%27037.97%52.74%
0.41% to 5.81%25235.44%88.19%
5.81% to 11.21%567.88%96.06%
11.21% to 16.62%172.39%98.45%
16.62% to 22.02%30.42%98.87%
Greater than 22.02%81.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.80%7.61% 82.98%68.27%
±2σ -14.00%14.82% 97.05%95.45%
±3σ -21.21%22.02% 98.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.94%10.61%0.61%
-37.94% to -28.34%00.00%0.61%
-28.34% to -18.73%31.84%2.45%
-18.73% to -9.12%2515.34%17.79%
-9.12% to 0.49%6238.04%55.83%
0.49% to 10.10%4628.22%84.05%
10.10% to 19.71%137.98%92.02%
19.71% to 29.32%116.75%98.77%
29.32% to 38.92%10.61%99.39%
Greater than 38.92%10.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.32%13.30% 77.30%68.27%
±2σ -25.13%26.11% 96.93%95.45%
±3σ -37.94%38.92% 98.77%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 8.57. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 87.08 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.01%00.00%0.00%
-58.01% to -37.85%00.00%0.00%
-37.85% to -17.69%00.00%0.00%
-17.69% to 2.47%00.00%0.00%
2.47% to 22.64%11570.12%70.12%
22.64% to 42.80%4225.61%95.73%
42.80% to 62.96%42.44%98.17%
62.96% to 83.12%10.61%98.78%
83.12% to 103.28%00.00%98.78%
Greater than 103.28%21.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.25%49.52% 98.17%68.27%
±2σ -31.13%76.40% 98.78%95.45%
±3σ -58.01%103.28% 98.78%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 46.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -47.13%00.00%0.00%
-47.13% to -34.94%10.61%0.61%
-34.94% to -22.75%10.61%1.22%
-22.75% to -10.56%2314.02%15.24%
-10.56% to 1.63%6237.80%53.05%
1.63% to 13.82%6036.59%89.63%
13.82% to 26.01%137.93%97.56%
26.01% to 38.20%31.83%99.39%
38.20% to 50.39%00.00%99.39%
Greater than 50.39%10.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.62%17.89% 84.15%68.27%
±2σ -30.87%34.14% 98.78%95.45%
±3σ -47.13%50.39% 99.39%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.67 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -55.95%00.00%0.00%
-55.95% to -41.82%00.00%0.00%
-41.82% to -27.70%23.70%3.70%
-27.70% to -13.57%1018.52%22.22%
-13.57% to 0.55%1629.63%51.85%
0.55% to 14.68%1425.93%77.78%
14.68% to 28.80%814.81%92.59%
28.80% to 42.92%23.70%96.30%
42.92% to 57.05%23.70%100.00%
Greater than 57.05%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.28%19.38% 70.37%68.27%
±2σ -37.11%38.22% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -55.95%57.05% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.25. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 42.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -122.46%00.00%0.00%
-122.46% to -81.16%00.00%0.00%
-81.16% to -39.87%00.00%0.00%
-39.87% to 1.43%00.00%0.00%
1.43% to 42.72%4174.55%74.55%
42.72% to 84.02%1120.00%94.55%
84.02% to 125.31%23.64%98.18%
125.31% to 166.61%00.00%98.18%
166.61% to 207.90%00.00%98.18%
Greater than 207.90%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.34%97.78% 96.36%68.27%
±2σ -67.40%152.84% 98.18%95.45%
±3σ -122.46%207.90% 98.18%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.98. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.16 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -57.31%00.00%0.00%
-57.31% to -42.13%00.00%0.00%
-42.13% to -26.95%23.64%3.64%
-26.95% to -11.76%1120.00%23.64%
-11.76% to 3.42%1832.73%56.36%
3.42% to 18.60%1323.64%80.00%
18.60% to 33.78%814.55%94.55%
33.78% to 48.97%11.82%96.36%
48.97% to 64.15%11.82%98.18%
Greater than 64.15%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.82%23.66% 72.73%68.27%
±2σ -37.07%43.91% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -57.31%64.15% 98.18%99.73%