BLMN 深度分析报告

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | 分类: Equity Micro Cap | 年化股息率: 7.04% ($0.45) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2012-08-01 → 2026-04-01 (165 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 3.04% 2.98% 2.77% 4.39% 4.57% 4.50% 5.86 6.42 5.59 6.72
周度 6.48% 7.52% 7.21% 10.12% 10.06% 9.91% 5.54 6.78 5.01 7.50
月度 12.83% 26.81% 16.25% 20.89% 20.94% 20.64% 4.97 7.56 4.03 9.32
季度 18.81% 55.05% 20.25% 31.18% 36.28% 35.74% 4.26 8.81 2.97 12.66
Annual 72.55% 71.48% 2.97 12.66 1.44 26.16
Option Time Horizon 27.65% 27.24% 4.65 8.08 3.53 10.66
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:47 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $6.13  |  Strike (K): $7.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $0.2500 (Bid $0.2000 / Ask $0.3000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 7.04%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 72.55% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 73.36% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 71.48% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-08-19 $0.1500
2025-05-20 $0.1500
2025-03-11 $0.1500
2024-11-25 $0.2400
2024-08-20 $0.2400
2024-05-17 $0.2400
2024-03-05 $0.2400
2023-11-13 $0.2400
2023-08-11 $0.2400
2023-05-09 $0.2400
2023-02-28 $0.2400
2022-11-08 $0.1400
2022-08-09 $0.1400
2022-05-10 $0.1400
2022-03-01 $0.1400
2020-02-27 $0.2000
2019-11-15 $0.1000
2019-08-09 $0.1000
2019-05-10 $0.1000
2019-02-22 $0.1000
2018-11-13 $0.0900
2018-08-08 $0.0900
2018-05-04 $0.0900
2018-03-02 $0.0900
2017-11-10 $0.0800
2017-08-07 $0.0800
2017-05-04 $0.0800
2017-02-23 $0.0800
2016-11-07 $0.0700
2016-08-08 $0.0700
2016-05-04 $0.0700
2016-02-25 $0.0700
2015-11-10 $0.0600
2015-08-14 $0.0600
2015-05-13 $0.0600
2015-03-02 $0.0600
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.28. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 15.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.07%320.93%0.93%
-9.07% to -6.79%180.52%1.45%
-6.79% to -4.52%752.18%3.63%
-4.52% to -2.24%38211.09%14.71%
-2.24% to 0.03%123135.72%50.44%
0.03% to 2.31%123135.72%86.16%
2.31% to 4.59%3249.40%95.56%
4.59% to 6.86%862.50%98.06%
6.86% to 9.14%381.10%99.16%
Greater than 9.14%290.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.00%3.07% 82.18%68.27%
±2σ -6.04%6.10% 95.68%95.45%
±3σ -9.07%9.14% 98.23%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 7.38. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 118.90 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.14%00.00%0.00%
-5.14% to -2.90%00.00%0.00%
-2.90% to -0.66%00.00%0.00%
-0.66% to 1.57%1955.66%5.66%
1.57% to 3.81%207660.23%65.88%
3.81% to 6.04%79823.15%89.03%
6.04% to 8.28%2226.44%95.47%
8.28% to 10.51%651.89%97.36%
10.51% to 12.75%421.22%98.58%
Greater than 12.75%491.42%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.83%6.79% 91.79%68.27%
±2σ -2.15%9.77% 96.87%95.45%
±3σ -5.14%12.75% 98.58%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.11. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 22.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.18%160.46%0.46%
-8.18% to -6.11%351.02%1.48%
-6.11% to -4.03%922.67%4.15%
-4.03% to -1.96%37610.91%15.06%
-1.96% to 0.12%124936.23%51.29%
0.12% to 2.19%117334.03%85.32%
2.19% to 4.26%37410.85%96.17%
4.26% to 6.34%732.12%98.29%
6.34% to 8.41%250.73%99.01%
Greater than 8.41%340.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.65%2.88% 81.43%68.27%
±2σ -5.42%5.65% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -8.18%8.41% 98.55%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (负向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of -0.56. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.30%60.84%0.84%
-19.30% to -14.43%91.26%2.10%
-14.43% to -9.57%172.38%4.48%
-9.57% to -4.71%8812.31%16.78%
-4.71% to 0.15%24834.69%51.47%
0.15% to 5.01%23232.45%83.92%
5.01% to 9.87%679.37%93.29%
9.87% to 14.74%375.17%98.46%
14.74% to 19.60%60.84%99.30%
Greater than 19.60%50.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.33%6.63% 79.30%68.27%
±2σ -12.81%13.12% 94.55%95.45%
±3σ -19.30%19.60% 98.46%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.55. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 34.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.06%00.00%0.00%
-13.06% to -7.42%00.00%0.00%
-7.42% to -1.78%00.00%0.00%
-1.78% to 3.86%567.82%7.82%
3.86% to 9.49%42158.80%66.62%
9.49% to 15.13%15521.65%88.27%
15.13% to 20.77%466.42%94.69%
20.77% to 26.41%182.51%97.21%
26.41% to 32.05%60.84%98.04%
Greater than 32.05%141.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.98%17.01% 91.76%68.27%
±2σ -5.54%24.53% 96.65%95.45%
±3σ -13.06%32.05% 98.04%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.68. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 36.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.23%00.00%0.00%
-21.23% to -15.83%30.42%0.42%
-15.83% to -10.42%243.35%3.77%
-10.42% to -5.01%8011.17%14.94%
-5.01% to 0.39%27037.71%52.65%
0.39% to 5.80%25435.47%88.13%
5.80% to 11.21%577.96%96.09%
11.21% to 16.61%172.37%98.46%
16.61% to 22.02%30.42%98.88%
Greater than 22.02%81.12%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.82%7.60% 82.82%68.27%
±2σ -14.03%14.81% 97.07%95.45%
±3σ -21.23%22.02% 98.88%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.74 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.94%10.61%0.61%
-37.94% to -28.32%00.00%0.61%
-28.32% to -18.69%31.83%2.44%
-18.69% to -9.07%2615.85%18.29%
-9.07% to 0.55%6137.20%55.49%
0.55% to 10.17%4628.05%83.54%
10.17% to 19.79%148.54%92.07%
19.79% to 29.41%116.71%98.78%
29.41% to 39.04%10.61%99.39%
Greater than 39.04%10.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.28%13.38% 76.83%68.27%
±2σ -25.11%26.21% 96.95%95.45%
±3σ -37.94%39.04% 98.78%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 8.58. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 87.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -57.72%00.00%0.00%
-57.72% to -37.61%00.00%0.00%
-37.61% to -17.50%00.00%0.00%
-17.50% to 2.61%00.00%0.00%
2.61% to 22.71%11569.70%69.70%
22.71% to 42.82%4326.06%95.76%
42.82% to 62.93%42.42%98.18%
62.93% to 83.04%10.61%98.79%
83.04% to 103.14%00.00%98.79%
Greater than 103.14%21.21%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.10%49.52% 98.18%68.27%
±2σ -30.91%76.33% 98.79%95.45%
±3σ -57.72%103.14% 98.79%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 46.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -47.16%00.00%0.00%
-47.16% to -34.98%10.61%0.61%
-34.98% to -22.79%10.61%1.21%
-22.79% to -10.61%2414.55%15.76%
-10.61% to 1.58%6136.97%52.73%
1.58% to 13.76%6136.97%89.70%
13.76% to 25.95%137.88%97.58%
25.95% to 38.13%31.82%99.39%
38.13% to 50.31%00.00%99.39%
Greater than 50.31%10.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.67%17.82% 84.24%68.27%
±2σ -30.92%34.07% 98.79%95.45%
±3σ -47.16%50.31% 99.39%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.46. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.68 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -55.70%00.00%0.00%
-55.70% to -41.60%00.00%0.00%
-41.60% to -27.49%23.70%3.70%
-27.49% to -13.39%1018.52%22.22%
-13.39% to 0.72%1527.78%50.00%
0.72% to 14.82%1527.78%77.78%
14.82% to 28.93%814.81%92.59%
28.93% to 43.03%23.70%96.30%
43.03% to 57.14%23.70%100.00%
Greater than 57.14%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.09%19.52% 70.37%68.27%
±2σ -36.90%38.33% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -55.70%57.14% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 6.25. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 42.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -122.32%00.00%0.00%
-122.32% to -81.03%00.00%0.00%
-81.03% to -39.75%00.00%0.00%
-39.75% to 1.54%00.00%0.00%
1.54% to 42.83%4174.55%74.55%
42.83% to 84.12%1120.00%94.55%
84.12% to 125.41%23.64%98.18%
125.41% to 166.70%00.00%98.18%
166.70% to 207.99%00.00%98.18%
Greater than 207.99%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.22%97.88% 96.36%68.27%
±2σ -67.27%152.94% 98.18%95.45%
±3σ -122.32%207.99% 98.18%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.01. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.20 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -57.49%00.00%0.00%
-57.49% to -42.31%00.00%0.00%
-42.31% to -27.12%23.64%3.64%
-27.12% to -11.94%1018.18%21.82%
-11.94% to 3.25%1832.73%54.55%
3.25% to 18.43%1425.45%80.00%
18.43% to 33.62%814.55%94.55%
33.62% to 48.80%11.82%96.36%
48.80% to 63.99%11.82%98.18%
Greater than 63.99%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.00%23.50% 70.91%68.27%
±2σ -37.24%43.74% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -57.49%63.99% 98.18%99.73%