BLMN Deep Analytical Report

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | Category: Equity Micro Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 10.39% ($0.69) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2012-08-01 → 2026-02-01 (163 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.03% 2.97% 2.75% 4.33% 4.23% 4.08% 6.20 6.75 5.94 7.04
Weekly 6.48% 7.53% 7.22% 10.01% 9.32% 8.99% 5.89 7.10 5.37 7.80
Monthly 12.84% 26.96% 16.31% 20.68% 19.41% 18.72% 5.33 7.86 4.39 9.54
Quarterly 18.83% 55.10% 20.28% 30.63% 33.61% 32.42% 4.62 9.05 3.30 12.67
Annual 67.23% 64.84% 3.30 12.67 1.69 24.82
Option Time Horizon 25.86% 24.94% 5.00 8.38 3.86 10.85
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:21 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $6.47  |  Strike (K): $7.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $0.3000 (Bid $0.2000 / Ask $0.4000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 10.39%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 67.23% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 67.83% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 64.84% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-08-19 $0.1500
2025-05-20 $0.1500
2025-03-11 $0.1500
2024-11-25 $0.2400
2024-08-20 $0.2400
2024-05-17 $0.2400
2024-03-05 $0.2400
2023-11-13 $0.2400
2023-08-11 $0.2400
2023-05-09 $0.2400
2023-02-28 $0.2400
2022-11-08 $0.1400
2022-08-09 $0.1400
2022-05-10 $0.1400
2022-03-01 $0.1400
2020-02-27 $0.2000
2019-11-15 $0.1000
2019-08-09 $0.1000
2019-05-10 $0.1000
2019-02-22 $0.1000
2018-11-13 $0.0900
2018-08-08 $0.0900
2018-05-04 $0.0900
2018-03-02 $0.0900
2017-11-10 $0.0800
2017-08-07 $0.0800
2017-05-04 $0.0800
2017-02-23 $0.0800
2016-11-07 $0.0700
2016-08-08 $0.0700
2016-05-04 $0.0700
2016-02-25 $0.0700
2015-11-10 $0.0600
2015-08-14 $0.0600
2015-05-13 $0.0600
2015-03-02 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.04%320.94%0.94%
-9.04% to -6.77%190.56%1.50%
-6.77% to -4.50%722.12%3.62%
-4.50% to -2.23%37010.88%14.49%
-2.23% to 0.04%122335.95%50.44%
0.04% to 2.30%121635.74%86.18%
2.30% to 4.57%3239.49%95.68%
4.57% to 6.84%812.38%98.06%
6.84% to 9.11%381.12%99.18%
Greater than 9.11%280.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.99%3.06% 82.48%68.27%
±2σ -6.02%6.09% 95.62%95.45%
±3σ -9.04%9.11% 98.24%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.53. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 122.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.14%00.00%0.00%
-5.14% to -2.91%00.00%0.00%
-2.91% to -0.68%00.00%0.00%
-0.68% to 1.55%1755.14%5.14%
1.55% to 3.77%206960.80%65.94%
3.77% to 6.00%79223.27%89.22%
6.00% to 8.23%2196.44%95.65%
8.23% to 10.46%611.79%97.44%
10.46% to 12.69%391.15%98.59%
Greater than 12.69%481.41%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.80%6.75% 91.98%68.27%
±2σ -2.17%9.72% 96.97%95.45%
±3σ -5.14%12.69% 98.59%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.13%160.47%0.47%
-8.13% to -6.07%330.97%1.44%
-6.07% to -4.01%892.62%4.06%
-4.01% to -1.95%37010.87%14.93%
-1.95% to 0.12%123836.38%51.31%
0.12% to 2.18%116434.21%85.51%
2.18% to 4.24%36410.70%96.21%
4.24% to 6.30%722.12%98.33%
6.30% to 8.36%230.68%99.00%
Greater than 8.36%341.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.63%2.87% 81.49%68.27%
±2σ -5.38%5.62% 96.03%95.45%
±3σ -8.13%8.36% 98.53%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.58. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.53 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.27%60.85%0.85%
-19.27% to -14.41%91.27%2.12%
-14.41% to -9.56%172.41%4.53%
-9.56% to -4.70%8612.18%16.71%
-4.70% to 0.16%24434.56%51.27%
0.16% to 5.01%23132.72%83.99%
5.01% to 9.87%669.35%93.34%
9.87% to 14.73%365.10%98.44%
14.73% to 19.59%60.85%99.29%
Greater than 19.59%50.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.32%6.63% 79.60%68.27%
±2σ -12.79%13.11% 94.62%95.45%
±3σ -19.27%19.59% 98.44%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 34.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.17%00.00%0.00%
-13.17% to -7.52%00.00%0.00%
-7.52% to -1.87%00.00%0.00%
-1.87% to 3.78%507.07%7.07%
3.78% to 9.43%42560.11%67.19%
9.43% to 15.08%15121.36%88.54%
15.08% to 20.73%446.22%94.77%
20.73% to 26.38%162.26%97.03%
26.38% to 32.03%70.99%98.02%
Greater than 32.03%141.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.90%16.96% 91.94%68.27%
±2σ -5.63%24.49% 96.61%95.45%
±3σ -13.17%32.03% 98.02%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 36.67 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.27%00.00%0.00%
-21.27% to -15.85%30.42%0.42%
-15.85% to -10.43%233.25%3.68%
-10.43% to -5.02%7911.17%14.85%
-5.02% to 0.40%26938.05%52.90%
0.40% to 5.81%24935.22%88.12%
5.81% to 11.23%567.92%96.04%
11.23% to 16.64%172.40%98.44%
16.64% to 22.06%30.42%98.87%
Greater than 22.06%81.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.82%7.62% 82.89%68.27%
±2σ -14.04%14.84% 97.03%95.45%
±3σ -21.27%22.06% 98.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.95%10.62%0.62%
-37.95% to -28.32%00.00%0.62%
-28.32% to -18.68%31.85%2.47%
-18.68% to -9.05%2515.43%17.90%
-9.05% to 0.58%6137.65%55.56%
0.58% to 10.21%4628.40%83.95%
10.21% to 19.85%138.02%91.98%
19.85% to 29.48%116.79%98.77%
29.48% to 39.11%10.62%99.38%
Greater than 39.11%10.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.26%13.43% 77.16%68.27%
±2σ -25.10%26.27% 96.91%95.45%
±3σ -37.95%39.11% 98.77%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 8.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 86.70 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.27%00.00%0.00%
-58.27% to -38.05%00.00%0.00%
-38.05% to -17.84%00.00%0.00%
-17.84% to 2.38%00.00%0.00%
2.38% to 22.60%11570.55%70.55%
22.60% to 42.82%4125.15%95.71%
42.82% to 63.04%42.45%98.16%
63.04% to 83.25%10.61%98.77%
83.25% to 103.47%00.00%98.77%
Greater than 103.47%21.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.36%49.56% 98.16%68.27%
±2σ -31.31%76.51% 98.77%95.45%
±3σ -58.27%103.47% 98.77%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 46.08 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -47.36%00.00%0.00%
-47.36% to -35.13%10.61%0.61%
-35.13% to -22.90%10.61%1.23%
-22.90% to -10.66%2213.50%14.72%
-10.66% to 1.57%6238.04%52.76%
1.57% to 13.80%6036.81%89.57%
13.80% to 26.03%137.98%97.55%
26.03% to 38.27%31.84%99.39%
38.27% to 50.50%00.00%99.39%
Greater than 50.50%10.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.74%17.88% 84.05%68.27%
±2σ -31.05%34.19% 98.77%95.45%
±3σ -47.36%50.50% 99.39%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.44. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.65 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -55.67%00.00%0.00%
-55.67% to -41.55%00.00%0.00%
-41.55% to -27.43%23.70%3.70%
-27.43% to -13.30%1018.52%22.22%
-13.30% to 0.82%1527.78%50.00%
0.82% to 14.94%1527.78%77.78%
14.94% to 29.07%814.81%92.59%
29.07% to 43.19%23.70%96.30%
43.19% to 57.31%23.70%100.00%
Greater than 57.31%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.01%19.65% 70.37%68.27%
±2σ -36.84%38.48% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -55.67%57.31% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.25. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 42.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -122.77%00.00%0.00%
-122.77% to -81.44%00.00%0.00%
-81.44% to -40.11%00.00%0.00%
-40.11% to 1.21%00.00%0.00%
1.21% to 42.54%4072.73%72.73%
42.54% to 83.86%1221.82%94.55%
83.86% to 125.19%23.64%98.18%
125.19% to 166.51%00.00%98.18%
166.51% to 207.84%00.00%98.18%
Greater than 207.84%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.56%97.64% 96.36%68.27%
±2σ -67.66%152.74% 98.18%95.45%
±3σ -122.77%207.84% 98.18%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.02. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.18 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -57.69%00.00%0.00%
-57.69% to -42.48%00.00%0.00%
-42.48% to -27.27%23.64%3.64%
-27.27% to -12.06%916.36%20.00%
-12.06% to 3.15%1934.55%54.55%
3.15% to 18.37%1425.45%80.00%
18.37% to 33.58%814.55%94.55%
33.58% to 48.79%11.82%96.36%
48.79% to 64.00%11.82%98.18%
Greater than 64.00%11.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.13%23.44% 70.91%68.27%
±2σ -37.41%43.72% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -57.69%64.00% 98.18%99.73%