CAKE Deep Analytical Report

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | Category: Equity Small Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.89% ($1.08) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1992-09-01 → 2026-03-01 (403 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.68% 2.41% 2.42% 3.68% 2.79% 3.07% 55.13 58.30 53.61 59.95
Weekly 5.78% 5.93% 5.78% 8.38% 6.15% 6.76% 53.31 60.29 50.13 64.11
Monthly 10.82% 13.55% 11.78% 16.88% 12.80% 14.07% 49.88 64.43 43.88 73.23
Quarterly 18.84% 26.64% 18.04% 28.48% 22.17% 24.37% 45.42 70.76 36.38 88.33
Annual 44.35% 48.73% 36.38 88.33 23.35 137.62
Option Time Horizon 16.74% 18.39% 47.95 67.02 40.56 79.23
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:37 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $56.69  |  Strike (K): $60.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.5250 (Bid $2.1500 / Ask $2.9000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.89%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 44.35% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 44.60% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 48.73% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-04 $0.3000
2025-11-10 $0.2700
2025-08-12 $0.2700
2025-05-14 $0.2700
2025-03-05 $0.2700
2024-11-13 $0.2700
2024-08-14 $0.2700
2024-05-21 $0.2700
2024-03-05 $0.2700
2023-11-14 $0.2700
2023-08-15 $0.2700
2023-05-23 $0.2700
2023-03-07 $0.2700
2022-11-14 $0.2700
2022-08-09 $0.2700
2022-05-10 $0.2700
2020-03-06 $0.3600
2019-11-08 $0.3600
2019-08-13 $0.3600
2019-05-15 $0.3300
2019-03-01 $0.3300
2018-11-13 $0.3300
2018-08-14 $0.3300
2018-05-09 $0.2900
2018-02-27 $0.2900
2017-11-14 $0.2900
2017-08-14 $0.2900
2017-05-15 $0.2400
2017-03-06 $0.2400
2016-11-07 $0.2400
2016-08-08 $0.2400
2016-05-09 $0.2000
2016-02-26 $0.2000
2015-11-05 $0.2000
2015-08-03 $0.2000
2015-05-04 $0.1650
2015-02-23 $0.1650
2014-11-03 $0.1650
2014-08-04 $0.1650
2014-05-05 $0.1400
2014-02-24 $0.1400
2013-11-04 $0.1400
2013-08-05 $0.1400
2013-05-06 $0.1200
2013-03-04 $0.1200
2012-11-05 $0.1200
2012-08-06 $0.1200
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.15. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.97%520.62%0.62%
-7.97% to -5.96%851.01%1.62%
-5.96% to -3.95%2723.23%4.85%
-3.95% to -1.94%94411.19%16.04%
-1.94% to 0.07%309136.65%52.69%
0.07% to 2.08%266631.61%84.30%
2.08% to 4.09%86010.20%94.50%
4.09% to 6.10%2793.31%97.81%
6.10% to 8.12%991.17%98.98%
Greater than 8.12%861.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.61%2.75% 78.27%68.27%
±2σ -5.29%5.43% 94.87%95.45%
±3σ -7.97%8.11% 98.36%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.48. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 27.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.76%00.00%0.00%
-3.76% to -1.95%00.00%0.00%
-1.95% to -0.14%00.00%0.00%
-0.14% to 1.67%140016.60%16.60%
1.67% to 3.48%394946.82%63.41%
3.48% to 5.29%181421.51%84.92%
5.29% to 7.10%7178.50%93.42%
7.10% to 8.91%2963.51%96.93%
8.91% to 10.72%1161.38%98.30%
Greater than 10.72%1431.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.07%5.90% 85.80%68.27%
±2σ -1.35%8.31% 95.87%95.45%
±3σ -3.76%10.73% 98.30%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.20. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.25%630.75%0.75%
-7.25% to -5.43%1141.35%2.10%
-5.43% to -3.62%2983.53%5.63%
-3.62% to -1.81%90010.67%16.30%
-1.81% to 0.01%298235.35%51.65%
0.01% to 1.82%264931.40%83.06%
1.82% to 3.63%97411.55%94.61%
3.63% to 5.44%3023.58%98.19%
5.44% to 7.26%941.11%99.30%
Greater than 7.26%590.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.41%2.42% 77.19%68.27%
±2σ -4.83%4.84% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -7.25%7.26% 98.55%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.77 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.00%90.51%0.51%
-17.00% to -12.66%160.92%1.43%
-12.66% to -8.33%502.86%4.29%
-8.33% to -3.99%23813.62%17.91%
-3.99% to 0.34%60234.44%52.35%
0.34% to 4.67%54731.29%83.64%
4.67% to 9.01%20211.56%95.19%
9.01% to 13.34%452.57%97.77%
13.34% to 17.67%211.20%98.97%
Greater than 17.67%181.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.44%6.12% 76.66%68.27%
±2σ -11.22%11.89% 95.02%95.45%
±3σ -17.00%17.67% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.43. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.41 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.23%00.00%0.00%
-9.23% to -4.78%00.00%0.00%
-4.78% to -0.34%00.00%0.00%
-0.34% to 4.11%30317.32%17.32%
4.11% to 8.56%78544.88%62.21%
8.56% to 13.01%39322.47%84.68%
13.01% to 17.45%1589.03%93.71%
17.45% to 21.90%593.37%97.08%
21.90% to 26.35%201.14%98.23%
Greater than 26.35%311.77%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.63%14.49% 85.08%68.27%
±2σ -3.30%20.42% 96.28%95.45%
±3σ -9.23%26.35% 98.23%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.37 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.30%110.63%0.63%
-17.30% to -12.96%140.80%1.43%
-12.96% to -8.62%432.46%3.89%
-8.62% to -4.29%22712.98%16.87%
-4.29% to 0.05%58733.56%50.43%
0.05% to 4.39%58833.62%84.05%
4.39% to 8.72%19711.26%95.31%
8.72% to 13.06%492.80%98.11%
13.06% to 17.40%191.09%99.20%
Greater than 17.40%140.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.73%5.83% 77.36%68.27%
±2σ -11.51%11.61% 95.08%95.45%
±3σ -17.30%17.40% 98.57%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.31. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.11%20.50%0.50%
-31.11% to -22.99%10.25%0.75%
-22.99% to -14.87%163.98%4.73%
-14.87% to -6.75%6215.42%20.15%
-6.75% to 1.36%12731.59%51.74%
1.36% to 9.48%12230.35%82.09%
9.48% to 17.59%4410.95%93.03%
17.59% to 25.71%204.98%98.01%
25.71% to 33.83%30.75%98.76%
Greater than 33.83%51.24%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.46%12.18% 76.37%68.27%
±2σ -20.28%23.00% 94.78%95.45%
±3σ -31.10%33.83% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.11. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 29.06 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.48%00.00%0.00%
-21.48% to -11.31%00.00%0.00%
-11.31% to -1.15%00.00%0.00%
-1.15% to 9.01%5212.90%12.90%
9.01% to 19.17%20250.12%63.03%
19.17% to 29.33%9824.32%87.34%
29.33% to 39.49%317.69%95.04%
39.49% to 49.65%92.23%97.27%
49.65% to 59.81%30.74%98.01%
Greater than 59.81%81.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.62%32.72% 89.58%68.27%
±2σ -7.93%46.26% 97.27%95.45%
±3σ -21.48%59.81% 98.01%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.45. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.61 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.38%10.25%0.25%
-35.38% to -26.55%40.99%1.24%
-26.55% to -17.71%102.48%3.72%
-17.71% to -8.88%4912.16%15.88%
-8.88% to -0.04%14836.72%52.61%
-0.04% to 8.80%12831.76%84.37%
8.80% to 17.63%4210.42%94.79%
17.63% to 26.47%153.72%98.51%
26.47% to 35.30%40.99%99.50%
Greater than 35.30%20.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.82%11.74% 80.40%68.27%
±2σ -23.60%23.52% 95.78%95.45%
±3σ -35.38%35.30% 99.26%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.03. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.55%00.00%0.00%
-52.55% to -38.42%10.75%0.75%
-38.42% to -24.29%64.48%5.22%
-24.29% to -10.15%2014.93%20.15%
-10.15% to 3.98%4533.58%53.73%
3.98% to 18.11%3626.87%80.60%
18.11% to 32.24%1914.18%94.78%
32.24% to 46.38%53.73%98.51%
46.38% to 60.51%10.75%99.25%
Greater than 60.51%10.75%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.87%22.82% 75.37%68.27%
±2σ -33.71%41.66% 94.03%95.45%
±3σ -52.55%60.51% 99.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.52%00.00%0.00%
-44.52% to -24.54%00.00%0.00%
-24.54% to -4.55%00.00%0.00%
-4.55% to 15.43%1712.59%12.59%
15.43% to 35.41%6850.37%62.96%
35.41% to 55.39%3626.67%89.63%
55.39% to 75.37%85.93%95.56%
75.37% to 95.35%10.74%96.30%
95.35% to 115.33%10.74%97.04%
Greater than 115.33%42.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.77%62.05% 94.81%68.27%
±2σ -17.88%88.69% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -44.52%115.33% 97.04%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.04. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.96 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.65%00.00%0.00%
-54.65% to -41.12%10.74%0.74%
-41.12% to -27.59%42.96%3.70%
-27.59% to -14.05%2216.30%20.00%
-14.05% to -0.52%4331.85%51.85%
-0.52% to 13.01%4331.85%83.70%
13.01% to 26.54%128.89%92.59%
26.54% to 40.07%75.19%97.78%
40.07% to 53.60%00.00%97.78%
Greater than 53.60%32.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.57%17.52% 77.04%68.27%
±2σ -36.61%35.56% 94.81%95.45%
±3σ -54.65%53.60% 97.78%99.73%