CAKE Deep Analytical Report

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.73% ($1.08) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1992-09-01 → 2026-02-01 (402 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.68% 2.42% 2.42% 3.70% 2.12% 2.33% 62.21 64.90 60.90 66.30
Weekly 5.78% 5.93% 5.79% 8.43% 4.67% 5.14% 60.64 66.58 57.87 69.77
Monthly 10.81% 13.57% 11.78% 16.93% 9.73% 10.69% 57.65 70.03 52.30 77.19
Quarterly 18.84% 26.67% 18.05% 28.22% 16.85% 18.52% 53.69 75.20 45.36 89.01
Annual 33.70% 37.04% 45.36 89.01 32.38 124.68
Option Time Horizon 12.96% 14.25% 55.81 72.34 49.03 82.35
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:21 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $63.54  |  Strike (K): $65.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.7500 (Bid $2.5000 / Ask $3.0000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.73%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 33.70% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 34.08% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 37.04% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-11-10 $0.2700
2025-08-12 $0.2700
2025-05-14 $0.2700
2025-03-05 $0.2700
2024-11-13 $0.2700
2024-08-14 $0.2700
2024-05-21 $0.2700
2024-03-05 $0.2700
2023-11-14 $0.2700
2023-08-15 $0.2700
2023-05-23 $0.2700
2023-03-07 $0.2700
2022-11-14 $0.2700
2022-08-09 $0.2700
2022-05-10 $0.2700
2020-03-06 $0.3600
2019-11-08 $0.3600
2019-08-13 $0.3600
2019-05-15 $0.3300
2019-03-01 $0.3300
2018-11-13 $0.3300
2018-08-14 $0.3300
2018-05-09 $0.2900
2018-02-27 $0.2900
2017-11-14 $0.2900
2017-08-14 $0.2900
2017-05-15 $0.2400
2017-03-06 $0.2400
2016-11-07 $0.2400
2016-08-08 $0.2400
2016-05-09 $0.2000
2016-02-26 $0.2000
2015-11-05 $0.2000
2015-08-03 $0.2000
2015-05-04 $0.1650
2015-02-23 $0.1650
2014-11-03 $0.1650
2014-08-04 $0.1650
2014-05-05 $0.1400
2014-02-24 $0.1400
2013-11-04 $0.1400
2013-08-05 $0.1400
2013-05-06 $0.1200
2013-03-04 $0.1200
2012-11-05 $0.1200
2012-08-06 $0.1200
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.15. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.97%520.62%0.62%
-7.97% to -5.96%841.00%1.62%
-5.96% to -3.95%2723.23%4.85%
-3.95% to -1.94%94011.17%16.02%
-1.94% to 0.07%308636.68%52.70%
0.07% to 2.08%266131.63%84.33%
2.08% to 4.10%85410.15%94.48%
4.10% to 6.11%2813.34%97.82%
6.11% to 8.12%971.15%98.98%
Greater than 8.12%861.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.61%2.75% 78.27%68.27%
±2σ -5.29%5.44% 94.87%95.45%
±3σ -7.97%8.12% 98.36%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.48. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 27.83 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.77%00.00%0.00%
-3.77% to -1.95%00.00%0.00%
-1.95% to -0.14%00.00%0.00%
-0.14% to 1.67%139516.58%16.58%
1.67% to 3.48%394146.84%63.42%
3.48% to 5.29%180921.50%84.92%
5.29% to 7.11%7168.51%93.43%
7.11% to 8.92%2943.49%96.92%
8.92% to 10.73%1161.38%98.30%
Greater than 10.73%1431.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.07%5.90% 85.80%68.27%
±2σ -1.35%8.31% 95.86%95.45%
±3σ -3.77%10.73% 98.30%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.20. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.44 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.25%630.75%0.75%
-7.25% to -5.43%1141.35%2.10%
-5.43% to -3.62%2973.53%5.63%
-3.62% to -1.81%89710.66%16.29%
-1.81% to 0.01%297535.36%51.65%
0.01% to 1.82%264431.42%83.08%
1.82% to 3.63%97011.53%94.60%
3.63% to 5.44%3013.58%98.18%
5.44% to 7.26%941.12%99.30%
Greater than 7.26%590.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.41%2.42% 77.20%68.27%
±2σ -4.83%4.84% 94.66%95.45%
±3σ -7.25%7.26% 98.55%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.77 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.00%90.52%0.52%
-17.00% to -12.66%160.92%1.43%
-12.66% to -8.33%502.87%4.30%
-8.33% to -3.99%23613.53%17.83%
-3.99% to 0.35%60134.46%52.29%
0.35% to 4.68%54731.36%83.66%
4.68% to 9.02%20111.53%95.18%
9.02% to 13.35%452.58%97.76%
13.35% to 17.69%211.20%98.97%
Greater than 17.69%181.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.43%6.13% 76.66%68.27%
±2σ -11.22%11.91% 95.01%95.45%
±3σ -17.00%17.69% 98.45%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.36 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.25%00.00%0.00%
-9.25% to -4.80%00.00%0.00%
-4.80% to -0.34%00.00%0.00%
-0.34% to 4.11%30117.25%17.25%
4.11% to 8.56%78544.99%62.23%
8.56% to 13.01%39122.41%84.64%
13.01% to 17.46%1589.05%93.70%
17.46% to 21.91%593.38%97.08%
21.91% to 26.36%201.15%98.22%
Greater than 26.36%311.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.62%14.49% 85.04%68.27%
±2σ -3.31%20.43% 96.28%95.45%
±3σ -9.25%26.36% 98.22%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.37 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.31%110.63%0.63%
-17.31% to -12.97%140.80%1.43%
-12.97% to -8.63%432.46%3.90%
-8.63% to -4.29%22713.01%16.91%
-4.29% to 0.04%58533.52%50.43%
0.04% to 4.38%58833.70%84.13%
4.38% to 8.72%19511.17%95.30%
8.72% to 13.06%492.81%98.11%
13.06% to 17.40%191.09%99.20%
Greater than 17.40%140.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.74%5.83% 77.31%68.27%
±2σ -11.53%11.62% 95.07%95.45%
±3σ -17.31%17.40% 98.57%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.04%20.50%0.50%
-31.04% to -22.93%10.25%0.75%
-22.93% to -14.83%163.99%4.74%
-14.83% to -6.72%6115.21%19.95%
-6.72% to 1.39%12932.17%52.12%
1.39% to 9.50%12029.93%82.04%
9.50% to 17.61%4410.97%93.02%
17.61% to 25.71%204.99%98.00%
25.71% to 33.82%30.75%98.75%
Greater than 33.82%51.25%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.42%12.20% 76.31%68.27%
±2σ -20.23%23.01% 94.76%95.45%
±3σ -31.04%33.82% 98.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.53%00.00%0.00%
-21.53% to -11.36%00.00%0.00%
-11.36% to -1.18%00.00%0.00%
-1.18% to 8.99%5212.94%12.94%
8.99% to 19.17%20150.00%62.94%
19.17% to 29.34%9824.38%87.31%
29.34% to 39.52%317.71%95.02%
39.52% to 49.69%92.24%97.26%
49.69% to 59.87%30.75%98.01%
Greater than 59.87%81.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.60%32.73% 89.55%68.27%
±2σ -7.96%46.30% 97.26%95.45%
±3σ -21.53%59.87% 98.01%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.46. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.40%10.25%0.25%
-35.40% to -26.56%41.00%1.24%
-26.56% to -17.73%102.49%3.73%
-17.73% to -8.90%4811.94%15.67%
-8.90% to -0.07%14937.06%52.74%
-0.07% to 8.77%12831.84%84.58%
8.77% to 17.60%4110.20%94.78%
17.60% to 26.43%153.73%98.51%
26.43% to 35.27%41.00%99.50%
Greater than 35.27%20.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.84%11.71% 80.35%68.27%
±2σ -23.62%23.49% 95.77%95.45%
±3σ -35.40%35.27% 99.25%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.50 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.46%00.00%0.00%
-52.46% to -38.33%10.75%0.75%
-38.33% to -24.20%64.48%5.22%
-24.20% to -10.07%2014.93%20.15%
-10.07% to 4.07%4432.84%52.99%
4.07% to 18.20%3727.61%80.60%
18.20% to 32.33%1914.18%94.78%
32.33% to 46.46%53.73%98.51%
46.46% to 60.59%10.75%99.25%
Greater than 60.59%10.75%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.78%22.91% 74.63%68.27%
±2σ -33.62%41.75% 94.03%95.45%
±3σ -52.46%60.59% 99.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.65%00.00%0.00%
-44.65% to -24.65%00.00%0.00%
-24.65% to -4.64%00.00%0.00%
-4.64% to 15.36%1813.33%13.33%
15.36% to 35.36%6648.89%62.22%
35.36% to 55.37%3727.41%89.63%
55.37% to 75.37%85.93%95.56%
75.37% to 95.38%10.74%96.30%
95.38% to 115.38%10.74%97.04%
Greater than 115.38%42.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.69%62.03% 94.81%68.27%
±2σ -17.98%88.71% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -44.65%115.38% 97.04%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.05. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.96 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.76%00.00%0.00%
-54.76% to -41.22%10.74%0.74%
-41.22% to -27.68%42.96%3.70%
-27.68% to -14.14%2216.30%20.00%
-14.14% to -0.60%4432.59%52.59%
-0.60% to 12.93%4231.11%83.70%
12.93% to 26.47%128.89%92.59%
26.47% to 40.01%75.19%97.78%
40.01% to 53.55%00.00%97.78%
Greater than 53.55%32.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.66%17.45% 77.04%68.27%
±2σ -36.71%35.50% 94.81%95.45%
±3σ -54.76%53.55% 97.78%99.73%