CB Deep Analytical Report

Chubb Limited | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.18% ($3.82) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1993-03-01 → 2026-03-01 (397 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.94% 1.79% 1.74% 1.87% 1.65% 1.79% 322.08 332.91 316.80 338.46
Weekly 4.20% 4.60% 4.08% 4.27% 3.64% 3.94% 315.75 339.59 304.46 352.18
Monthly 6.91% 10.09% 6.91% 9.02% 7.58% 8.21% 303.56 353.23 281.40 381.03
Quarterly 11.28% 19.07% 10.82% 14.24% 13.12% 14.22% 287.18 373.37 251.86 425.73
Annual 26.25% 28.44% 251.86 425.73 193.71 553.52
Option Time Horizon 9.91% 10.73% 296.56 361.55 268.59 399.21
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:34 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $327.45  |  Strike (K): $330.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $12.3000 (Bid $11.5000 / Ask $13.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.18%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 26.25% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 26.30% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 28.44% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-13 $0.9700
2025-06-13 $0.9700
2025-03-14 $0.9100
2024-12-13 $0.9100
2024-09-13 $0.9100
2024-06-14 $0.9100
2024-03-14 $0.8600
2023-12-14 $0.8600
2023-09-14 $0.8600
2023-06-15 $0.8600
2023-03-16 $0.8300
2022-12-15 $0.8300
2022-09-15 $0.8300
2022-06-16 $0.8300
2022-03-17 $0.8000
2021-12-16 $0.8000
2021-09-16 $0.8000
2021-06-17 $0.8000
2021-03-18 $0.7800
2020-12-17 $0.7800
2020-09-17 $0.7800
2020-06-18 $0.7800
2020-03-19 $0.7500
2019-12-19 $0.7500
2019-09-19 $0.7500
2019-06-20 $0.7500
2019-03-21 $0.7300
2018-12-20 $0.7300
2018-09-20 $0.7300
2018-06-21 $0.7300
2018-03-28 $0.7100
2017-12-28 $0.7100
2017-09-28 $0.7100
2017-06-28 $0.7100
2017-03-29 $0.6900
2016-12-28 $0.6900
2016-09-28 $0.6900
2016-06-28 $0.6900
2016-03-29 $0.6700
2015-12-29 $0.6700
2015-09-28 $0.6700
2015-06-26 $0.6700
2015-03-27 $0.6500
2014-12-15 $0.6500
2014-09-26 $0.6500
2014-07-21 $0.6500
2014-03-26 $0.6300
2014-01-13 $0.6300
2013-09-26 $0.5100
2013-07-19 $0.5100
2013-03-26 $0.4900
2012-12-13 $0.4900
2012-09-26 $0.4900
2012-07-27 $0.4900
2012-03-28 $0.4700
2012-01-10 $0.4700
2011-09-28 $0.3500
2011-06-28 $0.3500
2011-03-30 $0.3300
2010-12-14 $0.3300
2010-09-29 $0.3300
2010-07-23 $0.3300
2010-03-29 $0.3100
2009-12-15 $0.3100
2009-09-29 $0.3100
2009-07-24 $0.3100
2009-03-27 $0.2500
2009-01-06 $0.2700
2008-10-09 $0.2600
2008-06-26 $0.2900
2008-03-27 $0.2700
2007-12-27 $0.2700
2007-09-26 $0.2700
2007-06-27 $0.2700
2007-03-28 $0.2500
2006-12-27 $0.2500
2006-09-27 $0.2500
2006-06-28 $0.2500
2006-03-29 $0.2300
2005-12-28 $0.2300
2005-09-28 $0.2300
2005-06-28 $0.2300
2005-03-29 $0.2100
2004-12-29 $0.2100
2004-09-28 $0.2100
2004-06-28 $0.2100
2004-03-29 $0.1900
2003-12-29 $0.1900
2003-09-26 $0.1900
2003-06-26 $0.1900
2003-03-27 $0.1700
2002-12-24 $0.1700
2002-09-25 $0.1700
2002-06-26 $0.1700
2002-03-26 $0.1500
2001-12-27 $0.1500
2001-09-26 $0.1500
2001-06-27 $0.1500
2001-03-28 $0.1300
2000-12-27 $0.1300
2000-09-27 $0.1300
2000-06-28 $0.1300
2000-03-29 $0.1100
1999-12-29 $0.1100
1999-09-28 $0.1100
1999-06-28 $0.1100
1999-03-29 $0.0900
1998-12-11 $0.0900
1998-09-28 $0.0900
1998-06-26 $0.0900
1998-03-27 $0.0800
1997-12-10 $0.0800
1997-09-26 $0.0733
1997-06-26 $0.0733
1997-03-26 $0.0600
1996-12-27 $0.0600
1996-09-26 $0.0600
1996-06-12 $0.0600
1996-03-27 $0.0467
1995-12-27 $0.0467
1995-09-27 $0.0467
1995-06-28 $0.0467
1995-03-27 $0.0367
1994-12-23 $0.0367
1994-09-26 $0.0367
1994-06-24 $0.0367
1994-03-25 $0.0333
1993-12-27 $0.0333
1993-09-24 $0.0333
1993-09-02 $0.0767
1993-06-24 $0.0333
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.48. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 12.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.75%570.69%0.69%
-5.75% to -4.29%700.84%1.53%
-4.29% to -2.84%2402.90%4.43%
-2.84% to -1.39%85310.29%14.72%
-1.39% to 0.07%306136.92%51.64%
0.07% to 1.52%284534.32%85.96%
1.52% to 2.98%7519.06%95.02%
2.98% to 4.43%2452.96%97.97%
4.43% to 5.89%810.98%98.95%
Greater than 5.89%871.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.87%2.01% 80.18%68.27%
±2σ -3.81%3.95% 95.11%95.45%
±3σ -5.75%5.89% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.14%00.00%0.00%
-3.14% to -1.79%00.00%0.00%
-1.79% to -0.45%00.00%0.00%
-0.45% to 0.89%92611.17%11.17%
0.89% to 2.23%456155.01%66.18%
2.23% to 3.57%165119.91%86.09%
3.57% to 4.91%6057.30%93.39%
4.91% to 6.26%2613.15%96.54%
6.26% to 7.60%1191.44%97.97%
Greater than 7.60%1682.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.44%4.02% 88.47%68.27%
±2σ -1.35%5.81% 95.80%95.45%
±3σ -3.14%7.60% 97.97%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.29. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 12.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.20%820.99%0.99%
-5.20% to -3.90%841.01%2.00%
-3.90% to -2.60%2362.85%4.85%
-2.60% to -1.30%7929.55%14.40%
-1.30% to 0.00%309337.31%51.71%
0.00% to 1.30%277533.47%85.18%
1.30% to 2.60%8079.73%94.91%
2.60% to 3.90%2593.12%98.03%
3.90% to 5.21%981.18%99.22%
Greater than 5.21%650.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.73%1.74% 80.05%68.27%
±2σ -3.47%3.47% 94.77%95.45%
±3σ -5.20%5.21% 98.23%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.63. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.27%80.46%0.46%
-12.27% to -9.12%231.34%1.80%
-9.12% to -5.97%613.54%5.35%
-5.97% to -2.82%18210.58%15.92%
-2.82% to 0.33%61335.62%51.54%
0.33% to 3.48%57833.59%85.12%
3.48% to 6.63%1629.41%94.54%
6.63% to 9.78%482.79%97.33%
9.78% to 12.93%261.51%98.84%
Greater than 12.93%201.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.87%4.53% 78.73%68.27%
±2σ -8.07%8.73% 94.31%95.45%
±3σ -12.27%12.93% 98.37%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.90. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.13%00.00%0.00%
-8.13% to -4.68%00.00%0.00%
-4.68% to -1.23%00.00%0.00%
-1.23% to 2.23%1639.47%9.47%
2.23% to 5.68%98557.20%66.67%
5.68% to 9.13%33619.51%86.18%
9.13% to 12.59%1277.38%93.55%
12.59% to 16.04%603.48%97.04%
16.04% to 19.49%191.10%98.14%
Greater than 19.49%321.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.08%10.28% 88.68%68.27%
±2σ -3.53%14.89% 95.99%95.45%
±3σ -8.13%19.49% 98.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.35%170.99%0.99%
-12.35% to -9.29%201.16%2.15%
-9.29% to -6.22%523.02%5.17%
-6.22% to -3.16%1679.70%14.87%
-3.16% to -0.09%61935.95%50.81%
-0.09% to 2.97%58333.86%84.67%
2.97% to 6.03%1709.87%94.54%
6.03% to 9.10%583.37%97.91%
9.10% to 12.16%201.16%99.07%
Greater than 12.16%160.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.18%3.99% 78.75%68.27%
±2σ -8.26%8.08% 94.13%95.45%
±3σ -12.35%12.16% 98.08%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.89 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.43%41.01%1.01%
-19.43% to -14.25%41.01%2.02%
-14.25% to -9.07%82.02%4.04%
-9.07% to -3.89%6616.67%20.71%
-3.89% to 1.29%11428.79%49.49%
1.29% to 6.47%12732.07%81.57%
6.47% to 11.65%4812.12%93.69%
11.65% to 16.83%194.80%98.48%
16.83% to 22.01%20.51%98.99%
Greater than 22.01%41.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.62%8.20% 75.00%68.27%
±2σ -12.53%15.11% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -19.43%22.01% 97.98%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.37. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.54%00.00%0.00%
-17.54% to -9.97%00.00%0.00%
-9.97% to -2.40%00.00%0.00%
-2.40% to 5.16%369.07%9.07%
5.16% to 12.73%23659.45%68.51%
12.73% to 20.30%7318.39%86.90%
20.30% to 27.87%225.54%92.44%
27.87% to 35.44%174.28%96.73%
35.44% to 43.01%61.51%98.24%
Greater than 43.01%71.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.64%22.83% 89.67%68.27%
±2σ -7.45%32.92% 95.21%95.45%
±3σ -17.54%43.01% 98.24%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.62. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.61 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.33%20.50%0.50%
-21.33% to -16.14%30.76%1.26%
-16.14% to -10.96%164.03%5.29%
-10.96% to -5.78%5012.59%17.88%
-5.78% to -0.60%14336.02%53.90%
-0.60% to 4.58%10325.94%79.85%
4.58% to 9.76%6315.87%95.72%
9.76% to 14.95%51.26%96.98%
14.95% to 20.13%61.51%98.49%
Greater than 20.13%61.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.51%6.31% 75.82%68.27%
±2σ -14.42%13.22% 95.47%95.45%
±3σ -21.33%20.13% 97.98%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -30.04%00.00%0.00%
-30.04% to -21.57%43.03%3.03%
-21.57% to -13.11%43.03%6.06%
-13.11% to -4.65%129.09%15.15%
-4.65% to 3.81%4534.09%49.24%
3.81% to 12.28%4433.33%82.58%
12.28% to 20.74%1612.12%94.70%
20.74% to 29.20%32.27%96.97%
29.20% to 37.66%32.27%99.24%
Greater than 37.66%10.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.47%15.10% 80.30%68.27%
±2σ -18.75%26.38% 93.94%95.45%
±3σ -30.04%37.66% 99.24%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.87 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.92%00.00%0.00%
-33.92% to -19.62%00.00%0.00%
-19.62% to -5.32%00.00%0.00%
-5.32% to 8.98%86.02%6.02%
8.98% to 23.28%8563.91%69.92%
23.28% to 37.58%2418.05%87.97%
37.58% to 51.88%43.01%90.98%
51.88% to 66.18%75.26%96.24%
66.18% to 80.48%00.00%96.24%
Greater than 80.48%53.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.22%42.35% 89.47%68.27%
±2σ -14.85%61.41% 96.24%95.45%
±3σ -33.92%80.48% 96.24%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.97. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.20 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -34.44%00.00%0.00%
-34.44% to -26.32%21.50%1.50%
-26.32% to -18.21%32.26%3.76%
-18.21% to -10.09%1712.78%16.54%
-10.09% to -1.98%5037.59%54.14%
-1.98% to 6.14%4130.83%84.96%
6.14% to 14.25%118.27%93.23%
14.25% to 22.37%43.01%96.24%
22.37% to 30.48%21.50%97.74%
Greater than 30.48%32.26%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.80%8.84% 79.70%68.27%
±2σ -23.62%19.66% 92.48%95.45%
±3σ -34.44%30.48% 97.74%99.73%