CCL Deep Analytical Report

Carnival Corporation & plc | Category: Equity Large Cap | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1987-07-01 → 2026-03-01 (465 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.73% 2.42% 2.25% 4.63% 4.85% 3.51% 24.33 26.81 23.18 28.14
Weekly 5.89% 6.63% 5.92% 11.19% 10.67% 7.73% 22.96 28.41 20.63 31.61
Monthly 11.68% 19.80% 13.42% 24.73% 22.20% 16.08% 20.45 31.89 16.38 39.82
Quarterly 21.24% 43.38% 24.85% 46.74% 38.46% 27.86% 17.39 37.52 11.84 55.11
Annual 76.91% 55.71% 11.84 55.11 5.48 118.93
Option Time Horizon 29.03% 21.03% 19.10 34.14 14.29 45.64
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:42 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $25.54  |  Strike (K): $26.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $1.9750 (Bid $1.9500 / Ask $2.0000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 62.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 76.91% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 82.85% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 55.71% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-13 $0.1500
2020-02-20 $0.5000
2019-11-21 $0.5000
2019-08-22 $0.5000
2019-05-23 $0.5000
2019-02-21 $0.5000
2018-11-21 $0.5000
2018-08-23 $0.5000
2018-05-24 $0.5000
2018-02-22 $0.4500
2017-11-22 $0.4500
2017-08-23 $0.4000
2017-05-24 $0.4000
2017-02-22 $0.3500
2016-11-22 $0.3500
2016-08-24 $0.3500
2016-05-25 $0.3500
2016-02-17 $0.3000
2015-11-18 $0.3000
2015-08-19 $0.3000
2015-05-20 $0.2500
2015-02-18 $0.2500
2014-11-19 $0.2500
2014-08-20 $0.2500
2014-05-21 $0.2500
2014-02-19 $0.2500
2013-11-20 $0.2500
2013-08-21 $0.2500
2013-05-22 $0.2500
2013-02-20 $0.2500
2012-12-05 $0.5000
2012-11-20 $0.2500
2012-08-22 $0.2500
2012-05-23 $0.2500
2012-02-22 $0.2500
2011-11-22 $0.2500
2011-08-24 $0.2500
2011-05-18 $0.2500
2011-02-16 $0.2500
2010-11-17 $0.1000
2010-08-18 $0.1000
2010-05-19 $0.1000
2010-02-17 $0.1000
2008-11-19 $0.4000
2008-08-20 $0.4000
2008-05-21 $0.4000
2008-02-20 $0.4000
2007-11-20 $0.4000
2007-08-22 $0.3500
2007-05-16 $0.3500
2007-02-14 $0.2750
2006-11-15 $0.2750
2006-08-16 $0.2500
2006-05-17 $0.2500
2006-02-15 $0.2500
2005-11-16 $0.2500
2005-08-17 $0.2000
2005-05-18 $0.2000
2005-02-16 $0.1500
2004-11-17 $0.1500
2004-08-18 $0.1250
2004-05-19 $0.1250
2004-02-18 $0.1250
2003-11-19 $0.1250
2003-08-20 $0.1050
2003-05-21 $0.1050
2003-02-26 $0.1050
2002-11-26 $0.1050
2002-08-28 $0.1050
2002-05-29 $0.1050
2002-02-26 $0.1050
2001-11-28 $0.1050
2001-08-29 $0.1050
2001-05-29 $0.1050
2001-02-26 $0.1050
2000-11-28 $0.1050
2000-08-29 $0.1050
2000-05-26 $0.1050
2000-02-24 $0.1050
1999-11-26 $0.1050
1999-08-27 $0.0900
1999-05-26 $0.0900
1999-02-18 $0.0900
1998-11-25 $0.0900
1998-08-27 $0.0750
1998-05-27 $0.0750
1998-02-11 $0.0750
1997-11-25 $0.0750
1997-08-27 $0.0550
1997-05-28 $0.0550
1997-02-26 $0.0550
1996-11-25 $0.0550
1996-08-28 $0.0450
1996-05-29 $0.0450
1996-02-27 $0.0450
1995-11-28 $0.0450
1995-08-29 $0.0375
1995-05-24 $0.0375
1995-02-22 $0.0375
1994-11-23 $0.0375
1994-08-23 $0.0350
1994-05-24 $0.0350
1994-02-22 $0.0350
1993-11-23 $0.0350
1993-08-25 $0.0350
1993-05-24 $0.0350
1993-02-23 $0.0350
1992-11-23 $0.0350
1992-08-25 $0.0350
1992-05-26 $0.0350
1992-02-24 $0.0350
1991-11-22 $0.0325
1991-08-26 $0.0300
1991-05-24 $0.0300
1991-02-22 $0.0300
1990-11-26 $0.0300
1990-08-27 $0.0300
1990-05-24 $0.0300
1990-02-22 $0.0300
1989-11-24 $0.0250
1989-08-25 $0.0250
1989-05-24 $0.0250
1989-02-22 $0.0250
1988-12-09 $0.0550
1988-11-23 $0.0250
1988-08-25 $0.0250
1988-05-24 $0.0250
1988-02-23 $0.0250
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.13. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.12%590.61%0.61%
-8.12% to -6.07%900.92%1.53%
-6.07% to -4.03%2612.68%4.21%
-4.03% to -1.98%98210.09%14.30%
-1.98% to 0.06%376638.68%52.98%
0.06% to 2.11%319232.79%85.76%
2.11% to 4.16%9259.50%95.26%
4.16% to 6.20%2662.73%98.00%
6.20% to 8.25%1011.04%99.03%
Greater than 8.25%940.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.66%2.79% 81.05%68.27%
±2σ -5.39%5.52% 95.19%95.45%
±3σ -8.12%8.25% 98.43%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 56.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.34%00.00%0.00%
-4.34% to -2.52%00.00%0.00%
-2.52% to -0.71%00.00%0.00%
-0.71% to 1.11%109411.24%11.24%
1.11% to 2.93%521753.58%64.81%
2.93% to 4.75%208021.36%86.18%
4.75% to 6.57%7577.77%93.95%
6.57% to 8.38%2923.00%96.95%
8.38% to 10.20%1501.54%98.49%
Greater than 10.20%1471.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.50%5.35% 89.47%68.27%
±2σ -1.92%7.78% 96.09%95.45%
±3σ -4.34%10.20% 98.49%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.92. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.18 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.72%850.87%0.87%
-6.72% to -5.04%1021.05%1.92%
-5.04% to -3.35%2862.94%4.86%
-3.35% to -1.66%103510.63%15.49%
-1.66% to 0.02%354836.44%51.93%
0.02% to 1.71%317732.63%84.55%
1.71% to 3.40%102710.55%95.10%
3.40% to 5.08%2852.93%98.03%
5.08% to 6.77%1181.21%99.24%
Greater than 6.77%740.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.23%2.27% 79.52%68.27%
±2σ -4.48%4.52% 94.79%95.45%
±3σ -6.72%6.77% 98.37%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.05 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.37%190.94%0.94%
-17.37% to -12.95%150.74%1.69%
-12.95% to -8.53%592.93%4.61%
-8.53% to -4.12%22711.25%15.87%
-4.12% to 0.30%71835.60%51.46%
0.30% to 4.72%66232.82%84.28%
4.72% to 9.13%2009.92%94.20%
9.13% to 13.55%783.87%98.07%
13.55% to 17.97%211.04%99.11%
Greater than 17.97%180.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.59%6.19% 78.58%68.27%
±2σ -11.48%12.08% 94.84%95.45%
±3σ -17.37%17.97% 98.17%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.06 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.94%00.00%0.00%
-11.94% to -6.97%00.00%0.00%
-6.97% to -2.00%00.00%0.00%
-2.00% to 2.98%2019.96%9.96%
2.98% to 7.95%113456.19%66.15%
7.95% to 12.93%40620.12%86.27%
12.93% to 17.90%1537.58%93.86%
17.90% to 22.88%643.17%97.03%
22.88% to 27.85%311.54%98.56%
Greater than 27.85%291.44%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.32%14.59% 89.00%68.27%
±2σ -5.31%21.22% 96.18%95.45%
±3σ -11.94%27.85% 98.56%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.61%70.35%0.35%
-17.61% to -13.18%170.84%1.19%
-13.18% to -8.74%753.72%4.91%
-8.74% to -4.30%21210.51%15.41%
-4.30% to 0.13%75737.51%52.92%
0.13% to 4.57%66232.80%85.73%
4.57% to 9.00%1879.27%95.00%
9.00% to 13.44%572.82%97.82%
13.44% to 17.88%150.74%98.56%
Greater than 17.88%291.44%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.78%6.05% 80.48%68.27%
±2σ -11.70%11.96% 95.34%95.45%
±3σ -17.61%17.88% 98.22%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.19. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.77%40.86%0.86%
-33.77% to -25.01%61.29%2.16%
-25.01% to -16.25%143.02%5.17%
-16.25% to -7.50%5211.21%16.38%
-7.50% to 1.26%15834.05%50.43%
1.26% to 10.02%15633.62%84.05%
10.02% to 18.78%4910.56%94.61%
18.78% to 27.54%163.45%98.06%
27.54% to 36.30%51.08%99.14%
Greater than 36.30%40.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.42%12.94% 77.59%68.27%
±2σ -22.09%24.62% 95.26%95.45%
±3σ -33.77%36.30% 98.28%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 8.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 119.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.29%00.00%0.00%
-40.29% to -25.44%00.00%0.00%
-25.44% to -10.59%00.00%0.00%
-10.59% to 4.27%40.86%0.86%
4.27% to 19.12%31166.88%67.74%
19.12% to 33.97%10221.94%89.68%
33.97% to 48.83%296.24%95.91%
48.83% to 63.68%61.29%97.20%
63.68% to 78.53%91.94%99.14%
Greater than 78.53%40.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -0.68%38.92% 92.90%68.27%
±2σ -20.49%58.73% 96.99%95.45%
±3σ -40.29%78.53% 99.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.57. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 33.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -39.89%00.00%0.00%
-39.89% to -29.82%20.43%0.43%
-29.82% to -19.76%91.94%2.37%
-19.76% to -9.70%5411.61%13.98%
-9.70% to 0.36%19942.80%56.77%
0.36% to 10.43%14030.11%86.88%
10.43% to 20.49%408.60%95.48%
20.49% to 30.55%102.15%97.63%
30.55% to 40.62%61.29%98.92%
Greater than 40.62%51.08%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.05%13.78% 81.94%68.27%
±2σ -26.47%27.20% 96.34%95.45%
±3σ -39.89%40.62% 98.92%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.37 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -59.80%10.65%0.65%
-59.80% to -43.87%21.29%1.94%
-43.87% to -27.94%63.87%5.81%
-27.94% to -12.02%1710.97%16.77%
-12.02% to 3.91%5636.13%52.90%
3.91% to 19.84%4428.39%81.29%
19.84% to 35.77%2113.55%94.84%
35.77% to 51.69%53.23%98.06%
51.69% to 67.62%21.29%99.35%
Greater than 67.62%10.65%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.32%25.15% 77.42%68.27%
±2σ -38.56%46.38% 93.55%95.45%
±3σ -59.80%67.62% 98.71%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 67.90 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -91.65%00.00%0.00%
-91.65% to -59.12%00.00%0.00%
-59.12% to -26.59%00.00%0.00%
-26.59% to 5.94%00.00%0.00%
5.94% to 38.47%11372.44%72.44%
38.47% to 71.00%2717.31%89.74%
71.00% to 103.54%106.41%96.15%
103.54% to 136.07%53.21%99.36%
136.07% to 168.60%00.00%99.36%
Greater than 168.60%10.64%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.90%81.85% 91.67%68.27%
±2σ -48.28%125.22% 98.08%95.45%
±3σ -91.65%168.60% 99.36%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.89. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -73.27%00.00%0.00%
-73.27% to -54.62%00.00%0.00%
-54.62% to -35.98%21.28%1.28%
-35.98% to -17.34%2616.67%17.95%
-17.34% to 1.30%6541.67%59.62%
1.30% to 19.94%4629.49%89.10%
19.94% to 38.58%85.13%94.23%
38.58% to 57.22%42.56%96.79%
57.22% to 75.86%21.28%98.08%
Greater than 75.86%31.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -23.56%26.15% 83.33%68.27%
±2σ -48.41%51.00% 95.51%95.45%
±3σ -73.27%75.86% 98.08%99.73%