CSCO Deep Analytical Report

Cisco Systems, Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 2.11% ($1.64) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1990-02-01 → 2026-03-01 (434 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.46% 2.09% 2.09% 1.90% 1.99% 2.04% 77.14 80.27 75.62 81.88
Weekly 5.30% 5.29% 5.22% 4.53% 4.38% 4.50% 75.32 82.21 72.10 85.89
Monthly 10.23% 10.97% 10.29% 9.89% 9.11% 9.36% 71.84 86.19 65.58 94.42
Quarterly 20.18% 22.82% 19.40% 16.65% 15.78% 16.22% 67.20 92.14 57.39 107.89
Annual 31.56% 32.43% 57.39 107.89 41.86 147.92
Option Time Horizon 11.91% 12.24% 69.85 88.64 62.01 99.86
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:32 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $78.69  |  Strike (K): $80.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $3.2500 (Bid $3.1500 / Ask $3.3500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.11%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 31.56% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 31.83% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 32.43% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-02 $0.4100
2025-10-03 $0.4100
2025-07-03 $0.4100
2025-04-03 $0.4100
2025-01-03 $0.4000
2024-10-02 $0.4000
2024-07-05 $0.4000
2024-04-03 $0.4000
2024-01-03 $0.3900
2023-10-03 $0.3900
2023-07-05 $0.3900
2023-04-04 $0.3900
2023-01-04 $0.3800
2022-10-04 $0.3800
2022-07-05 $0.3800
2022-04-05 $0.3800
2022-01-04 $0.3700
2021-10-04 $0.3700
2021-07-02 $0.3700
2021-04-05 $0.3700
2021-01-04 $0.3600
2020-10-01 $0.3600
2020-07-02 $0.3600
2020-04-02 $0.3600
2020-01-02 $0.3500
2019-10-03 $0.3500
2019-07-03 $0.3500
2019-04-04 $0.3500
2019-01-03 $0.3300
2018-10-04 $0.3300
2018-07-05 $0.3300
2018-04-04 $0.3300
2018-01-04 $0.2900
2017-10-04 $0.2900
2017-07-05 $0.2900
2017-04-04 $0.2900
2017-01-04 $0.2600
2016-10-03 $0.2600
2016-07-05 $0.2600
2016-04-04 $0.2600
2016-01-04 $0.2100
2015-10-01 $0.2100
2015-07-01 $0.2100
2015-03-31 $0.2100
2015-01-02 $0.1900
2014-09-30 $0.1900
2014-07-02 $0.1900
2014-04-01 $0.1900
2014-01-02 $0.1700
2013-10-01 $0.1700
2013-07-01 $0.1700
2013-04-04 $0.1700
2012-11-27 $0.1400
2012-10-02 $0.1400
2012-07-02 $0.0800
2012-04-03 $0.0800
2012-01-03 $0.0600
2011-10-04 $0.0600
2011-07-05 $0.0600
2011-03-29 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.24. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.88 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.26%790.87%0.87%
-7.26% to -5.42%951.05%1.91%
-5.42% to -3.57%2933.22%5.14%
-3.57% to -1.73%95110.46%15.60%
-1.73% to 0.11%321635.39%50.99%
0.11% to 1.95%304233.47%84.46%
1.95% to 3.80%92910.22%94.69%
3.80% to 5.64%3083.39%98.07%
5.64% to 7.48%961.06%99.13%
Greater than 7.48%790.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.35%2.57% 78.59%68.27%
±2σ -4.80%5.02% 94.84%95.45%
±3σ -7.26%7.48% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.62. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.36%00.00%0.00%
-3.36% to -1.79%00.00%0.00%
-1.79% to -0.22%00.00%0.00%
-0.22% to 1.35%164518.10%18.10%
1.35% to 2.92%412845.42%63.52%
2.92% to 4.49%182520.08%83.60%
4.49% to 6.06%8058.86%92.45%
6.06% to 7.63%3513.86%96.31%
7.63% to 9.20%1801.98%98.29%
Greater than 9.20%1551.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.83%5.01% 84.95%68.27%
±2σ -1.27%7.11% 95.46%95.45%
±3σ -3.36%9.20% 98.29%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.32. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.26%600.66%0.66%
-6.26% to -4.69%981.08%1.74%
-4.69% to -3.13%3003.30%5.04%
-3.13% to -1.56%98910.88%15.92%
-1.56% to 0.01%334536.80%52.72%
0.01% to 1.58%287831.66%84.39%
1.58% to 3.14%9019.91%94.30%
3.14% to 4.71%3193.51%97.81%
4.71% to 6.28%1021.12%98.93%
Greater than 6.28%971.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.08%2.10% 78.31%68.27%
±2σ -4.17%4.19% 94.66%95.45%
±3σ -6.26%6.28% 98.28%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.33. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.96 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.38%80.42%0.42%
-15.38% to -11.40%271.43%1.86%
-11.40% to -7.43%703.72%5.58%
-7.43% to -3.45%22111.74%17.31%
-3.45% to 0.53%64234.09%51.41%
0.53% to 4.51%60031.86%83.27%
4.51% to 8.49%19610.41%93.68%
8.49% to 12.47%764.04%97.72%
12.47% to 16.45%271.43%99.15%
Greater than 16.45%160.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.77%5.84% 76.69%68.27%
±2σ -10.08%11.14% 93.89%95.45%
±3σ -15.38%16.45% 98.73%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.04. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.36%00.00%0.00%
-8.36% to -4.39%00.00%0.00%
-4.39% to -0.43%00.00%0.00%
-0.43% to 3.54%38220.28%20.28%
3.54% to 7.51%80742.83%63.11%
7.51% to 11.48%36519.37%82.48%
11.48% to 15.44%1849.77%92.25%
15.44% to 19.41%844.46%96.71%
19.41% to 23.38%271.43%98.14%
Greater than 23.38%351.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.22%12.80% 82.70%68.27%
±2σ -3.07%18.09% 95.38%95.45%
±3σ -8.36%23.38% 98.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.79. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.34 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.77%70.37%0.37%
-15.77% to -11.86%231.22%1.59%
-11.86% to -7.94%683.61%5.20%
-7.94% to -4.03%21611.46%16.67%
-4.03% to -0.11%67135.62%52.28%
-0.11% to 3.80%59431.53%83.81%
3.80% to 7.71%19110.14%93.95%
7.71% to 11.63%693.66%97.61%
11.63% to 15.54%271.43%99.04%
Greater than 15.54%180.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.33%5.11% 76.38%68.27%
±2σ -10.55%10.32% 94.85%95.45%
±3σ -15.77%15.54% 98.67%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.44 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.46%20.46%0.46%
-28.46% to -20.79%40.92%1.39%
-20.79% to -13.12%163.70%5.08%
-13.12% to -5.45%6515.01%20.09%
-5.45% to 2.22%13631.41%51.50%
2.22% to 9.89%13130.25%81.76%
9.89% to 17.56%4710.85%92.61%
17.56% to 25.23%225.08%97.69%
25.23% to 32.90%61.39%99.08%
Greater than 32.90%40.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.01%12.45% 73.44%68.27%
±2σ -18.24%22.68% 94.46%95.45%
±3σ -28.46%32.90% 98.61%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.87%00.00%0.00%
-15.87% to -7.64%00.00%0.00%
-7.64% to 0.59%00.00%0.00%
0.59% to 8.82%10023.04%23.04%
8.82% to 17.05%17239.63%62.67%
17.05% to 25.28%8419.35%82.03%
25.28% to 33.51%4911.29%93.32%
33.51% to 41.74%133.00%96.31%
41.74% to 49.98%61.38%97.70%
Greater than 49.98%102.30%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 6.08%28.03% 79.95%68.27%
±2σ -4.89%39.00% 94.70%95.45%
±3σ -15.87%49.97% 97.70%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.88%00.00%0.00%
-31.88% to -24.16%40.92%0.92%
-24.16% to -16.44%143.23%4.15%
-16.44% to -8.72%6815.67%19.82%
-8.72% to -1.00%14934.33%54.15%
-1.00% to 6.72%11827.19%81.34%
6.72% to 14.44%5312.21%93.55%
14.44% to 22.16%163.69%97.24%
22.16% to 29.88%81.84%99.08%
Greater than 29.88%40.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.29%9.29% 75.35%68.27%
±2σ -21.59%19.59% 94.93%95.45%
±3σ -31.88%29.88% 99.08%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.41 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -53.50%10.69%0.69%
-53.50% to -38.37%00.00%0.69%
-38.37% to -23.24%53.47%4.17%
-23.24% to -8.11%2114.58%18.75%
-8.11% to 7.03%4631.94%50.69%
7.03% to 22.16%4732.64%83.33%
22.16% to 37.29%139.03%92.36%
37.29% to 52.42%74.86%97.22%
52.42% to 67.56%21.39%98.61%
Greater than 67.56%21.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.15%27.20% 75.00%68.27%
±2σ -33.32%47.38% 95.14%95.45%
±3σ -53.50%67.55% 97.92%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.67 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.76%00.00%0.00%
-35.76% to -18.65%00.00%0.00%
-18.65% to -1.54%00.00%0.00%
-1.54% to 15.57%2517.24%17.24%
15.57% to 32.68%7249.66%66.90%
32.68% to 49.80%2517.24%84.14%
49.80% to 66.91%1510.34%94.48%
66.91% to 84.02%42.76%97.24%
84.02% to 101.13%21.38%98.62%
Greater than 101.13%21.38%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 9.87%55.50% 86.21%68.27%
±2σ -12.95%78.31% 95.17%95.45%
±3σ -35.76%101.13% 98.62%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -61.04%00.00%0.00%
-61.04% to -46.49%10.69%0.69%
-46.49% to -31.95%42.76%3.45%
-31.95% to -17.40%2013.79%17.24%
-17.40% to -2.85%5437.24%54.48%
-2.85% to 11.69%4329.66%84.14%
11.69% to 26.24%1611.03%95.17%
26.24% to 40.79%42.76%97.93%
40.79% to 55.34%21.38%99.31%
Greater than 55.34%10.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.25%16.54% 75.17%68.27%
±2σ -41.65%35.94% 95.86%95.45%
±3σ -61.04%55.34% 99.31%99.73%