CSCO Deep Analytical Report

Cisco Systems, Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 2.09% ($1.64) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1990-02-01 → 2026-02-01 (433 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.46% 2.10% 2.09% 1.90% 1.46% 1.52% 78.05 80.36 76.92 81.54
Weekly 5.31% 5.29% 5.22% 4.55% 3.21% 3.36% 76.70 81.78 74.27 84.45
Monthly 10.24% 10.98% 10.30% 10.09% 6.68% 6.98% 74.08 84.67 69.29 90.53
Quarterly 20.18% 22.82% 19.39% 16.65% 11.58% 12.10% 70.54 88.92 62.83 99.83
Annual 23.15% 24.20% 62.83 99.83 49.84 125.84
Option Time Horizon 8.91% 9.31% 72.45 86.58 66.28 94.64
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:17 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $79.20  |  Strike (K): $80.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.5400 (Bid $2.4800 / Ask $2.6000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.09%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 23.15% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 23.30% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 24.20% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-02 $0.4100
2025-10-03 $0.4100
2025-07-03 $0.4100
2025-04-03 $0.4100
2025-01-03 $0.4000
2024-10-02 $0.4000
2024-07-05 $0.4000
2024-04-03 $0.4000
2024-01-03 $0.3900
2023-10-03 $0.3900
2023-07-05 $0.3900
2023-04-04 $0.3900
2023-01-04 $0.3800
2022-10-04 $0.3800
2022-07-05 $0.3800
2022-04-05 $0.3800
2022-01-04 $0.3700
2021-10-04 $0.3700
2021-07-02 $0.3700
2021-04-05 $0.3700
2021-01-04 $0.3600
2020-10-01 $0.3600
2020-07-02 $0.3600
2020-04-02 $0.3600
2020-01-02 $0.3500
2019-10-03 $0.3500
2019-07-03 $0.3500
2019-04-04 $0.3500
2019-01-03 $0.3300
2018-10-04 $0.3300
2018-07-05 $0.3300
2018-04-04 $0.3300
2018-01-04 $0.2900
2017-10-04 $0.2900
2017-07-05 $0.2900
2017-04-04 $0.2900
2017-01-04 $0.2600
2016-10-03 $0.2600
2016-07-05 $0.2600
2016-04-04 $0.2600
2016-01-04 $0.2100
2015-10-01 $0.2100
2015-07-01 $0.2100
2015-03-31 $0.2100
2015-01-02 $0.1900
2014-09-30 $0.1900
2014-07-02 $0.1900
2014-04-01 $0.1900
2014-01-02 $0.1700
2013-10-01 $0.1700
2013-07-01 $0.1700
2013-04-04 $0.1700
2012-11-27 $0.1400
2012-10-02 $0.1400
2012-07-02 $0.0800
2012-04-03 $0.0800
2012-01-03 $0.0600
2011-10-04 $0.0600
2011-07-05 $0.0600
2011-03-29 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.24. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.87 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.27%790.87%0.87%
-7.27% to -5.42%951.05%1.92%
-5.42% to -3.58%2933.23%5.15%
-3.58% to -1.73%94810.46%15.61%
-1.73% to 0.11%320935.39%51.00%
0.11% to 1.96%303433.46%84.46%
1.96% to 3.80%92710.22%94.68%
3.80% to 5.64%3103.42%98.10%
5.64% to 7.49%931.03%99.13%
Greater than 7.49%790.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.35%2.57% 78.60%68.27%
±2σ -4.81%5.03% 94.84%95.45%
±3σ -7.27%7.49% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.61. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.16 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.36%00.00%0.00%
-3.36% to -1.79%00.00%0.00%
-1.79% to -0.22%00.00%0.00%
-0.22% to 1.35%164718.16%18.16%
1.35% to 2.92%411245.35%63.51%
2.92% to 4.49%182020.07%83.58%
4.49% to 6.07%8108.93%92.51%
6.07% to 7.64%3443.79%96.31%
7.64% to 9.21%1801.99%98.29%
Greater than 9.21%1551.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.83%5.02% 84.94%68.27%
±2σ -1.27%7.11% 95.47%95.45%
±3σ -3.36%9.21% 98.29%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.32. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.10 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.27%600.66%0.66%
-6.27% to -4.70%971.07%1.73%
-4.70% to -3.13%3013.32%5.05%
-3.13% to -1.56%98310.84%15.89%
-1.56% to 0.01%333636.79%52.68%
0.01% to 1.58%287631.72%84.40%
1.58% to 3.15%8979.89%94.29%
3.15% to 4.72%3193.52%97.81%
4.72% to 6.29%1031.14%98.94%
Greater than 6.29%961.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.08%2.10% 78.31%68.27%
±2σ -4.17%4.19% 94.66%95.45%
±3σ -6.27%6.29% 98.28%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.33. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.39%80.43%0.43%
-15.39% to -11.41%271.44%1.86%
-11.41% to -7.43%703.73%5.59%
-7.43% to -3.45%22011.71%17.30%
-3.45% to 0.53%64334.22%51.52%
0.53% to 4.51%59631.72%83.24%
4.51% to 8.50%19710.48%93.72%
8.50% to 12.48%764.04%97.76%
12.48% to 16.46%261.38%99.15%
Greater than 16.46%160.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.78%5.84% 76.74%68.27%
±2σ -10.09%11.15% 93.88%95.45%
±3σ -15.39%16.46% 98.72%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.04. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.44 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.36%00.00%0.00%
-8.36% to -4.39%00.00%0.00%
-4.39% to -0.42%00.00%0.00%
-0.42% to 3.54%38120.27%20.27%
3.54% to 7.51%80943.03%63.30%
7.51% to 11.48%36019.15%82.45%
11.48% to 15.45%1849.79%92.23%
15.45% to 19.42%844.47%96.70%
19.42% to 23.39%271.44%98.14%
Greater than 23.39%351.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.22%12.81% 82.71%68.27%
±2σ -3.07%18.10% 95.43%95.45%
±3σ -8.36%23.39% 98.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.79. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.32 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.79%70.37%0.37%
-15.79% to -11.87%231.22%1.60%
-11.87% to -7.95%683.62%5.21%
-7.95% to -4.03%21611.49%16.70%
-4.03% to -0.12%66835.53%52.23%
-0.12% to 3.80%59331.54%83.78%
3.80% to 7.72%19110.16%93.94%
7.72% to 11.64%693.67%97.61%
11.64% to 15.56%271.44%99.04%
Greater than 15.56%180.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.34%5.11% 76.33%68.27%
±2σ -10.56%10.33% 94.84%95.45%
±3σ -15.79%15.56% 98.67%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.43 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.49%20.46%0.46%
-28.49% to -20.81%40.93%1.39%
-20.81% to -13.13%163.70%5.09%
-13.13% to -5.45%6515.05%20.14%
-5.45% to 2.23%13531.25%51.39%
2.23% to 9.90%13130.32%81.71%
9.90% to 17.59%4710.88%92.59%
17.59% to 25.26%225.09%97.69%
25.26% to 32.94%61.39%99.07%
Greater than 32.94%40.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.01%12.46% 73.38%68.27%
±2σ -18.25%22.70% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -28.49%32.94% 98.61%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.64 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.86%00.00%0.00%
-15.86% to -7.63%00.00%0.00%
-7.63% to 0.61%00.00%0.00%
0.61% to 8.84%9922.86%22.86%
8.84% to 17.07%17239.72%62.59%
17.07% to 25.31%8419.40%81.99%
25.31% to 33.54%4911.32%93.30%
33.54% to 41.77%143.23%96.54%
41.77% to 50.01%51.15%97.69%
Greater than 50.01%102.31%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 6.10%28.05% 79.45%68.27%
±2σ -4.88%39.03% 94.69%95.45%
±3σ -15.86%50.01% 97.69%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.92%00.00%0.00%
-31.92% to -24.19%40.92%0.92%
-24.19% to -16.46%143.23%4.16%
-16.46% to -8.73%6815.70%19.86%
-8.73% to -1.00%14934.41%54.27%
-1.00% to 6.73%11727.02%81.29%
6.73% to 14.46%5312.24%93.53%
14.46% to 22.18%163.70%97.23%
22.18% to 29.91%81.85%99.08%
Greater than 29.91%40.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.31%9.30% 75.29%68.27%
±2σ -21.61%19.61% 94.92%95.45%
±3σ -31.92%29.91% 99.08%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -53.50%10.69%0.69%
-53.50% to -38.37%00.00%0.69%
-38.37% to -23.23%53.47%4.17%
-23.23% to -8.10%2114.58%18.75%
-8.10% to 7.03%4631.94%50.69%
7.03% to 22.16%4732.64%83.33%
22.16% to 37.29%139.03%92.36%
37.29% to 52.42%74.86%97.22%
52.42% to 67.56%21.39%98.61%
Greater than 67.56%21.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.15%27.20% 75.00%68.27%
±2σ -33.32%47.38% 95.14%95.45%
±3σ -53.50%67.56% 97.92%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.67 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.76%00.00%0.00%
-35.76% to -18.65%00.00%0.00%
-18.65% to -1.54%00.00%0.00%
-1.54% to 15.57%2517.24%17.24%
15.57% to 32.68%7249.66%66.90%
32.68% to 49.80%2517.24%84.14%
49.80% to 66.91%1510.34%94.48%
66.91% to 84.02%42.76%97.24%
84.02% to 101.13%21.38%98.62%
Greater than 101.13%21.38%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 9.87%55.50% 86.21%68.27%
±2σ -12.95%78.31% 95.17%95.45%
±3σ -35.76%101.13% 98.62%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -61.04%00.00%0.00%
-61.04% to -46.49%10.69%0.69%
-46.49% to -31.95%42.76%3.45%
-31.95% to -17.40%2013.79%17.24%
-17.40% to -2.85%5437.24%54.48%
-2.85% to 11.69%4329.66%84.14%
11.69% to 26.24%1611.03%95.17%
26.24% to 40.78%42.76%97.93%
40.78% to 55.33%21.38%99.31%
Greater than 55.33%10.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.25%16.54% 75.17%68.27%
±2σ -41.64%35.94% 95.86%95.45%
±3σ -61.04%55.33% 99.31%99.73%