DAL Deep Analytical Report

Delta Air Lines, Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.12% ($0.71) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2007-05-01 → 2026-03-01 (227 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.22% 3.27% 2.82% 3.43% 3.06% 3.27% 63.82 67.84 61.90 69.95
Weekly 7.06% 8.40% 6.92% 8.06% 6.73% 7.20% 61.52 70.38 57.51 75.28
Monthly 12.59% 19.71% 13.78% 17.72% 14.01% 14.99% 57.20 75.70 49.72 87.08
Quarterly 21.09% 37.52% 25.70% 33.11% 24.27% 25.96% 51.62 83.87 40.50 106.91
Annual 48.54% 51.93% 40.50 106.91 24.92 173.72
Option Time Horizon 18.32% 19.60% 54.78 79.03 45.61 94.92
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:42 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $65.80  |  Strike (K): $67.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $4.2000 (Bid $3.9000 / Ask $4.5000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.12%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 48.54% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 48.96% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 51.93% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-26 $0.1880
2025-10-16 $0.1880
2025-07-31 $0.1880
2025-05-13 $0.1500
2025-02-27 $0.1500
2024-10-10 $0.1500
2024-07-30 $0.1500
2024-05-13 $0.1000
2024-02-23 $0.1000
2023-10-11 $0.1000
2023-07-14 $0.1000
2020-02-19 $0.4030
2019-10-23 $0.4030
2019-07-24 $0.4030
2019-05-01 $0.3500
2019-02-28 $0.3500
2018-11-06 $0.3500
2018-07-25 $0.3500
2018-05-10 $0.3050
2018-02-22 $0.3050
2017-11-16 $0.3050
2017-08-21 $0.3050
2017-05-17 $0.2030
2017-02-22 $0.2030
2016-11-08 $0.2030
2016-08-10 $0.2030
2016-05-09 $0.1350
2016-02-12 $0.1350
2015-11-04 $0.1350
2015-08-05 $0.1350
2015-05-06 $0.0900
2015-02-18 $0.0900
2014-11-05 $0.0900
2014-08-06 $0.0900
2014-05-07 $0.0600
2014-02-19 $0.0600
2013-11-04 $0.0600
2013-08-07 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.34. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.58%400.84%0.84%
-9.58% to -7.17%460.97%1.81%
-7.17% to -4.75%1282.69%4.50%
-4.75% to -2.34%49110.33%14.84%
-2.34% to 0.08%169435.66%50.49%
0.08% to 2.49%165734.88%85.37%
2.49% to 4.91%48610.23%95.60%
4.91% to 7.32%1192.50%98.11%
7.32% to 9.74%390.82%98.93%
Greater than 9.74%511.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.14%3.30% 80.72%68.27%
±2σ -6.36%6.52% 95.24%95.45%
±3σ -9.58%9.74% 98.08%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.86%00.00%0.00%
-5.86% to -3.41%00.00%0.00%
-3.41% to -0.96%00.00%0.00%
-0.96% to 1.49%3797.98%7.98%
1.49% to 3.94%286760.33%68.31%
3.94% to 6.39%91319.21%87.52%
6.39% to 8.84%2886.06%93.58%
8.84% to 11.29%1302.74%96.32%
11.29% to 13.74%741.56%97.87%
Greater than 13.74%1012.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.67%7.21% 89.98%68.27%
±2σ -2.59%10.47% 95.60%95.45%
±3σ -5.86%13.74% 97.87%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.35 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.36%290.61%0.61%
-8.36% to -6.24%501.05%1.66%
-6.24% to -4.12%1212.55%4.21%
-4.12% to -2.00%52110.96%15.17%
-2.00% to 0.11%175937.02%52.19%
0.11% to 2.23%159633.59%85.77%
2.23% to 4.35%4479.41%95.18%
4.35% to 6.47%1272.67%97.85%
6.47% to 8.59%521.09%98.95%
Greater than 8.59%501.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.71%2.94% 80.87%68.27%
±2σ -5.53%5.76% 95.08%95.45%
±3σ -8.36%8.58% 98.34%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.82. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.49 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.80%80.81%0.81%
-20.80% to -15.51%101.02%1.83%
-15.51% to -10.21%303.05%4.87%
-10.21% to -4.92%10310.46%15.33%
-4.92% to 0.38%34935.43%50.76%
0.38% to 5.67%34334.82%85.58%
5.67% to 10.97%959.64%95.23%
10.97% to 16.26%313.15%98.38%
16.26% to 21.56%60.61%98.98%
Greater than 21.56%101.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.68%7.44% 80.51%68.27%
±2σ -13.74%14.50% 95.13%95.45%
±3σ -20.80%21.56% 98.17%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.70. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.22%00.00%0.00%
-15.22% to -8.92%00.00%0.00%
-8.92% to -2.62%00.00%0.00%
-2.62% to 3.69%747.51%7.51%
3.69% to 9.99%61362.17%69.68%
9.99% to 16.29%18518.76%88.44%
16.29% to 22.59%535.38%93.81%
22.59% to 28.89%242.43%96.25%
28.89% to 35.19%161.62%97.87%
Greater than 35.19%212.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.59%18.39% 90.57%68.27%
±2σ -6.82%26.79% 95.03%95.45%
±3σ -15.22%35.19% 97.87%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.74 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.44%60.61%0.61%
-20.44% to -15.25%40.41%1.01%
-15.25% to -10.05%282.84%3.85%
-10.05% to -4.86%11611.76%15.62%
-4.86% to 0.33%37037.53%53.14%
0.33% to 5.53%33133.57%86.71%
5.53% to 10.72%737.40%94.12%
10.72% to 15.91%353.55%97.67%
15.91% to 21.11%80.81%98.48%
Greater than 21.11%151.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.59%7.26% 81.54%68.27%
±2σ -13.52%14.18% 95.33%95.45%
±3σ -20.44%21.11% 97.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.00. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.59 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.34%20.88%0.88%
-36.34% to -26.90%52.21%3.10%
-26.90% to -17.46%52.21%5.31%
-17.46% to -8.02%3113.72%19.03%
-8.02% to 1.42%7332.30%51.33%
1.42% to 10.86%6528.76%80.09%
10.86% to 20.30%3415.04%95.13%
20.30% to 29.73%41.77%96.90%
29.73% to 39.17%62.65%99.56%
Greater than 39.17%10.44%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.17%14.00% 77.88%68.27%
±2σ -23.75%26.59% 93.36%95.45%
±3σ -36.34%39.17% 98.67%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 17.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.40%00.00%0.00%
-35.40% to -20.61%00.00%0.00%
-20.61% to -5.83%00.00%0.00%
-5.83% to 8.96%62.64%2.64%
8.96% to 23.74%15668.72%71.37%
23.74% to 38.52%3716.30%87.67%
38.52% to 53.31%156.61%94.27%
53.31% to 68.09%62.64%96.92%
68.09% to 82.88%00.00%96.92%
Greater than 82.88%73.08%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.03%43.45% 89.87%68.27%
±2σ -15.68%63.16% 96.04%95.45%
±3σ -35.39%82.88% 96.92%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.74%00.00%0.00%
-40.74% to -30.40%10.44%0.44%
-30.40% to -20.06%73.08%3.52%
-20.06% to -9.73%3515.42%18.94%
-9.73% to 0.61%8336.56%55.51%
0.61% to 10.95%7030.84%86.34%
10.95% to 21.29%177.49%93.83%
21.29% to 31.63%62.64%96.48%
31.63% to 41.96%41.76%98.24%
Greater than 41.96%41.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.17%14.40% 79.30%68.27%
±2σ -26.96%28.18% 95.15%95.45%
±3σ -40.74%41.96% 98.24%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.27 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -59.00%00.00%0.00%
-59.00% to -43.19%22.67%2.67%
-43.19% to -27.37%34.00%6.67%
-27.37% to -11.56%912.00%18.67%
-11.56% to 4.26%2432.00%50.67%
4.26% to 20.07%2128.00%78.67%
20.07% to 35.89%1317.33%96.00%
35.89% to 51.70%22.67%98.67%
51.70% to 67.52%00.00%98.67%
Greater than 67.52%11.33%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.83%25.34% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -37.92%46.43% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -59.00%67.52% 98.67%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.62. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -66.14%00.00%0.00%
-66.14% to -38.00%00.00%0.00%
-38.00% to -9.86%00.00%0.00%
-9.86% to 18.27%45.26%5.26%
18.27% to 46.41%4964.47%69.74%
46.41% to 74.55%1317.11%86.84%
74.55% to 102.68%45.26%92.11%
102.68% to 130.82%22.63%94.74%
130.82% to 158.95%22.63%97.37%
Greater than 158.95%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.89%83.92% 88.16%68.27%
±2σ -28.62%121.44% 93.42%95.45%
±3σ -66.14%158.95% 97.37%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.81 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -75.58%00.00%0.00%
-75.58% to -56.31%00.00%0.00%
-56.31% to -37.03%11.32%1.32%
-37.03% to -17.75%1418.42%19.74%
-17.75% to 1.53%3242.11%61.84%
1.53% to 20.81%2026.32%88.16%
20.81% to 40.08%45.26%93.42%
40.08% to 59.36%22.63%96.05%
59.36% to 78.64%11.32%97.37%
Greater than 78.64%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -24.18%27.23% 84.21%68.27%
±2σ -49.88%52.94% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -75.58%78.64% 97.37%99.73%