DAL Deep Analytical Report

Delta Air Lines, Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.06% ($0.71) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2007-05-01 → 2026-02-01 (226 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.22% 3.27% 2.83% 3.41% 2.93% 3.14% 67.43 71.51 65.48 73.64
Weekly 7.07% 8.41% 6.93% 8.03% 6.46% 6.91% 65.10 74.07 61.03 79.01
Monthly 12.62% 19.76% 13.81% 17.72% 13.44% 14.39% 60.70 79.43 53.07 90.86
Quarterly 21.08% 37.67% 25.71% 32.32% 23.29% 24.93% 55.01 87.65 43.59 110.63
Annual 46.57% 49.85% 43.59 110.63 27.36 176.26
Option Time Horizon 17.91% 19.18% 58.05 83.06 48.53 99.36
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:24 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $69.44  |  Strike (K): $70.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $4.8000 (Bid $4.5000 / Ask $5.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.06%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 46.57% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 46.41% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 49.85% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-10-16 $0.1880
2025-07-31 $0.1880
2025-05-13 $0.1500
2025-02-27 $0.1500
2024-10-10 $0.1500
2024-07-30 $0.1500
2024-05-13 $0.1000
2024-02-23 $0.1000
2023-10-11 $0.1000
2023-07-14 $0.1000
2020-02-19 $0.4030
2019-10-23 $0.4030
2019-07-24 $0.4030
2019-05-01 $0.3500
2019-02-28 $0.3500
2018-11-06 $0.3500
2018-07-25 $0.3500
2018-05-10 $0.3050
2018-02-22 $0.3050
2017-11-16 $0.3050
2017-08-21 $0.3050
2017-05-17 $0.2030
2017-02-22 $0.2030
2016-11-08 $0.2030
2016-08-10 $0.2030
2016-05-09 $0.1350
2016-02-12 $0.1350
2015-11-04 $0.1350
2015-08-05 $0.1350
2015-05-06 $0.0900
2015-02-18 $0.0900
2014-11-05 $0.0900
2014-08-06 $0.0900
2014-05-07 $0.0600
2014-02-19 $0.0600
2013-11-04 $0.0600
2013-08-07 $0.0600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.34. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.34 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.58%400.85%0.85%
-9.58% to -7.17%460.97%1.82%
-7.17% to -4.75%1272.68%4.50%
-4.75% to -2.34%48710.30%14.80%
-2.34% to 0.08%168935.71%50.51%
0.08% to 2.50%165234.93%85.43%
2.50% to 4.91%48110.17%95.60%
4.91% to 7.33%1182.49%98.10%
7.33% to 9.74%390.82%98.92%
Greater than 9.74%511.08%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.14%3.30% 80.80%68.27%
±2σ -6.36%6.52% 95.26%95.45%
±3σ -9.58%9.74% 98.08%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.34 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.87%00.00%0.00%
-5.87% to -3.42%00.00%0.00%
-3.42% to -0.97%00.00%0.00%
-0.97% to 1.49%3727.86%7.86%
1.49% to 3.94%286160.47%68.34%
3.94% to 6.39%90819.19%87.53%
6.39% to 8.85%2866.05%93.57%
8.85% to 11.30%1292.73%96.30%
11.30% to 13.75%741.56%97.87%
Greater than 13.75%1012.13%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.67%7.21% 90.00%68.27%
±2σ -2.60%10.48% 95.60%95.45%
±3σ -5.87%13.75% 97.87%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.36 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.36%290.61%0.61%
-8.36% to -6.24%501.06%1.67%
-6.24% to -4.12%1202.54%4.21%
-4.12% to -2.00%51610.91%15.11%
-2.00% to 0.12%175837.16%52.27%
0.12% to 2.23%158633.52%85.80%
2.23% to 4.35%4439.36%95.16%
4.35% to 6.47%1282.71%97.87%
6.47% to 8.59%511.08%98.94%
Greater than 8.59%501.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.71%2.94% 80.89%68.27%
±2σ -5.54%5.77% 95.08%95.45%
±3σ -8.36%8.59% 98.33%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.81. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.50 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.81%80.82%0.82%
-20.81% to -15.51%101.02%1.83%
-15.51% to -10.21%303.06%4.89%
-10.21% to -4.91%10210.40%15.29%
-4.91% to 0.39%34735.37%50.66%
0.39% to 5.68%34334.96%85.63%
5.68% to 10.98%949.58%95.21%
10.98% to 16.28%313.16%98.37%
16.28% to 21.58%60.61%98.98%
Greater than 21.58%101.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.68%7.45% 80.53%68.27%
±2σ -13.75%14.52% 95.11%95.45%
±3σ -20.81%21.58% 98.17%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.26%00.00%0.00%
-15.26% to -8.95%00.00%0.00%
-8.95% to -2.64%00.00%0.00%
-2.64% to 3.67%737.43%7.43%
3.67% to 9.98%61162.22%69.65%
9.98% to 16.29%18518.84%88.49%
16.29% to 22.59%525.30%93.79%
22.59% to 28.90%242.44%96.23%
28.90% to 35.21%161.63%97.86%
Greater than 35.21%212.14%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.57%18.39% 90.53%68.27%
±2σ -6.84%26.80% 95.01%95.45%
±3σ -15.26%35.21% 97.86%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.48%60.61%0.61%
-20.48% to -15.28%40.41%1.02%
-15.28% to -10.08%282.85%3.87%
-10.08% to -4.87%11611.81%15.68%
-4.87% to 0.33%36737.37%53.05%
0.33% to 5.53%33033.60%86.66%
5.53% to 10.73%737.43%94.09%
10.73% to 15.93%363.67%97.76%
15.93% to 21.13%70.71%98.47%
Greater than 21.13%151.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.61%7.26% 81.57%68.27%
±2σ -13.54%14.20% 95.32%95.45%
±3σ -20.48%21.13% 97.86%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.57 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.40%20.89%0.89%
-36.40% to -26.93%52.22%3.11%
-26.93% to -17.47%52.22%5.33%
-17.47% to -8.01%3113.78%19.11%
-8.01% to 1.45%7232.00%51.11%
1.45% to 10.91%6528.89%80.00%
10.91% to 20.37%3415.11%95.11%
20.37% to 29.83%41.78%96.89%
29.83% to 39.29%62.67%99.56%
Greater than 39.29%10.44%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.17%14.06% 77.78%68.27%
±2σ -23.78%26.68% 93.33%95.45%
±3σ -36.40%39.29% 98.67%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.58. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 17.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.52%00.00%0.00%
-35.52% to -20.70%00.00%0.00%
-20.70% to -5.89%00.00%0.00%
-5.89% to 8.93%62.65%2.65%
8.93% to 23.75%15568.58%71.24%
23.75% to 38.57%3716.37%87.61%
38.57% to 53.38%156.64%94.25%
53.38% to 68.20%62.65%96.90%
68.20% to 83.02%00.00%96.90%
Greater than 83.02%73.10%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 3.99%43.51% 89.82%68.27%
±2σ -15.77%63.26% 96.02%95.45%
±3σ -35.52%83.02% 96.90%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.40 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.83%00.00%0.00%
-40.83% to -30.47%00.00%0.00%
-30.47% to -20.11%83.54%3.54%
-20.11% to -9.75%3515.49%19.03%
-9.75% to 0.61%8336.73%55.75%
0.61% to 10.97%6930.53%86.28%
10.97% to 21.33%177.52%93.81%
21.33% to 31.69%62.65%96.46%
31.69% to 42.05%41.77%98.23%
Greater than 42.05%41.77%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.21%14.42% 79.20%68.27%
±2σ -27.02%28.24% 95.58%95.45%
±3σ -40.83%42.05% 98.23%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.28 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.90%00.00%0.00%
-58.90% to -43.09%22.67%2.67%
-43.09% to -27.28%34.00%6.67%
-27.28% to -11.47%912.00%18.67%
-11.47% to 4.34%2330.67%49.33%
4.34% to 20.15%2229.33%78.67%
20.15% to 35.96%1317.33%96.00%
35.96% to 51.77%22.67%98.67%
51.77% to 67.58%00.00%98.67%
Greater than 67.58%11.33%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.74%25.42% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -37.82%46.50% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -58.90%67.58% 98.67%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.61. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.47 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -66.90%00.00%0.00%
-66.90% to -38.65%00.00%0.00%
-38.65% to -10.39%00.00%0.00%
-10.39% to 17.86%45.26%5.26%
17.86% to 46.11%4964.47%69.74%
46.11% to 74.36%1317.11%86.84%
74.36% to 102.62%45.26%92.11%
102.62% to 130.87%22.63%94.74%
130.87% to 159.12%22.63%97.37%
Greater than 159.12%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.44%83.78% 88.16%68.27%
±2σ -29.23%121.45% 93.42%95.45%
±3σ -66.90%159.12% 97.37%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -75.68%00.00%0.00%
-75.68% to -56.40%00.00%0.00%
-56.40% to -37.11%11.32%1.32%
-37.11% to -17.83%1418.42%19.74%
-17.83% to 1.45%3343.42%63.16%
1.45% to 20.74%1925.00%88.16%
20.74% to 40.02%45.26%93.42%
40.02% to 59.30%22.63%96.05%
59.30% to 78.59%11.32%97.37%
Greater than 78.59%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -24.26%27.16% 84.21%68.27%
±2σ -49.97%52.88% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -75.68%78.59% 97.37%99.73%