DAL 深度分析报告

Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 0.82% ($0.56) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2007-05-01 → 2026-04-01 (228 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 3.22% 3.26% 2.82% 3.45% 2.77% 2.90% 66.58 70.38 64.76 72.36
周度 7.05% 8.38% 6.91% 8.12% 6.11% 6.39% 64.39 72.76 60.58 77.34
月度 12.56% 19.67% 13.76% 17.75% 12.71% 13.29% 60.28 77.73 53.08 88.27
季度 21.08% 37.52% 25.71% 33.11% 22.02% 23.02% 54.92 85.31 44.07 106.33
Annual 44.04% 46.05% 44.07 106.33 28.37 165.17
Option Time Horizon 16.78% 17.55% 57.87 80.96 48.93 95.75
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:48 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $68.45  |  Strike (K): $70.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $4.0500 (Bid $3.9500 / Ask $4.1500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.82%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 44.04% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 44.40% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 46.05% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-26 $0.1880
2025-10-16 $0.1880
2025-07-31 $0.1880
2025-05-13 $0.1500
2025-02-27 $0.1500
2024-10-10 $0.1500
2024-07-30 $0.1500
2024-05-13 $0.1000
2024-02-23 $0.1000
2023-10-11 $0.1000
2023-07-14 $0.1000
2020-02-19 $0.4030
2019-10-23 $0.4030
2019-07-24 $0.4030
2019-05-01 $0.3500
2019-02-28 $0.3500
2018-11-06 $0.3500
2018-07-25 $0.3500
2018-05-10 $0.3050
2018-02-22 $0.3050
2017-11-16 $0.3050
2017-08-21 $0.3050
2017-05-17 $0.2030
2017-02-22 $0.2030
2016-11-08 $0.2030
2016-08-10 $0.2030
2016-05-09 $0.1350
2016-02-12 $0.1350
2015-11-04 $0.1350
2015-08-05 $0.1350
2015-05-06 $0.0900
2015-02-18 $0.0900
2014-11-05 $0.0900
2014-08-06 $0.0900
2014-05-07 $0.0600
2014-02-19 $0.0600
2013-11-04 $0.0600
2013-08-07 $0.0600
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.34. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.57%400.84%0.84%
-9.57% to -7.16%460.96%1.80%
-7.16% to -4.75%1292.70%4.50%
-4.75% to -2.33%49510.37%14.87%
-2.33% to 0.08%170535.71%50.59%
0.08% to 2.49%166034.77%85.36%
2.49% to 4.91%48810.22%95.58%
4.91% to 7.32%1212.53%98.11%
7.32% to 9.73%390.82%98.93%
Greater than 9.73%511.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.14%3.30% 80.73%68.27%
±2σ -6.35%6.51% 95.25%95.45%
±3σ -9.57%9.73% 98.09%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 28.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.84%00.00%0.00%
-5.84% to -3.40%00.00%0.00%
-3.40% to -0.95%00.00%0.00%
-0.95% to 1.49%3858.06%8.06%
1.49% to 3.94%287460.19%68.25%
3.94% to 6.38%92119.29%87.54%
6.38% to 8.83%2886.03%93.57%
8.83% to 11.27%1322.76%96.34%
11.27% to 13.72%741.55%97.88%
Greater than 13.72%1012.12%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.68%7.20% 89.97%68.27%
±2σ -2.58%10.46% 95.62%95.45%
±3σ -5.84%13.72% 97.88%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 11.32 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.36%290.61%0.61%
-8.36% to -6.24%501.05%1.65%
-6.24% to -4.12%1222.55%4.21%
-4.12% to -2.00%52510.99%15.20%
-2.00% to 0.11%176536.96%52.17%
0.11% to 2.23%160433.59%85.76%
2.23% to 4.35%4509.42%95.18%
4.35% to 6.46%1272.66%97.84%
6.46% to 8.58%531.11%98.95%
Greater than 8.58%501.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.71%2.94% 80.82%68.27%
±2σ -5.53%5.76% 95.08%95.45%
±3σ -8.36%8.58% 98.35%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.81. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.51 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.76%80.81%0.81%
-20.76% to -15.48%101.01%1.82%
-15.48% to -10.19%303.03%4.85%
-10.19% to -4.91%10310.40%15.25%
-4.91% to 0.38%35135.45%50.71%
0.38% to 5.67%34334.65%85.35%
5.67% to 10.95%989.90%95.25%
10.95% to 16.24%313.13%98.38%
16.24% to 21.52%60.61%98.99%
Greater than 21.52%101.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.67%7.43% 80.71%68.27%
±2σ -13.71%14.48% 95.15%95.45%
±3σ -20.76%21.52% 98.18%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.71. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 21.66 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.16%00.00%0.00%
-15.16% to -8.88%00.00%0.00%
-8.88% to -2.59%00.00%0.00%
-2.59% to 3.70%757.57%7.57%
3.70% to 9.98%61461.96%69.53%
9.98% to 16.27%18818.97%88.50%
16.27% to 22.56%525.25%93.74%
22.56% to 28.85%242.42%96.17%
28.85% to 35.13%171.72%97.88%
Greater than 35.13%212.12%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.60%18.37% 90.41%68.27%
±2σ -6.78%26.75% 95.06%95.45%
±3σ -15.16%35.13% 97.88%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.40. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 10.79 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.40%60.61%0.61%
-20.40% to -15.22%50.50%1.11%
-15.22% to -10.04%272.72%3.83%
-10.04% to -4.86%11611.71%15.54%
-4.86% to 0.33%37137.44%52.98%
0.33% to 5.51%33533.80%86.78%
5.51% to 10.69%737.37%94.15%
10.69% to 15.87%353.53%97.68%
15.87% to 21.06%80.81%98.49%
Greater than 21.06%151.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.58%7.24% 81.63%68.27%
±2σ -13.49%14.15% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -20.40%21.06% 97.88%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.01. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.61 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.24%20.88%0.88%
-36.24% to -26.82%52.20%3.08%
-26.82% to -17.41%52.20%5.29%
-17.41% to -7.99%3113.66%18.94%
-7.99% to 1.43%7432.60%51.54%
1.43% to 10.85%6528.63%80.18%
10.85% to 20.27%3414.98%95.15%
20.27% to 29.68%41.76%96.92%
29.68% to 39.10%62.64%99.56%
Greater than 39.10%10.44%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.13%13.99% 77.97%68.27%
±2σ -23.68%26.54% 93.39%95.45%
±3σ -36.24%39.10% 98.68%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.60. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 17.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -35.29%00.00%0.00%
-35.29% to -20.54%00.00%0.00%
-20.54% to -5.78%00.00%0.00%
-5.78% to 8.97%62.63%2.63%
8.97% to 23.73%15668.42%71.05%
23.73% to 38.48%3816.67%87.72%
38.48% to 53.23%156.58%94.30%
53.23% to 67.99%62.63%96.93%
67.99% to 82.75%00.00%96.93%
Greater than 82.75%73.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.05%43.40% 89.47%68.27%
±2σ -15.62%63.07% 96.05%95.45%
±3σ -35.29%82.74% 96.93%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.43. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.68%00.00%0.00%
-40.68% to -30.36%10.44%0.44%
-30.36% to -20.04%73.07%3.51%
-20.04% to -9.72%3515.35%18.86%
-9.72% to 0.59%8436.84%55.70%
0.59% to 10.91%7030.70%86.40%
10.91% to 21.23%177.46%93.86%
21.23% to 31.55%62.63%96.49%
31.55% to 41.87%41.75%98.25%
Greater than 41.87%41.75%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.16%14.35% 79.39%68.27%
±2σ -26.92%28.11% 95.18%95.45%
±3σ -40.68%41.87% 98.25%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.09. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.28 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.92%00.00%0.00%
-58.92% to -43.11%22.67%2.67%
-43.11% to -27.30%34.00%6.67%
-27.30% to -11.49%912.00%18.67%
-11.49% to 4.32%2432.00%50.67%
4.32% to 20.13%2128.00%78.67%
20.13% to 35.94%1317.33%96.00%
35.94% to 51.75%22.67%98.67%
51.75% to 67.56%00.00%98.67%
Greater than 67.56%11.33%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.76%25.40% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -37.84%46.48% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -58.92%67.56% 98.67%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.62. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -66.14%00.00%0.00%
-66.14% to -38.00%00.00%0.00%
-38.00% to -9.86%00.00%0.00%
-9.86% to 18.27%45.26%5.26%
18.27% to 46.41%4964.47%69.74%
46.41% to 74.55%1317.11%86.84%
74.55% to 102.68%45.26%92.11%
102.68% to 130.82%22.63%94.74%
130.82% to 158.95%22.63%97.37%
Greater than 158.95%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.89%83.92% 88.16%68.27%
±2σ -28.62%121.44% 93.42%95.45%
±3σ -66.14%158.95% 97.37%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.17. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -75.65%00.00%0.00%
-75.65% to -56.37%00.00%0.00%
-56.37% to -37.09%11.32%1.32%
-37.09% to -17.81%1418.42%19.74%
-17.81% to 1.47%3343.42%63.16%
1.47% to 20.75%1925.00%88.16%
20.75% to 40.03%45.26%93.42%
40.03% to 59.31%22.63%96.05%
59.31% to 78.60%11.32%97.37%
Greater than 78.60%22.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -24.24%27.18% 84.21%68.27%
±2σ -49.94%52.89% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -75.65%78.60% 97.37%99.73%