DG 深度分析报告

Dollar General Corporation | 分类: Equity Large Cap | 年化股息率: 1.93% ($2.36) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2009-11-01 → 2026-04-01 (198 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 1.84% 1.28% 1.49% 2.68% 2.78% 2.92% 117.40 124.12 114.18 127.62
周度 3.90% 3.63% 4.01% 6.36% 6.13% 6.43% 113.54 128.34 106.79 136.44
月度 7.80% 6.44% 8.21% 14.31% 12.75% 13.38% 106.26 137.13 93.54 155.78
季度 13.80% 12.67% 14.51% 27.76% 22.09% 23.18% 96.79 150.54 77.61 187.75
Annual 44.17% 46.36% 77.61 187.75 49.89 292.03
Option Time Horizon 16.83% 17.67% 102.01 142.84 86.21 169.02
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:47 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $120.71  |  Strike (K): $125.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $6.4750 (Bid $6.2000 / Ask $6.7500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.93%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 44.17% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 44.71% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 46.36% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-04-07 $0.5900
2026-01-06 $0.5900
2025-10-07 $0.5900
2025-07-08 $0.5900
2025-04-08 $0.5900
2025-01-07 $0.5900
2024-10-08 $0.5900
2024-07-09 $0.5900
2024-04-08 $0.5900
2024-01-08 $0.5900
2023-10-06 $0.5900
2023-07-10 $0.5900
2023-04-10 $0.5900
2022-12-30 $0.5500
2022-10-03 $0.5500
2022-07-01 $0.5500
2022-04-04 $0.5500
2022-01-03 $0.4200
2021-10-04 $0.4200
2021-07-02 $0.4200
2021-04-05 $0.4200
2021-01-04 $0.3600
2020-10-05 $0.3600
2020-07-06 $0.3600
2020-04-06 $0.3600
2020-01-06 $0.3200
2019-10-07 $0.3200
2019-07-08 $0.3200
2019-04-08 $0.3200
2019-01-07 $0.2900
2018-10-05 $0.2900
2018-07-09 $0.2900
2018-04-09 $0.2900
2018-01-08 $0.2600
2017-10-06 $0.2600
2017-07-07 $0.2600
2017-04-07 $0.2600
2016-12-19 $0.2500
2016-09-12 $0.2500
2016-06-13 $0.2500
2016-03-24 $0.2500
2015-12-21 $0.2200
2015-09-14 $0.2200
2015-06-15 $0.2200
2015-04-06 $0.2200
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Left Skewed (Extreme 负向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of -1.45. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 34.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.45%260.63%0.63%
-5.45% to -4.07%300.73%1.35%
-4.07% to -2.69%1152.78%4.14%
-2.69% to -1.32%45210.93%15.07%
-1.32% to 0.06%147335.63%50.70%
0.06% to 1.44%140634.01%84.71%
1.44% to 2.81%46311.20%95.91%
2.81% to 4.19%1122.71%98.62%
4.19% to 5.57%340.82%99.44%
Greater than 5.57%230.56%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.78%1.90% 80.58%68.27%
±2σ -3.61%3.73% 96.08%95.45%
±3σ -5.45%5.57% 98.81%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.92. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 16.34 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.62%00.00%0.00%
-1.62% to -0.65%00.00%0.00%
-0.65% to 0.31%00.00%0.00%
0.31% to 1.27%68716.61%16.61%
1.27% to 2.23%191246.24%62.85%
2.23% to 3.19%89721.69%84.55%
3.19% to 4.16%3668.85%93.40%
4.16% to 5.12%1413.41%96.81%
5.12% to 6.08%571.38%98.19%
Greater than 6.08%751.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.95%3.52% 83.65%68.27%
±2σ -0.33%4.80% 95.72%95.45%
±3σ -1.62%6.08% 98.19%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.33. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.48%230.56%0.56%
-4.48% to -3.36%491.19%1.74%
-3.36% to -2.24%1473.56%5.30%
-2.24% to -1.12%51412.43%17.73%
-1.12% to -0.01%137033.13%50.86%
-0.01% to 1.11%129731.37%82.22%
1.11% to 2.23%50412.19%94.41%
2.23% to 3.35%1623.92%98.33%
3.35% to 4.46%390.94%99.27%
Greater than 4.46%300.73%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.50%1.48% 75.99%68.27%
±2σ -2.99%2.97% 94.97%95.45%
±3σ -4.48%4.46% 98.72%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (负向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of -0.68. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.41%60.70%0.70%
-11.41% to -8.48%60.70%1.40%
-8.48% to -5.56%192.21%3.61%
-5.56% to -2.64%11513.40%17.02%
-2.64% to 0.29%30435.43%52.45%
0.29% to 3.21%26030.30%82.75%
3.21% to 6.13%10812.59%95.34%
6.13% to 9.06%232.68%98.02%
9.06% to 11.98%91.05%99.07%
Greater than 11.98%80.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.61%4.19% 79.14%68.27%
±2σ -7.51%8.08% 95.80%95.45%
±3σ -11.41%11.98% 98.37%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.57. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 39.59 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.35%00.00%0.00%
-5.35% to -2.63%00.00%0.00%
-2.63% to 0.09%00.00%0.00%
0.09% to 2.82%9911.53%11.53%
2.82% to 5.54%45052.39%63.91%
5.54% to 8.26%19923.17%87.08%
8.26% to 10.99%606.98%94.06%
10.99% to 13.71%293.38%97.44%
13.71% to 16.43%101.16%98.60%
Greater than 16.43%121.40%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.91%9.17% 89.17%68.27%
±2σ -1.72%12.80% 96.86%95.45%
±3σ -5.35%16.43% 98.60%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.78. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 32.18 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.11%40.47%0.47%
-12.11% to -9.10%91.05%1.51%
-9.10% to -6.08%161.86%3.38%
-6.08% to -3.07%10311.99%15.37%
-3.07% to -0.06%31736.90%52.27%
-0.06% to 2.95%28132.71%84.98%
2.95% to 5.96%10311.99%96.97%
5.96% to 8.97%161.86%98.84%
8.97% to 11.98%40.47%99.30%
Greater than 11.98%60.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.08%3.95% 81.26%68.27%
±2σ -8.09%7.97% 96.39%95.45%
±3σ -12.11%11.98% 98.84%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (负向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of -0.57. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.94 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.17%42.03%2.03%
-22.17% to -16.32%10.51%2.54%
-16.32% to -10.47%42.03%4.57%
-10.47% to -4.62%2814.21%18.78%
-4.62% to 1.23%6130.96%49.75%
1.23% to 7.08%5829.44%79.19%
7.08% to 12.93%3015.23%94.42%
12.93% to 18.78%105.08%99.49%
18.78% to 24.63%10.51%100.00%
Greater than 24.63%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.57%9.03% 73.60%68.27%
±2σ -14.37%16.83% 95.43%95.45%
±3σ -22.17%24.63% 97.97%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.31. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.17 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.58%00.00%0.00%
-6.58% to -1.75%00.00%0.00%
-1.75% to 3.08%00.00%0.00%
3.08% to 7.91%3517.68%17.68%
7.91% to 12.74%8341.92%59.60%
12.74% to 17.57%4924.75%84.34%
17.57% to 22.40%189.09%93.43%
22.40% to 27.23%52.53%95.96%
27.23% to 32.06%21.01%96.97%
Greater than 32.06%63.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 6.30%19.18% 81.31%68.27%
±2σ -0.14%25.62% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -6.58%32.06% 96.97%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.60. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.18%00.00%0.00%
-25.18% to -19.03%00.00%0.00%
-19.03% to -12.87%94.55%4.55%
-12.87% to -6.72%2713.64%18.18%
-6.72% to -0.56%6934.85%53.03%
-0.56% to 5.59%6130.81%83.84%
5.59% to 11.75%2412.12%95.96%
11.75% to 17.90%31.52%97.47%
17.90% to 24.06%10.51%97.98%
Greater than 24.06%42.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.77%7.64% 76.26%68.27%
±2σ -16.97%15.85% 96.97%95.45%
±3σ -25.18%24.06% 97.98%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.11. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.44 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.68%00.00%0.00%
-37.68% to -27.33%23.08%3.08%
-27.33% to -16.98%23.08%6.15%
-16.98% to -6.63%57.69%13.85%
-6.63% to 3.72%1929.23%43.08%
3.72% to 14.07%2741.54%84.62%
14.07% to 24.42%69.23%93.85%
24.42% to 34.77%34.62%98.46%
34.77% to 45.12%00.00%98.46%
Greater than 45.12%11.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.08%17.52% 78.46%68.27%
±2σ -23.88%31.32% 92.31%95.45%
±3σ -37.68%45.12% 98.46%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.62. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.70 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.03%00.00%0.00%
-13.03% to -3.53%00.00%0.00%
-3.53% to 5.98%00.00%0.00%
5.98% to 15.48%1319.70%19.70%
15.48% to 24.98%2943.94%63.64%
24.98% to 34.49%1116.67%80.30%
34.49% to 43.99%812.12%92.42%
43.99% to 53.50%23.03%95.45%
53.50% to 63.00%23.03%98.48%
Greater than 63.00%11.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.31%37.66% 78.79%68.27%
±2σ -0.36%50.33% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -13.03%63.00% 98.48%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.43. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.32 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.02%00.00%0.00%
-45.02% to -34.14%00.00%0.00%
-34.14% to -23.25%23.03%3.03%
-23.25% to -12.37%69.09%12.12%
-12.37% to -1.49%3350.00%62.12%
-1.49% to 9.39%1725.76%87.88%
9.39% to 20.28%46.06%93.94%
20.28% to 31.16%11.52%95.45%
31.16% to 42.04%11.52%96.97%
Greater than 42.04%23.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.00%13.02% 78.79%68.27%
±2σ -30.51%27.53% 92.42%95.45%
±3σ -45.02%42.04% 96.97%99.73%