DG Deep Analytical Report

Dollar General Corporation | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.90% ($2.36) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2009-11-01 → 2026-03-01 (197 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.83% 1.28% 1.49% 2.65% 2.44% 2.57% 121.29 127.37 118.36 130.52
Weekly 3.89% 3.64% 4.01% 6.29% 5.38% 5.66% 117.78 131.16 111.61 138.41
Monthly 7.75% 6.36% 8.12% 14.23% 11.20% 11.78% 111.12 139.02 99.34 155.50
Quarterly 13.74% 12.58% 14.43% 27.48% 19.40% 20.41% 102.37 150.91 84.31 183.22
Annual 38.81% 40.82% 84.31 183.22 57.20 270.09
Option Time Horizon 14.65% 15.41% 107.36 143.90 92.73 166.60
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:38 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $124.29  |  Strike (K): $125.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.0250 (Bid $6.6000 / Ask $7.4500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.90%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 38.81% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 38.63% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 40.82% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-06 $0.5900
2025-10-07 $0.5900
2025-07-08 $0.5900
2025-04-08 $0.5900
2025-01-07 $0.5900
2024-10-08 $0.5900
2024-07-09 $0.5900
2024-04-08 $0.5900
2024-01-08 $0.5900
2023-10-06 $0.5900
2023-07-10 $0.5900
2023-04-10 $0.5900
2022-12-30 $0.5500
2022-10-03 $0.5500
2022-07-01 $0.5500
2022-04-04 $0.5500
2022-01-03 $0.4200
2021-10-04 $0.4200
2021-07-02 $0.4200
2021-04-05 $0.4200
2021-01-04 $0.3600
2020-10-05 $0.3600
2020-07-06 $0.3600
2020-04-06 $0.3600
2020-01-06 $0.3200
2019-10-07 $0.3200
2019-07-08 $0.3200
2019-04-08 $0.3200
2019-01-07 $0.2900
2018-10-05 $0.2900
2018-07-09 $0.2900
2018-04-09 $0.2900
2018-01-08 $0.2600
2017-10-06 $0.2600
2017-07-07 $0.2600
2017-04-07 $0.2600
2016-12-19 $0.2500
2016-09-12 $0.2500
2016-06-13 $0.2500
2016-03-24 $0.2500
2015-12-21 $0.2200
2015-09-14 $0.2200
2015-06-15 $0.2200
2015-04-06 $0.2200
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Left Skewed (Extreme Negative Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of -1.46. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 34.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.44%250.61%0.61%
-5.44% to -4.06%300.73%1.34%
-4.06% to -2.69%1142.77%4.11%
-2.69% to -1.31%45010.95%15.06%
-1.31% to 0.06%146635.66%50.72%
0.06% to 1.44%140134.08%84.80%
1.44% to 2.81%45611.09%95.89%
2.81% to 4.19%1132.75%98.64%
4.19% to 5.56%320.78%99.42%
Greater than 5.56%240.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.77%1.90% 80.56%68.27%
±2σ -3.60%3.73% 96.11%95.45%
±3σ -5.44%5.56% 98.83%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.47 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.62%00.00%0.00%
-1.62% to -0.66%00.00%0.00%
-0.66% to 0.30%00.00%0.00%
0.30% to 1.26%66916.27%16.27%
1.26% to 2.23%191946.67%62.94%
2.23% to 3.19%89421.74%84.68%
3.19% to 4.15%3608.75%93.43%
4.15% to 5.12%1383.36%96.79%
5.12% to 6.08%571.39%98.18%
Greater than 6.08%751.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.94%3.51% 83.78%68.27%
±2σ -0.34%4.79% 95.72%95.45%
±3σ -1.63%6.08% 98.18%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.34. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.51 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.46%230.56%0.56%
-4.46% to -3.35%481.17%1.73%
-3.35% to -2.24%1443.50%5.23%
-2.24% to -1.12%51412.50%17.73%
-1.12% to -0.01%136233.12%50.85%
-0.01% to 1.11%129531.49%82.34%
1.11% to 2.22%49712.09%94.43%
2.22% to 3.34%1593.87%98.30%
3.34% to 4.45%400.97%99.27%
Greater than 4.45%300.73%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.49%1.48% 75.95%68.27%
±2σ -2.98%2.96% 94.94%95.45%
±3σ -4.46%4.45% 98.71%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.69. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.15 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.37%60.70%0.70%
-11.37% to -8.45%60.70%1.41%
-8.45% to -5.54%182.11%3.52%
-5.54% to -2.62%11313.25%16.76%
-2.62% to 0.29%30435.64%52.40%
0.29% to 3.21%26030.48%82.88%
3.21% to 6.12%10512.31%95.19%
6.12% to 9.04%242.81%98.01%
9.04% to 11.95%91.06%99.06%
Greater than 11.95%80.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.60%4.18% 79.48%68.27%
±2σ -7.48%8.07% 95.90%95.45%
±3σ -11.37%11.95% 98.36%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.58. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 39.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.38%00.00%0.00%
-5.38% to -2.65%00.00%0.00%
-2.65% to 0.07%00.00%0.00%
0.07% to 2.80%9811.48%11.48%
2.80% to 5.53%45052.69%64.17%
5.53% to 8.26%19723.07%87.24%
8.26% to 10.99%586.79%94.03%
10.99% to 13.71%293.40%97.42%
13.71% to 16.44%101.17%98.59%
Greater than 16.44%121.41%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.89%9.17% 89.23%68.27%
±2σ -1.75%12.81% 96.84%95.45%
±3σ -5.38%16.44% 98.59%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.80. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.50 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.10%40.47%0.47%
-12.10% to -9.09%91.05%1.52%
-9.09% to -6.08%161.87%3.40%
-6.08% to -3.07%10211.94%15.34%
-3.07% to -0.06%31637.00%52.34%
-0.06% to 2.94%28132.90%85.25%
2.94% to 5.95%10011.71%96.96%
5.95% to 8.96%161.87%98.83%
8.96% to 11.97%40.47%99.30%
Greater than 11.97%60.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.08%3.95% 81.50%68.27%
±2σ -8.09%7.96% 96.37%95.45%
±3σ -12.10%11.97% 98.83%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.52. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.77 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.01%31.53%1.53%
-22.01% to -16.20%21.02%2.55%
-16.20% to -10.38%42.04%4.59%
-10.38% to -4.57%2814.29%18.88%
-4.57% to 1.25%6131.12%50.00%
1.25% to 7.06%5729.08%79.08%
7.06% to 12.88%3015.31%94.39%
12.88% to 18.69%105.10%99.49%
18.69% to 24.51%10.51%100.00%
Greater than 24.51%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.51%9.00% 73.47%68.27%
±2σ -14.26%16.76% 95.41%95.45%
±3σ -22.01%24.51% 98.47%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.29. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.37 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.36%00.00%0.00%
-6.36% to -1.59%00.00%0.00%
-1.59% to 3.18%00.00%0.00%
3.18% to 7.95%3618.27%18.27%
7.95% to 12.71%8141.12%59.39%
12.71% to 17.48%4924.87%84.26%
17.48% to 22.25%189.14%93.40%
22.25% to 27.02%52.54%95.94%
27.02% to 31.79%31.52%97.46%
Greater than 31.79%52.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 6.36%19.07% 81.22%68.27%
±2σ -0.00%25.43% 95.43%95.45%
±3σ -6.36%31.79% 97.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.53. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.94%00.00%0.00%
-24.94% to -18.86%00.00%0.00%
-18.86% to -12.77%94.57%4.57%
-12.77% to -6.68%2713.71%18.27%
-6.68% to -0.60%6935.03%53.30%
-0.60% to 5.49%5728.93%82.23%
5.49% to 11.58%2713.71%95.94%
11.58% to 17.66%31.52%97.46%
17.66% to 23.75%10.51%97.97%
Greater than 23.75%42.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.71%7.52% 75.13%68.27%
±2σ -16.83%15.64% 96.95%95.45%
±3σ -24.94%23.75% 97.97%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.49 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -37.46%00.00%0.00%
-37.46% to -27.15%23.08%3.08%
-27.15% to -16.85%23.08%6.15%
-16.85% to -6.54%69.23%15.38%
-6.54% to 3.77%1929.23%44.62%
3.77% to 14.07%2640.00%84.62%
14.07% to 24.38%69.23%93.85%
24.38% to 34.68%34.62%98.46%
34.68% to 44.99%00.00%98.46%
Greater than 44.99%11.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.97%17.51% 78.46%68.27%
±2σ -23.72%31.25% 92.31%95.45%
±3σ -37.46%44.99% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.67. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.93 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.89%00.00%0.00%
-12.89% to -3.46%00.00%0.00%
-3.46% to 5.98%00.00%0.00%
5.98% to 15.41%1319.70%19.70%
15.41% to 24.85%2842.42%62.12%
24.85% to 34.28%1319.70%81.82%
34.28% to 43.72%710.61%92.42%
43.72% to 53.15%23.03%95.45%
53.15% to 62.59%00.00%95.45%
Greater than 62.59%34.55%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.27%37.43% 80.30%68.27%
±2σ -0.31%50.01% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -12.89%62.59% 95.45%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.44. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.45 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.84%00.00%0.00%
-44.84% to -34.02%00.00%0.00%
-34.02% to -23.20%23.03%3.03%
-23.20% to -12.37%69.09%12.12%
-12.37% to -1.55%3350.00%62.12%
-1.55% to 9.27%1725.76%87.88%
9.27% to 20.10%46.06%93.94%
20.10% to 30.92%00.00%93.94%
30.92% to 41.74%23.03%96.97%
Greater than 41.74%23.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.98%12.88% 78.79%68.27%
±2σ -30.41%27.31% 92.42%95.45%
±3σ -44.84%41.74% 96.97%99.73%