DG Deep Analytical Report

Dollar General Corporation | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.55% ($2.36) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2009-11-01 → 2026-02-01 (196 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.83% 1.28% 1.49% 2.65% 2.64% 2.84% 146.72 154.67 142.90 158.80
Weekly 3.88% 3.62% 4.00% 6.28% 5.81% 6.24% 142.14 159.65 134.12 169.20
Monthly 7.61% 6.29% 7.93% 14.10% 12.09% 12.99% 133.48 170.00 118.28 191.86
Quarterly 13.58% 12.73% 14.29% 26.67% 20.95% 22.50% 122.17 185.74 99.08 229.02
Annual 41.89% 45.01% 99.08 229.02 65.17 348.19
Option Time Horizon 16.11% 17.31% 128.22 176.98 109.14 207.92
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:21 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $150.64  |  Strike (K): $155.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $8.0750 (Bid $7.5500 / Ask $8.6000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.55%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 41.89% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 42.36% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 45.01% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-06 $0.5900
2025-10-07 $0.5900
2025-07-08 $0.5900
2025-04-08 $0.5900
2025-01-07 $0.5900
2024-10-08 $0.5900
2024-07-09 $0.5900
2024-04-08 $0.5900
2024-01-08 $0.5900
2023-10-06 $0.5900
2023-07-10 $0.5900
2023-04-10 $0.5900
2022-12-30 $0.5500
2022-10-03 $0.5500
2022-07-01 $0.5500
2022-04-04 $0.5500
2022-01-03 $0.4200
2021-10-04 $0.4200
2021-07-02 $0.4200
2021-04-05 $0.4200
2021-01-04 $0.3600
2020-10-05 $0.3600
2020-07-06 $0.3600
2020-04-06 $0.3600
2020-01-06 $0.3200
2019-10-07 $0.3200
2019-07-08 $0.3200
2019-04-08 $0.3200
2019-01-07 $0.2900
2018-10-05 $0.2900
2018-07-09 $0.2900
2018-04-09 $0.2900
2018-01-08 $0.2600
2017-10-06 $0.2600
2017-07-07 $0.2600
2017-04-07 $0.2600
2016-12-19 $0.2500
2016-09-12 $0.2500
2016-06-13 $0.2500
2016-03-24 $0.2500
2015-12-21 $0.2200
2015-09-14 $0.2200
2015-06-15 $0.2200
2015-04-06 $0.2200
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Left Skewed (Extreme Negative Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of -1.47. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 35.31 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.43%250.61%0.61%
-5.43% to -4.05%290.71%1.32%
-4.05% to -2.68%1122.74%4.06%
-2.68% to -1.31%44910.98%15.04%
-1.31% to 0.07%146635.84%50.88%
0.07% to 1.44%138833.94%84.82%
1.44% to 2.81%45311.08%95.89%
2.81% to 4.19%1122.74%98.63%
4.19% to 5.56%320.78%99.41%
Greater than 5.56%240.59%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.76%1.90% 80.61%68.27%
±2σ -3.59%3.73% 96.11%95.45%
±3σ -5.43%5.56% 98.80%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.95. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.61 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.62%00.00%0.00%
-1.62% to -0.66%00.00%0.00%
-0.66% to 0.30%00.00%0.00%
0.30% to 1.26%66316.21%16.21%
1.26% to 2.22%191646.83%63.04%
2.22% to 3.18%88921.73%84.77%
3.18% to 4.14%3528.60%93.38%
4.14% to 5.10%1383.37%96.75%
5.10% to 6.07%591.44%98.19%
Greater than 6.07%741.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.94%3.50% 83.84%68.27%
±2σ -0.34%4.78% 95.67%95.45%
±3σ -1.62%6.06% 98.19%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.34. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.57 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.46%230.56%0.56%
-4.46% to -3.35%481.17%1.74%
-3.35% to -2.24%1433.50%5.23%
-2.24% to -1.12%51012.47%17.70%
-1.12% to -0.01%135533.12%50.82%
-0.01% to 1.10%129231.58%82.40%
1.10% to 2.22%49412.08%94.48%
2.22% to 3.33%1573.84%98.31%
3.33% to 4.45%390.95%99.27%
Greater than 4.45%300.73%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.49%1.48% 76.02%68.27%
±2σ -2.98%2.96% 94.99%95.45%
±3σ -4.46%4.45% 98.70%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.70. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.35 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.31%60.71%0.71%
-11.31% to -8.40%60.71%1.41%
-8.40% to -5.50%161.88%3.30%
-5.50% to -2.59%11513.55%16.84%
-2.59% to 0.32%30135.45%52.30%
0.32% to 3.22%25930.51%82.80%
3.22% to 6.13%10512.37%95.17%
6.13% to 9.03%242.83%98.00%
9.03% to 11.94%91.06%99.06%
Greater than 11.94%80.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.56%4.19% 79.62%68.27%
±2σ -7.43%8.06% 95.88%95.45%
±3σ -11.31%11.94% 98.35%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 40.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.36%00.00%0.00%
-5.36% to -2.64%00.00%0.00%
-2.64% to 0.07%00.00%0.00%
0.07% to 2.79%9811.53%11.53%
2.79% to 5.51%44352.12%63.65%
5.51% to 8.22%19823.29%86.94%
8.22% to 10.94%617.18%94.12%
10.94% to 13.66%283.29%97.41%
13.66% to 16.37%91.06%98.47%
Greater than 16.37%131.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.89%9.13% 89.53%68.27%
±2σ -1.74%12.75% 96.94%95.45%
±3σ -5.36%16.37% 98.47%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.83. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 33.07 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.09%40.47%0.47%
-12.09% to -9.09%91.06%1.53%
-9.09% to -6.09%161.88%3.41%
-6.09% to -3.09%10111.88%15.29%
-3.09% to -0.09%31236.71%52.00%
-0.09% to 2.92%28233.18%85.18%
2.92% to 5.92%10111.88%97.06%
5.92% to 8.92%151.76%98.82%
8.92% to 11.92%40.47%99.29%
Greater than 11.92%60.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.09%3.92% 81.41%68.27%
±2σ -8.09%7.92% 96.47%95.45%
±3σ -12.09%11.92% 98.82%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.47. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.87 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.48%31.54%1.54%
-21.48% to -15.78%10.51%2.05%
-15.78% to -10.07%42.05%4.10%
-10.07% to -4.37%3216.41%20.51%
-4.37% to 1.34%5729.23%49.74%
1.34% to 7.04%5829.74%79.49%
7.04% to 12.75%2914.87%94.36%
12.75% to 18.45%94.62%98.97%
18.45% to 24.16%21.03%100.00%
Greater than 24.16%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.27%8.94% 72.31%68.27%
±2σ -13.87%16.55% 95.90%95.45%
±3σ -21.48%24.16% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.35. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.23%00.00%0.00%
-6.23% to -1.52%00.00%0.00%
-1.52% to 3.20%00.00%0.00%
3.20% to 7.91%3517.86%17.86%
7.91% to 12.62%8241.84%59.69%
12.62% to 17.34%4723.98%83.67%
17.34% to 22.05%2010.20%93.88%
22.05% to 26.77%52.55%96.43%
26.77% to 31.48%21.02%97.45%
Greater than 31.48%52.55%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 6.34%18.91% 80.61%68.27%
±2σ 0.05%25.20% 95.92%95.45%
±3σ -6.23%31.48% 97.45%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.50%00.00%0.00%
-24.50% to -18.55%00.00%0.00%
-18.55% to -12.60%94.59%4.59%
-12.60% to -6.65%2713.78%18.37%
-6.65% to -0.70%6834.69%53.06%
-0.70% to 5.25%5528.06%81.12%
5.25% to 11.20%2914.80%95.92%
11.20% to 17.15%42.04%97.96%
17.15% to 23.10%10.51%98.47%
Greater than 23.10%31.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.64%7.23% 74.49%68.27%
±2σ -16.57%15.17% 97.45%95.45%
±3σ -24.50%23.10% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.14. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.68 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.70%00.00%0.00%
-36.70% to -26.51%34.62%4.62%
-26.51% to -16.33%11.54%6.15%
-16.33% to -6.14%57.69%13.85%
-6.14% to 4.04%2030.77%44.62%
4.04% to 14.23%2741.54%86.15%
14.23% to 24.41%57.69%93.85%
24.41% to 34.60%34.62%98.46%
34.60% to 44.78%00.00%98.46%
Greater than 44.78%11.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.54%17.62% 80.00%68.27%
±2σ -23.12%31.20% 90.77%95.45%
±3σ -36.70%44.78% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.87 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.64%00.00%0.00%
-13.64% to -4.09%00.00%0.00%
-4.09% to 5.45%00.00%0.00%
5.45% to 14.99%1421.21%21.21%
14.99% to 24.54%2842.42%63.64%
24.54% to 34.08%1218.18%81.82%
34.08% to 43.63%710.61%92.42%
43.63% to 53.17%23.03%95.45%
53.17% to 62.72%11.52%96.97%
Greater than 62.72%23.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.81%37.27% 81.82%68.27%
±2σ -0.91%49.99% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -13.64%62.72% 96.97%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.53. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.70%00.00%0.00%
-44.70% to -33.99%00.00%0.00%
-33.99% to -23.28%23.03%3.03%
-23.28% to -12.56%69.09%12.12%
-12.56% to -1.85%3451.52%63.64%
-1.85% to 8.87%1624.24%87.88%
8.87% to 19.58%46.06%93.94%
19.58% to 30.30%00.00%93.94%
30.30% to 41.01%23.03%96.97%
Greater than 41.01%23.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.13%12.44% 80.30%68.27%
±2σ -30.42%26.72% 92.42%95.45%
±3σ -44.70%41.01% 96.97%99.73%