EXPE Deep Analytical Report

Expedia Group, Inc. | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.68% ($1.60) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2005-07-01 → 2026-03-01 (249 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.82% 2.15% 2.14% 3.57% 3.66% 3.67% 227.97 245.31 219.77 254.46
Weekly 6.27% 7.01% 6.85% 8.57% 8.07% 8.08% 218.15 256.35 201.24 277.89
Monthly 12.54% 15.50% 14.39% 18.69% 16.79% 16.82% 199.92 279.72 169.02 330.87
Quarterly 21.37% 28.64% 24.20% 34.20% 29.09% 29.14% 176.79 316.32 132.17 423.10
Annual 58.18% 58.28% 132.17 423.10 73.87 757.00
Option Time Horizon 21.96% 22.00% 189.86 294.55 152.43 366.88
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:37 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $236.48  |  Strike (K): $240.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $19.5500 (Bid $18.5000 / Ask $20.6000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.68%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 58.18% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 58.18% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 58.28% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-05 $0.4800
2025-11-19 $0.4000
2025-08-28 $0.4000
2025-05-29 $0.4000
2025-03-06 $0.4000
2020-03-09 $0.3400
2019-11-18 $0.3400
2019-08-21 $0.3400
2019-05-22 $0.3200
2019-03-06 $0.3200
2018-11-14 $0.3200
2018-08-22 $0.3200
2018-05-23 $0.3000
2018-03-07 $0.3000
2017-11-15 $0.3000
2017-08-22 $0.3000
2017-05-23 $0.2800
2017-03-07 $0.2800
2016-11-15 $0.2600
2016-08-23 $0.2600
2016-05-24 $0.2400
2016-03-08 $0.2400
2015-11-17 $0.2400
2015-08-25 $0.2400
2015-05-26 $0.1800
2015-03-06 $0.1800
2014-11-18 $0.1800
2014-08-25 $0.1800
2014-05-28 $0.1500
2014-03-06 $0.1500
2013-11-19 $0.1500
2013-08-26 $0.1500
2013-05-28 $0.1300
2013-03-07 $0.1300
2012-12-13 $0.5200
2012-11-14 $0.1300
2012-08-24 $0.1300
2012-05-25 $0.0900
2012-03-08 $0.0900
2011-12-21 $15.1250
2011-11-16 $0.1400
2011-08-24 $0.1400
2011-05-25 $0.1400
2011-03-09 $0.1400
2010-11-16 $0.1400
2010-08-24 $0.1400
2010-05-25 $0.1400
2010-03-09 $0.1400
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.20. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.39%330.63%0.63%
-8.39% to -6.27%400.77%1.40%
-6.27% to -4.15%1092.10%3.50%
-4.15% to -2.04%55010.58%14.08%
-2.04% to 0.08%189836.51%50.59%
0.08% to 2.20%184535.49%86.07%
2.20% to 4.31%52210.04%96.11%
4.31% to 6.43%1202.31%98.42%
6.43% to 8.54%350.67%99.10%
Greater than 8.54%470.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.74%2.90% 82.34%68.27%
±2σ -5.57%5.72% 95.98%95.45%
±3σ -8.39%8.55% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.17 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.22%00.00%0.00%
-3.22% to -1.61%00.00%0.00%
-1.61% to 0.00%00.00%0.00%
0.00% to 1.61%77114.83%14.83%
1.61% to 3.22%256249.27%64.10%
3.22% to 4.83%114622.04%86.13%
4.83% to 6.44%3937.56%93.69%
6.44% to 8.05%1552.98%96.67%
8.05% to 9.66%701.35%98.02%
Greater than 9.66%1031.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.08%5.37% 86.96%68.27%
±2σ -1.07%7.51% 95.94%95.45%
±3σ -3.22%9.66% 98.02%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.38. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.43%400.77%0.77%
-6.43% to -4.83%430.83%1.60%
-4.83% to -3.22%1853.56%5.15%
-3.22% to -1.62%61311.79%16.94%
-1.62% to -0.01%172633.19%50.13%
-0.01% to 1.59%174933.63%83.77%
1.59% to 3.20%55810.73%94.50%
3.20% to 4.80%1863.58%98.08%
4.80% to 6.41%621.19%99.27%
Greater than 6.41%380.73%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.15%2.13% 77.75%68.27%
±2σ -4.29%4.27% 95.17%95.45%
±3σ -6.43%6.41% 98.50%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.29. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.67 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.44%90.83%0.83%
-18.44% to -13.73%111.02%1.86%
-13.73% to -9.03%312.88%4.73%
-9.03% to -4.32%11510.67%15.40%
-4.32% to 0.38%37134.42%49.81%
0.38% to 5.09%38535.71%85.53%
5.09% to 9.79%1039.55%95.08%
9.79% to 14.50%322.97%98.05%
14.50% to 19.21%121.11%99.17%
Greater than 19.21%90.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.89%6.66% 79.87%68.27%
±2σ -12.16%12.93% 94.34%95.45%
±3σ -18.44%19.21% 98.33%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.00. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 49.89 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.47%00.00%0.00%
-12.47% to -7.21%00.00%0.00%
-7.21% to -1.96%00.00%0.00%
-1.96% to 3.30%797.32%7.32%
3.30% to 8.55%64759.96%67.28%
8.55% to 13.81%21319.74%87.03%
13.81% to 19.06%736.77%93.79%
19.06% to 24.32%363.34%97.13%
24.32% to 29.57%131.20%98.33%
Greater than 29.57%181.67%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.54%15.56% 89.90%68.27%
±2σ -5.46%22.57% 96.48%95.45%
±3σ -12.47%29.57% 98.33%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.13 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.42%30.28%0.28%
-20.42% to -15.28%70.65%0.93%
-15.28% to -10.14%272.50%3.43%
-10.14% to -5.01%1019.36%12.79%
-5.01% to 0.13%45542.17%54.96%
0.13% to 5.27%35232.62%87.58%
5.27% to 10.41%867.97%95.55%
10.41% to 15.55%262.41%97.96%
15.55% to 20.68%121.11%99.07%
Greater than 20.68%100.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.72%6.98% 83.69%68.27%
±2σ -13.57%13.83% 95.55%95.45%
±3σ -20.42%20.69% 98.80%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.89 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.01%20.81%0.81%
-36.01% to -26.61%41.61%2.42%
-26.61% to -17.20%104.03%6.45%
-17.20% to -7.80%2911.69%18.15%
-7.80% to 1.60%7831.45%49.60%
1.60% to 11.01%7731.05%80.65%
11.01% to 20.41%3212.90%93.55%
20.41% to 29.81%104.03%97.58%
29.81% to 39.21%41.61%99.19%
Greater than 39.21%20.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.93%14.14% 77.02%68.27%
±2σ -23.47%26.68% 92.34%95.45%
±3σ -36.01%39.21% 98.39%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.26%00.00%0.00%
-26.26% to -14.64%00.00%0.00%
-14.64% to -3.01%00.00%0.00%
-3.01% to 8.62%2510.04%10.04%
8.62% to 20.24%14457.83%67.87%
20.24% to 31.87%4819.28%87.15%
31.87% to 43.49%145.62%92.77%
43.49% to 55.12%114.42%97.19%
55.12% to 66.74%52.01%99.20%
Greater than 66.74%20.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.74%35.74% 91.16%68.27%
±2σ -10.76%51.24% 95.58%95.45%
±3σ -26.26%66.74% 99.20%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.81%00.00%0.00%
-42.81% to -32.02%10.40%0.40%
-32.02% to -21.23%83.21%3.61%
-21.23% to -10.43%3012.05%15.66%
-10.43% to 0.36%10341.37%57.03%
0.36% to 11.15%7329.32%86.35%
11.15% to 21.94%208.03%94.38%
21.94% to 32.73%62.41%96.79%
32.73% to 43.53%52.01%98.80%
Greater than 43.53%31.20%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.03%14.75% 81.53%68.27%
±2σ -28.42%29.14% 95.18%95.45%
±3σ -42.81%43.53% 98.80%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.00. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.03 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -59.39%00.00%0.00%
-59.39% to -43.36%11.20%1.20%
-43.36% to -27.33%56.02%7.23%
-27.33% to -11.30%1315.66%22.89%
-11.30% to 4.73%2125.30%48.19%
4.73% to 20.75%2428.92%77.11%
20.75% to 36.78%1416.87%93.98%
36.78% to 52.81%44.82%98.80%
52.81% to 68.84%11.20%100.00%
Greater than 68.84%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.65%26.10% 67.47%68.27%
±2σ -38.02%47.47% 93.98%95.45%
±3σ -59.39%68.84% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.25 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.64%00.00%0.00%
-45.64% to -24.16%00.00%0.00%
-24.16% to -2.68%00.00%0.00%
-2.68% to 18.80%78.33%8.33%
18.80% to 40.28%4857.14%65.48%
40.28% to 61.76%2023.81%89.29%
61.76% to 83.25%44.76%94.05%
83.25% to 104.73%11.19%95.24%
104.73% to 126.21%22.38%97.62%
Greater than 126.21%22.38%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.64%68.92% 92.86%68.27%
±2σ -17.00%97.57% 94.05%95.45%
±3σ -45.64%126.21% 97.62%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.54. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.79 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -71.81%00.00%0.00%
-71.81% to -53.66%00.00%0.00%
-53.66% to -35.51%11.19%1.19%
-35.51% to -17.36%1821.43%22.62%
-17.36% to 0.79%3238.10%60.71%
0.79% to 18.94%1821.43%82.14%
18.94% to 37.09%89.52%91.67%
37.09% to 55.24%44.76%96.43%
55.24% to 73.40%22.38%98.81%
Greater than 73.40%11.19%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -23.41%24.99% 73.81%68.27%
±2σ -47.61%49.20% 95.24%95.45%
±3σ -71.81%73.40% 98.81%99.73%