GILD 深度分析报告

Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 2.36% ($3.16) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 1992-01-01 → 2026-04-01 (412 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.93% 2.92% 2.76% 2.12% 2.03% 2.09% 127.78 133.07 125.21 135.80
周度 6.35% 6.84% 6.34% 4.90% 4.47% 4.60% 124.70 136.36 119.25 142.59
月度 11.44% 13.86% 10.90% 10.67% 9.30% 9.58% 118.82 143.11 108.26 157.06
季度 19.36% 25.46% 18.20% 17.82% 16.11% 16.59% 111.00 153.20 94.48 179.98
Annual 32.22% 33.18% 94.48 179.98 68.45 248.41
Option Time Horizon 12.28% 12.64% 115.33 147.44 102.01 166.70
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:44 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $130.40  |  Strike (K): $135.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $4.6000 (Bid $4.5000 / Ask $4.7000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.36%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 32.22% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 32.57% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 33.18% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-13 $0.8200
2025-12-15 $0.7900
2025-09-15 $0.7900
2025-06-13 $0.7900
2025-03-14 $0.7900
2024-12-13 $0.7700
2024-09-13 $0.7700
2024-06-14 $0.7700
2024-03-14 $0.7700
2023-12-14 $0.7500
2023-09-14 $0.7500
2023-06-14 $0.7500
2023-03-14 $0.7500
2022-12-14 $0.7300
2022-09-14 $0.7300
2022-06-14 $0.7300
2022-03-14 $0.7300
2021-12-14 $0.7100
2021-09-14 $0.7100
2021-06-14 $0.7100
2021-03-12 $0.7100
2020-12-14 $0.6800
2020-09-14 $0.6800
2020-06-11 $0.6800
2020-03-12 $0.6800
2019-12-12 $0.6300
2019-09-12 $0.6300
2019-06-13 $0.6300
2019-03-14 $0.6300
2018-12-13 $0.5700
2018-09-13 $0.5700
2018-06-14 $0.5700
2018-03-15 $0.5700
2017-12-14 $0.5200
2017-09-14 $0.5200
2017-06-14 $0.5200
2017-03-14 $0.5200
2016-12-13 $0.4700
2016-09-14 $0.4700
2016-06-14 $0.4700
2016-03-14 $0.4300
2015-12-14 $0.4300
2015-09-14 $0.4300
2015-06-12 $0.4300
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.41. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.67%690.80%0.80%
-8.67% to -6.47%901.05%1.85%
-6.47% to -4.28%2512.91%4.76%
-4.28% to -2.09%8369.71%14.47%
-2.09% to 0.11%328638.16%52.62%
0.11% to 2.30%288033.44%86.07%
2.30% to 4.50%7358.53%94.60%
4.50% to 6.69%2352.73%97.33%
6.69% to 8.89%1221.42%98.75%
Greater than 8.89%1081.25%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.82%3.04% 80.72%68.27%
±2σ -5.74%5.96% 94.14%95.45%
±3σ -8.67%8.89% 97.94%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.69. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 11.76 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.14%00.00%0.00%
-5.14% to -2.94%00.00%0.00%
-2.94% to -0.75%00.00%0.00%
-0.75% to 1.44%115613.42%13.42%
1.44% to 3.64%458253.20%66.62%
3.64% to 5.83%153917.87%84.49%
5.83% to 8.02%6697.77%92.26%
8.02% to 10.21%3474.03%96.28%
10.21% to 12.41%1341.56%97.84%
Greater than 12.41%1862.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.71%6.56% 87.57%68.27%
±2σ -2.21%9.48% 95.27%95.45%
±3σ -5.14%12.41% 97.84%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.50. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.18%680.79%0.79%
-8.18% to -6.11%1251.45%2.24%
-6.11% to -4.04%2422.81%5.05%
-4.04% to -1.97%7819.07%14.12%
-1.97% to 0.10%329938.30%52.42%
0.10% to 2.17%289733.64%86.06%
2.17% to 4.24%7318.49%94.54%
4.24% to 6.31%2583.00%97.54%
6.31% to 8.38%1201.39%98.93%
Greater than 8.38%921.07%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.66%2.86% 80.81%68.27%
±2σ -5.42%5.62% 94.00%95.45%
±3σ -8.18%8.38% 98.14%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.45. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.64 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.53%90.50%0.50%
-18.53% to -13.77%261.45%1.96%
-13.77% to -9.01%553.08%5.04%
-9.01% to -4.25%18510.35%15.39%
-4.25% to 0.51%64836.26%51.65%
0.51% to 5.27%61534.42%86.07%
5.27% to 10.03%1387.72%93.79%
10.03% to 14.79%673.75%97.54%
14.79% to 19.55%191.06%98.60%
Greater than 19.55%251.40%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.84%6.86% 79.69%68.27%
±2σ -12.19%13.20% 94.07%95.45%
±3σ -18.53%19.55% 98.10%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.37. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.66 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.68%00.00%0.00%
-11.68% to -6.55%00.00%0.00%
-6.55% to -1.42%00.00%0.00%
-1.42% to 3.71%28616.00%16.00%
3.71% to 8.85%90250.45%66.44%
8.85% to 13.98%30717.17%83.61%
13.98% to 19.11%1468.17%91.78%
19.11% to 24.24%724.03%95.81%
24.24% to 29.37%402.24%98.04%
Greater than 29.37%351.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.00%15.69% 86.30%68.27%
±2σ -4.84%22.53% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -11.68%29.37% 98.04%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.91. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.01%110.62%0.62%
-19.01% to -14.25%221.23%1.85%
-14.25% to -9.50%633.52%5.37%
-9.50% to -4.74%1719.56%14.93%
-4.74% to 0.01%69038.59%53.52%
0.01% to 4.76%57131.94%85.46%
4.76% to 9.52%1669.28%94.74%
9.52% to 14.27%472.63%97.37%
14.27% to 19.03%241.34%98.71%
Greater than 19.03%231.29%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.33%6.35% 79.75%68.27%
±2σ -12.67%12.69% 94.07%95.45%
±3σ -19.01%19.03% 98.10%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.92. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.74 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -32.30%00.00%0.00%
-32.30% to -23.73%61.46%1.46%
-23.73% to -15.15%153.65%5.11%
-15.15% to -6.57%4911.92%17.03%
-6.57% to 2.00%15337.23%54.26%
2.00% to 10.58%12029.20%83.45%
10.58% to 19.16%4410.71%94.16%
19.16% to 27.73%133.16%97.32%
27.73% to 36.31%51.22%98.54%
Greater than 36.31%61.46%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.43%13.44% 77.62%68.27%
±2σ -20.87%24.87% 94.40%95.45%
±3σ -32.30%36.31% 98.54%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.72. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.79%00.00%0.00%
-21.79% to -11.39%00.00%0.00%
-11.39% to -1.00%00.00%0.00%
-1.00% to 9.39%8219.90%19.90%
9.39% to 19.79%18845.63%65.53%
19.79% to 30.18%6616.02%81.55%
30.18% to 40.58%4210.19%91.75%
40.58% to 50.97%143.40%95.15%
50.97% to 61.36%112.67%97.82%
Greater than 61.36%92.18%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.93%33.65% 84.22%68.27%
±2σ -7.93%47.50% 93.69%95.45%
±3σ -21.79%61.36% 97.82%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.45. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.25 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.39%20.49%0.49%
-33.39% to -25.21%51.21%1.70%
-25.21% to -17.04%133.16%4.85%
-17.04% to -8.86%5312.86%17.72%
-8.86% to -0.69%13733.25%50.97%
-0.69% to 7.49%13733.25%84.22%
7.49% to 15.67%389.22%93.45%
15.67% to 23.84%174.13%97.57%
23.84% to 32.02%61.46%99.03%
Greater than 32.02%40.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.59%10.21% 77.67%68.27%
±2σ -22.49%21.12% 93.45%95.45%
±3σ -33.39%32.02% 98.54%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.69. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.97 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.15%00.00%0.00%
-52.15% to -37.62%21.46%1.46%
-37.62% to -23.10%42.92%4.38%
-23.10% to -8.58%2115.33%19.71%
-8.58% to 5.94%4331.39%51.09%
5.94% to 20.46%4129.93%81.02%
20.46% to 34.98%1813.14%94.16%
34.98% to 49.51%42.92%97.08%
49.51% to 64.03%21.46%98.54%
Greater than 64.03%21.46%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.42%25.30% 74.45%68.27%
±2σ -32.78%44.66% 93.43%95.45%
±3σ -52.14%64.03% 98.54%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.83. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.37%00.00%0.00%
-40.37% to -21.28%00.00%0.00%
-21.28% to -2.19%00.00%0.00%
-2.19% to 16.91%2921.01%21.01%
16.91% to 36.00%6345.65%66.67%
36.00% to 55.09%2316.67%83.33%
55.09% to 74.19%117.97%91.30%
74.19% to 93.28%53.62%94.93%
93.28% to 112.37%53.62%98.55%
Greater than 112.37%21.45%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 10.54%61.46% 86.23%68.27%
±2σ -14.91%86.91% 94.20%95.45%
±3σ -40.37%112.37% 98.55%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.01. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.49 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -56.75%00.00%0.00%
-56.75% to -43.10%10.72%0.72%
-43.10% to -29.45%53.62%4.35%
-29.45% to -15.80%2115.22%19.57%
-15.80% to -2.15%5036.23%55.80%
-2.15% to 11.50%3726.81%82.61%
11.50% to 25.15%1712.32%94.93%
25.15% to 38.80%21.45%96.38%
38.80% to 52.44%21.45%97.83%
Greater than 52.44%32.17%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -20.35%16.05% 78.26%68.27%
±2σ -38.55%34.25% 94.93%95.45%
±3σ -56.75%52.44% 97.83%99.73%