GME 深度分析报告

GameStop Corp. | 分类: Equity Large Cap | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2002-02-01 → 2026-04-01 (291 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 5.23% 7.30% 3.95% 6.85% 3.42% 3.46% 24.11 25.82 23.30 26.72
周度 12.32% 24.16% 10.63% 16.51% 7.54% 7.61% 23.14 26.90 21.46 29.01
月度 96.91% 167.53% 21.05% 40.04% 15.69% 15.84% 21.33 29.19 18.23 34.15
季度 307.75% 460.59% 31.68% 76.27% 27.17% 27.44% 19.01 32.74 14.49 42.96
Annual 54.35% 54.88% 14.49 42.96 8.41 73.98
Option Time Horizon 20.71% 20.91% 20.28 30.69 16.49 37.75
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:45 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $24.95  |  Strike (K): $25.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $2.0750 (Bid $2.0500 / Ask $2.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 54.35% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 53.78% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 54.88% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2019-03-14 $0.0950
2018-12-10 $0.0950
2018-09-17 $0.0950
2018-06-11 $0.0950
2018-03-02 $0.0950
2017-11-30 $0.0950
2017-09-07 $0.0950
2017-06-05 $0.0950
2017-03-10 $0.0950
2016-11-29 $0.0925
2016-09-07 $0.0925
2016-06-06 $0.0925
2016-03-04 $0.0925
2015-12-01 $0.0900
2015-09-04 $0.0900
2015-06-08 $0.0900
2015-03-13 $0.0900
2014-11-21 $0.0825
2014-08-29 $0.0825
2014-06-02 $0.0825
2014-03-13 $0.0825
2013-12-02 $0.0688
2013-08-29 $0.0688
2013-05-31 $0.0688
2013-03-01 $0.0688
2012-11-26 $0.0625
2012-08-24 $0.0625
2012-05-24 $0.0375
2012-02-16 $0.0375
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 6.53. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 143.13 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.52%230.38%0.38%
-15.52% to -11.60%260.43%0.80%
-11.60% to -7.68%731.20%2.00%
-7.68% to -3.76%4457.31%9.31%
-3.76% to 0.17%264143.39%52.70%
0.17% to 4.09%238439.17%91.87%
4.09% to 8.01%3395.57%97.44%
8.01% to 11.93%781.28%98.72%
11.93% to 15.86%350.57%99.29%
Greater than 15.86%430.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.06%5.40% 89.40%68.27%
±2σ -10.29%10.63% 97.24%95.45%
±3σ -15.52%15.86% 98.92%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 20.11. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 720.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -16.98%00.00%0.00%
-16.98% to -11.50%00.00%0.00%
-11.50% to -6.02%00.00%0.00%
-6.02% to -0.55%00.00%0.00%
-0.55% to 4.93%429870.60%70.60%
4.93% to 10.41%136622.44%93.04%
10.41% to 15.89%2694.42%97.45%
15.89% to 21.37%741.22%98.67%
21.37% to 26.84%350.57%99.24%
Greater than 26.84%460.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.37%12.24% 95.37%68.27%
±2σ -9.68%19.54% 98.39%95.45%
±3σ -16.98%26.84% 99.24%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.76. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 50.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.74%420.69%0.69%
-11.74% to -8.78%390.64%1.33%
-8.78% to -5.82%1181.94%3.27%
-5.82% to -2.86%5018.23%11.50%
-2.86% to 0.10%243239.95%51.45%
0.10% to 3.06%222136.48%87.93%
3.06% to 6.02%5509.03%96.96%
6.02% to 8.98%1031.69%98.65%
8.98% to 11.94%350.57%99.23%
Greater than 11.94%470.77%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.85%4.05% 85.55%68.27%
±2σ -7.79%8.00% 96.39%95.45%
±3σ -11.74%11.94% 98.54%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 6.48. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 83.29 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.17%20.16%0.16%
-36.17% to -26.93%10.08%0.24%
-26.93% to -17.68%151.19%1.43%
-17.68% to -8.44%1078.48%9.90%
-8.44% to 0.80%58746.51%56.42%
0.80% to 10.04%45135.74%92.16%
10.04% to 19.28%645.07%97.23%
19.28% to 28.52%191.51%98.73%
28.52% to 37.76%40.32%99.05%
Greater than 37.76%120.95%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.52%13.12% 89.30%68.27%
±2σ -23.85%25.44% 97.70%95.45%
±3σ -36.17%37.76% 98.89%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 12.58. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 203.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.93%00.00%0.00%
-58.93% to -40.81%00.00%0.00%
-40.81% to -22.70%00.00%0.00%
-22.70% to -4.58%00.00%0.00%
-4.58% to 13.54%91172.13%72.13%
13.54% to 31.65%28722.72%94.85%
31.65% to 49.77%443.48%98.34%
49.77% to 67.89%60.48%98.81%
67.89% to 86.00%20.16%98.97%
Greater than 86.00%131.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.62%37.69% 96.60%68.27%
±2σ -34.78%61.85% 98.50%95.45%
±3σ -58.93%86.00% 98.97%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.10. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 88.68 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.42%90.71%0.71%
-31.42% to -23.45%50.40%1.11%
-23.45% to -15.48%231.82%2.93%
-15.48% to -7.51%886.97%9.90%
-7.51% to 0.46%52241.33%51.23%
0.46% to 8.43%47637.69%88.92%
8.43% to 16.40%1098.63%97.55%
16.40% to 24.38%181.43%98.97%
24.38% to 32.34%90.71%99.68%
Greater than 32.34%40.32%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.16%11.09% 87.89%68.27%
±2σ -20.79%21.72% 97.47%95.45%
±3σ -31.42%32.34% 98.97%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 16.22. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 271.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -283.74%00.00%0.00%
-283.74% to -211.06%00.00%0.00%
-211.06% to -138.38%00.00%0.00%
-138.38% to -65.70%10.34%0.34%
-65.70% to 6.98%20470.34%70.69%
6.98% to 79.67%8228.28%98.97%
79.67% to 152.35%20.69%99.66%
152.35% to 225.03%00.00%99.66%
225.03% to 297.71%00.00%99.66%
Greater than 297.71%10.34%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -89.93%103.89% 99.31%68.27%
±2σ -186.83%200.80% 99.66%95.45%
±3σ -283.74%297.71% 99.66%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 14.64. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 230.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -460.62%00.00%0.00%
-460.62% to -334.98%00.00%0.00%
-334.98% to -209.34%00.00%0.00%
-209.34% to -83.69%00.00%0.00%
-83.69% to 41.95%24584.19%84.19%
41.95% to 167.59%4214.43%98.63%
167.59% to 293.24%10.34%98.97%
293.24% to 418.88%00.00%98.97%
418.88% to 544.53%10.34%99.31%
Greater than 544.53%20.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -125.57%209.48% 98.63%68.27%
±2σ -293.10%377.00% 98.97%95.45%
±3σ -460.62%544.53% 99.31%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.49. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 35.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -61.29%10.34%0.34%
-61.29% to -45.50%10.34%0.69%
-45.50% to -29.71%41.37%2.06%
-29.71% to -13.92%3010.31%12.37%
-13.92% to 1.87%12442.61%54.98%
1.87% to 17.66%9432.30%87.29%
17.66% to 33.45%258.59%95.88%
33.45% to 49.24%72.41%98.28%
49.24% to 65.03%31.03%99.31%
Greater than 65.03%20.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -19.18%22.92% 86.25%68.27%
±2σ -40.23%43.97% 97.25%95.45%
±3σ -61.29%65.03% 98.97%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 9.66. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 94.13 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -888.86%00.00%0.00%
-888.86% to -658.05%00.00%0.00%
-658.05% to -427.24%00.00%0.00%
-427.24% to -196.43%00.00%0.00%
-196.43% to 34.38%8588.54%88.54%
34.38% to 265.19%1010.42%98.96%
265.19% to 496.00%00.00%98.96%
496.00% to 726.81%00.00%98.96%
726.81% to 957.62%00.00%98.96%
Greater than 957.62%11.04%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -273.37%342.13% 98.96%68.27%
±2σ -581.12%649.87% 98.96%95.45%
±3σ -888.86%957.62% 98.96%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 9.23. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 88.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -1268.52%00.00%0.00%
-1268.52% to -923.08%00.00%0.00%
-923.08% to -577.64%00.00%0.00%
-577.64% to -232.20%00.00%0.00%
-232.20% to 113.25%8789.69%89.69%
113.25% to 458.69%77.22%96.91%
458.69% to 804.13%11.03%97.94%
804.13% to 1149.57%11.03%98.97%
1149.57% to 1495.01%00.00%98.97%
Greater than 1495.01%11.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -347.34%573.83% 97.94%68.27%
±2σ -807.93%1034.42% 98.97%95.45%
±3σ -1268.52%1495.01% 98.97%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.83. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.86 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -90.93%11.03%1.03%
-90.93% to -67.17%00.00%1.03%
-67.17% to -43.41%22.06%3.09%
-43.41% to -19.65%1111.34%14.43%
-19.65% to 4.11%4546.39%60.82%
4.11% to 27.87%2020.62%81.44%
27.87% to 51.63%1111.34%92.78%
51.63% to 75.39%33.09%95.88%
75.39% to 99.14%22.06%97.94%
Greater than 99.14%22.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -27.57%35.79% 76.29%68.27%
±2σ -59.25%67.47% 92.78%95.45%
±3σ -90.93%99.14% 96.91%99.73%