GM Deep Analytical Report

General Motors Company | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.70% ($0.57) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2010-11-01 → 2026-02-01 (184 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.17% 1.56% 1.69% 3.11% 1.95% 2.15% 79.94 83.11 78.40 84.74
Weekly 4.75% 4.19% 4.53% 7.40% 4.28% 4.73% 78.09 85.08 74.82 88.80
Monthly 9.21% 11.02% 9.42% 15.79% 8.92% 9.85% 74.56 89.11 68.20 97.42
Quarterly 15.35% 19.41% 14.97% 27.49% 15.45% 17.06% 69.84 95.12 59.85 111.01
Annual 30.89% 34.12% 59.85 111.01 43.94 151.19
Option Time Horizon 10.10% 11.15% 73.68 90.17 66.60 99.75
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:24 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-02 (39 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $81.51  |  Strike (K): $85.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $1.9600 (Bid $1.6600 / Ask $2.2600)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.70%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 30.89% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 30.69% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 34.12% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-05 $0.1500
2025-09-05 $0.1500
2025-06-06 $0.1500
2025-03-07 $0.1200
2024-12-06 $0.1200
2024-09-06 $0.1200
2024-06-07 $0.1200
2024-02-29 $0.1200
2023-11-30 $0.0900
2023-08-31 $0.0900
2023-06-01 $0.0900
2023-03-02 $0.0900
2022-12-01 $0.0900
2022-08-30 $0.0900
2020-03-05 $0.3800
2019-12-05 $0.3800
2019-09-05 $0.3800
2019-06-06 $0.3800
2019-03-07 $0.3800
2018-12-06 $0.3800
2018-09-06 $0.3800
2018-06-07 $0.3800
2018-03-08 $0.3800
2017-12-07 $0.3800
2017-09-07 $0.3800
2017-06-07 $0.3800
2017-03-08 $0.3800
2016-12-05 $0.3800
2016-09-07 $0.3800
2016-06-08 $0.3800
2016-03-09 $0.3800
2015-12-16 $0.3600
2015-09-10 $0.3600
2015-06-08 $0.3600
2015-03-09 $0.3000
2014-12-08 $0.3000
2014-09-08 $0.3000
2014-06-06 $0.3000
2014-03-14 $0.3000
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.46%170.44%0.44%
-6.46% to -4.83%431.12%1.56%
-4.83% to -3.21%1554.04%5.61%
-3.21% to -1.58%44711.66%17.26%
-1.58% to 0.05%123832.28%49.54%
0.05% to 1.68%132434.52%84.07%
1.68% to 3.31%40910.66%94.73%
3.31% to 4.94%1253.26%97.99%
4.94% to 6.57%401.04%99.04%
Greater than 6.57%370.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.12%2.23% 77.86%68.27%
±2σ -4.29%4.40% 94.73%95.45%
±3σ -6.46%6.57% 98.59%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 56.32 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.08%00.00%0.00%
-2.08% to -0.91%00.00%0.00%
-0.91% to 0.26%00.00%0.00%
0.26% to 1.43%65217.00%17.00%
1.43% to 2.60%173645.26%62.25%
2.60% to 3.77%83421.74%83.99%
3.77% to 4.94%3619.41%93.40%
4.94% to 6.11%1383.60%97.00%
6.11% to 7.28%641.67%98.67%
Greater than 7.28%511.33%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.04%4.16% 83.13%68.27%
±2σ -0.52%5.72% 96.01%95.45%
±3σ -2.08%7.28% 98.67%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.51 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.01%190.50%0.50%
-5.01% to -3.75%601.56%2.06%
-3.75% to -2.48%1433.73%5.79%
-2.48% to -1.22%48112.54%18.33%
-1.22% to 0.05%125132.61%50.94%
0.05% to 1.31%116330.32%81.26%
1.31% to 2.58%48912.75%94.00%
2.58% to 3.85%1493.88%97.89%
3.85% to 5.11%601.56%99.45%
Greater than 5.11%210.55%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.64%1.74% 74.90%68.27%
±2σ -3.33%3.42% 94.34%95.45%
±3σ -5.01%5.11% 98.96%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.03. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.05 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.01%70.88%0.88%
-14.01% to -10.44%70.88%1.76%
-10.44% to -6.87%324.02%5.78%
-6.87% to -3.31%9712.19%17.96%
-3.31% to 0.26%26933.79%51.76%
0.26% to 3.83%22728.52%80.28%
3.83% to 7.39%10513.19%93.47%
7.39% to 10.96%374.65%98.12%
10.96% to 14.53%101.26%99.37%
Greater than 14.53%50.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.50%5.01% 75.00%68.27%
±2σ -9.25%9.77% 95.23%95.45%
±3σ -14.01%14.53% 98.49%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.64%00.00%0.00%
-5.64% to -2.49%00.00%0.00%
-2.49% to 0.65%00.00%0.00%
0.65% to 3.79%15018.82%18.82%
3.79% to 6.94%34142.79%61.61%
6.94% to 10.08%17822.33%83.94%
10.08% to 13.23%8310.41%94.35%
13.23% to 16.37%243.01%97.37%
16.37% to 19.51%81.00%98.37%
Greater than 19.51%131.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.75%11.13% 82.94%68.27%
±2σ -1.45%15.32% 96.61%95.45%
±3σ -5.64%19.51% 98.37%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.85. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.70 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.44%20.25%0.25%
-13.44% to -10.04%40.50%0.75%
-10.04% to -6.64%394.89%5.65%
-6.64% to -3.24%12015.06%20.70%
-3.24% to 0.16%24230.36%51.07%
0.16% to 3.56%25832.37%83.44%
3.56% to 6.96%8310.41%93.85%
6.96% to 10.36%313.89%97.74%
10.36% to 13.76%101.25%99.00%
Greater than 13.76%81.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.38%4.69% 73.53%68.27%
±2σ -8.91%9.23% 95.11%95.45%
±3σ -13.44%13.76% 98.75%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.12. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.55 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.59%10.55%0.55%
-26.59% to -19.68%00.00%0.55%
-19.68% to -12.76%116.01%6.56%
-12.76% to -5.85%2714.75%21.31%
-5.85% to 1.06%5530.05%51.37%
1.06% to 7.97%4926.78%78.14%
7.97% to 14.88%2614.21%92.35%
14.88% to 21.79%116.01%98.36%
21.79% to 28.70%31.64%100.00%
Greater than 28.70%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.16%10.27% 70.49%68.27%
±2σ -17.37%19.48% 96.17%95.45%
±3σ -26.59%28.70% 99.45%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 52.29 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -16.84%00.00%0.00%
-16.84% to -8.57%00.00%0.00%
-8.57% to -0.30%00.00%0.00%
-0.30% to 7.97%179.24%9.24%
7.97% to 16.24%10456.52%65.76%
16.24% to 24.50%4122.28%88.04%
24.50% to 32.77%147.61%95.65%
32.77% to 41.04%52.72%98.37%
41.04% to 49.31%21.09%99.46%
Greater than 49.31%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.21%27.26% 91.30%68.27%
±2σ -5.81%38.28% 97.28%95.45%
±3σ -16.83%49.31% 99.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.52 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.09%00.00%0.00%
-28.09% to -21.02%10.54%0.54%
-21.02% to -13.96%84.35%4.89%
-13.96% to -6.89%2815.22%20.11%
-6.89% to 0.17%6032.61%52.72%
0.17% to 7.24%5027.17%79.89%
7.24% to 14.31%2513.59%93.48%
14.31% to 21.37%105.43%98.91%
21.37% to 28.44%10.54%99.46%
Greater than 28.44%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.25%9.60% 70.65%68.27%
±2σ -18.67%19.02% 96.20%95.45%
±3σ -28.09%28.44% 99.46%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.88 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -43.11%00.00%0.00%
-43.11% to -31.60%11.64%1.64%
-31.60% to -20.09%23.28%4.92%
-20.09% to -8.59%813.11%18.03%
-8.59% to 2.92%2337.70%55.74%
2.92% to 14.43%1422.95%78.69%
14.43% to 25.94%813.11%91.80%
25.94% to 37.45%23.28%95.08%
37.45% to 48.96%34.92%100.00%
Greater than 48.96%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.42%18.27% 73.77%68.27%
±2σ -27.77%33.61% 91.80%95.45%
±3σ -43.11%48.96% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.36 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.00%00.00%0.00%
-28.00% to -13.44%00.00%0.00%
-13.44% to 1.12%00.00%0.00%
1.12% to 15.68%711.29%11.29%
15.68% to 30.23%3454.84%66.13%
30.23% to 44.79%1320.97%87.10%
44.79% to 59.35%69.68%96.77%
59.35% to 73.91%11.61%98.39%
73.91% to 88.47%00.00%98.39%
Greater than 88.47%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 10.82%49.65% 88.71%68.27%
±2σ -8.59%69.06% 98.39%95.45%
±3σ -28.00%88.47% 98.39%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.75. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.88 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.96%00.00%0.00%
-44.96% to -33.73%00.00%0.00%
-33.73% to -22.51%46.45%6.45%
-22.51% to -11.28%1016.13%22.58%
-11.28% to -0.05%1625.81%48.39%
-0.05% to 11.18%2032.26%80.65%
11.18% to 22.41%914.52%95.16%
22.41% to 33.63%00.00%95.16%
33.63% to 44.86%23.23%98.39%
Greater than 44.86%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.02%14.92% 75.81%68.27%
±2σ -29.99%29.89% 93.55%95.45%
±3σ -44.96%44.86% 98.39%99.73%