GM Deep Analytical Report

General Motors Company | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.78% ($0.57) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2010-11-01 → 2026-03-01 (185 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.17% 1.56% 1.69% 3.09% 2.48% 2.61% 74.03 77.79 72.21 79.74
Weekly 4.75% 4.18% 4.53% 7.39% 5.46% 5.75% 71.86 80.14 68.04 84.64
Monthly 9.21% 11.00% 9.41% 15.59% 11.36% 11.97% 67.74 85.01 60.46 95.24
Quarterly 15.41% 19.28% 15.03% 27.92% 19.67% 20.74% 62.33 92.39 51.20 112.47
Annual 39.35% 41.48% 51.20 112.47 34.54 166.70
Option Time Horizon 14.85% 15.66% 65.41 88.04 56.38 102.13
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:42 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $75.89  |  Strike (K): $77.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $3.9500 (Bid $3.8000 / Ask $4.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.78%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 39.35% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 39.70% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 41.48% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-06 $0.1800
2025-12-05 $0.1500
2025-09-05 $0.1500
2025-06-06 $0.1500
2025-03-07 $0.1200
2024-12-06 $0.1200
2024-09-06 $0.1200
2024-06-07 $0.1200
2024-02-29 $0.1200
2023-11-30 $0.0900
2023-08-31 $0.0900
2023-06-01 $0.0900
2023-03-02 $0.0900
2022-12-01 $0.0900
2022-08-30 $0.0900
2020-03-05 $0.3800
2019-12-05 $0.3800
2019-09-05 $0.3800
2019-06-06 $0.3800
2019-03-07 $0.3800
2018-12-06 $0.3800
2018-09-06 $0.3800
2018-06-07 $0.3800
2018-03-08 $0.3800
2017-12-07 $0.3800
2017-09-07 $0.3800
2017-06-07 $0.3800
2017-03-08 $0.3800
2016-12-05 $0.3800
2016-09-07 $0.3800
2016-06-08 $0.3800
2016-03-09 $0.3800
2015-12-16 $0.3600
2015-09-10 $0.3600
2015-06-08 $0.3600
2015-03-09 $0.3000
2014-12-08 $0.3000
2014-09-08 $0.3000
2014-06-06 $0.3000
2014-03-14 $0.3000
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.46%170.44%0.44%
-6.46% to -4.83%431.12%1.56%
-4.83% to -3.20%1554.02%5.58%
-3.20% to -1.58%45211.72%17.30%
-1.58% to 0.05%124332.24%49.53%
0.05% to 1.68%133234.54%84.08%
1.68% to 3.31%40910.61%94.68%
3.31% to 4.94%1283.32%98.00%
4.94% to 6.57%401.04%99.04%
Greater than 6.57%370.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.12%2.22% 77.88%68.27%
±2σ -4.29%4.39% 94.76%95.45%
±3σ -6.46%6.56% 98.60%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 56.40 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.07%00.00%0.00%
-2.07% to -0.90%00.00%0.00%
-0.90% to 0.27%00.00%0.00%
0.27% to 1.43%65516.98%16.98%
1.43% to 2.60%174545.24%62.22%
2.60% to 3.77%83921.75%83.98%
3.77% to 4.94%3659.46%93.44%
4.94% to 6.11%1373.55%96.99%
6.11% to 7.28%651.69%98.68%
Greater than 7.28%511.32%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.04%4.16% 83.07%68.27%
±2σ -0.51%5.72% 96.03%95.45%
±3σ -2.07%7.28% 98.68%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.50 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.01%190.49%0.49%
-5.01% to -3.74%601.56%2.05%
-3.74% to -2.48%1453.76%5.81%
-2.48% to -1.22%48512.57%18.38%
-1.22% to 0.05%125832.62%51.00%
0.05% to 1.31%116630.23%81.23%
1.31% to 2.58%49412.81%94.04%
2.58% to 3.84%1483.84%97.87%
3.84% to 5.11%611.58%99.46%
Greater than 5.11%210.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.64%1.73% 74.88%68.27%
±2σ -3.32%3.42% 94.35%95.45%
±3σ -5.01%5.11% 98.96%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.04. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.05 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.00%70.88%0.88%
-14.00% to -10.44%70.88%1.75%
-10.44% to -6.87%324.00%5.75%
-6.87% to -3.31%9812.25%18.00%
-3.31% to 0.25%27133.88%51.88%
0.25% to 3.81%22628.25%80.12%
3.81% to 7.37%10713.38%93.50%
7.37% to 10.94%374.62%98.12%
10.94% to 14.50%101.25%99.38%
Greater than 14.50%50.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.50%5.00% 75.12%68.27%
±2σ -9.25%9.75% 95.25%95.45%
±3σ -14.00%14.50% 98.50%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.61%00.00%0.00%
-5.61% to -2.47%00.00%0.00%
-2.47% to 0.67%00.00%0.00%
0.67% to 3.81%15218.98%18.98%
3.81% to 6.95%34042.45%61.42%
6.95% to 10.09%17922.35%83.77%
10.09% to 13.23%8510.61%94.38%
13.23% to 16.36%243.00%97.38%
16.36% to 19.50%81.00%98.38%
Greater than 19.50%131.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.76%11.13% 82.90%68.27%
±2σ -1.42%15.32% 96.63%95.45%
±3σ -5.61%19.50% 98.38%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.85. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.41%20.25%0.25%
-13.41% to -10.02%40.50%0.75%
-10.02% to -6.62%394.87%5.62%
-6.62% to -3.23%12315.36%20.97%
-3.23% to 0.16%23929.84%50.81%
0.16% to 3.56%26232.71%83.52%
3.56% to 6.95%8310.36%93.88%
6.95% to 10.35%313.87%97.75%
10.35% to 13.74%101.25%99.00%
Greater than 13.74%81.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.36%4.69% 73.53%68.27%
±2σ -8.89%9.22% 95.13%95.45%
±3σ -13.41%13.74% 98.75%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.13. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.55 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.61%10.54%0.54%
-26.61% to -19.70%00.00%0.54%
-19.70% to -12.80%115.98%6.52%
-12.80% to -5.89%2815.22%21.74%
-5.89% to 1.01%5429.35%51.09%
1.01% to 7.92%5027.17%78.26%
7.92% to 14.82%2614.13%92.39%
14.82% to 21.73%115.98%98.37%
21.73% to 28.63%31.63%100.00%
Greater than 28.63%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.19%10.22% 70.65%68.27%
±2σ -17.40%19.43% 96.20%95.45%
±3σ -26.61%28.63% 99.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.75. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 52.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -16.78%00.00%0.00%
-16.78% to -8.53%00.00%0.00%
-8.53% to -0.28%00.00%0.00%
-0.28% to 7.96%179.19%9.19%
7.96% to 16.21%10556.76%65.95%
16.21% to 24.46%4021.62%87.57%
24.46% to 32.71%158.11%95.68%
32.71% to 40.96%52.70%98.38%
40.96% to 49.21%21.08%99.46%
Greater than 49.21%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.22%27.21% 90.81%68.27%
±2σ -5.78%38.21% 97.30%95.45%
±3σ -16.78%49.21% 99.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.71. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.52 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.02%00.00%0.00%
-28.02% to -20.96%10.54%0.54%
-20.96% to -13.91%94.86%5.41%
-13.91% to -6.85%2714.59%20.00%
-6.85% to 0.20%6132.97%52.97%
0.20% to 7.26%5027.03%80.00%
7.26% to 14.32%2513.51%93.51%
14.32% to 21.37%105.41%98.92%
21.37% to 28.43%10.54%99.46%
Greater than 28.43%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.20%9.61% 70.81%68.27%
±2σ -18.61%19.02% 96.22%95.45%
±3σ -28.02%28.43% 99.46%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.83 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -43.42%00.00%0.00%
-43.42% to -31.86%11.64%1.64%
-31.86% to -20.30%23.28%4.92%
-20.30% to -8.75%914.75%19.67%
-8.75% to 2.81%2236.07%55.74%
2.81% to 14.37%1422.95%78.69%
14.37% to 25.93%813.11%91.80%
25.93% to 37.49%23.28%95.08%
37.49% to 49.05%34.92%100.00%
Greater than 49.05%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.60%18.23% 75.41%68.27%
±2σ -28.01%33.64% 91.80%95.45%
±3σ -43.42%49.05% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.43%00.00%0.00%
-27.43% to -12.97%00.00%0.00%
-12.97% to 1.49%00.00%0.00%
1.49% to 15.95%711.29%11.29%
15.95% to 30.41%3556.45%67.74%
30.41% to 44.87%1219.35%87.10%
44.87% to 59.33%69.68%96.77%
59.33% to 73.79%11.61%98.39%
73.79% to 88.25%00.00%98.39%
Greater than 88.25%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.13%49.69% 88.71%68.27%
±2σ -8.15%68.97% 98.39%95.45%
±3σ -27.43%88.25% 98.39%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.78 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.02%00.00%0.00%
-45.02% to -33.75%00.00%0.00%
-33.75% to -22.47%46.45%6.45%
-22.47% to -11.20%1016.13%22.58%
-11.20% to 0.07%1625.81%48.39%
0.07% to 11.35%2032.26%80.65%
11.35% to 22.62%914.52%95.16%
22.62% to 33.90%00.00%95.16%
33.90% to 45.17%23.23%98.39%
Greater than 45.17%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.96%15.11% 77.42%68.27%
±2σ -29.99%30.14% 93.55%95.45%
±3σ -45.02%45.17% 98.39%99.73%