GM 深度分析报告

General Motors Company | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 0.73% ($0.57) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2010-11-01 → 2026-04-01 (186 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.17% 1.55% 1.68% 3.09% 2.45% 2.58% 76.16 79.99 74.31 81.98
周度 4.74% 4.17% 4.52% 7.39% 5.40% 5.68% 73.95 82.38 70.06 86.95
月度 9.19% 10.97% 9.39% 15.58% 11.24% 11.83% 69.75 87.34 62.33 97.73
季度 15.38% 19.28% 15.00% 27.94% 19.47% 20.49% 64.24 94.83 52.87 115.22
Annual 38.95% 40.98% 52.87 115.22 35.82 170.09
Option Time Horizon 14.84% 15.62% 67.28 90.54 58.00 105.02
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:48 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $78.05  |  Strike (K): $80.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $3.9500 (Bid $3.8500 / Ask $4.0500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.73%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 38.95% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 39.36% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 40.98% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-06 $0.1800
2025-12-05 $0.1500
2025-09-05 $0.1500
2025-06-06 $0.1500
2025-03-07 $0.1200
2024-12-06 $0.1200
2024-09-06 $0.1200
2024-06-07 $0.1200
2024-02-29 $0.1200
2023-11-30 $0.0900
2023-08-31 $0.0900
2023-06-01 $0.0900
2023-03-02 $0.0900
2022-12-01 $0.0900
2022-08-30 $0.0900
2020-03-05 $0.3800
2019-12-05 $0.3800
2019-09-05 $0.3800
2019-06-06 $0.3800
2019-03-07 $0.3800
2018-12-06 $0.3800
2018-09-06 $0.3800
2018-06-07 $0.3800
2018-03-08 $0.3800
2017-12-07 $0.3800
2017-09-07 $0.3800
2017-06-07 $0.3800
2017-03-08 $0.3800
2016-12-05 $0.3800
2016-09-07 $0.3800
2016-06-08 $0.3800
2016-03-09 $0.3800
2015-12-16 $0.3600
2015-09-10 $0.3600
2015-06-08 $0.3600
2015-03-09 $0.3000
2014-12-08 $0.3000
2014-09-08 $0.3000
2014-06-06 $0.3000
2014-03-14 $0.3000
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.46%170.44%0.44%
-6.46% to -4.83%431.11%1.55%
-4.83% to -3.20%1574.05%5.59%
-3.20% to -1.58%45411.70%17.30%
-1.58% to 0.05%125232.28%49.57%
0.05% to 1.68%133834.49%84.07%
1.68% to 3.31%41010.57%94.64%
3.31% to 4.94%1303.35%97.99%
4.94% to 6.57%411.06%99.05%
Greater than 6.57%370.95%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.12%2.22% 77.86%68.27%
±2σ -4.29%4.39% 94.77%95.45%
±3σ -6.46%6.56% 98.61%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.40. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 56.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.06%00.00%0.00%
-2.06% to -0.90%00.00%0.00%
-0.90% to 0.27%00.00%0.00%
0.27% to 1.43%65716.93%16.93%
1.43% to 2.60%175745.28%62.22%
2.60% to 3.77%84621.80%84.02%
3.77% to 4.93%3649.38%93.40%
4.93% to 6.10%1383.56%96.96%
6.10% to 7.26%661.70%98.66%
Greater than 7.26%521.34%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.05%4.15% 83.04%68.27%
±2σ -0.51%5.71% 96.03%95.45%
±3σ -2.06%7.26% 98.66%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.01. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.50 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.00%190.49%0.49%
-5.00% to -3.74%601.55%2.04%
-3.74% to -2.48%1453.74%5.77%
-2.48% to -1.21%49212.68%18.45%
-1.21% to 0.05%126032.47%50.93%
0.05% to 1.31%117630.31%81.24%
1.31% to 2.58%49712.81%94.05%
2.58% to 3.84%1493.84%97.89%
3.84% to 5.10%611.57%99.46%
Greater than 5.10%210.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.64%1.73% 74.85%68.27%
±2σ -3.32%3.42% 94.36%95.45%
±3σ -5.00%5.10% 98.97%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.04. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.05 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.98%70.87%0.87%
-13.98% to -10.42%70.87%1.74%
-10.42% to -6.86%323.98%5.71%
-6.86% to -3.31%9912.30%18.01%
-3.31% to 0.25%27233.79%51.80%
0.25% to 3.81%22828.32%80.12%
3.81% to 7.37%10813.42%93.54%
7.37% to 10.93%374.60%98.14%
10.93% to 14.48%101.24%99.38%
Greater than 14.48%50.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.49%5.00% 75.28%68.27%
±2σ -9.24%9.74% 95.28%95.45%
±3σ -13.98%14.48% 98.51%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 19.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.57%00.00%0.00%
-5.57% to -2.44%00.00%0.00%
-2.44% to 0.69%00.00%0.00%
0.69% to 3.82%15419.11%19.11%
3.82% to 6.95%34042.18%61.29%
6.95% to 10.08%18222.58%83.87%
10.08% to 13.21%8510.55%94.42%
13.21% to 16.34%242.98%97.39%
16.34% to 19.47%80.99%98.39%
Greater than 19.47%131.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.78%11.12% 82.75%68.27%
±2σ -1.40%15.29% 96.65%95.45%
±3σ -5.57%19.47% 98.39%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.85. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.39%20.25%0.25%
-13.39% to -10.01%40.50%0.74%
-10.01% to -6.62%404.96%5.71%
-6.62% to -3.23%12315.26%20.97%
-3.23% to 0.16%24029.78%50.74%
0.16% to 3.55%26532.88%83.62%
3.55% to 6.94%8210.17%93.80%
6.94% to 10.33%323.97%97.77%
10.33% to 13.72%101.24%99.01%
Greater than 13.72%80.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.36%4.68% 73.45%68.27%
±2σ -8.88%9.20% 95.16%95.45%
±3σ -13.39%13.72% 98.76%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.13. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.55 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.55%10.54%0.54%
-26.55% to -19.66%00.00%0.54%
-19.66% to -12.76%115.95%6.49%
-12.76% to -5.87%2815.14%21.62%
-5.87% to 1.02%5429.19%50.81%
1.02% to 7.92%5127.57%78.38%
7.92% to 14.81%2614.05%92.43%
14.81% to 21.70%105.41%97.84%
21.70% to 28.60%42.16%100.00%
Greater than 28.60%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.17%10.22% 70.81%68.27%
±2σ -17.36%19.41% 96.22%95.45%
±3σ -26.55%28.60% 99.46%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.77. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 52.84 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -16.70%00.00%0.00%
-16.70% to -8.47%00.00%0.00%
-8.47% to -0.24%00.00%0.00%
-0.24% to 7.98%179.14%9.14%
7.98% to 16.21%10656.99%66.13%
16.21% to 24.44%4021.51%87.63%
24.44% to 32.66%158.06%95.70%
32.66% to 40.89%52.69%98.39%
40.89% to 49.12%21.08%99.46%
Greater than 49.12%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.24%27.18% 90.86%68.27%
±2σ -5.73%38.15% 97.31%95.45%
±3σ -16.70%49.12% 99.46%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.71. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.53 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.97%00.00%0.00%
-27.97% to -20.93%10.54%0.54%
-20.93% to -13.89%94.84%5.38%
-13.89% to -6.85%2815.05%20.43%
-6.85% to 0.19%6132.80%53.23%
0.19% to 7.24%5026.88%80.11%
7.24% to 14.28%2513.44%93.55%
14.28% to 21.32%105.38%98.92%
21.32% to 28.36%10.54%99.46%
Greater than 28.36%10.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.19%9.58% 70.43%68.27%
±2σ -18.58%18.97% 96.24%95.45%
±3σ -27.97%28.36% 99.46%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.50. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.85 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -43.28%00.00%0.00%
-43.28% to -31.75%11.64%1.64%
-31.75% to -20.21%23.28%4.92%
-20.21% to -8.68%813.11%18.03%
-8.68% to 2.86%2337.70%55.74%
2.86% to 14.39%1422.95%78.69%
14.39% to 25.93%813.11%91.80%
25.93% to 37.46%23.28%95.08%
37.46% to 49.00%34.92%100.00%
Greater than 49.00%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.52%18.24% 75.41%68.27%
±2σ -27.90%33.62% 91.80%95.45%
±3σ -43.28%49.00% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.16. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 23.92 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.41%00.00%0.00%
-27.41% to -12.95%00.00%0.00%
-12.95% to 1.51%00.00%0.00%
1.51% to 15.96%711.29%11.29%
15.96% to 30.42%3556.45%67.74%
30.42% to 44.88%1219.35%87.10%
44.88% to 59.34%69.68%96.77%
59.34% to 73.79%11.61%98.39%
73.79% to 88.25%00.00%98.39%
Greater than 88.25%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.15%49.70% 88.71%68.27%
±2σ -8.13%68.97% 98.39%95.45%
±3σ -27.41%88.25% 98.39%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.73. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.83 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.98%00.00%0.00%
-44.98% to -33.73%00.00%0.00%
-33.73% to -22.48%46.45%6.45%
-22.48% to -11.23%1016.13%22.58%
-11.23% to 0.02%1625.81%48.39%
0.02% to 11.27%2032.26%80.65%
11.27% to 22.52%914.52%95.16%
22.52% to 33.77%00.00%95.16%
33.77% to 45.02%23.23%98.39%
Greater than 45.02%11.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.98%15.02% 75.81%68.27%
±2σ -29.98%30.02% 93.55%95.45%
±3σ -44.98%45.02% 98.39%99.73%