INTU 深度分析报告

Intuit Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 1.17% ($4.48) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 1993-03-01 → 2026-04-01 (398 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.87% 2.78% 2.53% 2.91% 3.53% 3.55% 382.21 410.18 368.95 424.92
周度 6.09% 7.08% 6.07% 7.04% 7.77% 7.81% 366.34 427.96 338.94 462.55
月度 11.84% 14.74% 10.84% 14.61% 16.18% 16.26% 336.79 465.50 286.48 547.26
季度 21.49% 29.96% 17.67% 24.20% 28.03% 28.17% 299.17 524.04 226.05 693.56
Annual 56.05% 56.33% 226.05 693.56 129.05 1214.86
Option Time Horizon 21.36% 21.47% 319.80 490.24 258.29 606.98
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:44 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $395.95  |  Strike (K): $400.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $32.3500 (Bid $30.4000 / Ask $34.3000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.17%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 56.05% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 55.88% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 56.33% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-04-09 $1.2000
2026-01-09 $1.2000
2025-10-09 $1.2000
2025-07-10 $1.0400
2025-04-10 $1.0400
2025-01-10 $1.0400
2024-10-10 $1.0400
2024-07-10 $0.9000
2024-04-09 $0.9000
2024-01-09 $0.9000
2023-10-05 $0.9000
2023-07-07 $0.7800
2023-04-06 $0.7800
2023-01-09 $0.7800
2022-10-06 $0.7800
2022-07-08 $0.6800
2022-04-08 $0.6800
2022-01-07 $0.6800
2021-10-07 $0.6800
2021-07-09 $0.5900
2021-04-09 $0.5900
2021-01-08 $0.5900
2020-10-08 $0.5900
2020-07-09 $0.5300
2020-04-09 $0.5300
2020-01-09 $0.5300
2019-10-09 $0.5300
2019-07-09 $0.4700
2019-04-09 $0.4700
2019-01-09 $0.4700
2018-10-09 $0.4700
2018-07-09 $0.3900
2018-04-09 $0.3900
2018-01-09 $0.3900
2017-10-06 $0.3900
2017-07-06 $0.3400
2017-04-06 $0.3400
2017-01-06 $0.3400
2016-10-05 $0.3400
2016-07-08 $0.3000
2016-04-07 $0.3000
2016-01-07 $0.3000
2015-10-07 $0.3000
2015-07-08 $0.2500
2015-04-08 $0.2500
2015-01-07 $0.2500
2014-10-08 $0.2500
2014-07-08 $0.1900
2014-04-08 $0.1900
2014-01-08 $0.1900
2013-10-08 $0.1900
2013-07-08 $0.1700
2013-04-08 $0.1700
2013-01-08 $0.1700
2012-10-05 $0.1700
2012-07-06 $0.1500
2012-04-05 $0.1500
2012-01-06 $0.1500
2011-10-05 $0.1500
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.61. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 13.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.50%570.68%0.68%
-8.50% to -6.35%911.09%1.78%
-6.35% to -4.20%2402.88%4.66%
-4.20% to -2.05%7879.44%14.10%
-2.05% to 0.10%310237.22%51.31%
0.10% to 2.25%294935.38%86.69%
2.25% to 4.40%7118.53%95.22%
4.40% to 6.55%2162.59%97.82%
6.55% to 8.70%981.18%98.99%
Greater than 8.70%841.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.77%2.97% 81.01%68.27%
±2σ -5.63%5.84% 94.72%95.45%
±3σ -8.50%8.70% 98.31%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.55. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 29.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.00%00.00%0.00%
-5.00% to -2.91%00.00%0.00%
-2.91% to -0.83%00.00%0.00%
-0.83% to 1.25%100912.10%12.10%
1.25% to 3.33%453254.37%66.47%
3.33% to 5.42%152018.23%84.70%
5.42% to 7.50%6708.04%92.74%
7.50% to 9.58%3023.62%96.37%
9.58% to 11.66%1511.81%98.18%
Greater than 11.66%1521.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.56%6.11% 87.76%68.27%
±2σ -2.22%8.89% 95.48%95.45%
±3σ -5.00%11.66% 98.18%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.88. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 19.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.57%770.92%0.92%
-7.57% to -5.67%891.07%1.99%
-5.67% to -3.78%2092.51%4.50%
-3.78% to -1.89%7759.30%13.80%
-1.89% to 0.01%325439.04%52.83%
0.01% to 1.90%271632.58%85.41%
1.90% to 3.80%7699.23%94.64%
3.80% to 5.69%2813.37%98.01%
5.69% to 7.59%881.06%99.06%
Greater than 7.59%780.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.52%2.53% 80.10%68.27%
±2σ -5.04%5.06% 94.73%95.45%
±3σ -7.57%7.59% 98.14%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.78%110.64%0.64%
-17.78% to -13.22%211.22%1.85%
-13.22% to -8.65%623.59%5.44%
-8.65% to -4.08%1629.38%14.81%
-4.08% to 0.48%64537.33%52.14%
0.48% to 5.04%57433.22%85.36%
5.04% to 9.61%1629.38%94.73%
9.61% to 14.18%512.95%97.69%
14.18% to 18.74%211.22%98.90%
Greater than 18.74%191.10%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.61%6.57% 79.92%68.27%
±2σ -11.69%12.65% 94.39%95.45%
±3σ -17.78%18.74% 98.26%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 14.14 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.79%00.00%0.00%
-12.79% to -7.48%00.00%0.00%
-7.48% to -2.18%00.00%0.00%
-2.18% to 3.13%22513.01%13.01%
3.13% to 8.44%92153.27%66.28%
8.44% to 13.75%31017.93%84.21%
13.75% to 19.05%1569.02%93.23%
19.05% to 24.36%543.12%96.36%
24.36% to 29.67%311.79%98.15%
Greater than 29.67%321.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.36%15.52% 86.81%68.27%
±2σ -5.71%22.59% 96.12%95.45%
±3σ -12.79%29.67% 98.15%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.97. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.53 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.19%80.46%0.46%
-18.19% to -13.64%150.87%1.33%
-13.64% to -9.09%512.95%4.28%
-9.09% to -4.55%18210.53%14.81%
-4.55% to 0.00%68239.44%54.25%
0.00% to 4.55%54631.58%85.83%
4.55% to 9.10%1458.39%94.22%
9.10% to 13.65%533.07%97.28%
13.65% to 18.20%261.50%98.79%
Greater than 18.20%211.21%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.06%6.07% 79.53%68.27%
±2σ -12.13%12.13% 94.39%95.45%
±3σ -18.19%18.20% 98.32%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.45. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.52%10.25%0.25%
-33.52% to -24.65%51.26%1.51%
-24.65% to -15.77%102.52%4.03%
-15.77% to -6.89%4711.84%15.87%
-6.89% to 1.98%14235.77%51.64%
1.98% to 10.86%13935.01%86.65%
10.86% to 19.74%369.07%95.72%
19.74% to 28.61%92.27%97.98%
28.61% to 37.49%41.01%98.99%
Greater than 37.49%41.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.85%13.82% 80.10%68.27%
±2σ -21.69%25.66% 95.72%95.45%
±3σ -33.53%37.49% 98.74%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.57. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.50%00.00%0.00%
-25.50% to -14.44%00.00%0.00%
-14.44% to -3.39%00.00%0.00%
-3.39% to 7.67%5213.07%13.07%
7.67% to 18.73%20752.01%65.08%
18.73% to 29.78%7719.35%84.42%
29.78% to 40.84%358.79%93.22%
40.84% to 51.89%112.76%95.98%
51.89% to 62.95%61.51%97.49%
Greater than 62.95%102.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 3.98%33.47% 87.19%68.27%
±2σ -10.76%48.21% 95.48%95.45%
±3σ -25.50%62.95% 97.49%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.67. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.75 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -33.24%41.01%1.01%
-33.24% to -25.11%20.50%1.51%
-25.11% to -16.98%102.51%4.02%
-16.98% to -8.85%4912.31%16.33%
-8.85% to -0.72%15839.70%56.03%
-0.72% to 7.41%11528.89%84.92%
7.41% to 15.54%348.54%93.47%
15.54% to 23.67%153.77%97.24%
23.67% to 31.80%51.26%98.49%
Greater than 31.80%61.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.56%10.12% 78.39%68.27%
±2σ -22.40%20.96% 94.22%95.45%
±3σ -33.24%31.80% 97.49%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.52%00.00%0.00%
-58.52% to -42.41%00.00%0.00%
-42.41% to -26.29%32.27%2.27%
-26.29% to -10.17%1914.39%16.67%
-10.17% to 5.95%5440.91%57.58%
5.95% to 22.07%4231.82%89.39%
22.07% to 38.19%86.06%95.45%
38.19% to 54.31%10.76%96.21%
54.31% to 70.43%10.76%96.97%
Greater than 70.43%43.03%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.54%27.44% 81.82%68.27%
±2σ -37.03%48.94% 95.45%95.45%
±3σ -58.52%70.43% 96.97%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.05. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 13.18 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.62%00.00%0.00%
-54.62% to -32.16%00.00%0.00%
-32.16% to -9.69%00.00%0.00%
-9.69% to 12.78%96.77%6.77%
12.78% to 35.25%7959.40%66.17%
35.25% to 57.72%2720.30%86.47%
57.72% to 80.18%107.52%93.98%
80.18% to 102.65%21.50%95.49%
102.65% to 125.12%43.01%98.50%
Greater than 125.12%21.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.29%65.20% 89.47%68.27%
±2σ -24.67%95.16% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -54.62%125.12% 98.50%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.71. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.28 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -55.10%00.00%0.00%
-55.10% to -41.85%32.26%2.26%
-41.85% to -28.60%21.50%3.76%
-28.60% to -15.35%129.02%12.78%
-15.35% to -2.09%5742.86%55.64%
-2.09% to 11.16%3727.82%83.46%
11.16% to 24.41%139.77%93.23%
24.41% to 37.67%64.51%97.74%
37.67% to 50.92%10.75%98.50%
Greater than 50.92%21.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -19.76%15.58% 77.44%68.27%
±2σ -37.43%33.25% 92.48%95.45%
±3σ -55.10%50.92% 98.50%99.73%