LRCX 深度分析报告

Lam Research Corporation | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 0.39% ($1.01) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 1984-05-01 → 2026-04-01 (504 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 3.51% 2.89% 3.09% 3.75% 3.93% 3.96% 257.46 278.52 247.53 289.68
周度 7.86% 7.58% 7.85% 9.20% 8.65% 8.72% 245.58 291.99 225.22 318.38
月度 15.90% 18.67% 15.14% 19.41% 18.01% 18.14% 223.64 320.64 186.77 383.93
季度 28.24% 34.72% 26.13% 35.92% 31.20% 31.42% 196.01 365.84 143.47 499.80
Annual 62.40% 62.85% 143.47 499.80 76.87 932.86
Option Time Horizon 23.78% 23.95% 211.11 339.67 166.43 430.85
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:45 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $267.78  |  Strike (K): $270.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $24.7750 (Bid $24.2000 / Ask $25.3500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.39%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 62.40% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 62.07% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 62.85% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-04 $0.2600
2025-12-03 $0.2600
2025-09-24 $0.2600
2025-06-18 $0.2300
2025-03-05 $0.2300
2024-12-11 $0.2300
2024-09-17 $0.2300
2024-06-18 $0.2000
2024-03-12 $0.2000
2023-12-12 $0.2000
2023-09-12 $0.2000
2023-06-13 $0.1725
2023-03-14 $0.1725
2022-12-13 $0.1725
2022-09-13 $0.1725
2022-06-14 $0.1500
2022-03-15 $0.1500
2021-12-14 $0.1500
2021-09-27 $0.1500
2021-06-15 $0.1300
2021-03-16 $0.1300
2020-12-08 $0.1300
2020-09-29 $0.1300
2020-06-16 $0.1150
2020-03-24 $0.1150
2019-12-10 $0.1150
2019-09-30 $0.1150
2019-06-11 $0.1100
2019-03-19 $0.1100
2018-12-04 $0.1100
2018-09-11 $0.1100
2018-06-05 $0.1100
2018-03-06 $0.0500
2017-12-05 $0.0500
2017-09-12 $0.0450
2017-06-05 $0.0450
2017-03-06 $0.0450
2016-12-12 $0.0450
2016-09-12 $0.0300
2016-06-06 $0.0300
2016-03-07 $0.0300
2015-12-07 $0.0300
2015-09-04 $0.0300
2015-06-08 $0.0300
2015-03-09 $0.0180
2014-12-08 $0.0180
2014-09-08 $0.0180
2014-06-09 $0.0180
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.41%630.60%0.60%
-10.41% to -7.77%1081.02%1.62%
-7.77% to -5.14%3773.58%5.20%
-5.14% to -2.50%124211.78%16.98%
-2.50% to 0.13%383736.40%53.38%
0.13% to 2.76%323330.67%84.05%
2.76% to 5.40%109710.41%94.46%
5.40% to 8.03%3683.49%97.95%
8.03% to 10.67%1171.11%99.06%
Greater than 10.67%990.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.38%3.64% 77.51%68.27%
±2σ -6.89%7.15% 94.77%95.45%
±3σ -10.41%10.67% 98.46%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.41. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 10.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.40%00.00%0.00%
-4.40% to -2.23%00.00%0.00%
-2.23% to -0.06%00.00%0.00%
-0.06% to 2.10%201019.07%19.07%
2.10% to 4.27%464744.08%63.15%
4.27% to 6.44%214720.37%83.51%
6.44% to 8.61%9529.03%92.54%
8.61% to 10.77%4183.97%96.51%
10.77% to 12.94%2061.95%98.46%
Greater than 12.94%1621.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.38%7.16% 82.79%68.27%
±2σ -1.51%10.05% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -4.40%12.94% 98.46%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.28. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.61 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.23%790.75%0.75%
-9.23% to -6.91%1141.08%1.83%
-6.91% to -4.59%3443.26%5.09%
-4.59% to -2.28%123111.68%16.77%
-2.28% to 0.04%398337.78%54.55%
0.04% to 2.36%300028.46%83.01%
2.36% to 4.67%118311.22%94.23%
4.67% to 6.99%3903.70%97.93%
6.99% to 9.31%1361.29%99.22%
Greater than 9.31%820.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.05%3.13% 77.13%68.27%
±2σ -6.14%6.22% 94.56%95.45%
±3σ -9.23%9.31% 98.47%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.47. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.93%80.37%0.37%
-22.93% to -17.04%221.00%1.37%
-17.04% to -11.15%813.70%5.07%
-11.15% to -5.25%28012.79%17.85%
-5.25% to 0.64%74734.11%51.96%
0.64% to 6.53%68031.05%83.01%
6.53% to 12.42%25411.60%94.61%
12.42% to 18.31%753.42%98.04%
18.31% to 24.21%180.82%98.86%
Greater than 24.21%251.14%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.22%8.49% 75.66%68.27%
±2σ -15.07%16.35% 95.30%95.45%
±3σ -22.93%24.21% 98.49%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.96. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 18.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.62%00.00%0.00%
-11.62% to -5.94%00.00%0.00%
-5.94% to -0.26%00.00%0.00%
-0.26% to 5.43%40318.39%18.39%
5.43% to 11.11%95143.40%61.80%
11.11% to 16.79%50423.00%84.80%
16.79% to 22.48%1888.58%93.38%
22.48% to 28.16%753.42%96.81%
28.16% to 33.84%331.51%98.31%
Greater than 33.84%371.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 3.53%18.69% 83.71%68.27%
±2σ -4.04%26.26% 95.66%95.45%
±3σ -11.62%33.84% 98.31%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.61. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 16.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.50%70.32%0.32%
-23.50% to -17.61%241.10%1.41%
-17.61% to -11.72%652.97%4.38%
-11.72% to -5.83%28112.83%17.21%
-5.83% to 0.06%80436.70%53.90%
0.06% to 5.95%64429.39%83.30%
5.95% to 11.84%23610.77%94.07%
11.84% to 17.73%853.88%97.95%
17.73% to 23.61%281.28%99.22%
Greater than 23.61%170.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.79%7.91% 77.09%68.27%
±2σ -15.65%15.76% 95.48%95.45%
±3σ -23.50%23.62% 98.90%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.24. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.65 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.05%00.00%0.00%
-45.05% to -33.12%61.19%1.19%
-33.12% to -21.20%173.38%4.57%
-21.20% to -9.28%6913.72%18.29%
-9.28% to 2.65%18035.79%54.08%
2.65% to 14.57%14829.42%83.50%
14.57% to 26.49%5711.33%94.83%
26.49% to 38.42%132.58%97.42%
38.42% to 50.34%81.59%99.01%
Greater than 50.34%50.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.25%18.54% 76.74%68.27%
±2σ -29.15%34.44% 94.83%95.45%
±3σ -45.05%50.34% 99.01%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.69. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 24.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -29.99%00.00%0.00%
-29.99% to -15.99%00.00%0.00%
-15.99% to -1.98%00.00%0.00%
-1.98% to 12.02%5310.52%10.52%
12.02% to 26.02%28356.15%66.67%
26.02% to 40.03%10621.03%87.70%
40.03% to 54.03%254.96%92.66%
54.03% to 68.04%214.17%96.83%
68.04% to 82.04%71.39%98.21%
Greater than 82.04%91.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.35%44.70% 88.89%68.27%
±2σ -11.32%63.37% 95.24%95.45%
±3σ -29.99%82.04% 98.21%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.83. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.79 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.66%10.20%0.20%
-45.66% to -34.30%30.60%0.79%
-34.30% to -22.94%152.98%3.77%
-22.94% to -11.58%7414.68%18.45%
-11.58% to -0.23%17534.72%53.17%
-0.23% to 11.13%14528.77%81.94%
11.13% to 22.49%5811.51%93.45%
22.49% to 33.85%203.97%97.42%
33.85% to 45.21%40.79%98.21%
Greater than 45.21%91.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.37%14.92% 76.39%68.27%
±2σ -30.51%30.06% 95.63%95.45%
±3σ -45.66%45.21% 98.02%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.28. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -76.75%00.00%0.00%
-76.75% to -55.58%00.00%0.00%
-55.58% to -34.40%63.59%3.59%
-34.40% to -13.22%3118.56%22.16%
-13.22% to 7.95%5231.14%53.29%
7.95% to 29.13%4426.35%79.64%
29.13% to 50.31%2615.57%95.21%
50.31% to 71.48%42.40%97.60%
71.48% to 92.66%31.80%99.40%
Greater than 92.66%10.60%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -20.28%36.19% 74.25%68.27%
±2σ -48.52%64.43% 95.81%95.45%
±3σ -76.75%92.66% 99.40%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.91. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.61 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -53.15%00.00%0.00%
-53.15% to -27.11%00.00%0.00%
-27.11% to -1.07%00.00%0.00%
-1.07% to 24.97%3219.05%19.05%
24.97% to 51.01%7947.02%66.07%
51.01% to 77.05%2716.07%82.14%
77.05% to 103.09%116.55%88.69%
103.09% to 129.13%148.33%97.02%
129.13% to 155.17%31.79%98.81%
Greater than 155.17%21.19%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 16.29%85.73% 82.74%68.27%
±2σ -18.43%120.45% 95.24%95.45%
±3σ -53.15%155.17% 98.81%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.06. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.08 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -79.30%00.00%0.00%
-79.30% to -59.70%10.60%0.60%
-59.70% to -40.10%42.38%2.98%
-40.10% to -20.50%3219.05%22.02%
-20.50% to -0.90%6236.90%58.93%
-0.90% to 18.71%3923.21%82.14%
18.71% to 38.31%169.52%91.67%
38.31% to 57.91%84.76%96.43%
57.91% to 77.51%42.38%98.81%
Greater than 77.51%21.19%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -27.03%25.24% 73.81%68.27%
±2σ -53.16%51.37% 94.64%95.45%
±3σ -79.30%77.51% 98.81%99.73%