MA Deep Analytical Report

Mastercard Incorporated | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.63% ($3.15) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2006-05-01 → 2026-03-01 (239 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.04% 1.85% 1.71% 2.07% 1.88% 495.18 513.36 486.34 522.70
Weekly 4.34% 4.74% 4.32% 4.84% 4.14% 484.58 524.60 465.73 545.83
Monthly 8.18% 9.07% 7.85% 10.24% 8.62% 464.22 547.60 427.42 594.75
Quarterly 14.42% 16.21% 13.04% 16.37% 14.92% 436.98 581.74 378.73 671.21
Annual 29.85% 378.73 671.21 284.49 893.55
Option Time Horizon 11.27% 452.58 561.69 406.25 625.75
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:43 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $504.19  |  Strike (K): $505.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $22.3750 (Bid $22.0500 / Ask $22.7000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.63%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 0.00% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 28.61% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 29.85% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-01-09 $0.8700
2025-10-09 $0.7600
2025-07-09 $0.7600
2025-04-09 $0.7600
2025-01-10 $0.7600
2024-10-09 $0.6600
2024-07-09 $0.6600
2024-04-08 $0.6600
2024-01-08 $0.6600
2023-10-05 $0.5700
2023-07-06 $0.5700
2023-04-05 $0.5700
2023-01-06 $0.5700
2022-10-06 $0.4900
2022-07-07 $0.4900
2022-04-07 $0.4900
2022-01-06 $0.4900
2021-10-07 $0.4400
2021-07-08 $0.4400
2021-04-08 $0.4400
2021-01-07 $0.4400
2020-10-08 $0.4000
2020-07-08 $0.4000
2020-04-08 $0.4000
2020-01-08 $0.4000
2019-10-08 $0.3300
2019-07-08 $0.3300
2019-04-08 $0.3300
2019-01-08 $0.3300
2018-10-05 $0.2500
2018-07-06 $0.2500
2018-04-06 $0.2500
2018-01-08 $0.2500
2017-10-05 $0.2200
2017-07-05 $0.2200
2017-04-05 $0.2200
2017-01-05 $0.2200
2016-10-05 $0.1900
2016-07-06 $0.1900
2016-04-06 $0.1900
2016-01-06 $0.1900
2015-10-07 $0.1600
2015-07-07 $0.1600
2015-04-07 $0.1600
2015-01-07 $0.1600
2014-10-07 $0.1100
2014-07-07 $0.1100
2014-04-07 $0.1100
2014-01-07 $0.1100
2013-10-07 $0.0600
2013-07-05 $0.0600
2013-04-05 $0.0600
2013-01-07 $0.0300
2012-10-05 $0.0300
2012-07-05 $0.0300
2012-04-04 $0.0300
2012-01-05 $0.0150
2011-10-05 $0.0150
2011-07-06 $0.0150
2011-04-06 $0.0150
2011-01-06 $0.0150
2010-10-07 $0.0150
2010-07-01 $0.0150
2010-04-07 $0.0150
2010-01-06 $0.0150
2009-10-07 $0.0150
2009-07-08 $0.0150
2009-04-08 $0.0150
2009-01-07 $0.0150
2008-10-08 $0.0150
2008-07-09 $0.0150
2008-04-07 $0.0150
2008-01-09 $0.0150
2007-10-17 $0.0150
2007-06-29 $0.0150
2007-04-04 $0.0150
2007-01-10 $0.0090
2006-10-05 $0.0090
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.67. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.01%360.72%0.72%
-6.01% to -4.48%581.16%1.89%
-4.48% to -2.95%1633.27%5.15%
-2.95% to -1.41%4809.63%14.78%
-1.41% to 0.12%174434.98%49.76%
0.12% to 1.65%179135.92%85.68%
1.65% to 3.18%4969.95%95.63%
3.18% to 4.71%1192.39%98.01%
4.71% to 6.24%511.02%99.04%
Greater than 6.24%480.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.92%2.16% 80.37%68.27%
±2σ -3.97%4.20% 94.83%95.45%
±3σ -6.01%6.24% 98.32%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.13. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.62 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.16%00.00%0.00%
-3.16% to -1.77%00.00%0.00%
-1.77% to -0.38%00.00%0.00%
-0.38% to 1.01%59411.91%11.91%
1.01% to 2.40%270254.18%66.09%
2.40% to 3.79%99419.93%86.02%
3.79% to 5.18%3607.22%93.24%
5.18% to 6.58%1543.09%96.33%
6.58% to 7.97%881.76%98.10%
Greater than 7.97%951.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.55%4.26% 89.07%68.27%
±2σ -1.31%6.11% 95.61%95.45%
±3σ -3.16%7.97% 98.10%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.25. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.17%490.98%0.98%
-5.17% to -3.88%420.84%1.82%
-3.88% to -2.60%1292.59%4.41%
-2.60% to -1.32%52810.59%15.00%
-1.32% to -0.03%183736.84%51.83%
-0.03% to 1.25%163132.71%84.54%
1.25% to 2.54%51310.29%94.83%
2.54% to 3.82%1462.93%97.75%
3.82% to 5.11%651.30%99.06%
Greater than 5.11%470.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.74%1.68% 79.45%68.27%
±2σ -3.46%3.40% 94.69%95.45%
±3σ -5.17%5.11% 98.07%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.67. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.47%100.97%0.97%
-12.47% to -9.22%80.77%1.74%
-9.22% to -5.96%363.48%5.22%
-5.96% to -2.70%11411.03%16.25%
-2.70% to 0.56%33732.59%48.84%
0.56% to 3.82%38337.04%85.88%
3.82% to 7.08%969.28%95.16%
7.08% to 10.34%292.80%97.97%
10.34% to 13.60%80.77%98.74%
Greater than 13.60%131.26%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.78%4.90% 77.66%68.27%
±2σ -8.13%9.25% 94.49%95.45%
±3σ -12.47%13.60% 97.78%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.70. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 10.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.05%00.00%0.00%
-8.05% to -4.50%00.00%0.00%
-4.50% to -0.95%00.00%0.00%
-0.95% to 2.60%13212.75%12.75%
2.60% to 6.16%56154.20%66.96%
6.16% to 9.71%19719.03%85.99%
9.71% to 13.26%747.15%93.14%
13.26% to 16.81%302.90%96.04%
16.81% to 20.36%151.45%97.49%
Greater than 20.36%262.51%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.42%10.89% 88.21%68.27%
±2σ -3.32%15.63% 95.07%95.45%
±3σ -8.05%20.36% 97.49%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.58. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.35 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.19%90.87%0.87%
-13.19% to -9.96%100.97%1.84%
-9.96% to -6.72%272.61%4.44%
-6.72% to -3.48%10710.34%14.78%
-3.48% to -0.25%41139.71%54.49%
-0.25% to 2.99%31029.95%84.44%
2.99% to 6.23%10410.05%94.49%
6.23% to 9.46%323.09%97.58%
9.46% to 12.70%111.06%98.65%
Greater than 12.70%141.35%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.56%4.07% 79.23%68.27%
±2σ -8.88%8.39% 94.20%95.45%
±3σ -13.19%12.70% 97.78%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.77 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.16%10.42%0.42%
-22.16% to -16.03%31.26%1.68%
-16.03% to -9.90%104.20%5.88%
-9.90% to -3.77%3715.55%21.43%
-3.77% to 2.37%7230.25%51.68%
2.37% to 8.50%7631.93%83.61%
8.50% to 14.63%2610.92%94.54%
14.63% to 20.76%72.94%97.48%
20.76% to 26.89%31.26%98.74%
Greater than 26.89%31.26%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.81%10.54% 78.57%68.27%
±2σ -13.98%18.72% 94.96%95.45%
±3σ -22.16%26.89% 98.32%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.55%00.00%0.00%
-13.55% to -6.75%00.00%0.00%
-6.75% to 0.06%00.00%0.00%
0.06% to 6.86%4117.15%17.15%
6.86% to 13.66%11548.12%65.27%
13.66% to 20.46%4719.67%84.94%
20.46% to 27.26%229.21%94.14%
27.26% to 34.06%62.51%96.65%
34.06% to 40.86%31.26%97.91%
Greater than 40.86%52.09%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.59%22.73% 87.03%68.27%
±2σ -4.48%31.79% 95.40%95.45%
±3σ -13.55%40.86% 97.91%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.76. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.50 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.11%10.42%0.42%
-25.11% to -19.22%31.26%1.67%
-19.22% to -13.34%72.93%4.60%
-13.34% to -7.45%3012.55%17.15%
-7.45% to -1.56%8334.73%51.88%
-1.56% to 4.32%7029.29%81.17%
4.32% to 10.21%3012.55%93.72%
10.21% to 16.09%93.77%97.49%
16.09% to 21.98%31.26%98.74%
Greater than 21.98%31.26%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.41%6.28% 76.57%68.27%
±2σ -17.26%14.13% 94.98%95.45%
±3σ -25.11%21.98% 98.33%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.85. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.79 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.07%11.27%1.27%
-36.07% to -25.25%00.00%1.27%
-25.25% to -14.44%11.27%2.53%
-14.44% to -3.62%1012.66%15.19%
-3.62% to 7.20%2936.71%51.90%
7.20% to 18.01%2835.44%87.34%
18.01% to 28.83%56.33%93.67%
28.83% to 39.64%22.53%96.20%
39.64% to 50.46%11.27%97.47%
Greater than 50.46%22.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.23%21.62% 83.54%68.27%
±2σ -21.65%36.04% 94.94%95.45%
±3σ -36.07%50.46% 96.20%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.36%00.00%0.00%
-23.36% to -11.20%00.00%0.00%
-11.20% to 0.96%00.00%0.00%
0.96% to 13.11%1316.25%16.25%
13.11% to 25.27%4151.25%67.50%
25.27% to 37.43%1620.00%87.50%
37.43% to 49.58%33.75%91.25%
49.58% to 61.74%33.75%95.00%
61.74% to 73.90%33.75%98.75%
Greater than 73.90%11.25%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 9.06%41.48% 87.50%68.27%
±2σ -7.15%57.69% 95.00%95.45%
±3σ -23.36%73.90% 98.75%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.56. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.45 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.05%00.00%0.00%
-44.05% to -34.27%11.25%1.25%
-34.27% to -24.48%33.75%5.00%
-24.48% to -14.70%78.75%13.75%
-14.70% to -4.92%3341.25%55.00%
-4.92% to 4.86%2531.25%86.25%
4.86% to 14.64%78.75%95.00%
14.64% to 24.42%33.75%98.75%
24.42% to 34.20%00.00%98.75%
Greater than 34.20%11.25%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.96%8.12% 82.50%68.27%
±2σ -31.00%21.16% 97.50%95.45%
±3σ -44.05%34.20% 98.75%99.73%