MGM Deep Analytical Report

MGM Resorts International | Category: Equity Large Cap | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1988-05-01 → 2026-03-01 (455 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.08% 3.34% 2.62% 3.39% 3.00% 3.27% 36.24 38.48 35.16 39.65
Weekly 7.42% 9.34% 6.99% 7.95% 6.61% 7.20% 34.95 39.89 32.72 42.61
Monthly 17.52% 27.09% 15.09% 16.96% 13.75% 15.00% 32.54 42.85 28.36 49.16
Quarterly 21.36% 58.48% 23.43% 27.44% 23.82% 25.98% 29.43 47.38 23.19 60.13
Annual 47.64% 51.95% 23.19 60.13 14.40 96.82
Option Time Horizon 17.98% 19.61% 31.19 44.70 26.06 53.50
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:36 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $37.34  |  Strike (K): $38.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.4800 (Bid $2.2800 / Ask $2.6800)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 47.64% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 47.85% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 51.95% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2022-12-08 $0.0030
2022-09-08 $0.0030
2022-06-09 $0.0030
2022-03-09 $0.0030
2021-12-09 $0.0030
2021-09-09 $0.0030
2021-06-09 $0.0030
2021-03-09 $0.0030
2020-12-09 $0.0030
2020-09-09 $0.0030
2020-06-09 $0.0030
2020-03-09 $0.1500
2019-12-09 $0.1300
2019-09-09 $0.1300
2019-06-07 $0.1300
2019-03-07 $0.1300
2018-12-07 $0.1200
2018-09-07 $0.1200
2018-06-07 $0.1200
2018-03-08 $0.1200
2017-12-08 $0.1100
2017-09-08 $0.1100
2017-06-07 $0.1100
2017-03-08 $0.1100
2001-02-08 $0.0500
2000-02-08 $0.0250
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.17%730.78%0.78%
-9.17% to -6.86%640.69%1.47%
-6.86% to -4.55%2162.32%3.79%
-4.55% to -2.24%98310.57%14.36%
-2.24% to 0.08%364139.13%53.49%
0.08% to 2.39%300632.31%85.80%
2.39% to 4.70%9079.75%95.55%
4.70% to 7.01%2432.61%98.16%
7.01% to 9.32%941.01%99.17%
Greater than 9.32%770.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.01%3.16% 81.96%68.27%
±2σ -6.09%6.24% 95.66%95.45%
±3σ -9.17%9.33% 98.39%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.40%00.00%0.00%
-6.40% to -3.89%00.00%0.00%
-3.89% to -1.39%00.00%0.00%
-1.39% to 1.12%5936.37%6.37%
1.12% to 3.63%578662.18%68.55%
3.63% to 6.14%187020.10%88.65%
6.14% to 8.65%4895.26%93.91%
8.65% to 11.15%2482.67%96.57%
11.15% to 13.66%1241.33%97.90%
Greater than 13.66%1952.10%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.29%6.97% 91.08%68.27%
±2σ -3.06%10.32% 95.91%95.45%
±3σ -6.40%13.66% 97.90%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.72%550.59%0.59%
-7.72% to -5.76%931.00%1.59%
-5.76% to -3.79%2532.72%4.31%
-3.79% to -1.83%104911.27%15.58%
-1.83% to 0.14%345737.15%52.74%
0.14% to 2.10%303432.61%85.34%
2.10% to 4.07%94010.10%95.44%
4.07% to 6.03%2572.76%98.21%
6.03% to 8.00%800.86%99.07%
Greater than 8.00%870.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.48%2.76% 80.66%68.27%
±2σ -5.10%5.38% 95.49%95.45%
±3σ -7.72%8.00% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.38. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 55.69 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.88%160.81%0.81%
-21.88% to -16.31%120.61%1.42%
-16.31% to -10.75%422.13%3.55%
-10.75% to -5.18%19810.05%13.60%
-5.18% to 0.39%77539.34%52.94%
0.39% to 5.96%65833.40%86.35%
5.96% to 11.52%1879.49%95.84%
11.52% to 17.09%562.84%98.68%
17.09% to 22.66%130.66%99.34%
Greater than 22.66%130.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.03%7.81% 82.64%68.27%
±2σ -14.46%15.23% 96.19%95.45%
±3σ -21.88%22.66% 98.53%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.48. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 101.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.57%00.00%0.00%
-18.57% to -11.56%00.00%0.00%
-11.56% to -4.56%00.00%0.00%
-4.56% to 2.44%412.08%2.08%
2.44% to 9.45%128265.04%67.12%
9.45% to 16.45%46223.44%90.56%
16.45% to 23.45%1055.33%95.89%
23.45% to 30.46%321.62%97.51%
30.46% to 37.46%201.01%98.53%
Greater than 37.46%291.47%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.11%18.78% 93.05%68.27%
±2σ -9.23%28.12% 97.06%95.45%
±3σ -18.57%37.46% 98.53%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.64%90.46%0.46%
-20.64% to -15.40%100.51%0.96%
-15.40% to -10.16%512.59%3.55%
-10.16% to -4.92%23511.92%15.47%
-4.92% to 0.31%76238.66%54.13%
0.31% to 5.55%63432.17%86.30%
5.55% to 10.79%1829.23%95.54%
10.79% to 16.03%452.28%97.82%
16.03% to 21.27%231.17%98.99%
Greater than 21.27%201.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.67%7.30% 81.58%68.27%
±2σ -13.66%14.28% 95.64%95.45%
±3σ -20.64%21.27% 98.53%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.99. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 103.47 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -50.86%20.44%0.44%
-50.86% to -37.72%20.44%0.88%
-37.72% to -24.57%40.88%1.76%
-24.57% to -11.43%4810.57%12.33%
-11.43% to 1.71%19242.29%54.63%
1.71% to 14.85%15634.36%88.99%
14.85% to 28.00%388.37%97.36%
28.00% to 41.14%91.98%99.34%
41.14% to 54.28%20.44%99.78%
Greater than 54.28%10.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.81%19.23% 86.12%68.27%
±2σ -33.34%36.76% 97.36%95.45%
±3σ -50.86%54.28% 99.34%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.76. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 77.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.34%00.00%0.00%
-58.34% to -38.02%00.00%0.00%
-38.02% to -17.71%00.00%0.00%
-17.71% to 2.61%00.00%0.00%
2.61% to 22.92%32471.21%71.21%
22.92% to 43.23%10222.42%93.63%
43.23% to 63.55%163.52%97.14%
63.55% to 83.86%40.88%98.02%
83.86% to 104.18%20.44%98.46%
Greater than 104.18%71.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.17%50.01% 94.95%68.27%
±2σ -31.25%77.09% 97.80%95.45%
±3σ -58.34%104.18% 98.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.16 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.66%10.22%0.22%
-44.66% to -33.34%10.22%0.44%
-33.34% to -22.03%102.20%2.64%
-22.03% to -10.71%6113.41%16.04%
-10.71% to 0.60%17638.68%54.73%
0.60% to 11.92%14632.09%86.81%
11.92% to 23.24%398.57%95.38%
23.24% to 34.55%132.86%98.24%
34.55% to 45.87%40.88%99.12%
Greater than 45.87%40.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.48%15.69% 82.86%68.27%
±2σ -29.57%30.78% 97.58%95.45%
±3σ -44.66%45.87% 98.90%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.57 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -60.11%00.00%0.00%
-60.11% to -44.09%21.32%1.32%
-44.09% to -28.07%63.97%5.30%
-28.07% to -12.06%3120.53%25.83%
-12.06% to 3.96%3825.17%50.99%
3.96% to 19.98%4328.48%79.47%
19.98% to 36.00%2013.25%92.72%
36.00% to 52.02%95.96%98.68%
52.02% to 68.04%10.66%99.34%
Greater than 68.04%10.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.40%25.32% 72.19%68.27%
±2σ -38.75%46.68% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -60.11%68.04% 99.34%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 35.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -128.61%00.00%0.00%
-128.61% to -84.75%00.00%0.00%
-84.75% to -40.89%00.00%0.00%
-40.89% to 2.97%00.00%0.00%
2.97% to 46.84%11575.66%75.66%
46.84% to 90.70%2617.11%92.76%
90.70% to 134.56%63.95%96.71%
134.56% to 178.42%21.32%98.03%
178.42% to 222.28%00.00%98.03%
Greater than 222.28%31.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.65%105.32% 94.74%68.27%
±2σ -70.13%163.80% 98.03%95.45%
±3σ -128.61%222.28% 98.03%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -69.58%00.00%0.00%
-69.58% to -52.01%00.00%0.00%
-52.01% to -34.44%21.32%1.32%
-34.44% to -16.87%2818.42%19.74%
-16.87% to 0.70%5938.82%58.55%
0.70% to 18.27%3825.00%83.55%
18.27% to 35.84%159.87%93.42%
35.84% to 53.41%63.95%97.37%
53.41% to 70.98%00.00%97.37%
Greater than 70.98%42.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.73%24.13% 79.61%68.27%
±2σ -46.16%47.55% 96.71%95.45%
±3σ -69.59%70.98% 97.37%99.73%