MGM Deep Analytical Report

MGM Resorts International | Category: Equity Large Cap | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1988-05-01 → 2026-02-01 (454 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.08% 3.35% 2.62% 3.39% 2.50% 2.66% 35.88 37.72 35.00 38.67
Weekly 7.43% 9.35% 6.99% 7.97% 5.49% 5.86% 34.82 38.87 32.96 41.06
Monthly 17.54% 27.11% 15.10% 17.09% 11.44% 12.21% 32.81 41.25 29.27 46.24
Quarterly 21.35% 58.48% 23.42% 27.44% 19.81% 21.14% 30.18 44.85 24.76 54.67
Annual 39.61% 42.29% 24.76 54.67 16.66 81.25
Option Time Horizon 15.24% 16.26% 31.59 42.85 27.13 49.90
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:20 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $36.79  |  Strike (K): $37.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $2.2200 (Bid $2.1300 / Ask $2.3100)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 39.61% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 39.42% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 42.29% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2022-12-08 $0.0030
2022-09-08 $0.0030
2022-06-09 $0.0030
2022-03-09 $0.0030
2021-12-09 $0.0030
2021-09-09 $0.0030
2021-06-09 $0.0030
2021-03-09 $0.0030
2020-12-09 $0.0030
2020-09-09 $0.0030
2020-06-09 $0.0030
2020-03-09 $0.1500
2019-12-09 $0.1300
2019-09-09 $0.1300
2019-06-07 $0.1300
2019-03-07 $0.1300
2018-12-07 $0.1200
2018-09-07 $0.1200
2018-06-07 $0.1200
2018-03-08 $0.1200
2017-12-08 $0.1100
2017-09-08 $0.1100
2017-06-07 $0.1100
2017-03-08 $0.1100
2001-02-08 $0.0500
2000-02-08 $0.0250
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.97. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.28 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.17%730.79%0.79%
-9.17% to -6.86%630.68%1.47%
-6.86% to -4.55%2152.32%3.78%
-4.55% to -2.24%98110.57%14.35%
-2.24% to 0.08%363639.17%53.52%
0.08% to 2.39%299832.30%85.81%
2.39% to 4.70%9059.75%95.56%
4.70% to 7.01%2412.60%98.16%
7.01% to 9.32%941.01%99.17%
Greater than 9.32%770.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.01%3.16% 82.00%68.27%
±2σ -6.09%6.24% 95.66%95.45%
±3σ -9.17%9.33% 98.38%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 32.92 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.41%00.00%0.00%
-6.41% to -3.90%00.00%0.00%
-3.90% to -1.39%00.00%0.00%
-1.39% to 1.12%5916.37%6.37%
1.12% to 3.63%578062.26%68.62%
3.63% to 6.14%186020.03%88.66%
6.14% to 8.65%4865.23%93.89%
8.65% to 11.16%2492.68%96.57%
11.16% to 13.67%1231.32%97.90%
Greater than 13.67%1952.10%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.28%6.98% 91.10%68.27%
±2σ -3.06%10.32% 95.90%95.45%
±3σ -6.41%13.67% 97.90%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.06 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.72%550.59%0.59%
-7.72% to -5.76%931.00%1.59%
-5.76% to -3.79%2532.73%4.32%
-3.79% to -1.83%104011.20%15.52%
-1.83% to 0.14%345537.21%52.74%
0.14% to 2.10%302932.63%85.36%
2.10% to 4.07%93710.09%95.45%
4.07% to 6.03%2562.76%98.21%
6.03% to 8.00%790.85%99.06%
Greater than 8.00%870.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.48%2.76% 80.70%68.27%
±2σ -5.10%5.38% 95.49%95.45%
±3σ -7.72%8.00% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.38. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 55.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.90%160.81%0.81%
-21.90% to -16.33%120.61%1.42%
-16.33% to -10.76%422.14%3.56%
-10.76% to -5.18%19810.07%13.63%
-5.18% to 0.39%77339.32%52.95%
0.39% to 5.96%65533.32%86.27%
5.96% to 11.54%1889.56%95.83%
11.54% to 17.11%572.90%98.73%
17.11% to 22.68%120.61%99.34%
Greater than 22.68%130.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.04%7.82% 82.66%68.27%
±2σ -14.47%15.25% 96.19%95.45%
±3σ -21.90%22.68% 98.52%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.47. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 100.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.59%00.00%0.00%
-18.59% to -11.59%00.00%0.00%
-11.59% to -4.57%00.00%0.00%
-4.57% to 2.44%402.03%2.03%
2.44% to 9.45%128165.12%67.16%
9.45% to 16.46%46023.39%90.54%
16.46% to 23.47%1065.39%95.93%
23.47% to 30.48%311.58%97.51%
30.48% to 37.49%201.02%98.53%
Greater than 37.49%291.47%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.10%18.79% 93.04%68.27%
±2σ -9.25%28.14% 97.05%95.45%
±3σ -18.59%37.49% 98.53%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.57 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.66%90.46%0.46%
-20.66% to -15.42%100.51%0.97%
-15.42% to -10.17%512.59%3.56%
-10.17% to -4.93%23612.00%15.56%
-4.93% to 0.32%75838.54%54.09%
0.32% to 5.56%63332.18%86.27%
5.56% to 10.81%1829.25%95.53%
10.81% to 16.05%452.29%97.81%
16.05% to 21.30%231.17%98.98%
Greater than 21.30%201.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.68%7.31% 81.49%68.27%
±2σ -13.67%14.30% 95.63%95.45%
±3σ -20.66%21.29% 98.53%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.99. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 103.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -50.92%20.44%0.44%
-50.92% to -37.76%20.44%0.88%
-37.76% to -24.60%40.88%1.77%
-24.60% to -11.45%4810.60%12.36%
-11.45% to 1.71%19142.16%54.53%
1.71% to 14.87%15834.88%89.40%
14.87% to 28.02%367.95%97.35%
28.02% to 41.18%91.99%99.34%
41.18% to 54.34%20.44%99.78%
Greater than 54.34%10.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.83%19.25% 86.09%68.27%
±2σ -33.37%36.79% 97.35%95.45%
±3σ -50.92%54.34% 99.34%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.76. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 77.06 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.40%00.00%0.00%
-58.40% to -38.06%00.00%0.00%
-38.06% to -17.73%00.00%0.00%
-17.73% to 2.61%00.00%0.00%
2.61% to 22.94%32371.15%71.15%
22.94% to 43.27%10222.47%93.61%
43.27% to 63.61%163.52%97.14%
63.61% to 83.94%40.88%98.02%
83.94% to 104.28%20.44%98.46%
Greater than 104.28%71.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.17%50.05% 94.93%68.27%
±2σ -31.28%77.16% 97.80%95.45%
±3σ -58.39%104.28% 98.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.12 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.69%10.22%0.22%
-44.69% to -33.36%10.22%0.44%
-33.36% to -22.04%102.20%2.64%
-22.04% to -10.71%6113.44%16.08%
-10.71% to 0.62%17638.77%54.85%
0.62% to 11.94%14531.94%86.78%
11.94% to 23.27%398.59%95.37%
23.27% to 34.60%132.86%98.24%
34.60% to 45.92%40.88%99.12%
Greater than 45.92%40.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.48%15.72% 82.82%68.27%
±2σ -29.59%30.82% 97.58%95.45%
±3σ -44.69%45.92% 98.90%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.58 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -60.11%00.00%0.00%
-60.11% to -44.10%21.32%1.32%
-44.10% to -28.08%63.97%5.30%
-28.08% to -12.07%3120.53%25.83%
-12.07% to 3.95%3825.17%50.99%
3.95% to 19.97%4328.48%79.47%
19.97% to 35.98%2013.25%92.72%
35.98% to 52.00%95.96%98.68%
52.00% to 68.01%10.66%99.34%
Greater than 68.01%10.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.40%25.30% 72.19%68.27%
±2σ -38.76%46.66% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -60.11%68.01% 99.34%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 35.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -128.61%00.00%0.00%
-128.61% to -84.75%00.00%0.00%
-84.75% to -40.89%00.00%0.00%
-40.89% to 2.97%00.00%0.00%
2.97% to 46.84%11575.66%75.66%
46.84% to 90.70%2617.11%92.76%
90.70% to 134.56%63.95%96.71%
134.56% to 178.42%21.32%98.03%
178.42% to 222.28%00.00%98.03%
Greater than 222.28%31.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.65%105.32% 94.74%68.27%
±2σ -70.13%163.80% 98.03%95.45%
±3σ -128.61%222.28% 98.03%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -69.56%00.00%0.00%
-69.56% to -51.99%00.00%0.00%
-51.99% to -34.43%21.32%1.32%
-34.43% to -16.86%2818.42%19.74%
-16.86% to 0.71%5938.82%58.55%
0.71% to 18.28%3825.00%83.55%
18.28% to 35.85%159.87%93.42%
35.85% to 53.41%63.95%97.37%
53.41% to 70.98%00.00%97.37%
Greater than 70.98%42.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.71%24.13% 79.61%68.27%
±2σ -46.14%47.56% 96.71%95.45%
±3σ -69.56%70.98% 97.37%99.73%