MGM 深度分析报告

MGM Resorts International | 分类: Equity Large Cap | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 1988-05-01 → 2026-04-01 (456 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 3.08% 3.34% 2.62% 3.39% 2.63% 2.97% 38.51 40.60 37.51 41.68
周度 7.42% 9.33% 6.98% 7.94% 5.80% 6.54% 37.31 41.90 35.21 44.40
月度 17.51% 27.06% 15.07% 16.98% 12.07% 13.62% 35.04 44.61 31.06 50.34
季度 21.38% 58.47% 23.45% 27.62% 20.91% 23.58% 32.08 48.74 26.03 60.07
Annual 41.82% 47.17% 26.03 60.07 17.13 91.26
Option Time Horizon 15.94% 17.97% 33.72 46.37 28.75 54.38
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:46 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $39.54  |  Strike (K): $40.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $2.4000 (Bid $2.1500 / Ask $2.6500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 41.82% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 41.86% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 47.17% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2022-12-08 $0.0030
2022-09-08 $0.0030
2022-06-09 $0.0030
2022-03-09 $0.0030
2021-12-09 $0.0030
2021-09-09 $0.0030
2021-06-09 $0.0030
2021-03-09 $0.0030
2020-12-09 $0.0030
2020-09-09 $0.0030
2020-06-09 $0.0030
2020-03-09 $0.1500
2019-12-09 $0.1300
2019-09-09 $0.1300
2019-06-07 $0.1300
2019-03-07 $0.1300
2018-12-07 $0.1200
2018-09-07 $0.1200
2018-06-07 $0.1200
2018-03-08 $0.1200
2017-12-08 $0.1100
2017-09-08 $0.1100
2017-06-07 $0.1100
2017-03-08 $0.1100
2001-02-08 $0.0500
2000-02-08 $0.0250
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.96. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 22.24 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.17%730.78%0.78%
-9.17% to -6.86%650.70%1.48%
-6.86% to -4.55%2152.31%3.78%
-4.55% to -2.23%98510.56%14.35%
-2.23% to 0.08%364939.12%53.47%
0.08% to 2.39%301632.34%85.80%
2.39% to 4.70%9119.77%95.57%
4.70% to 7.01%2412.58%98.16%
7.01% to 9.32%951.02%99.17%
Greater than 9.32%770.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.00%3.16% 81.93%68.27%
±2σ -6.09%6.24% 95.66%95.45%
±3σ -9.17%9.32% 98.39%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.41. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 33.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.39%00.00%0.00%
-6.39% to -3.88%00.00%0.00%
-3.88% to -1.38%00.00%0.00%
-1.38% to 1.13%6016.44%6.44%
1.13% to 3.63%578962.06%68.50%
3.63% to 6.14%188120.17%88.67%
6.14% to 8.64%4875.22%93.89%
8.64% to 11.15%2512.69%96.58%
11.15% to 13.65%1241.33%97.91%
Greater than 13.65%1952.09%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.29%6.97% 91.09%68.27%
±2σ -3.05%10.31% 95.89%95.45%
±3σ -6.39%13.65% 97.91%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.74. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 13.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.72%550.59%0.59%
-7.72% to -5.76%931.00%1.59%
-5.76% to -3.79%2542.72%4.31%
-3.79% to -1.83%105311.29%15.60%
-1.83% to 0.14%346537.15%52.74%
0.14% to 2.10%304132.60%85.35%
2.10% to 4.07%94210.10%95.44%
4.07% to 6.03%2582.77%98.21%
6.03% to 7.99%800.86%99.07%
Greater than 7.99%870.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.48%2.76% 80.63%68.27%
±2σ -5.10%5.38% 95.50%95.45%
±3σ -7.72%7.99% 98.48%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.38. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 55.73 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.86%160.81%0.81%
-21.86% to -16.30%120.61%1.42%
-16.30% to -10.73%422.13%3.54%
-10.73% to -5.17%19910.08%13.62%
-5.17% to 0.39%77739.34%52.96%
0.39% to 5.95%65933.37%86.33%
5.95% to 11.52%1889.52%95.85%
11.52% to 17.08%562.84%98.68%
17.08% to 22.64%130.66%99.34%
Greater than 22.64%130.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.03%7.81% 82.63%68.27%
±2σ -14.44%15.22% 96.20%95.45%
±3σ -21.86%22.64% 98.53%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 7.49. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 101.26 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.54%00.00%0.00%
-18.54% to -11.54%00.00%0.00%
-11.54% to -4.55%00.00%0.00%
-4.55% to 2.45%412.07%2.07%
2.45% to 9.44%128464.98%67.05%
9.44% to 16.44%46423.48%90.54%
16.44% to 23.43%1055.31%95.85%
23.43% to 30.43%321.62%97.47%
30.43% to 37.42%211.06%98.53%
Greater than 37.42%291.47%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.12%18.77% 93.07%68.27%
±2σ -9.21%28.10% 97.06%95.45%
±3σ -18.54%37.42% 98.53%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 19.64 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.63%90.46%0.46%
-20.63% to -15.40%100.51%0.96%
-15.40% to -10.16%512.58%3.54%
-10.16% to -4.93%23611.94%15.49%
-4.93% to 0.31%76238.56%54.05%
0.31% to 5.55%63732.24%86.29%
5.55% to 10.78%1839.26%95.55%
10.78% to 16.02%452.28%97.82%
16.02% to 21.25%231.16%98.99%
Greater than 21.25%201.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.67%7.29% 81.53%68.27%
±2σ -13.65%14.27% 95.60%95.45%
±3σ -20.63%21.25% 98.53%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 7.00. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 103.64 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -50.80%20.44%0.44%
-50.80% to -37.67%20.44%0.88%
-37.67% to -24.54%40.88%1.76%
-24.54% to -11.41%4810.55%12.31%
-11.41% to 1.72%19242.20%54.51%
1.72% to 14.85%15734.51%89.01%
14.85% to 27.98%388.35%97.36%
27.98% to 41.11%91.98%99.34%
41.11% to 54.24%20.44%99.78%
Greater than 54.24%10.22%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.79%19.23% 86.15%68.27%
±2σ -33.29%36.73% 97.36%95.45%
±3σ -50.80%54.24% 99.34%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 7.77. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 77.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -58.27%00.00%0.00%
-58.27% to -37.98%00.00%0.00%
-37.98% to -17.69%00.00%0.00%
-17.69% to 2.61%00.00%0.00%
2.61% to 22.90%32571.27%71.27%
22.90% to 43.20%10222.37%93.64%
43.20% to 63.49%163.51%97.15%
63.49% to 83.78%40.88%98.03%
83.78% to 104.08%20.44%98.46%
Greater than 104.08%71.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.16%49.96% 94.96%68.27%
±2σ -31.22%77.02% 97.81%95.45%
±3σ -58.28%104.08% 98.46%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.51. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 19.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -44.62%10.22%0.22%
-44.62% to -33.32%10.22%0.44%
-33.32% to -22.01%102.19%2.63%
-22.01% to -10.71%6113.38%16.01%
-10.71% to 0.59%17738.82%54.82%
0.59% to 11.90%14632.02%86.84%
11.90% to 23.20%398.55%95.39%
23.20% to 34.51%132.85%98.25%
34.51% to 45.81%40.88%99.12%
Greater than 45.81%40.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.48%15.67% 82.89%68.27%
±2σ -29.55%30.74% 97.59%95.45%
±3σ -44.62%45.81% 98.90%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.27. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.56 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -60.13%00.00%0.00%
-60.13% to -44.10%21.32%1.32%
-44.10% to -28.07%63.97%5.30%
-28.07% to -12.03%3120.53%25.83%
-12.03% to 4.00%3825.17%50.99%
4.00% to 20.04%4328.48%79.47%
20.04% to 36.07%2013.25%92.72%
36.07% to 52.11%95.96%98.68%
52.11% to 68.14%10.66%99.34%
Greater than 68.14%10.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.38%25.38% 72.19%68.27%
±2σ -38.75%46.76% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -60.13%68.14% 99.34%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.66. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 35.88 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -128.55%00.00%0.00%
-128.55% to -84.70%00.00%0.00%
-84.70% to -40.85%00.00%0.00%
-40.85% to 3.01%00.00%0.00%
3.01% to 46.86%11575.66%75.66%
46.86% to 90.71%2617.11%92.76%
90.71% to 134.56%63.95%96.71%
134.56% to 178.42%21.32%98.03%
178.42% to 222.27%00.00%98.03%
Greater than 222.27%31.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.61%105.33% 94.74%68.27%
±2σ -70.08%163.80% 98.03%95.45%
±3σ -128.55%222.27% 98.03%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.65. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.01 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -69.67%00.00%0.00%
-69.67% to -52.09%00.00%0.00%
-52.09% to -34.50%21.32%1.32%
-34.50% to -16.92%2818.42%19.74%
-16.92% to 0.67%5938.82%58.55%
0.67% to 18.25%3825.00%83.55%
18.25% to 35.84%159.87%93.42%
35.84% to 53.42%63.95%97.37%
53.42% to 71.01%00.00%97.37%
Greater than 71.01%42.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.78%24.11% 79.61%68.27%
±2σ -46.23%47.56% 96.71%95.45%
±3σ -69.67%71.01% 97.37%99.73%