MTN Deep Analytical Report

Vail Resorts, Inc. | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 6.20% ($8.88) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1997-02-01 → 2026-02-01 (349 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.33% 2.10% 2.13% 2.78% 2.46% 2.76% 139.36 146.38 135.98 150.03
Weekly 5.00% 5.23% 5.03% 6.42% 5.41% 6.07% 135.31 150.77 128.18 159.15
Monthly 9.32% 11.72% 9.66% 13.10% 11.26% 12.64% 127.62 159.86 114.02 178.91
Quarterly 13.69% 20.03% 14.01% 20.93% 19.51% 21.89% 117.52 173.59 96.69 210.99
Annual 39.01% 43.78% 96.69 210.99 65.46 311.67
Option Time Horizon 15.01% 16.84% 122.93 165.95 105.80 192.82
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:20 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $142.83  |  Strike (K): $145.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.3500 (Bid $6.0000 / Ask $8.7000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 6.20%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 39.01% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 39.37% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 43.78% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-30 $2.2200
2025-10-09 $2.2200
2025-06-24 $2.2200
2025-03-27 $2.2200
2024-12-26 $2.2200
2024-10-08 $2.2200
2024-06-25 $2.2200
2024-03-27 $2.2200
2023-12-22 $2.0600
2023-10-06 $2.0600
2023-06-26 $2.0600
2023-03-24 $2.0600
2022-12-23 $1.9100
2022-10-04 $1.9100
2022-06-24 $1.9100
2022-03-29 $1.9100
2021-12-27 $0.8800
2021-10-04 $0.8800
2020-03-25 $1.7600
2019-12-24 $1.7600
2019-10-07 $1.7600
2019-06-25 $1.7600
2019-03-26 $1.7600
2018-12-26 $1.4700
2018-10-05 $1.4700
2018-06-26 $1.4700
2018-03-26 $1.4700
2017-12-26 $1.0530
2017-10-06 $1.0530
2017-06-26 $1.0530
2017-03-27 $1.0530
2016-12-23 $0.8100
2016-10-05 $0.8100
2016-06-24 $0.8100
2016-03-24 $0.8100
2015-12-23 $0.6230
2015-10-07 $0.6230
2015-06-23 $0.6230
2015-03-27 $0.6230
2014-12-24 $0.4150
2014-10-03 $0.4150
2014-06-19 $0.4150
2014-03-28 $0.4150
2013-12-23 $0.2080
2013-10-07 $0.2070
2013-06-20 $0.2070
2013-03-21 $0.2070
2012-12-17 $0.1880
2012-10-05 $0.1880
2012-06-21 $0.1880
2012-03-22 $0.1880
2011-12-20 $0.1500
2011-10-07 $0.1500
2011-06-29 $0.1500
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.26. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.16 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.92%530.73%0.73%
-6.92% to -5.18%811.11%1.83%
-5.18% to -3.43%2142.93%4.76%
-3.43% to -1.69%78910.80%15.56%
-1.69% to 0.06%262935.98%51.55%
0.06% to 1.80%241533.06%84.60%
1.80% to 3.55%75910.39%94.99%
3.55% to 5.29%2032.78%97.77%
5.29% to 7.04%891.22%98.99%
Greater than 7.04%741.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.27%2.38% 79.43%68.27%
±2σ -4.59%4.71% 94.79%95.45%
±3σ -6.92%7.04% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.50. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.49%00.00%0.00%
-3.49% to -1.92%00.00%0.00%
-1.92% to -0.34%00.00%0.00%
-0.34% to 1.23%90612.40%12.40%
1.23% to 2.80%382052.28%64.68%
2.80% to 4.38%160021.90%86.57%
4.38% to 5.95%5317.27%93.84%
5.95% to 7.53%2102.87%96.72%
7.53% to 9.10%1031.41%98.13%
Greater than 9.10%1371.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.70%4.90% 88.03%68.27%
±2σ -1.39%7.00% 95.99%95.45%
±3σ -3.49%9.10% 98.13%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.74 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.39%650.89%0.89%
-6.39% to -4.79%751.03%1.92%
-4.79% to -3.19%2132.92%4.83%
-3.19% to -1.59%80310.99%15.82%
-1.59% to 0.01%258735.40%51.22%
0.01% to 1.61%239332.75%83.97%
1.61% to 3.21%81211.11%95.09%
3.21% to 4.81%2283.12%98.21%
4.81% to 6.41%731.00%99.21%
Greater than 6.41%580.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.12%2.15% 78.73%68.27%
±2σ -4.25%4.28% 95.28%95.45%
±3σ -6.39%6.41% 98.32%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.73%120.79%0.79%
-14.73% to -10.98%191.25%2.05%
-10.98% to -7.22%523.43%5.48%
-7.22% to -3.47%17011.22%16.70%
-3.47% to 0.28%51333.86%50.56%
0.28% to 4.03%49732.81%83.37%
4.03% to 7.78%16210.69%94.06%
7.78% to 11.53%593.89%97.95%
11.53% to 15.29%171.12%99.08%
Greater than 15.29%140.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.72%5.28% 76.50%68.27%
±2σ -9.72%10.28% 94.46%95.45%
±3σ -14.73%15.29% 98.28%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.58 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.51%00.00%0.00%
-8.51% to -4.59%00.00%0.00%
-4.59% to -0.67%00.00%0.00%
-0.67% to 3.26%19612.93%12.93%
3.26% to 7.18%81153.50%66.42%
7.18% to 11.10%29619.53%85.95%
11.10% to 15.03%1107.26%93.21%
15.03% to 18.95%513.36%96.57%
18.95% to 22.87%221.45%98.02%
Greater than 22.87%301.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.95%12.41% 88.46%68.27%
±2σ -3.28%17.64% 95.51%95.45%
±3σ -8.51%22.87% 98.02%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.05%60.40%0.40%
-15.05% to -11.28%201.32%1.72%
-11.28% to -7.51%563.69%5.41%
-7.51% to -3.74%17011.21%16.62%
-3.74% to 0.03%54335.82%52.44%
0.03% to 3.80%48131.73%84.17%
3.80% to 7.57%15510.22%94.39%
7.57% to 11.34%493.23%97.63%
11.34% to 15.12%181.19%98.81%
Greater than 15.12%181.19%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.00%5.06% 78.23%68.27%
±2σ -10.02%10.09% 94.72%95.45%
±3σ -15.05%15.12% 98.42%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.42 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.87%30.86%0.86%
-26.87% to -19.88%30.86%1.72%
-19.88% to -12.89%113.16%4.89%
-12.89% to -5.91%4512.93%17.82%
-5.91% to 1.08%11733.62%51.44%
1.08% to 8.07%10028.74%80.17%
8.07% to 15.06%4713.51%93.68%
15.06% to 22.04%154.31%97.99%
22.04% to 29.03%41.15%99.14%
Greater than 29.03%30.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.24%10.40% 75.29%68.27%
±2σ -17.55%19.71% 95.40%95.45%
±3σ -26.87%29.03% 98.28%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.14 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.91%00.00%0.00%
-18.91% to -10.12%00.00%0.00%
-10.12% to -1.33%00.00%0.00%
-1.33% to 7.46%339.46%9.46%
7.46% to 16.25%20057.31%66.76%
16.25% to 25.05%7521.49%88.25%
25.05% to 33.84%226.30%94.56%
33.84% to 42.63%72.01%96.56%
42.63% to 51.42%51.43%97.99%
Greater than 51.42%72.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.53%27.98% 91.12%68.27%
±2σ -7.19%39.70% 95.99%95.45%
±3σ -18.91%51.42% 97.99%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.16 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.97%10.29%0.29%
-28.97% to -21.72%20.57%0.86%
-21.72% to -14.48%113.15%4.01%
-14.48% to -7.23%5315.19%19.20%
-7.23% to 0.02%11633.24%52.44%
0.02% to 7.26%11131.81%84.24%
7.26% to 14.51%3510.03%94.27%
14.51% to 21.76%133.72%97.99%
21.76% to 29.01%30.86%98.85%
Greater than 29.01%41.15%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.64%9.68% 76.50%68.27%
±2σ -19.31%19.34% 95.42%95.45%
±3σ -28.97%29.01% 98.57%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.13. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.50 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.12%00.00%0.00%
-38.12% to -27.86%10.86%0.86%
-27.86% to -17.59%76.03%6.90%
-17.59% to -7.32%2017.24%24.14%
-7.32% to 2.95%3025.86%50.00%
2.95% to 13.22%2824.14%74.14%
13.22% to 23.49%2521.55%95.69%
23.49% to 33.76%43.45%99.14%
33.76% to 44.02%10.86%100.00%
Greater than 44.02%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.74%16.64% 68.97%68.27%
±2σ -24.43%30.33% 94.83%95.45%
±3σ -38.12%44.02% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -29.81%00.00%0.00%
-29.81% to -14.79%00.00%0.00%
-14.79% to 0.23%00.00%0.00%
0.23% to 15.25%1613.68%13.68%
15.25% to 30.27%6152.14%65.81%
30.27% to 45.29%2521.37%87.18%
45.29% to 60.31%97.69%94.87%
60.31% to 75.34%10.85%95.73%
75.34% to 90.36%10.85%96.58%
Greater than 90.36%43.42%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 10.25%50.30% 90.60%68.27%
±2σ -9.78%70.33% 94.87%95.45%
±3σ -29.81%90.36% 96.58%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.73. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.32 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.52%00.00%0.00%
-42.52% to -32.02%00.00%0.00%
-32.02% to -21.52%32.56%2.56%
-21.52% to -11.01%2924.79%27.35%
-11.01% to -0.51%3126.50%53.85%
-0.51% to 9.99%3126.50%80.34%
9.99% to 20.50%1411.97%92.31%
20.50% to 31.00%54.27%96.58%
31.00% to 41.51%32.56%99.15%
Greater than 41.51%10.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.52%13.50% 68.38%68.27%
±2σ -28.52%27.50% 96.58%95.45%
±3σ -42.52%41.51% 99.15%99.73%