MTN Deep Analytical Report

Vail Resorts, Inc. | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 6.77% ($8.88) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1997-02-01 → 2026-03-01 (350 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.33% 2.10% 2.13% 2.78% 2.69% 2.95% 129.35 136.51 125.92 140.23
Weekly 5.00% 5.22% 5.02% 6.41% 5.93% 6.50% 125.23 140.99 118.03 149.60
Monthly 9.30% 11.71% 9.64% 12.97% 12.33% 13.53% 117.46 150.32 103.83 170.06
Quarterly 13.69% 20.03% 13.99% 20.93% 21.36% 23.44% 107.32 164.53 86.67 203.72
Annual 42.73% 46.88% 86.67 203.72 56.53 312.32
Option Time Horizon 16.13% 17.69% 113.09 156.14 96.24 183.46
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:36 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $132.88  |  Strike (K): $135.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $7.3500 (Bid $6.1000 / Ask $8.6000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 6.77%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 42.73% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 43.13% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 46.88% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-30 $2.2200
2025-10-09 $2.2200
2025-06-24 $2.2200
2025-03-27 $2.2200
2024-12-26 $2.2200
2024-10-08 $2.2200
2024-06-25 $2.2200
2024-03-27 $2.2200
2023-12-22 $2.0600
2023-10-06 $2.0600
2023-06-26 $2.0600
2023-03-24 $2.0600
2022-12-23 $1.9100
2022-10-04 $1.9100
2022-06-24 $1.9100
2022-03-29 $1.9100
2021-12-27 $0.8800
2021-10-04 $0.8800
2020-03-25 $1.7600
2019-12-24 $1.7600
2019-10-07 $1.7600
2019-06-25 $1.7600
2019-03-26 $1.7600
2018-12-26 $1.4700
2018-10-05 $1.4700
2018-06-26 $1.4700
2018-03-26 $1.4700
2017-12-26 $1.0530
2017-10-06 $1.0530
2017-06-26 $1.0530
2017-03-27 $1.0530
2016-12-23 $0.8100
2016-10-05 $0.8100
2016-06-24 $0.8100
2016-03-24 $0.8100
2015-12-23 $0.6230
2015-10-07 $0.6230
2015-06-23 $0.6230
2015-03-27 $0.6230
2014-12-24 $0.4150
2014-10-03 $0.4150
2014-06-19 $0.4150
2014-03-28 $0.4150
2013-12-23 $0.2080
2013-10-07 $0.2070
2013-06-20 $0.2070
2013-03-21 $0.2070
2012-12-17 $0.1880
2012-10-05 $0.1880
2012-06-21 $0.1880
2012-03-22 $0.1880
2011-12-20 $0.1500
2011-10-07 $0.1500
2011-06-29 $0.1500
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.27. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.13 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.93%530.72%0.72%
-6.93% to -5.18%821.12%1.84%
-5.18% to -3.44%2142.92%4.76%
-3.44% to -1.69%79210.81%15.57%
-1.69% to 0.06%263435.95%51.52%
0.06% to 1.80%242233.06%84.58%
1.80% to 3.55%76310.41%94.99%
3.55% to 5.29%2032.77%97.76%
5.29% to 7.04%891.21%98.98%
Greater than 7.04%751.02%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.27%2.38% 79.38%68.27%
±2σ -4.60%4.71% 94.77%95.45%
±3σ -6.93%7.04% 98.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.23 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.49%00.00%0.00%
-3.49% to -1.92%00.00%0.00%
-1.92% to -0.34%00.00%0.00%
-0.34% to 1.23%91612.50%12.50%
1.23% to 2.81%381552.06%64.56%
2.81% to 4.38%160921.96%86.52%
4.38% to 5.96%5357.30%93.82%
5.96% to 7.53%2142.92%96.74%
7.53% to 9.11%1031.41%98.14%
Greater than 9.11%1361.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.71%4.91% 87.96%68.27%
±2σ -1.39%7.01% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -3.49%9.11% 98.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.69 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.39%650.89%0.89%
-6.39% to -4.79%741.01%1.90%
-4.79% to -3.19%2162.95%4.84%
-3.19% to -1.59%80410.97%15.82%
-1.59% to 0.01%259435.40%51.21%
0.01% to 1.61%240032.75%83.97%
1.61% to 3.21%81311.09%95.06%
3.21% to 4.82%2303.14%98.20%
4.82% to 6.42%741.01%99.21%
Greater than 6.42%580.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.12%2.15% 78.70%68.27%
±2σ -4.26%4.28% 95.26%95.45%
±3σ -6.39%6.42% 98.32%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.87 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.71%120.79%0.79%
-14.71% to -10.96%191.25%2.04%
-10.96% to -7.22%533.49%5.53%
-7.22% to -3.47%17011.19%16.72%
-3.47% to 0.27%51133.64%50.36%
0.27% to 4.02%50233.05%83.41%
4.02% to 7.77%16110.60%94.01%
7.77% to 11.51%603.95%97.96%
11.51% to 15.26%171.12%99.08%
Greater than 15.26%140.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.72%5.27% 76.63%68.27%
±2σ -9.72%10.26% 94.47%95.45%
±3σ -14.71%15.26% 98.29%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.60 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.49%00.00%0.00%
-8.49% to -4.57%00.00%0.00%
-4.57% to -0.65%00.00%0.00%
-0.65% to 3.27%19712.96%12.96%
3.27% to 7.18%81053.29%66.25%
7.18% to 11.10%30019.74%85.99%
11.10% to 15.02%1107.24%93.22%
15.02% to 18.94%503.29%96.51%
18.94% to 22.86%231.51%98.03%
Greater than 22.86%301.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.96%12.41% 88.42%68.27%
±2σ -3.26%17.63% 95.53%95.45%
±3σ -8.49%22.86% 98.03%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.03%60.39%0.39%
-15.03% to -11.27%201.32%1.71%
-11.27% to -7.50%583.82%5.53%
-7.50% to -3.73%16811.05%16.58%
-3.73% to 0.04%54535.86%52.43%
0.04% to 3.80%48131.64%84.08%
3.80% to 7.57%15710.33%94.41%
7.57% to 11.34%493.22%97.63%
11.34% to 15.10%181.18%98.82%
Greater than 15.10%181.18%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.99%5.06% 78.29%68.27%
±2σ -10.01%10.08% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -15.03%15.10% 98.42%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.44 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.84%30.86%0.86%
-26.84% to -19.86%30.86%1.72%
-19.86% to -12.89%113.15%4.87%
-12.89% to -5.92%4512.89%17.77%
-5.92% to 1.06%11833.81%51.58%
1.06% to 8.03%10028.65%80.23%
8.03% to 15.01%4713.47%93.70%
15.01% to 21.98%154.30%97.99%
21.98% to 28.95%41.15%99.14%
Greater than 28.95%30.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.24%10.36% 75.36%68.27%
±2σ -17.54%19.66% 95.42%95.45%
±3σ -26.84%28.95% 98.28%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.97. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.89%00.00%0.00%
-18.89% to -10.10%00.00%0.00%
-10.10% to -1.32%00.00%0.00%
-1.32% to 7.46%339.43%9.43%
7.46% to 16.24%20157.43%66.86%
16.24% to 25.02%7521.43%88.29%
25.02% to 33.80%226.29%94.57%
33.80% to 42.59%72.00%96.57%
42.59% to 51.37%51.43%98.00%
Greater than 51.37%72.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.53%27.95% 91.14%68.27%
±2σ -7.18%39.66% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -18.89%51.37% 98.00%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.16. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.20 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.89%10.29%0.29%
-28.89% to -21.66%30.86%1.14%
-21.66% to -14.43%102.86%4.00%
-14.43% to -7.20%5415.43%19.43%
-7.20% to 0.03%11633.14%52.57%
0.03% to 7.26%11131.71%84.29%
7.26% to 14.49%3510.00%94.29%
14.49% to 21.73%133.71%98.00%
21.73% to 28.96%30.86%98.86%
Greater than 28.96%41.14%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.61%9.67% 76.57%68.27%
±2σ -19.25%19.31% 95.43%95.45%
±3σ -28.89%28.96% 98.57%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.11. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.50 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.17%00.00%0.00%
-38.17% to -27.91%10.86%0.86%
-27.91% to -17.64%65.17%6.03%
-17.64% to -7.38%2118.10%24.14%
-7.38% to 2.89%3126.72%50.86%
2.89% to 13.15%2723.28%74.14%
13.15% to 23.42%2521.55%95.69%
23.42% to 33.69%43.45%99.14%
33.69% to 43.95%10.86%100.00%
Greater than 43.95%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.80%16.58% 68.97%68.27%
±2σ -24.48%30.26% 94.83%95.45%
±3σ -38.17%43.95% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.66. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -29.81%00.00%0.00%
-29.81% to -14.79%00.00%0.00%
-14.79% to 0.23%00.00%0.00%
0.23% to 15.25%1613.68%13.68%
15.25% to 30.27%6152.14%65.81%
30.27% to 45.29%2521.37%87.18%
45.29% to 60.31%97.69%94.87%
60.31% to 75.34%10.85%95.73%
75.34% to 90.36%10.85%96.58%
Greater than 90.36%43.42%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 10.25%50.30% 90.60%68.27%
±2σ -9.78%70.33% 94.87%95.45%
±3σ -29.81%90.36% 96.58%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.32 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.43%00.00%0.00%
-42.43% to -31.94%00.00%0.00%
-31.94% to -21.44%32.56%2.56%
-21.44% to -10.95%2924.79%27.35%
-10.95% to -0.45%3025.64%52.99%
-0.45% to 10.04%3227.35%80.34%
10.04% to 20.54%1411.97%92.31%
20.54% to 31.03%54.27%96.58%
31.03% to 41.53%32.56%99.15%
Greater than 41.53%10.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.45%13.54% 68.38%68.27%
±2σ -28.44%27.53% 96.58%95.45%
±3σ -42.43%41.53% 99.15%99.73%