NVDA Deep Analytical Report

NVIDIA Corporation | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.02% ($0.04) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1999-01-01 → 2026-02-01 (326 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.75% 3.21% 3.14% 4.25% 2.93% 2.99% 184.33 195.47 179.00 201.29
Weekly 9.40% 9.29% 8.63% 10.41% 6.46% 6.58% 177.95 202.49 166.81 216.00
Monthly 17.39% 21.20% 17.21% 23.35% 13.45% 13.70% 165.94 217.14 145.06 248.40
Quarterly 30.89% 45.40% 32.70% 44.52% 23.29% 23.73% 150.38 239.61 119.13 302.45
Annual 46.58% 47.46% 119.13 302.45 74.77 481.91
Option Time Horizon 17.92% 18.26% 158.68 227.07 132.65 271.63
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:16 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $189.82  |  Strike (K): $190.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $13.8000 (Bid $13.7500 / Ask $13.8500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.02%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 46.58% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 46.06% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 47.46% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-04 $0.0100
2025-09-11 $0.0100
2025-06-11 $0.0100
2025-03-12 $0.0100
2024-12-05 $0.0100
2024-09-12 $0.0100
2024-06-11 $0.0100
2024-03-05 $0.0040
2023-12-05 $0.0040
2023-09-06 $0.0040
2023-06-07 $0.0040
2023-03-07 $0.0040
2022-11-30 $0.0040
2022-09-07 $0.0040
2022-06-08 $0.0040
2022-03-02 $0.0040
2021-12-01 $0.0040
2021-08-31 $0.0040
2021-06-09 $0.0040
2021-03-09 $0.0040
2020-12-03 $0.0040
2020-09-01 $0.0040
2020-06-04 $0.0040
2020-02-27 $0.0040
2019-11-27 $0.0040
2019-08-28 $0.0040
2019-05-30 $0.0040
2019-02-28 $0.0040
2018-11-29 $0.0040
2018-08-29 $0.0037
2018-05-23 $0.0037
2018-02-22 $0.0037
2017-11-22 $0.0037
2017-08-22 $0.0035
2017-05-19 $0.0035
2017-02-22 $0.0035
2016-11-23 $0.0035
2016-08-23 $0.0029
2016-05-24 $0.0029
2016-02-29 $0.0029
2015-11-18 $0.0029
2015-08-18 $0.0024
2015-05-19 $0.0024
2015-02-24 $0.0021
2014-11-19 $0.0021
2014-08-19 $0.0021
2014-05-20 $0.0021
2014-02-25 $0.0021
2013-11-19 $0.0021
2013-08-20 $0.0019
2013-05-21 $0.0019
2013-02-26 $0.0019
2012-11-20 $0.0019
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.05%290.43%0.43%
-11.05% to -8.24%701.03%1.45%
-8.24% to -5.43%2283.35%4.80%
-5.43% to -2.62%78111.47%16.27%
-2.62% to 0.20%237634.88%51.15%
0.20% to 3.01%229133.64%84.79%
3.01% to 5.82%69810.25%95.04%
5.82% to 8.63%2043.00%98.03%
8.63% to 11.44%781.15%99.18%
Greater than 11.44%560.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.55%3.94% 78.87%68.27%
±2σ -7.30%7.69% 95.13%95.45%
±3σ -11.05%11.44% 98.75%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.24%00.00%0.00%
-5.24% to -2.83%00.00%0.00%
-2.83% to -0.43%00.00%0.00%
-0.43% to 1.98%102415.03%15.03%
1.98% to 4.38%338949.75%64.78%
4.38% to 6.78%141220.73%85.51%
6.78% to 9.19%5297.77%93.28%
9.19% to 11.59%2263.32%96.59%
11.59% to 13.99%1051.54%98.14%
Greater than 13.99%1271.86%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.17%7.58% 87.36%68.27%
±2σ -2.03%10.79% 95.70%95.45%
±3σ -5.24%14.00% 98.14%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.12. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.37%540.79%0.79%
-9.37% to -7.01%741.09%1.88%
-7.01% to -4.65%2063.02%4.90%
-4.65% to -2.30%76711.26%16.16%
-2.30% to 0.06%239735.19%51.35%
0.06% to 2.42%218832.12%83.47%
2.42% to 4.77%72310.61%94.08%
4.77% to 7.13%2573.77%97.86%
7.13% to 9.49%881.29%99.15%
Greater than 9.49%580.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.08%3.20% 77.51%68.27%
±2σ -6.22%6.34% 94.42%95.45%
±3σ -9.37%9.49% 98.36%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.33. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 53.01 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.19%50.35%0.35%
-27.19% to -20.15%110.78%1.13%
-20.15% to -13.10%382.69%3.82%
-13.10% to -6.05%16211.46%15.29%
-6.05% to 1.00%51836.66%51.95%
1.00% to 8.04%48334.18%86.13%
8.04% to 15.09%1369.62%95.75%
15.09% to 22.14%362.55%98.30%
22.14% to 29.19%110.78%99.08%
Greater than 29.19%130.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.40%10.39% 79.83%68.27%
±2σ -17.80%19.79% 95.75%95.45%
±3σ -27.19%29.19% 98.73%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.61. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.99%00.00%0.00%
-15.99% to -9.03%00.00%0.00%
-9.03% to -2.06%00.00%0.00%
-2.06% to 4.91%18012.73%12.73%
4.91% to 11.88%73251.77%64.50%
11.88% to 18.85%31121.99%86.49%
18.85% to 25.82%1027.21%93.71%
25.82% to 32.79%453.18%96.89%
32.79% to 39.76%191.34%98.23%
Greater than 39.76%251.77%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.59%21.17% 88.90%68.27%
±2σ -6.70%30.47% 96.18%95.45%
±3σ -15.99%39.76% 98.23%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.24. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.44 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.94%50.35%0.35%
-25.94% to -19.46%130.92%1.27%
-19.46% to -12.99%382.69%3.96%
-12.99% to -6.52%16911.95%15.91%
-6.52% to -0.05%54738.68%54.60%
-0.05% to 6.42%42429.99%84.58%
6.42% to 12.89%1389.76%94.34%
12.89% to 19.37%493.47%97.81%
19.37% to 25.84%161.13%98.94%
Greater than 25.84%151.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.68%8.58% 78.01%68.27%
±2σ -17.31%17.21% 95.47%95.45%
±3σ -25.94%25.84% 98.59%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.62. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.19 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -48.06%10.31%0.31%
-48.06% to -35.02%30.92%1.23%
-35.02% to -21.98%144.31%5.54%
-21.98% to -8.94%4714.46%20.00%
-8.94% to 4.10%10933.54%53.54%
4.10% to 17.14%9529.23%82.77%
17.14% to 30.18%3611.08%93.85%
30.18% to 43.22%123.69%97.54%
43.22% to 56.26%41.23%98.77%
Greater than 56.26%41.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.29%21.49% 73.54%68.27%
±2σ -30.68%38.88% 94.15%95.45%
±3σ -48.06%56.26% 98.46%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.92 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -34.69%00.00%0.00%
-34.69% to -18.79%00.00%0.00%
-18.79% to -2.89%00.00%0.00%
-2.89% to 13.01%5316.26%16.26%
13.01% to 28.91%15748.16%64.42%
28.91% to 44.81%6921.17%85.58%
44.81% to 60.71%226.75%92.33%
60.71% to 76.61%123.68%96.01%
76.61% to 92.52%51.53%97.55%
Greater than 92.52%82.45%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.71%50.11% 86.20%68.27%
±2σ -13.49%71.31% 95.40%95.45%
±3σ -34.69%92.52% 97.55%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.55%00.00%0.00%
-52.55% to -39.64%20.61%0.61%
-39.64% to -26.73%103.07%3.68%
-26.73% to -13.82%4814.72%18.40%
-13.82% to -0.91%12337.73%56.13%
-0.91% to 12.00%8726.69%82.82%
12.00% to 24.91%329.82%92.64%
24.91% to 37.82%154.60%97.24%
37.82% to 50.73%41.23%98.47%
Greater than 50.73%51.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.12%16.30% 74.85%68.27%
±2σ -35.34%33.52% 94.48%95.45%
±3σ -52.55%50.73% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.75. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.19 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -80.27%00.00%0.00%
-80.27% to -57.10%10.92%0.92%
-57.10% to -33.93%32.75%3.67%
-33.93% to -10.76%1715.60%19.27%
-10.76% to 12.41%3834.86%54.13%
12.41% to 35.58%2926.61%80.73%
35.58% to 58.75%1412.84%93.58%
58.75% to 81.92%54.59%98.17%
81.92% to 105.09%10.92%99.08%
Greater than 105.09%10.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.48%43.30% 74.31%68.27%
±2σ -49.38%74.20% 97.25%95.45%
±3σ -80.27%105.09% 99.08%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -77.89%00.00%0.00%
-77.89% to -43.84%00.00%0.00%
-43.84% to -9.79%00.00%0.00%
-9.79% to 24.26%1513.64%13.64%
24.26% to 58.31%5045.45%59.09%
58.31% to 92.35%3330.00%89.09%
92.35% to 126.40%65.45%94.55%
126.40% to 160.45%32.73%97.27%
160.45% to 194.50%10.91%98.18%
Greater than 194.50%21.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.91%103.70% 89.09%68.27%
±2σ -32.49%149.10% 97.27%95.45%
±3σ -77.89%194.50% 98.18%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.96. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -101.11%00.00%0.00%
-101.11% to -76.58%00.00%0.00%
-76.58% to -52.05%10.91%0.91%
-52.05% to -27.52%1816.36%17.27%
-27.52% to -3.00%4440.00%57.27%
-3.00% to 21.53%3531.82%89.09%
21.53% to 46.05%65.45%94.55%
46.05% to 70.58%21.82%96.36%
70.58% to 95.11%32.73%99.09%
Greater than 95.11%10.91%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -35.70%29.70% 81.82%68.27%
±2σ -68.40%62.40% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -101.10%95.11% 99.09%99.73%