NVDA Deep Analytical Report

NVIDIA Corporation | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 0.02% ($0.04) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 1999-01-01 → 2026-03-01 (327 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.75% 3.20% 3.14% 4.23% 2.58% 170.57 179.36 166.33 183.93
Weekly 9.39% 9.28% 8.62% 10.36% 5.68% 165.49 184.87 156.58 195.39
Monthly 17.37% 21.19% 17.19% 23.27% 11.83% 155.87 196.27 138.91 220.25
Quarterly 30.93% 45.38% 32.71% 44.62% 20.49% 143.26 213.55 117.34 260.73
Annual 40.97% 117.34 260.73 78.72 388.65
Option Time Horizon 15.47% 150.44 203.35 129.40 236.42
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:30 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $174.91  |  Strike (K): $175.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $10.9000 (Bid $10.8500 / Ask $10.9500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.02%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 0.00% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 39.92% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 40.97% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-11 $0.0100
2025-12-04 $0.0100
2025-09-11 $0.0100
2025-06-11 $0.0100
2025-03-12 $0.0100
2024-12-05 $0.0100
2024-09-12 $0.0100
2024-06-11 $0.0100
2024-03-05 $0.0040
2023-12-05 $0.0040
2023-09-06 $0.0040
2023-06-07 $0.0040
2023-03-07 $0.0040
2022-11-30 $0.0040
2022-09-07 $0.0040
2022-06-08 $0.0040
2022-03-02 $0.0040
2021-12-01 $0.0040
2021-08-31 $0.0040
2021-06-09 $0.0040
2021-03-09 $0.0040
2020-12-03 $0.0040
2020-09-01 $0.0040
2020-06-04 $0.0040
2020-02-27 $0.0040
2019-11-27 $0.0040
2019-08-28 $0.0040
2019-05-30 $0.0040
2019-02-28 $0.0040
2018-11-29 $0.0040
2018-08-29 $0.0037
2018-05-23 $0.0037
2018-02-22 $0.0037
2017-11-22 $0.0037
2017-08-22 $0.0035
2017-05-19 $0.0035
2017-02-22 $0.0035
2016-11-23 $0.0035
2016-08-23 $0.0029
2016-05-24 $0.0029
2016-02-29 $0.0029
2015-11-18 $0.0029
2015-08-18 $0.0024
2015-05-19 $0.0024
2015-02-24 $0.0021
2014-11-19 $0.0021
2014-08-19 $0.0021
2014-05-20 $0.0021
2014-02-25 $0.0021
2013-11-19 $0.0021
2013-08-20 $0.0019
2013-05-21 $0.0019
2013-02-26 $0.0019
2012-11-20 $0.0019
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.04%290.42%0.42%
-11.04% to -8.24%701.02%1.45%
-8.24% to -5.43%2303.37%4.82%
-5.43% to -2.62%78311.46%16.28%
-2.62% to 0.19%238034.84%51.11%
0.19% to 3.00%230133.68%84.79%
3.00% to 5.81%70010.25%95.04%
5.81% to 8.62%2053.00%98.04%
8.62% to 11.43%781.14%99.18%
Greater than 11.43%560.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.55%3.94% 78.89%68.27%
±2σ -7.30%7.68% 95.14%95.45%
±3σ -11.04%11.43% 98.76%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.15 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.23%00.00%0.00%
-5.23% to -2.83%00.00%0.00%
-2.83% to -0.42%00.00%0.00%
-0.42% to 1.98%102815.04%15.04%
1.98% to 4.38%340149.77%64.82%
4.38% to 6.78%141420.69%85.51%
6.78% to 9.18%5307.76%93.27%
9.18% to 11.58%2273.32%96.59%
11.58% to 13.98%1041.52%98.11%
Greater than 13.98%1291.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.18%7.58% 87.38%68.27%
±2σ -2.03%10.78% 95.70%95.45%
±3σ -5.23%13.98% 98.11%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.12. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.87 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.36%540.79%0.79%
-9.36% to -7.00%751.10%1.89%
-7.00% to -4.65%2063.01%4.90%
-4.65% to -2.29%76811.24%16.14%
-2.29% to 0.06%240935.26%51.40%
0.06% to 2.42%219232.08%83.48%
2.42% to 4.77%72510.61%94.09%
4.77% to 7.13%2583.78%97.86%
7.13% to 9.48%881.29%99.15%
Greater than 9.48%580.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.08%3.20% 77.54%68.27%
±2σ -6.22%6.34% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -9.36%9.48% 98.36%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.34. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 53.12 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.17%50.35%0.35%
-27.17% to -20.13%120.85%1.20%
-20.13% to -13.09%372.61%3.81%
-13.09% to -6.05%16211.43%15.24%
-6.05% to 0.99%52236.84%52.08%
0.99% to 8.03%48234.02%86.10%
8.03% to 15.07%1379.67%95.77%
15.07% to 22.11%362.54%98.31%
22.11% to 29.15%110.78%99.08%
Greater than 29.15%130.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.40%10.38% 79.89%68.27%
±2σ -17.78%19.76% 95.77%95.45%
±3σ -27.17%29.15% 98.73%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.61. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 23.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.97%00.00%0.00%
-15.97% to -9.01%00.00%0.00%
-9.01% to -2.05%00.00%0.00%
-2.05% to 4.91%18012.69%12.69%
4.91% to 11.87%73351.69%64.39%
11.87% to 18.83%31222.00%86.39%
18.83% to 25.80%1037.26%93.65%
25.80% to 32.76%463.24%96.90%
32.76% to 39.72%191.34%98.24%
Greater than 39.72%251.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.59%21.15% 88.93%68.27%
±2σ -6.69%30.44% 96.19%95.45%
±3σ -15.97%39.72% 98.24%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.24. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.45 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.91%50.35%0.35%
-25.91% to -19.44%130.92%1.27%
-19.44% to -12.97%392.75%4.02%
-12.97% to -6.51%16811.85%15.87%
-6.51% to -0.04%55138.86%54.72%
-0.04% to 6.42%42429.90%84.63%
6.42% to 12.88%1389.73%94.36%
12.88% to 19.35%493.46%97.81%
19.35% to 25.82%161.13%98.94%
Greater than 25.82%151.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.66%8.57% 78.07%68.27%
±2σ -17.29%17.19% 95.42%95.45%
±3σ -25.91%25.81% 98.59%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.62. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.20 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -48.06%10.31%0.31%
-48.06% to -35.03%30.92%1.23%
-35.03% to -22.00%144.29%5.52%
-22.00% to -8.97%4714.42%19.94%
-8.97% to 4.06%11033.74%53.68%
4.06% to 17.09%9529.14%82.82%
17.09% to 30.12%3611.04%93.87%
30.12% to 43.15%123.68%97.55%
43.15% to 56.18%41.23%98.77%
Greater than 56.18%41.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.31%21.44% 73.01%68.27%
±2σ -30.68%38.81% 94.17%95.45%
±3σ -48.06%56.18% 98.47%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -34.71%00.00%0.00%
-34.71% to -18.82%00.00%0.00%
-18.82% to -2.92%00.00%0.00%
-2.92% to 12.97%5416.51%16.51%
12.97% to 28.86%15647.71%64.22%
28.86% to 44.75%7021.41%85.63%
44.75% to 60.65%226.73%92.35%
60.65% to 76.54%123.67%96.02%
76.54% to 92.43%51.53%97.55%
Greater than 92.43%82.45%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.67%50.05% 86.24%68.27%
±2σ -13.52%71.24% 95.41%95.45%
±3σ -34.71%92.43% 97.55%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.28 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.46%00.00%0.00%
-52.46% to -39.57%20.61%0.61%
-39.57% to -26.67%103.06%3.67%
-26.67% to -13.78%4814.68%18.35%
-13.78% to -0.89%12237.31%55.66%
-0.89% to 12.01%8927.22%82.87%
12.01% to 24.90%329.79%92.66%
24.90% to 37.79%154.59%97.25%
37.79% to 50.69%41.22%98.47%
Greater than 50.69%51.53%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.08%16.30% 74.31%68.27%
±2σ -35.27%33.49% 94.50%95.45%
±3σ -52.46%50.68% 98.47%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.75. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.18 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -80.45%00.00%0.00%
-80.45% to -57.25%10.92%0.92%
-57.25% to -34.05%32.75%3.67%
-34.05% to -10.86%1715.60%19.27%
-10.86% to 12.34%3834.86%54.13%
12.34% to 35.54%2926.61%80.73%
35.54% to 58.74%1412.84%93.58%
58.74% to 81.93%54.59%98.17%
81.93% to 105.13%10.92%99.08%
Greater than 105.13%10.92%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.59%43.27% 74.31%68.27%
±2σ -49.52%74.20% 97.25%95.45%
±3σ -80.45%105.13% 99.08%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -77.80%00.00%0.00%
-77.80% to -43.77%00.00%0.00%
-43.77% to -9.74%00.00%0.00%
-9.74% to 24.30%1513.64%13.64%
24.30% to 58.33%5045.45%59.09%
58.33% to 92.36%3330.00%89.09%
92.36% to 126.39%65.45%94.55%
126.39% to 160.42%32.73%97.27%
160.42% to 194.46%10.91%98.18%
Greater than 194.46%21.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.95%103.70% 89.09%68.27%
±2σ -32.42%149.08% 97.27%95.45%
±3σ -77.80%194.45% 98.18%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.95. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -101.07%00.00%0.00%
-101.07% to -76.53%00.00%0.00%
-76.53% to -52.00%10.91%0.91%
-52.00% to -27.46%1816.36%17.27%
-27.46% to -2.93%4440.00%57.27%
-2.93% to 21.61%3531.82%89.09%
21.61% to 46.14%65.45%94.55%
46.14% to 70.68%21.82%96.36%
70.68% to 95.22%32.73%99.09%
Greater than 95.22%10.91%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -35.64%29.79% 81.82%68.27%
±2σ -68.36%62.50% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -101.07%95.21% 99.09%99.73%