ORCL 资产分析 - DOR 信号与波动率

Quick 总览

Timeframe	C-C DoR σ (Historical)	H-L DoR σ (Historical)	O-C DoR σ (Historical)	5Y ATRP (Avg)	Binomial IV (Period)	Yahoo IV (Period)	1σ 低er (68.27%)	1σ Upper	2σ 低er (95.45%)	2σ Upper
日度	2.93%	2.61%	2.46%	2.85%	3.99%	3.99%	166.51	180.33	160.00	187.66
周度	6.40%	7.06%	6.16%	7.10%	8.77%	8.79%	158.72	189.17	145.39	206.52
月度	12.55%	15.21%	12.79%	16.74%	18.26%	18.30%	144.35	208.00	120.26	249.68
季度	23.31%	32.01%	26.06%	30.09%	31.63%	31.69%	126.29	237.76	92.04	326.23
Annual	—	—	—	—	63.27%	63.39%	92.04	326.23	48.89	614.19
Option Time Horizon	—	—	—	—	24.11%	24.15%	136.16	220.52	106.99	280.65

Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:44 UTC | Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days) | Spot 价格 (S): $173.28 | Strike (K): $175.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot) | Observed Mid-价格: $16.0500 (Bid $15.8500 / Ask $16.2500) | Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury) | Dividend Yield (q): 1.13% | Binomial IV (Annual): 63.27% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps) | BS IV: 63.00% (European Black-Scholes) | Yahoo IV (Annual): 63.39% → period-scaled as σ_period = σ_annual·√h | 价格 bands: Upper = S·e^+σ√h, 低er = S·e^−σ√h

Historical Dividend Payouts

Ex-Dividend Date	Amount
2026-04-09	$0.5000
2026-01-09	$0.5000
2025-10-09	$0.5000
2025-07-10	$0.5000
2025-04-10	$0.5000
2025-01-10	$0.4000
2024-10-10	$0.4000
2024-07-11	$0.4000
2024-04-09	$0.4000
2024-01-10	$0.4000
2023-10-11	$0.4000
2023-07-11	$0.4000
2023-04-10	$0.4000
2023-01-09	$0.3200
2022-10-11	$0.3200
2022-07-11	$0.3200
2022-04-07	$0.3200
2022-01-06	$0.3200
2021-10-08	$0.3200
2021-07-14	$0.3200
2021-04-07	$0.3200
2021-01-06	$0.2400
2020-10-07	$0.2400
2020-07-14	$0.2400
2020-04-08	$0.2400
2020-01-08	$0.2400
2019-10-09	$0.2400
2019-07-16	$0.2400
2019-04-10	$0.2400
2019-01-15	$0.1900
2018-10-15	$0.1900
2018-07-16	$0.1900
2018-04-16	$0.1900
2018-01-09	$0.1900
2017-10-10	$0.1900
2017-07-17	$0.1900
2017-04-10	$0.1900
2017-01-03	$0.1500
2016-10-07	$0.1500
2016-07-01	$0.1500
2016-04-12	$0.1500
2016-01-04	$0.1500
2015-10-09	$0.1500
2015-07-06	$0.1500
2015-04-02	$0.1500
2015-01-05	$0.1200
2014-10-06	$0.1200
2014-07-07	$0.1200
2014-04-04	$0.1200
2014-01-03	$0.1200
2013-10-04	$0.1200
2013-07-10	$0.1200
2012-12-12	$0.1800
2012-10-10	$0.0600
2012-07-11	$0.0600
2012-04-09	$0.0600
2012-01-09	$0.0600
2011-10-07	$0.0600
2011-07-11	$0.0600
2011-04-11	$0.0600
2011-01-14	$0.0500
2010-10-04	$0.0500
2010-07-12	$0.0500
2010-04-12	$0.0500
2010-01-14	$0.0500
2009-10-09	$0.0500
2009-07-13	$0.0500
2009-04-06	$0.0500

收盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.67. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 15.90 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -8.68%	64	0.63%	0.63%
-8.68% to -6.48%	86	0.85%	1.48%
-6.48% to -4.28%	330	3.27%	4.75%
-4.28% to -2.08%	1045	10.34%	15.09%
-2.08% to 0.12%	3746	37.06%	52.15%
0.12% to 2.32%	3369	33.33%	85.49%
2.32% to 4.52%	955	9.45%	94.93%
4.52% to 6.72%	299	2.96%	97.89%
6.72% to 8.93%	116	1.15%	99.04%
Greater than 8.93%	97	0.96%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-2.81%	3.06%	80.13%	68.27%
±2σ	-5.75%	5.99%	95.03%	95.45%
±3σ	-8.68%	8.92%	98.41%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	0.123%
Standard Error	0.029%
中位数	0.000%
Mode	0.000%
Standard Deviation	2.934%
Sample Variance	8.611%
峰度	15.90
偏度	0.67
Range	74.905%
Minimum	-31.034%
Maximum	43.871%
Count	10107

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	2.044%	5043	49.90%	1.020%
负向	-1.926%	4705	46.55%	-0.897%
Zero	0.000%	359	3.55%	0.000%

Average True Range Percentage (ATRP)

Trading Days	Horizon	Average 日度 True Range %
5	1 Week	5.19%
20	1 Month	5.35%
60	1 Quarter	5.23%
250	1 Year	4.31%
750	3 Years	3.19%
1,250	5 Years	2.85%
2,500	10 Years	2.36%
5,000	20 Years	2.39%
12,500	50 Years	3.58%

高-to-低收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 2.85. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 17.01 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -4.41%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-4.41% to -2.45%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-2.45% to -0.49%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-0.49% to 1.47%	1847	18.27%	18.27%
1.47% to 3.43%	4557	45.08%	63.36%
3.43% to 5.39%	2088	20.66%	84.01%
5.39% to 7.35%	924	9.14%	93.15%
7.35% to 9.31%	345	3.41%	96.57%
9.31% to 11.27%	156	1.54%	98.11%
Greater than 11.27%	191	1.89%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	0.82%	6.04%	85.77%	68.27%
±2σ	-1.80%	8.66%	95.70%	95.45%
±3σ	-4.41%	11.27%	98.12%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	3.430%
Standard Error	0.026%
中位数	2.703%
Mode	5.000%
Standard Deviation	2.613%
Sample Variance	6.830%
峰度	17.01
偏度	2.85
Range	39.667%
Minimum	0.333%
Maximum	40.000%
Count	10108

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	3.430%	10108	100.00%	3.430%
负向	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

开盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.12. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.73 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -7.38%	70	0.69%	0.69%
-7.38% to -5.53%	116	1.15%	1.84%
-5.53% to -3.69%	343	3.39%	5.23%
-3.69% to -1.84%	1046	10.35%	15.58%
-1.84% to 0.01%	3817	37.76%	53.34%
0.01% to 1.85%	3087	30.54%	83.88%
1.85% to 3.70%	1063	10.52%	94.40%
3.70% to 5.54%	348	3.44%	97.84%
5.54% to 7.39%	141	1.39%	99.24%
Greater than 7.39%	77	0.76%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-2.46%	2.47%	78.02%	68.27%
±2σ	-4.92%	4.93%	94.25%	95.45%
±3σ	-7.38%	7.39%	98.55%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	0.006%
Standard Error	0.024%
中位数	0.000%
Mode	0.000%
Standard Deviation	2.461%
Sample Variance	6.058%
峰度	6.73
偏度	0.12
Range	46.468%
Minimum	-21.094%
Maximum	25.374%
Count	10108

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	1.795%	4716	46.66%	0.837%
负向	-1.687%	4985	49.32%	-0.832%
Zero	0.000%	407	4.03%	0.000%

收盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.77. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.96 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -18.62%	11	0.53%	0.53%
-18.62% to -13.82%	19	0.91%	1.43%
-13.82% to -9.02%	79	3.77%	5.21%
-9.02% to -4.21%	201	9.60%	14.81%
-4.21% to 0.59%	795	37.98%	52.80%
0.59% to 5.39%	660	31.53%	84.33%
5.39% to 10.19%	216	10.32%	94.65%
10.19% to 14.99%	67	3.20%	97.85%
14.99% to 19.79%	21	1.00%	98.85%
Greater than 19.79%	24	1.15%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-5.81%	6.99%	78.55%	68.27%
±2σ	-12.22%	13.39%	94.60%	95.45%
±3σ	-18.62%	19.79%	98.33%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	0.588%
Standard Error	0.140%
中位数	0.254%
Mode	0.000%
Standard Deviation	6.402%
Sample Variance	40.984%
峰度	6.96
偏度	0.77
Range	86.323%
Minimum	-35.577%
Maximum	50.746%
Count	2093

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	4.769%	1077	51.46%	2.454%
负向	-3.981%	981	46.87%	-1.866%
Zero	0.000%	35	1.67%	0.000%

Average True Range Percentage (ATRP)

Weeks	Horizon	Average 周度 True Range %
4	1 Month	12.80%
12	1 Quarter	11.97%
52	1 Year	11.20%
156	3 Years	8.11%
260	5 Years	7.10%
520	10 Years	5.73%
1,040	20 Years	5.59%
2,600	50 Years	8.42%

高-to-低收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.17. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 20.02 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -12.33%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-12.33% to -7.03%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-7.03% to -1.74%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-1.74% to 3.56%	358	17.10%	17.10%
3.56% to 8.86%	965	46.08%	63.18%
8.86% to 14.16%	453	21.63%	84.81%
14.16% to 19.46%	174	8.31%	93.12%
19.46% to 24.75%	81	3.87%	96.99%
24.75% to 30.05%	28	1.34%	98.33%
Greater than 30.05%	35	1.67%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	1.80%	15.92%	86.91%	68.27%
±2σ	-5.27%	22.99%	95.94%	95.45%
±3σ	-12.33%	30.05%	98.33%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	8.860%
Standard Error	0.154%
中位数	7.010%
Mode	11.111%
Standard Deviation	7.064%
Sample Variance	49.894%
峰度	20.02
偏度	3.17
Range	85.739%
Minimum	1.146%
Maximum	86.885%
Count	2094

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	8.860%	2094	100.00%	8.860%
负向	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

开盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.67. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -18.58%	13	0.62%	0.62%
-18.58% to -13.96%	17	0.81%	1.43%
-13.96% to -9.34%	71	3.39%	4.82%
-9.34% to -4.72%	240	11.46%	16.28%
-4.72% to -0.10%	732	34.96%	51.24%
-0.10% to 4.53%	713	34.05%	85.29%
4.53% to 9.15%	181	8.64%	93.94%
9.15% to 13.77%	77	3.68%	97.61%
13.77% to 18.39%	28	1.34%	98.95%
Greater than 18.39%	22	1.05%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-6.26%	6.07%	78.61%	68.27%
±2σ	-12.42%	12.23%	94.60%	95.45%
±3σ	-18.58%	18.39%	98.33%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	-0.095%
Standard Error	0.135%
中位数	-0.233%
Mode	0.000%
Standard Deviation	6.163%
Sample Variance	37.985%
峰度	7.09
偏度	0.67
Range	88.887%
Minimum	-33.663%
Maximum	55.224%
Count	2094

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	4.343%	980	46.80%	2.033%
负向	-4.112%	1083	51.72%	-2.127%
Zero	0.000%	31	1.48%	0.000%

收盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.46. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.04 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -35.18%	2	0.42%	0.42%
-35.18% to -25.77%	7	1.46%	1.87%
-25.77% to -16.35%	16	3.33%	5.20%
-16.35% to -6.94%	57	11.85%	17.05%
-6.94% to 2.47%	170	35.34%	52.39%
2.47% to 11.88%	147	30.56%	82.95%
11.88% to 21.30%	53	11.02%	93.97%
21.30% to 30.71%	20	4.16%	98.13%
30.71% to 40.12%	2	0.42%	98.54%
Greater than 40.12%	7	1.46%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-10.08%	15.02%	77.96%	68.27%
±2σ	-22.63%	27.57%	93.97%	95.45%
±3σ	-35.18%	40.12%	98.13%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	2.472%
Standard Error	0.572%
中位数	2.233%
Mode	0.000%
Standard Deviation	12.551%
Sample Variance	157.525%
峰度	3.04
偏度	0.46
Range	109.340%
Minimum	-44.086%
Maximum	65.254%
Count	481

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	9.815%	282	58.63%	5.754%
负向	-8.137%	194	40.33%	-3.282%
Zero	0.000%	5	1.04%	0.000%

Average True Range Percentage (ATRP)

Months	Horizon	Average 月度 True Range %
3	1 Quarter	27.41%
12	1 Year	27.71%
36	3 Years	19.39%
60	5 Years	16.74%
120	10 Years	13.06%
240	20 Years	12.28%
600	50 Years	17.90%

高-to-低收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.10. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 17.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -25.48%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-25.48% to -14.08%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-14.08% to -2.67%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-2.67% to 8.73%	76	15.77%	15.77%
8.73% to 20.14%	230	47.72%	63.49%
20.14% to 31.54%	101	20.95%	84.44%
31.54% to 42.94%	44	9.13%	93.57%
42.94% to 54.35%	13	2.70%	96.27%
54.35% to 65.75%	13	2.70%	98.96%
Greater than 65.75%	5	1.04%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	4.93%	35.34%	86.31%	68.27%
±2σ	-10.28%	50.55%	95.44%	95.45%
±3σ	-25.48%	65.75%	98.96%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	20.135%
Standard Error	0.693%
中位数	16.136%
Mode	20.000%
Standard Deviation	15.206%
Sample Variance	231.229%
峰度	17.99
偏度	3.10
Range	146.568%
Minimum	2.612%
Maximum	149.180%
Count	482

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	20.135%	482	100.00%	20.135%
负向	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

开盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.35. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -39.09%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-39.09% to -29.50%	6	1.24%	1.24%
-29.50% to -19.91%	15	3.11%	4.36%
-19.91% to -10.32%	63	13.07%	17.43%
-10.32% to -0.73%	182	37.76%	55.19%
-0.73% to 8.86%	145	30.08%	85.27%
8.86% to 18.45%	40	8.30%	93.57%
18.45% to 28.04%	17	3.53%	97.10%
28.04% to 37.63%	6	1.24%	98.34%
Greater than 37.63%	8	1.66%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-13.52%	12.06%	79.46%	68.27%
±2σ	-26.31%	24.84%	95.02%	95.45%
±3σ	-39.10%	37.63%	98.34%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	-0.731%
Standard Error	0.582%
中位数	-1.738%
Mode	-12.500%
Standard Deviation	12.788%
Sample Variance	163.520%
峰度	5.72
偏度	1.35
Range	117.775%
Minimum	-38.929%
Maximum	78.846%
Count	482

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	9.864%	198	41.08%	4.052%
负向	-8.233%	280	58.09%	-4.783%
Zero	0.000%	4	0.83%	0.000%

收盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.06. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.07 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -62.37%	1	0.62%	0.62%
-62.37% to -44.89%	0	0.00%	0.62%
-44.89% to -27.41%	5	3.12%	3.75%
-27.41% to -9.93%	16	10.00%	13.75%
-9.93% to 7.56%	68	42.50%	56.25%
7.56% to 25.04%	51	31.87%	88.12%
25.04% to 42.52%	8	5.00%	93.12%
42.52% to 60.00%	4	2.50%	95.62%
60.00% to 77.48%	4	2.50%	98.12%
Greater than 77.48%	3	1.88%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-15.75%	30.86%	81.25%	68.27%
±2σ	-39.06%	54.17%	93.75%	95.45%
±3σ	-62.37%	77.48%	97.50%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	7.556%
Standard Error	1.843%
中位数	4.809%
Mode	-25.000%
Standard Deviation	23.308%
Sample Variance	543.276%
峰度	4.07
偏度	1.06
Range	178.200%
Minimum	-68.148%
Maximum	110.052%
Count	160

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	17.537%	108	67.50%	11.837%
负向	-13.173%	52	32.50%	-4.281%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

Average True Range Percentage (ATRP)

Quarters	Horizon	Average 季度 True Range %
4	1 Year	51.10%
12	3 Years	36.43%
20	5 Years	30.09%
40	10 Years	22.89%
80	20 Years	21.17%
200	50 Years	32.34%

高-to-低收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.00. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 14.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -56.60%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-56.60% to -32.60%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-32.60% to -8.59%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-8.59% to 15.41%	19	11.80%	11.80%
15.41% to 39.42%	85	52.80%	64.60%
39.42% to 63.42%	31	19.25%	83.85%
63.42% to 87.43%	16	9.94%	93.79%
87.43% to 111.43%	6	3.73%	97.52%
111.43% to 135.44%	0	0.00%	97.52%
Greater than 135.44%	4	2.48%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	7.41%	71.42%	86.96%	68.27%
±2σ	-24.60%	103.43%	96.27%	95.45%
±3σ	-56.60%	135.44%	97.52%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	39.417%
Standard Error	2.522%
中位数	30.108%
Mode	8.354%
Standard Deviation	32.007%
Sample Variance	1024.437%
峰度	14.27
偏度	3.00
Range	248.057%
Minimum	8.354%
Maximum	256.411%
Count	161

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	39.417%	161	100.00%	39.417%
负向	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

开盘-to-收盘收益

Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.02. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 29.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).

Bin Distribution Over Raw Range

Bin / Range	频率	Prob	Cum. Prob
Less than -80.29%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-80.29% to -60.74%	0	0.00%	0.00%
-60.74% to -41.20%	5	3.11%	3.11%
-41.20% to -21.66%	11	6.83%	9.94%
-21.66% to -2.12%	78	48.45%	58.39%
-2.12% to 17.42%	52	32.30%	90.68%
17.42% to 36.97%	8	4.97%	95.65%
36.97% to 56.51%	2	1.24%	96.89%
56.51% to 76.05%	3	1.86%	98.76%
Greater than 76.05%	2	1.24%	100.00%

Standard Deviation Interval Analysis

SD	低er Bnd	Upper Bnd	Actual %	Normal %
±1σ	-28.17%	23.94%	85.71%	68.27%
±2σ	-54.23%	49.99%	96.27%	95.45%
±3σ	-80.29%	76.05%	98.76%	99.73%

Descriptive Statistics

均值	-2.118%
Standard Error	2.053%
中位数	-4.348%
Mode	-5.926%
Standard Deviation	26.056%
Sample Variance	678.904%
峰度	29.80
偏度	4.02
Range	265.784%
Minimum	-51.830%
Maximum	213.954%
Count	161

频率 Breakdown

分类	Avg 收益	Count	概率	Freq Adj 收益
正向	20.486%	51	31.68%	6.489%
负向	-12.598%	110	68.32%	-8.607%
Zero	0.000%	0	0.00%	0.000%

ORCL 深度分析报告