PM Deep Analytical Report

Philip Morris International Inc. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 3.07% ($5.64) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2008-03-01 → 2026-02-01 (216 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 1.47% 1.38% 1.25% 1.84% 1.45% 1.52% 180.77 186.07 178.17 188.78
Weekly 3.23% 3.14% 3.26% 4.45% 3.18% 3.34% 177.65 189.33 172.09 195.46
Monthly 6.49% 6.69% 6.67% 9.77% 6.63% 6.95% 171.64 195.97 160.63 209.40
Quarterly 10.56% 10.55% 9.93% 17.20% 11.48% 12.05% 163.51 205.71 145.78 230.73
Annual 22.96% 24.09% 145.78 230.73 115.87 290.28
Option Time Horizon 8.83% 9.27% 167.90 200.33 153.71 218.83
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:17 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $183.40  |  Strike (K): $185.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $5.8000 (Bid $5.5000 / Ask $6.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 3.07%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 22.96% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 23.06% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 24.09% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-26 $1.4700
2025-10-03 $1.4700
2025-06-27 $1.3500
2025-03-20 $1.3500
2024-12-26 $1.3500
2024-09-26 $1.3500
2024-06-21 $1.3000
2024-03-20 $1.3000
2023-12-20 $1.3000
2023-09-26 $1.3000
2023-06-22 $1.2700
2023-03-22 $1.2700
2022-12-21 $1.2700
2022-09-27 $1.2700
2022-06-30 $1.2500
2022-03-23 $1.2500
2021-12-22 $1.2500
2021-09-28 $1.2500
2021-06-24 $1.2000
2021-03-19 $1.2000
2020-12-22 $1.2000
2020-09-23 $1.2000
2020-06-19 $1.1700
2020-03-20 $1.1700
2019-12-18 $1.1700
2019-09-24 $1.1700
2019-06-20 $1.1400
2019-03-25 $1.1400
2018-12-19 $1.1400
2018-09-25 $1.1400
2018-06-21 $1.1400
2018-03-21 $1.0700
2017-12-20 $1.0700
2017-09-26 $1.0700
2017-06-21 $1.0400
2017-03-21 $1.0400
2016-12-20 $1.0400
2016-09-26 $1.0400
2016-06-21 $1.0200
2016-03-22 $1.0200
2015-12-21 $1.0200
2015-09-28 $1.0200
2015-06-23 $1.0000
2015-03-24 $1.0000
2014-12-22 $1.0000
2014-09-23 $1.0000
2014-06-24 $0.9400
2014-03-25 $0.9400
2013-12-23 $0.9400
2013-09-24 $0.9400
2013-06-25 $0.8500
2013-03-26 $0.8500
2012-12-24 $0.0850
2012-12-20 $0.0390
2012-09-25 $0.8500
2012-06-25 $0.7700
2012-03-27 $0.7700
2011-12-20 $0.7700
2011-09-23 $0.7700
2011-06-21 $0.6400
2011-03-22 $0.6400
2010-12-21 $0.6400
2010-09-22 $0.6400
2010-06-22 $0.5800
2010-03-23 $0.5800
2009-12-23 $0.5800
2009-09-24 $0.5800
2009-06-22 $0.5400
2009-03-23 $0.5400
2008-12-23 $0.5400
2008-09-11 $0.5400
2008-06-26 $0.4600
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 12.27 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.36%340.75%0.75%
-4.36% to -3.25%451.00%1.75%
-3.25% to -2.15%1282.84%4.59%
-2.15% to -1.04%48410.73%15.32%
-1.04% to 0.06%154134.16%49.48%
0.06% to 1.16%155834.54%84.02%
1.16% to 2.26%52411.62%95.63%
2.26% to 3.37%1302.88%98.51%
3.37% to 4.47%420.93%99.45%
Greater than 4.47%250.55%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.41%1.53% 79.25%68.27%
±2σ -2.88%3.00% 95.46%95.45%
±3σ -4.36%4.47% 98.69%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.78. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 102.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.29%00.00%0.00%
-2.29% to -1.26%00.00%0.00%
-1.26% to -0.23%00.00%0.00%
-0.23% to 0.81%3207.09%7.09%
0.81% to 1.84%261157.87%64.96%
1.84% to 2.88%108524.05%89.01%
2.88% to 3.91%2886.38%95.39%
3.91% to 4.95%982.17%97.56%
4.95% to 5.98%390.86%98.43%
Greater than 5.98%711.57%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.47%3.22% 92.09%68.27%
±2σ -0.91%4.60% 97.01%95.45%
±3σ -2.29%5.98% 98.43%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.77 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.79%280.62%0.62%
-3.79% to -2.85%430.95%1.57%
-2.85% to -1.92%1192.64%4.21%
-1.92% to -0.98%59513.19%17.40%
-0.98% to -0.04%154034.13%51.53%
-0.04% to 0.90%142931.67%83.20%
0.90% to 1.84%53711.90%95.10%
1.84% to 2.77%1342.97%98.07%
2.77% to 3.71%521.15%99.22%
Greater than 3.71%350.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.29%1.21% 77.81%68.27%
±2σ -2.54%2.46% 95.30%95.45%
±3σ -3.79%3.71% 98.60%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.36. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.40%80.85%0.85%
-9.40% to -6.98%111.18%2.03%
-6.98% to -4.56%313.31%5.34%
-4.56% to -2.14%11612.39%17.74%
-2.14% to 0.28%29131.09%48.82%
0.28% to 2.70%30832.91%81.73%
2.70% to 5.12%12913.78%95.51%
5.12% to 7.54%293.10%98.61%
7.54% to 9.97%111.18%99.79%
Greater than 9.97%20.21%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.95%3.51% 76.71%68.27%
±2σ -6.17%6.74% 95.19%95.45%
±3σ -9.40%9.97% 98.93%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.64. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 39.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.82%00.00%0.00%
-4.82% to -2.47%00.00%0.00%
-2.47% to -0.12%00.00%0.00%
-0.12% to 2.23%11011.74%11.74%
2.23% to 4.58%49252.51%64.25%
4.58% to 6.94%21823.27%87.51%
6.94% to 9.29%697.36%94.88%
9.29% to 11.64%222.35%97.23%
11.64% to 13.99%131.39%98.61%
Greater than 13.99%131.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.45%7.72% 89.97%68.27%
±2σ -1.69%10.86% 96.26%95.45%
±3σ -4.82%13.99% 98.61%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 7.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.89%20.21%0.21%
-9.89% to -7.45%30.32%0.53%
-7.45% to -5.00%333.52%4.06%
-5.00% to -2.56%14515.47%19.53%
-2.56% to -0.12%31433.51%53.04%
-0.12% to 2.33%27229.03%82.07%
2.33% to 4.78%11011.74%93.81%
4.78% to 7.22%404.27%98.08%
7.22% to 9.66%101.07%99.15%
Greater than 9.66%80.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.38%3.14% 77.59%68.27%
±2σ -6.63%6.40% 96.26%95.45%
±3σ -9.89%9.66% 98.93%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.43 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.26%10.47%0.47%
-18.26% to -13.39%31.40%1.86%
-13.39% to -8.53%156.98%8.84%
-8.53% to -3.66%2712.56%21.40%
-3.66% to 1.20%5123.72%45.12%
1.20% to 6.07%6831.63%76.74%
6.07% to 10.93%3817.67%94.42%
10.93% to 15.80%104.65%99.07%
15.80% to 20.66%20.93%100.00%
Greater than 20.66%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.29%7.69% 69.30%68.27%
±2σ -11.77%14.18% 96.28%95.45%
±3σ -18.26%20.66% 99.53%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.86. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.56%00.00%0.00%
-9.56% to -4.54%00.00%0.00%
-4.54% to 0.48%00.00%0.00%
0.48% to 5.50%2913.43%13.43%
5.50% to 10.51%10347.69%61.11%
10.51% to 15.53%5726.39%87.50%
15.53% to 20.55%177.87%95.37%
20.55% to 25.57%52.31%97.69%
25.57% to 30.58%20.93%98.61%
Greater than 30.58%31.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 3.82%17.20% 90.28%68.27%
±2σ -2.87%23.89% 97.22%95.45%
±3σ -9.56%30.58% 98.61%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.78. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.70 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.36%00.00%0.00%
-20.36% to -15.36%10.46%0.46%
-15.36% to -10.36%83.70%4.17%
-10.36% to -5.36%3918.06%22.22%
-5.36% to -0.35%7333.80%56.02%
-0.35% to 4.65%5224.07%80.09%
4.65% to 9.65%2411.11%91.20%
9.65% to 14.66%146.48%97.69%
14.66% to 19.66%31.39%99.07%
Greater than 19.66%20.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.02%6.32% 73.15%68.27%
±2σ -13.69%12.99% 96.30%95.45%
±3σ -20.37%19.66% 99.07%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.61 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.18%00.00%0.00%
-28.18% to -20.26%11.39%1.39%
-20.26% to -12.34%22.78%4.17%
-12.34% to -4.42%912.50%16.67%
-4.42% to 3.50%2940.28%56.94%
3.50% to 11.41%1825.00%81.94%
11.41% to 19.33%68.33%90.28%
19.33% to 27.25%56.94%97.22%
27.25% to 35.17%22.78%100.00%
Greater than 35.17%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.06%14.05% 69.44%68.27%
±2σ -17.62%24.61% 94.44%95.45%
±3σ -28.18%35.17% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.59. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.29 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.96%00.00%0.00%
-12.96% to -5.05%00.00%0.00%
-5.05% to 2.87%00.00%0.00%
2.87% to 10.78%1419.18%19.18%
10.78% to 18.70%2838.36%57.53%
18.70% to 26.61%2230.14%87.67%
26.61% to 34.53%56.85%94.52%
34.53% to 42.44%22.74%97.26%
42.44% to 50.36%00.00%97.26%
Greater than 50.36%22.74%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 8.14%29.25% 86.30%68.27%
±2σ -2.41%39.80% 95.89%95.45%
±3σ -12.96%50.36% 97.26%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.21. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.85 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -30.97%00.00%0.00%
-30.97% to -23.52%11.37%1.37%
-23.52% to -16.07%56.85%8.22%
-16.07% to -8.62%810.96%19.18%
-8.62% to -1.17%2534.25%53.42%
-1.17% to 6.28%2128.77%82.19%
6.28% to 13.73%79.59%91.78%
13.73% to 21.18%56.85%98.63%
21.18% to 28.63%00.00%98.63%
Greater than 28.63%11.37%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.11%8.76% 71.23%68.27%
±2σ -21.04%18.70% 94.52%95.45%
±3σ -30.97%28.63% 98.63%99.73%