RCL Deep Analytical Report

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Category: Equity Mega Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.13% ($3.50) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 1993-04-01 → 2026-02-01 (395 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.02% 2.73% 2.42% 3.96% 2.59% 2.75% 307.03 323.36 299.18 331.85
Weekly 6.67% 7.70% 6.91% 9.60% 5.70% 6.06% 297.62 333.58 281.12 353.16
Monthly 14.28% 25.03% 17.44% 21.48% 11.87% 12.62% 279.81 354.81 248.49 399.54
Quarterly 24.84% 55.24% 30.60% 40.48% 20.57% 21.85% 256.52 387.03 208.84 475.40
Annual 41.13% 43.70% 208.84 475.40 138.42 717.27
Option Time Horizon 15.82% 16.81% 268.99 369.10 229.63 432.36
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:24 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $315.09  |  Strike (K): $320.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $18.2500 (Bid $17.4000 / Ask $19.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.13%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 41.13% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 41.31% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 43.70% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-26 $1.0000
2025-09-25 $1.0000
2025-06-04 $0.7500
2025-03-07 $0.7500
2024-12-27 $0.5500
2024-09-20 $0.4000
2020-03-05 $0.7800
2019-12-19 $0.7800
2019-09-19 $0.7800
2019-06-03 $0.7000
2019-03-06 $0.7000
2018-12-19 $0.7000
2018-09-20 $0.7000
2018-06-01 $0.6000
2018-03-06 $0.6000
2017-12-20 $0.6000
2017-09-21 $0.6000
2017-05-31 $0.4800
2017-03-03 $0.4800
2016-12-19 $0.4800
2016-09-27 $0.4800
2016-05-26 $0.3750
2016-02-18 $0.3750
2015-12-17 $0.3750
2015-09-16 $0.3750
2015-05-15 $0.3000
2015-02-13 $0.3000
2014-12-18 $0.3000
2014-09-18 $0.3000
2014-05-16 $0.2500
2014-02-13 $0.2500
2013-12-12 $0.2500
2013-09-20 $0.2500
2013-05-17 $0.1200
2013-02-19 $0.1200
2012-12-13 $0.1200
2012-09-21 $0.1200
2012-05-18 $0.1000
2012-02-27 $0.1000
2011-12-20 $0.1000
2011-08-10 $0.1000
2008-09-11 $0.1500
2008-06-04 $0.1500
2008-03-13 $0.1500
2007-12-26 $0.1500
2007-09-26 $0.1500
2007-06-15 $0.1500
2007-02-27 $0.1500
2006-12-20 $0.1500
2006-09-27 $0.1500
2006-06-07 $0.1500
2006-02-27 $0.1500
2005-12-14 $0.1500
2005-09-22 $0.1500
2005-06-08 $0.1300
2005-02-25 $0.1300
2004-12-21 $0.1300
2004-09-09 $0.1300
2004-05-27 $0.1300
2004-02-26 $0.1300
2003-12-17 $0.1300
2003-09-24 $0.1300
2003-06-02 $0.1300
2003-02-27 $0.1300
2002-12-11 $0.1300
2002-09-13 $0.1300
2002-06-03 $0.1300
2002-03-14 $0.1300
2001-12-13 $0.1300
2001-09-17 $0.1300
2001-06-04 $0.1300
2001-02-27 $0.1300
2000-12-15 $0.1300
2000-09-14 $0.1300
2000-06-05 $0.1100
2000-02-28 $0.1100
1999-12-01 $0.1100
1999-09-09 $0.1100
1999-05-28 $0.0900
1999-04-28 $0.0910
1999-02-25 $0.0900
1998-12-16 $0.0900
1998-08-28 $0.0900
1998-05-29 $0.0750
1998-02-26 $0.0750
1997-12-17 $0.0750
1997-08-28 $0.0750
1997-05-29 $0.0700
1997-03-06 $0.0700
1996-11-27 $0.0700
1996-09-12 $0.0700
1996-05-28 $0.0650
1996-02-28 $0.0650
1995-11-29 $0.0650
1995-08-30 $0.0575
1995-05-25 $0.0550
1995-02-23 $0.0550
1994-11-25 $0.0550
1994-08-26 $0.0550
1994-05-25 $0.0450
1994-02-23 $0.0450
1993-11-24 $0.0450
1993-08-26 $0.0900
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.06. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.35 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.97%640.78%0.78%
-8.97% to -6.71%841.02%1.79%
-6.71% to -4.44%2022.45%4.24%
-4.44% to -2.17%7919.58%13.82%
-2.17% to 0.09%317138.41%52.23%
0.09% to 2.36%279133.81%86.03%
2.36% to 4.63%7719.34%95.37%
4.63% to 6.90%2092.53%97.90%
6.90% to 9.16%941.14%99.04%
Greater than 9.16%790.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.93%3.12% 81.46%68.27%
±2σ -5.95%6.14% 95.03%95.45%
±3σ -8.98%9.16% 98.27%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.97. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.95 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.98%00.00%0.00%
-4.98% to -2.93%00.00%0.00%
-2.93% to -0.89%00.00%0.00%
-0.89% to 1.16%8209.93%9.93%
1.16% to 3.21%463456.12%66.05%
3.21% to 5.26%175621.27%87.32%
5.26% to 7.31%5486.64%93.96%
7.31% to 9.36%2392.89%96.85%
9.36% to 11.41%1041.26%98.11%
Greater than 11.41%1561.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.48%5.95% 89.77%68.27%
±2σ -2.25%8.68% 96.20%95.45%
±3σ -4.98%11.41% 98.11%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.16 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.23%610.74%0.74%
-7.23% to -5.41%780.94%1.68%
-5.41% to -3.59%2442.96%4.64%
-3.59% to -1.78%90110.91%15.55%
-1.78% to 0.04%302636.65%52.20%
0.04% to 1.86%271232.84%85.04%
1.86% to 3.68%8159.87%94.91%
3.68% to 5.50%2513.04%97.95%
5.50% to 7.32%921.11%99.07%
Greater than 7.32%770.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.38%2.47% 79.63%68.27%
±2σ -4.81%4.89% 95.06%95.45%
±3σ -7.23%7.32% 98.33%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.11. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.99 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.55%140.82%0.82%
-19.55% to -14.55%201.17%1.99%
-14.55% to -9.55%533.10%5.08%
-9.55% to -4.54%17710.34%15.42%
-4.54% to 0.46%57833.76%49.18%
0.46% to 5.46%60035.05%84.23%
5.46% to 10.47%18810.98%95.21%
10.47% to 15.47%523.04%98.25%
15.47% to 20.48%150.88%99.12%
Greater than 20.48%150.88%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.21%7.13% 79.15%68.27%
±2σ -12.88%13.80% 94.45%95.45%
±3σ -19.55%20.48% 98.31%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 24.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.24%00.00%0.00%
-14.24% to -8.46%00.00%0.00%
-8.46% to -2.68%00.00%0.00%
-2.68% to 3.10%1478.58%8.58%
3.10% to 8.88%100258.49%67.08%
8.88% to 14.65%34219.96%87.04%
14.65% to 20.43%1267.36%94.40%
20.43% to 26.21%442.57%96.96%
26.21% to 31.99%211.23%98.19%
Greater than 31.99%311.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.17%16.58% 89.84%68.27%
±2σ -6.53%24.28% 96.32%95.45%
±3σ -14.24%31.99% 98.19%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.61 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.57%70.41%0.41%
-20.57% to -15.39%100.58%0.99%
-15.39% to -10.21%442.57%3.56%
-10.21% to -5.04%19811.56%15.12%
-5.04% to 0.14%68840.16%55.28%
0.14% to 5.32%52030.36%85.64%
5.32% to 10.50%1629.46%95.10%
10.50% to 15.68%432.51%97.61%
15.68% to 20.86%201.17%98.77%
Greater than 20.86%211.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.76%7.05% 81.55%68.27%
±2σ -13.67%13.95% 95.33%95.45%
±3σ -20.57%20.86% 98.37%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.25. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.75 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.78%30.76%0.76%
-40.78% to -30.07%51.27%2.03%
-30.07% to -19.36%102.54%4.57%
-19.36% to -8.64%4812.18%16.75%
-8.64% to 2.07%12631.98%48.73%
2.07% to 12.78%14637.06%85.79%
12.78% to 23.49%338.38%94.16%
23.49% to 34.21%133.30%97.46%
34.21% to 44.92%71.78%99.24%
Greater than 44.92%30.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.21%16.35% 79.19%68.27%
±2σ -26.50%30.63% 94.42%95.45%
±3σ -40.78%44.92% 98.48%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 65.49 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.51%00.00%0.00%
-52.51% to -33.74%00.00%0.00%
-33.74% to -14.96%00.00%0.00%
-14.96% to 3.81%20.51%0.51%
3.81% to 22.59%27268.86%69.37%
22.59% to 41.36%8722.03%91.39%
41.36% to 60.13%164.05%95.44%
60.13% to 78.91%102.53%97.97%
78.91% to 97.68%30.76%98.73%
Greater than 97.68%51.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.45%47.62% 93.67%68.27%
±2σ -27.48%72.65% 97.22%95.45%
±3σ -52.51%97.68% 98.73%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.52. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 24.34 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -51.94%00.00%0.00%
-51.94% to -38.86%10.25%0.25%
-38.86% to -25.77%92.28%2.53%
-25.77% to -12.69%379.37%11.90%
-12.69% to 0.39%18546.84%58.73%
0.39% to 13.47%11930.13%88.86%
13.47% to 26.56%297.34%96.20%
26.56% to 39.64%61.52%97.72%
39.64% to 52.72%41.01%98.73%
Greater than 52.72%51.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.05%17.83% 84.81%68.27%
±2σ -34.50%35.28% 96.46%95.45%
±3σ -51.94%52.72% 98.73%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.30 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -68.41%00.00%0.00%
-68.41% to -49.78%53.79%3.79%
-49.78% to -31.15%10.76%4.55%
-31.15% to -12.53%1410.61%15.15%
-12.53% to 6.10%4634.85%50.00%
6.10% to 24.73%4231.82%81.82%
24.73% to 43.35%1813.64%95.45%
43.35% to 61.98%32.27%97.73%
61.98% to 80.60%21.52%99.24%
Greater than 80.60%10.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.74%30.93% 75.76%68.27%
±2σ -43.57%55.77% 92.42%95.45%
±3σ -68.41%80.60% 99.24%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 47.17 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -120.07%00.00%0.00%
-120.07% to -78.64%00.00%0.00%
-78.64% to -37.21%00.00%0.00%
-37.21% to 4.22%10.75%0.75%
4.22% to 45.65%9067.67%68.42%
45.65% to 87.08%3324.81%93.23%
87.08% to 128.51%10.75%93.98%
128.51% to 169.94%53.76%97.74%
169.94% to 211.37%10.75%98.50%
Greater than 211.37%21.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.59%100.89% 93.23%68.27%
±2σ -64.83%156.13% 96.24%95.45%
±3σ -120.07%211.36% 98.50%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 9.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -90.89%00.00%0.00%
-90.89% to -67.95%00.00%0.00%
-67.95% to -45.00%10.75%0.75%
-45.00% to -22.05%1813.53%14.29%
-22.05% to 0.89%6246.62%60.90%
0.89% to 23.84%3929.32%90.23%
23.84% to 46.79%75.26%95.49%
46.79% to 69.73%00.00%95.49%
69.73% to 92.68%10.75%96.24%
Greater than 92.68%53.76%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -29.70%31.49% 88.72%68.27%
±2σ -60.30%62.09% 95.49%95.45%
±3σ -90.89%92.68% 96.24%99.73%