SABR Deep Analytical Report

Sabre Corporation | Category: Equity Micro Cap | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2014-04-01 → 2026-03-01 (144 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.97% 3.64% 3.28% 6.06% 5.93% 5.81% 1.39 1.57 1.31 1.66
Weekly 9.04% 11.58% 9.42% 14.52% 13.05% 12.78% 1.29 1.68 1.14 1.91
Monthly 15.37% 30.67% 19.20% 30.00% 27.16% 26.61% 1.12 1.94 0.86 2.54
Quarterly 22.43% 85.49% 35.62% 50.26% 47.04% 46.09% 0.92 2.36 0.58 3.78
Annual 94.09% 92.19% 0.58 3.78 0.22 9.68
Option Time Horizon 35.51% 34.80% 1.03 2.10 0.72 3.00
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:37 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $1.48  |  Strike (K): $1.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $0.2000 (Bid $0.1500 / Ask $0.2500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 94.09% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 93.79% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 92.19% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2020-03-19 $0.1400
2019-12-19 $0.1400
2019-09-19 $0.1400
2019-06-20 $0.1400
2019-03-20 $0.1400
2018-12-20 $0.1400
2018-09-20 $0.1400
2018-06-20 $0.1400
2018-03-20 $0.1400
2017-12-20 $0.1400
2017-09-20 $0.1400
2017-06-19 $0.1400
2017-03-17 $0.1400
2016-12-19 $0.1300
2016-09-19 $0.1300
2016-06-17 $0.1300
2016-03-17 $0.1300
2015-12-17 $0.0900
2015-09-17 $0.0900
2015-06-17 $0.0900
2015-03-12 $0.0900
2014-12-11 $0.0900
2014-08-27 $0.0900
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.85. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.41 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.92%240.80%0.80%
-11.92% to -8.94%220.73%1.53%
-8.94% to -5.96%802.67%4.20%
-5.96% to -2.98%2287.60%11.80%
-2.98% to 0.00%120240.08%51.88%
0.00% to 2.98%109636.55%88.43%
2.98% to 5.96%2197.30%95.73%
5.96% to 8.94%732.43%98.17%
8.94% to 11.92%260.87%99.03%
Greater than 11.92%290.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.97%3.98% 84.16%68.27%
±2σ -7.94%7.95% 95.23%95.45%
±3σ -11.92%11.92% 98.23%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.40. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.57%00.00%0.00%
-6.57% to -3.83%00.00%0.00%
-3.83% to -1.10%00.00%0.00%
-1.10% to 1.63%45215.07%15.07%
1.63% to 4.36%143147.70%62.77%
4.36% to 7.09%69223.07%85.83%
7.09% to 9.82%2518.37%94.20%
9.82% to 12.55%943.13%97.33%
12.55% to 15.28%230.77%98.10%
Greater than 15.28%571.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.72%8.00% 89.63%68.27%
±2σ -2.92%11.64% 96.57%95.45%
±3σ -6.57%15.28% 98.10%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.91. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 12.97 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.69%210.70%0.70%
-9.69% to -7.23%311.03%1.73%
-7.23% to -4.76%832.77%4.50%
-4.76% to -2.30%2729.07%13.57%
-2.30% to 0.16%118239.40%52.97%
0.16% to 2.62%100233.40%86.37%
2.62% to 5.09%2538.43%94.80%
5.09% to 7.55%903.00%97.80%
7.55% to 10.01%391.30%99.10%
Greater than 10.01%270.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.12%3.45% 81.60%68.27%
±2σ -6.41%6.73% 94.57%95.45%
±3σ -9.69%10.01% 98.40%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.10%81.29%1.29%
-27.10% to -20.32%40.64%1.93%
-20.32% to -13.54%132.09%4.02%
-13.54% to -6.75%569.00%13.02%
-6.75% to 0.03%22335.85%48.87%
0.03% to 6.81%24339.07%87.94%
6.81% to 13.60%538.52%96.46%
13.60% to 20.38%132.09%98.55%
20.38% to 27.16%40.64%99.20%
Greater than 27.16%50.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.01%9.08% 83.60%68.27%
±2σ -18.06%18.12% 95.50%95.45%
±3σ -27.10%27.16% 97.91%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.18. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 28.72 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.18%00.00%0.00%
-23.18% to -14.49%00.00%0.00%
-14.49% to -5.81%00.00%0.00%
-5.81% to 2.88%406.42%6.42%
2.88% to 11.57%36358.27%64.69%
11.57% to 20.25%15124.24%88.92%
20.25% to 28.94%335.30%94.22%
28.94% to 37.63%132.09%96.31%
37.63% to 46.31%111.77%98.07%
Greater than 46.31%121.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -0.02%23.15% 90.85%68.27%
±2σ -11.60%34.73% 95.99%95.45%
±3σ -23.18%46.31% 98.07%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.60. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.53 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -27.35%20.32%0.32%
-27.35% to -20.29%30.48%0.80%
-20.29% to -13.22%91.44%2.25%
-13.22% to -6.16%619.79%12.04%
-6.16% to 0.90%29246.87%58.91%
0.90% to 7.97%18529.70%88.60%
7.97% to 15.03%477.54%96.15%
15.03% to 22.09%81.28%97.43%
22.09% to 29.16%60.96%98.39%
Greater than 29.16%101.61%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.51%10.32% 84.75%68.27%
±2σ -17.93%19.74% 95.83%95.45%
±3σ -27.35%29.16% 98.07%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.27. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.10 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.45%10.70%0.70%
-46.45% to -34.92%32.10%2.80%
-34.92% to -23.39%53.50%6.29%
-23.39% to -11.87%128.39%14.69%
-11.87% to -0.34%4833.57%48.25%
-0.34% to 11.19%5135.66%83.92%
11.19% to 22.71%1510.49%94.41%
22.71% to 34.24%64.20%98.60%
34.24% to 45.77%10.70%99.30%
Greater than 45.77%10.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.71%15.03% 77.62%68.27%
±2σ -31.08%30.40% 95.10%95.45%
±3σ -46.45%45.77% 98.60%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.31. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 57.31 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -64.05%00.00%0.00%
-64.05% to -41.04%00.00%0.00%
-41.04% to -18.04%00.00%0.00%
-18.04% to 4.96%10.69%0.69%
4.96% to 27.97%8861.11%61.81%
27.97% to 50.97%3826.39%88.19%
50.97% to 73.98%128.33%96.53%
73.98% to 96.98%42.78%99.31%
96.98% to 119.98%00.00%99.31%
Greater than 119.98%10.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.70%58.64% 92.36%68.27%
±2σ -33.38%89.31% 99.31%95.45%
±3σ -64.05%119.98% 99.31%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.81. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.09%00.00%0.00%
-54.09% to -39.69%10.69%0.69%
-39.69% to -25.29%10.69%1.39%
-25.29% to -10.88%1711.81%13.19%
-10.88% to 3.52%6545.14%58.33%
3.52% to 17.92%4229.17%87.50%
17.92% to 32.32%96.25%93.75%
32.32% to 46.73%42.78%96.53%
46.73% to 61.13%32.08%98.61%
Greater than 61.13%21.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.68%22.72% 81.94%68.27%
±2σ -34.89%41.92% 95.83%95.45%
±3σ -54.09%61.13% 98.61%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.60 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -69.06%00.00%0.00%
-69.06% to -52.24%12.08%2.08%
-52.24% to -35.41%36.25%8.33%
-35.41% to -18.59%48.33%16.67%
-18.59% to -1.76%1633.33%50.00%
-1.76% to 15.06%1429.17%79.17%
15.06% to 31.89%816.67%95.83%
31.89% to 48.71%12.08%97.92%
48.71% to 65.53%12.08%100.00%
Greater than 65.53%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -24.20%20.67% 77.08%68.27%
±2σ -46.63%43.10% 95.83%95.45%
±3σ -69.06%65.53% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 31.96 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -195.35%00.00%0.00%
-195.35% to -131.23%00.00%0.00%
-131.23% to -67.11%00.00%0.00%
-67.11% to -2.99%00.00%0.00%
-2.99% to 61.13%3571.43%71.43%
61.13% to 125.25%1020.41%91.84%
125.25% to 189.37%36.12%97.96%
189.37% to 253.49%00.00%97.96%
253.49% to 317.61%00.00%97.96%
Greater than 317.61%12.04%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -24.37%146.62% 95.92%68.27%
±2σ -109.86%232.11% 97.96%95.45%
±3σ -195.35%317.60% 97.96%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.30. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -97.46%00.00%0.00%
-97.46% to -70.75%00.00%0.00%
-70.75% to -44.03%00.00%0.00%
-44.03% to -17.31%48.16%8.16%
-17.31% to 9.41%2755.10%63.27%
9.41% to 36.12%1122.45%85.71%
36.12% to 62.84%48.16%93.88%
62.84% to 89.56%24.08%97.96%
89.56% to 116.28%00.00%97.96%
Greater than 116.28%12.04%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -26.22%45.03% 85.71%68.27%
±2σ -61.84%80.65% 97.96%95.45%
±3σ -97.46%116.28% 97.96%99.73%