SABR Deep Analytical Report

Sabre Corporation | Category: Equity Micro Cap | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2014-04-01 → 2026-02-01 (143 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.86% 3.52% 3.19% 5.93% 7.72% 7.73% 0.91 1.06 0.84 1.14
Weekly 8.49% 10.96% 9.26% 14.03% 16.99% 17.01% 0.83 1.16 0.70 1.37
Monthly 15.39% 30.57% 19.38% 29.19% 35.37% 35.41% 0.69 1.39 0.48 1.98
Quarterly 22.56% 84.58% 35.66% 47.60% 61.27% 61.33% 0.53 1.80 0.29 3.33
Annual 122.54% 122.66% 0.29 3.33 0.08 11.34
Option Time Horizon 47.13% 47.18% 0.61 1.57 0.38 2.51
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:21 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $0.98  |  Strike (K): $1.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $0.1750 (Bid $0.1000 / Ask $0.2500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 122.54% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 122.13% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 122.66% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2020-03-19 $0.1400
2019-12-19 $0.1400
2019-09-19 $0.1400
2019-06-20 $0.1400
2019-03-20 $0.1400
2018-12-20 $0.1400
2018-09-20 $0.1400
2018-06-20 $0.1400
2018-03-20 $0.1400
2017-12-20 $0.1400
2017-09-20 $0.1400
2017-06-19 $0.1400
2017-03-17 $0.1400
2016-12-19 $0.1300
2016-09-19 $0.1300
2016-06-17 $0.1300
2016-03-17 $0.1300
2015-12-17 $0.0900
2015-09-17 $0.0900
2015-06-17 $0.0900
2015-03-12 $0.0900
2014-12-11 $0.0900
2014-08-27 $0.0900
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.65. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 18.05 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.60%230.77%0.77%
-11.60% to -8.71%250.84%1.61%
-8.71% to -5.81%782.62%4.23%
-5.81% to -2.91%2337.82%12.06%
-2.91% to -0.01%111137.31%49.36%
-0.01% to 2.88%115138.65%88.01%
2.88% to 5.78%2297.69%95.70%
5.78% to 8.67%752.52%98.22%
8.67% to 11.57%240.81%99.03%
Greater than 11.57%290.97%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.88%3.85% 83.98%68.27%
±2σ -7.74%7.71% 95.20%95.45%
±3σ -11.60%11.57% 98.25%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 21.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.25%00.00%0.00%
-6.25% to -3.62%00.00%0.00%
-3.62% to -0.98%00.00%0.00%
-0.98% to 1.66%46515.61%15.61%
1.66% to 4.29%139346.76%62.37%
4.29% to 6.93%69223.23%85.60%
6.93% to 9.56%2538.49%94.09%
9.56% to 12.20%973.26%97.35%
12.20% to 14.84%250.84%98.19%
Greater than 14.84%541.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.78%7.81% 89.66%68.27%
±2σ -2.74%11.32% 96.54%95.45%
±3σ -6.25%14.84% 98.19%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.09. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.25 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.39%200.67%0.67%
-9.39% to -7.00%311.04%1.71%
-7.00% to -4.61%822.75%4.46%
-4.61% to -2.22%2849.53%14.00%
-2.22% to 0.17%116639.14%53.14%
0.17% to 2.57%98533.06%86.20%
2.57% to 4.96%2568.59%94.80%
4.96% to 7.35%903.02%97.82%
7.35% to 9.74%351.17%98.99%
Greater than 9.74%301.01%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.01%3.36% 81.37%68.27%
±2σ -6.20%6.55% 94.56%95.45%
±3σ -9.39%9.74% 98.32%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.63. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 12.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.55%81.29%1.29%
-25.55% to -19.18%71.13%2.43%
-19.18% to -12.81%101.62%4.05%
-12.81% to -6.44%619.87%13.92%
-6.44% to -0.07%20833.66%47.57%
-0.07% to 6.30%24539.64%87.22%
6.30% to 12.67%558.90%96.12%
12.67% to 19.04%152.43%98.54%
19.04% to 25.41%40.65%99.19%
Greater than 25.41%50.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.56%8.42% 81.39%68.27%
±2σ -17.05%16.91% 95.31%95.45%
±3σ -25.55%25.41% 97.90%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.14. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 30.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.54%00.00%0.00%
-21.54% to -13.32%00.00%0.00%
-13.32% to -5.11%00.00%0.00%
-5.11% to 3.11%538.56%8.56%
3.11% to 11.33%34555.74%64.30%
11.33% to 19.54%15224.56%88.85%
19.54% to 27.76%325.17%94.02%
27.76% to 35.98%142.26%96.28%
35.98% to 44.20%111.78%98.06%
Greater than 44.20%121.94%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.37%22.28% 90.79%68.27%
±2σ -10.58%33.24% 95.64%95.45%
±3σ -21.54%44.19% 98.06%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.93. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 19.23 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.80%10.16%0.16%
-26.80% to -19.86%30.48%0.65%
-19.86% to -12.92%142.26%2.91%
-12.92% to -5.98%579.21%12.12%
-5.98% to 0.96%29547.66%59.77%
0.96% to 7.91%17828.76%88.53%
7.91% to 14.85%467.43%95.96%
14.85% to 21.79%91.45%97.42%
21.79% to 28.73%60.97%98.38%
Greater than 28.73%101.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.29%10.22% 84.17%68.27%
±2σ -17.55%19.48% 95.64%95.45%
±3σ -26.80%28.73% 98.22%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.27. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.12 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.80%10.70%0.70%
-46.80% to -35.26%32.11%2.82%
-35.26% to -23.71%64.23%7.04%
-23.71% to -12.17%128.45%15.49%
-12.17% to -0.63%4733.10%48.59%
-0.63% to 10.92%5135.92%84.51%
10.92% to 22.46%149.86%94.37%
22.46% to 34.01%64.23%98.59%
34.01% to 45.55%10.70%99.30%
Greater than 45.55%10.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.02%14.76% 77.46%68.27%
±2σ -31.41%30.16% 95.07%95.45%
±3σ -46.80%45.55% 98.59%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.43. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 58.82 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -64.03%00.00%0.00%
-64.03% to -41.11%00.00%0.00%
-41.11% to -18.18%00.00%0.00%
-18.18% to 4.75%00.00%0.00%
4.75% to 27.67%8760.84%60.84%
27.67% to 50.59%4027.97%88.81%
50.59% to 73.52%117.69%96.50%
73.52% to 96.45%42.80%99.30%
96.45% to 119.37%00.00%99.30%
Greater than 119.37%10.70%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.90%58.24% 93.01%68.27%
±2σ -33.46%88.80% 99.30%95.45%
±3σ -64.03%119.37% 99.30%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 14.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.37%00.00%0.00%
-54.37% to -39.83%10.70%0.70%
-39.83% to -25.29%10.70%1.40%
-25.29% to -10.75%1711.89%13.29%
-10.75% to 3.79%6646.15%59.44%
3.79% to 18.32%3927.27%86.71%
18.32% to 32.86%96.29%93.01%
32.86% to 47.40%64.20%97.20%
47.40% to 61.94%21.40%98.60%
Greater than 61.94%21.40%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -15.60%23.17% 81.12%68.27%
±2σ -34.98%42.55% 95.80%95.45%
±3σ -54.37%61.94% 98.60%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.51 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -70.24%00.00%0.00%
-70.24% to -53.32%12.08%2.08%
-53.32% to -36.40%36.25%8.33%
-36.40% to -19.48%510.42%18.75%
-19.48% to -2.56%1633.33%52.08%
-2.56% to 14.36%1225.00%77.08%
14.36% to 31.28%918.75%95.83%
31.28% to 48.20%12.08%97.92%
48.20% to 65.11%00.00%97.92%
Greater than 65.11%12.08%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -25.12%20.00% 77.08%68.27%
±2σ -47.68%42.56% 95.83%95.45%
±3σ -70.24%65.12% 97.92%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.44. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 34.00 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -194.47%00.00%0.00%
-194.47% to -131.04%00.00%0.00%
-131.04% to -67.61%00.00%0.00%
-67.61% to -4.18%00.00%0.00%
-4.18% to 59.25%3673.47%73.47%
59.25% to 122.68%1020.41%93.88%
122.68% to 186.11%24.08%97.96%
186.11% to 249.54%00.00%97.96%
249.54% to 312.98%00.00%97.96%
Greater than 312.98%12.04%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -25.33%143.82% 95.92%68.27%
±2σ -109.90%228.40% 97.96%95.45%
±3σ -194.48%312.98% 97.96%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.22. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -96.66%00.00%0.00%
-96.66% to -69.91%00.00%0.00%
-69.91% to -43.17%00.00%0.00%
-43.17% to -16.42%48.16%8.16%
-16.42% to 10.33%2755.10%63.27%
10.33% to 37.08%1224.49%87.76%
37.08% to 63.82%36.12%93.88%
63.82% to 90.57%24.08%97.96%
90.57% to 117.32%00.00%97.96%
Greater than 117.32%12.04%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -25.33%45.99% 85.71%68.27%
±2σ -61.00%81.65% 97.96%95.45%
±3σ -96.66%117.32% 97.96%99.73%