SQQQ Deep Analytical Report

ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ | Category: Equity Micro Cap | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2010-02-01 → 2026-03-01 (194 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 3.85% 3.21% 3.13% 5.35% 16.81% 4.58% 65.52 91.70 55.38 108.49
Weekly 8.23% 8.32% 7.93% 13.03% 37.01% 10.08% 53.53 112.23 36.97 162.49
Monthly 13.72% 16.67% 15.49% 28.12% 77.04% 20.99% 35.87 167.48 16.60 361.87
Quarterly 17.76% 30.25% 25.05% 47.90% 133.44% 36.36% 20.41 294.37 5.37 1117.97
Annual 266.89% 72.72% 5.37 1117.97 0.37 16125.06
Option Time Horizon 100.74% 27.45% 28.31 212.25 10.34 581.21
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:44 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $77.51  |  Strike (K): $78.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $8.4000 (Bid $8.0000 / Ask $8.8000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 906.00%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 266.89% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 486.40% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 72.72% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-24 $1.5060
2025-09-24 $1.2150
2025-06-25 $1.2850
2025-03-26 $2.4100
2024-12-23 $4.0850
2024-09-25 $3.7250
2024-06-26 $4.0000
2024-03-20 $4.1000
2023-12-20 $7.0750
2023-09-20 $8.1000
2023-06-21 $6.6500
2023-03-22 $5.1000
2022-12-22 $3.7750
2020-03-25 $40.6250
2019-12-24 $67.5000
2019-09-25 $115.6250
2019-06-25 $152.5000
2019-03-20 $72.5000
2018-12-26 $257.5000
2018-09-26 $167.5000
2018-06-20 $102.5000
2018-03-21 $87.5000
2017-12-26 $75.0000
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.17. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.89 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -11.76%230.57%0.57%
-11.76% to -8.87%360.89%1.46%
-8.87% to -5.99%1383.41%4.86%
-5.99% to -3.10%48211.90%16.76%
-3.10% to -0.21%144335.62%52.38%
-0.21% to 2.67%126631.25%83.63%
2.67% to 5.56%40810.07%93.71%
5.56% to 8.45%1624.00%97.70%
8.45% to 11.33%591.46%99.16%
Greater than 11.33%340.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.06%3.64% 76.77%68.27%
±2σ -7.91%7.48% 94.62%95.45%
±3σ -11.76%11.33% 98.59%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.00. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 81.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.30%00.00%0.00%
-5.30% to -2.89%00.00%0.00%
-2.89% to -0.48%00.00%0.00%
-0.48% to 1.92%51012.59%12.59%
1.92% to 4.33%204850.54%63.13%
4.33% to 6.74%94323.27%86.40%
6.74% to 9.15%3328.19%94.60%
9.15% to 11.55%1122.76%97.36%
11.55% to 13.96%601.48%98.84%
Greater than 13.96%471.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.12%7.54% 88.52%68.27%
±2σ -2.09%10.75% 96.74%95.45%
±3σ -5.30%13.96% 98.84%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.44. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 25.79 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.20%240.59%0.59%
-9.20% to -6.85%481.18%1.78%
-6.85% to -4.50%1634.02%5.80%
-4.50% to -2.15%46911.57%17.37%
-2.15% to 0.20%128031.59%48.96%
0.20% to 2.55%138934.28%83.24%
2.55% to 4.91%49812.29%95.53%
4.91% to 7.26%1162.86%98.40%
7.26% to 9.61%370.91%99.31%
Greater than 9.61%280.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.93%3.34% 76.73%68.27%
±2σ -6.07%6.47% 95.21%95.45%
±3σ -9.20%9.61% 98.72%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.79. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 3.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.76%30.36%0.36%
-25.76% to -19.58%80.95%1.31%
-19.58% to -13.40%273.21%4.52%
-13.40% to -7.23%11313.45%17.98%
-7.23% to -1.05%30536.31%54.29%
-1.05% to 5.12%24228.81%83.10%
5.12% to 11.30%9110.83%93.93%
11.30% to 17.48%283.33%97.26%
17.48% to 23.65%121.43%98.69%
Greater than 23.65%111.31%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.29%7.18% 76.55%68.27%
±2σ -17.52%15.42% 94.29%95.45%
±3σ -25.76%23.65% 98.33%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.54. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 25.66 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -12.96%00.00%0.00%
-12.96% to -6.72%00.00%0.00%
-6.72% to -0.47%00.00%0.00%
-0.47% to 5.77%13215.70%15.70%
5.77% to 12.01%40448.04%63.73%
12.01% to 18.25%18522.00%85.73%
18.25% to 24.50%688.09%93.82%
24.50% to 30.74%252.97%96.79%
30.74% to 36.98%111.31%98.10%
Greater than 36.98%161.90%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 3.69%20.33% 87.16%68.27%
±2σ -4.64%28.66% 95.96%95.45%
±3σ -12.96%36.98% 98.10%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.04 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -22.26%80.95%0.95%
-22.26% to -16.32%70.83%1.78%
-16.32% to -10.38%404.76%6.54%
-10.38% to -4.43%9711.53%18.07%
-4.43% to 1.51%26331.27%49.35%
1.51% to 7.46%27032.10%81.45%
7.46% to 13.40%11213.32%94.77%
13.40% to 19.35%273.21%97.98%
19.35% to 25.29%111.31%99.29%
Greater than 25.29%60.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.41%9.44% 75.62%68.27%
±2σ -14.34%17.37% 94.17%95.45%
±3σ -22.26%25.29% 98.34%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.61. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.81 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.05%00.00%0.00%
-46.05% to -35.76%10.52%0.52%
-35.76% to -25.47%84.15%4.66%
-25.47% to -15.19%3216.58%21.24%
-15.19% to -4.90%6332.64%53.89%
-4.90% to 5.39%5327.46%81.35%
5.39% to 15.68%199.84%91.19%
15.68% to 25.97%136.74%97.93%
25.97% to 36.26%31.55%99.48%
Greater than 36.26%10.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -18.61%8.82% 72.54%68.27%
±2σ -32.33%22.54% 94.30%95.45%
±3σ -46.05%36.26% 99.48%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.90. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.17 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -21.33%00.00%0.00%
-21.33% to -8.83%00.00%0.00%
-8.83% to 3.68%00.00%0.00%
3.68% to 16.18%3920.10%20.10%
16.18% to 28.68%8744.85%64.95%
28.68% to 41.18%3317.01%81.96%
41.18% to 53.69%2010.31%92.27%
53.69% to 66.19%84.12%96.39%
66.19% to 78.69%31.55%97.94%
Greater than 78.69%42.06%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 12.01%45.35% 80.41%68.27%
±2σ -4.66%62.02% 95.36%95.45%
±3σ -21.33%78.69% 97.94%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.56 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -39.48%00.00%0.00%
-39.48% to -27.86%10.52%0.52%
-27.86% to -16.24%105.15%5.67%
-16.24% to -4.62%2613.40%19.07%
-4.62% to 7.00%6634.02%53.09%
7.00% to 18.62%5226.80%79.90%
18.62% to 30.24%2713.92%93.81%
30.24% to 41.86%84.12%97.94%
41.86% to 53.48%31.55%99.48%
Greater than 53.48%10.52%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -8.50%22.49% 73.20%68.27%
±2σ -23.99%37.99% 94.85%95.45%
±3σ -39.48%53.48% 99.48%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.74. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.53 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -67.78%00.00%0.00%
-67.78% to -54.46%00.00%0.00%
-54.46% to -41.14%34.69%4.69%
-41.14% to -27.82%812.50%17.19%
-27.82% to -14.50%2640.62%57.81%
-14.50% to -1.18%1421.88%79.69%
-1.18% to 12.14%812.50%92.19%
12.14% to 25.46%23.12%95.31%
25.46% to 38.78%34.69%100.00%
Greater than 38.78%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -32.26%3.26% 73.44%68.27%
±2σ -50.02%21.02% 95.31%95.45%
±3σ -67.78%38.79% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.80. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.36 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -32.65%00.00%0.00%
-32.65% to -9.96%00.00%0.00%
-9.96% to 12.72%00.00%0.00%
12.72% to 35.41%1421.54%21.54%
35.41% to 58.10%2538.46%60.00%
58.10% to 80.78%1624.62%84.62%
80.78% to 103.47%57.69%92.31%
103.47% to 126.16%34.62%96.92%
126.16% to 148.84%11.54%98.46%
Greater than 148.84%11.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 27.85%88.35% 78.46%68.27%
±2σ -2.40%118.59% 93.85%95.45%
±3σ -32.65%148.84% 98.46%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.69. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.27 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.98%00.00%0.00%
-52.98% to -34.19%00.00%0.00%
-34.19% to -15.40%46.15%6.15%
-15.40% to 3.39%1116.92%23.08%
3.39% to 22.18%1929.23%52.31%
22.18% to 40.97%2132.31%84.62%
40.97% to 59.76%46.15%90.77%
59.76% to 78.56%57.69%98.46%
78.56% to 97.35%00.00%98.46%
Greater than 97.35%11.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.87%47.24% 72.31%68.27%
±2σ -27.93%72.29% 96.92%95.45%
±3σ -52.98%97.35% 98.46%99.73%