TMO 深度分析报告

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 0.38% ($1.76) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 1980-03-01 → 2026-04-01 (554 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.00% 1.59% 1.74% 2.38% 1.92% 2.06% 460.78 478.82 452.01 488.10
周度 4.51% 4.10% 4.41% 5.57% 4.23% 4.53% 450.27 489.99 431.63 511.15
月度 9.05% 10.02% 9.16% 12.07% 8.80% 9.43% 430.14 512.92 393.91 560.10
季度 14.33% 17.00% 15.50% 21.12% 15.24% 16.34% 403.30 547.05 346.29 637.12
Annual 30.48% 32.67% 346.29 637.12 255.29 864.21
Option Time Horizon 11.62% 12.45% 418.20 527.57 372.33 592.56
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:44 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $469.71  |  Strike (K): $470.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $22.4500 (Bid $21.5000 / Ask $23.4000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.38%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 30.48% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 30.14% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 32.67% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-13 $0.4700
2025-12-15 $0.4300
2025-09-15 $0.4300
2025-06-13 $0.4300
2025-03-14 $0.4300
2024-12-13 $0.3900
2024-09-13 $0.3900
2024-06-14 $0.3900
2024-03-14 $0.3900
2023-12-14 $0.3500
2023-09-14 $0.3500
2023-06-14 $0.3500
2023-03-14 $0.3500
2022-12-14 $0.3000
2022-09-14 $0.3000
2022-06-14 $0.3000
2022-03-15 $0.3000
2021-12-14 $0.2600
2021-09-14 $0.2600
2021-06-14 $0.2600
2021-03-15 $0.2600
2020-12-14 $0.2200
2020-09-14 $0.2200
2020-06-12 $0.2200
2020-03-13 $0.2200
2019-12-16 $0.1900
2019-09-16 $0.1900
2019-06-13 $0.1900
2019-03-14 $0.1900
2018-12-14 $0.1700
2018-09-14 $0.1700
2018-06-14 $0.1700
2018-03-14 $0.1700
2017-12-14 $0.1500
2017-09-14 $0.1500
2017-06-13 $0.1500
2017-03-13 $0.1500
2016-12-13 $0.1500
2016-09-13 $0.1500
2016-06-13 $0.1500
2016-03-11 $0.1500
2015-12-11 $0.1500
2015-09-11 $0.1500
2015-06-11 $0.1500
2015-03-12 $0.1500
2014-12-11 $0.1500
2014-09-11 $0.1500
2014-06-12 $0.1500
2014-03-13 $0.1500
2013-12-12 $0.1500
2013-09-12 $0.1500
2013-06-13 $0.1500
2013-03-13 $0.1500
2012-12-13 $0.1500
2012-09-13 $0.1300
2012-06-13 $0.1300
2012-03-13 $0.1300
2001-11-16 $2.5200
2001-08-09 $0.8200
1996-01-25 $0.0040
1993-08-06 $0.0430
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.37. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.79 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.94%660.57%0.57%
-5.94% to -4.43%1130.97%1.54%
-4.43% to -2.93%3923.38%4.92%
-2.93% to -1.43%140412.10%17.02%
-1.43% to 0.07%425436.66%53.68%
0.07% to 1.57%346029.82%83.50%
1.57% to 3.07%129511.16%94.66%
3.07% to 4.57%3773.25%97.91%
4.57% to 6.08%1351.16%99.07%
Greater than 6.08%1080.93%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.93%2.07% 77.34%68.27%
±2σ -3.93%4.07% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -5.94%6.07% 98.50%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.12. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 20.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -2.42%00.00%0.00%
-2.42% to -1.22%00.00%0.00%
-1.22% to -0.03%00.00%0.00%
-0.03% to 1.17%194216.73%16.73%
1.17% to 2.36%540946.61%63.34%
2.36% to 3.56%255822.04%85.39%
3.56% to 4.75%9037.78%93.17%
4.75% to 5.95%3983.43%96.60%
5.95% to 7.14%1931.66%98.26%
Greater than 7.14%2021.74%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.77%3.96% 85.04%68.27%
±2σ -0.82%5.55% 95.82%95.45%
±3σ -2.42%7.14% 98.26%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.05. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -5.25%960.83%0.83%
-5.25% to -3.94%1411.21%2.04%
-3.94% to -2.64%4183.60%5.64%
-2.64% to -1.33%127911.02%16.67%
-1.33% to -0.03%347629.95%46.62%
-0.03% to 1.28%423636.50%83.12%
1.28% to 2.58%134711.61%94.73%
2.58% to 3.89%4133.56%98.29%
3.89% to 5.19%1161.00%99.28%
Greater than 5.19%830.72%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.77%1.71% 77.21%68.27%
±2σ -3.51%3.45% 94.55%95.45%
±3σ -5.25%5.19% 98.46%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.44. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.20%130.54%0.54%
-13.20% to -9.82%220.91%1.45%
-9.82% to -6.43%863.57%5.03%
-6.43% to -3.05%33413.88%18.91%
-3.05% to 0.34%77332.13%51.04%
0.34% to 3.72%78232.50%83.54%
3.72% to 7.10%25610.64%94.18%
7.10% to 10.49%903.74%97.92%
10.49% to 13.87%281.16%99.09%
Greater than 13.87%220.91%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.18%4.85% 75.48%68.27%
±2σ -8.69%9.36% 94.97%95.45%
±3σ -13.20%13.87% 98.55%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.24. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 21.11 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.07%00.00%0.00%
-6.07% to -3.00%00.00%0.00%
-3.00% to 0.07%00.00%0.00%
0.07% to 3.15%39316.33%16.33%
3.15% to 6.22%112146.57%62.90%
6.22% to 9.29%53422.19%85.09%
9.29% to 12.37%2078.60%93.69%
12.37% to 15.44%773.20%96.88%
15.44% to 18.52%311.29%98.17%
Greater than 18.52%441.83%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.12%10.32% 85.54%68.27%
±2σ -1.97%14.42% 96.01%95.45%
±3σ -6.07%18.52% 98.17%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.55. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.41 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.31%150.62%0.62%
-13.31% to -10.01%210.87%1.50%
-10.01% to -6.70%893.70%5.19%
-6.70% to -3.40%28311.76%16.95%
-3.40% to -0.09%82534.28%51.23%
-0.09% to 3.21%73730.62%81.84%
3.21% to 6.51%30512.67%94.52%
6.51% to 9.82%893.70%98.21%
9.82% to 13.12%241.00%99.21%
Greater than 13.12%190.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.50%4.31% 75.82%68.27%
±2σ -8.90%8.72% 95.14%95.45%
±3σ -13.31%13.12% 98.59%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.23. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.48 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -25.73%40.72%0.72%
-25.73% to -18.94%20.36%1.08%
-18.94% to -12.15%162.89%3.98%
-12.15% to -5.36%9116.46%20.43%
-5.36% to 1.43%17431.46%51.90%
1.43% to 8.22%16730.20%82.10%
8.22% to 15.01%6611.93%94.03%
15.01% to 21.80%223.98%98.01%
21.80% to 28.59%71.27%99.28%
Greater than 28.59%40.72%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.63%10.48% 73.06%68.27%
±2σ -16.68%19.53% 95.30%95.45%
±3σ -25.73%28.59% 98.55%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.95. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 46.03 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -15.57%00.00%0.00%
-15.57% to -8.06%00.00%0.00%
-8.06% to -0.55%00.00%0.00%
-0.55% to 6.96%6211.19%11.19%
6.96% to 14.47%29152.53%63.72%
14.47% to 21.98%12622.74%86.46%
21.98% to 29.50%478.48%94.95%
29.50% to 37.01%132.35%97.29%
37.01% to 44.52%61.08%98.38%
Greater than 44.52%91.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.46%24.49% 89.89%68.27%
±2σ -5.56%34.50% 97.11%95.45%
±3σ -15.57%44.52% 98.38%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.25. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 7.47 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -28.04%10.18%0.18%
-28.04% to -21.17%61.08%1.26%
-21.17% to -14.29%203.61%4.87%
-14.29% to -7.42%7513.54%18.41%
-7.42% to -0.55%18934.12%52.53%
-0.55% to 6.32%16329.42%81.95%
6.32% to 13.19%7012.64%94.58%
13.19% to 20.06%213.79%98.38%
20.06% to 26.93%50.90%99.28%
Greater than 26.93%40.72%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.71%8.61% 74.19%68.27%
±2σ -18.88%17.77% 95.49%95.45%
±3σ -28.04%26.93% 99.10%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.35. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.86 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.88%21.09%1.09%
-38.88% to -28.14%42.17%3.26%
-28.14% to -17.39%73.80%7.07%
-17.39% to -6.64%2614.13%21.20%
-6.64% to 4.11%4423.91%45.11%
4.11% to 14.86%6535.33%80.43%
14.86% to 25.60%2614.13%94.57%
25.60% to 36.35%63.26%97.83%
36.35% to 47.10%42.17%100.00%
Greater than 47.10%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.22%18.44% 70.65%68.27%
±2σ -24.55%32.77% 94.57%95.45%
±3σ -38.88%47.10% 98.91%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.93. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 25.91 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -23.83%00.00%0.00%
-23.83% to -11.08%00.00%0.00%
-11.08% to 1.67%00.00%0.00%
1.67% to 14.41%2513.51%13.51%
14.41% to 27.16%9450.81%64.32%
27.16% to 39.91%4323.24%87.57%
39.91% to 52.66%158.11%95.68%
52.66% to 65.41%10.54%96.22%
65.41% to 78.16%42.16%98.38%
Greater than 78.16%31.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 10.17%44.16% 89.73%68.27%
±2σ -6.83%61.16% 96.22%95.45%
±3σ -23.83%78.16% 98.38%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.75. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.49 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -48.21%00.00%0.00%
-48.21% to -36.58%00.00%0.00%
-36.58% to -24.95%42.16%2.16%
-24.95% to -13.33%2714.59%16.76%
-13.33% to -1.70%7942.70%59.46%
-1.70% to 9.93%4222.70%82.16%
9.93% to 21.55%2111.35%93.51%
21.55% to 33.18%63.24%96.76%
33.18% to 44.80%31.62%98.38%
Greater than 44.80%31.62%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.20%13.80% 76.76%68.27%
±2σ -32.70%29.30% 96.76%95.45%
±3σ -48.21%44.80% 98.38%99.73%