TNL Deep Analytical Report

Travel + Leisure Co. | Category: Equity Mid Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 2.97% ($2.24) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2006-07-01 → 2026-02-01 (236 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.92% 3.37% 2.67% 3.12% 1.81% 2.04% 74.82 77.57 73.48 78.98
Weekly 6.68% 8.95% 6.79% 7.31% 3.98% 4.49% 73.21 79.27 70.35 82.49
Monthly 15.68% 29.44% 13.99% 15.25% 8.28% 9.35% 70.13 82.76 64.55 89.90
Quarterly 19.58% 62.75% 22.33% 26.03% 14.34% 16.19% 66.00 87.93 57.18 101.48
Annual 28.68% 32.39% 57.18 101.48 42.93 135.20
Option Time Horizon 13.59% 15.35% 66.50 87.27 58.04 99.98
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:20 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (82 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $76.18  |  Strike (K): $77.50 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $3.6000 (Bid $3.1000 / Ask $4.1000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 2.97%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 28.68% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 28.90% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 32.39% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-12 $0.5600
2025-09-12 $0.5600
2025-06-13 $0.5600
2025-03-17 $0.5600
2024-12-13 $0.5000
2024-09-13 $0.5000
2024-06-14 $0.5000
2024-03-20 $0.5000
2023-12-14 $0.4500
2023-09-14 $0.4500
2023-06-14 $0.4500
2023-03-14 $0.4500
2022-12-14 $0.4000
2022-09-14 $0.4000
2022-06-14 $0.4000
2022-03-14 $0.4000
2021-12-14 $0.3500
2021-09-14 $0.3000
2021-06-14 $0.3000
2021-03-12 $0.3000
2020-12-14 $0.3000
2020-09-14 $0.3000
2020-06-12 $0.5000
2020-03-13 $0.5000
2019-12-12 $0.4500
2019-09-12 $0.4500
2019-06-13 $0.4500
2019-03-15 $0.4500
2018-12-13 $0.4100
2018-09-13 $0.4100
2018-06-14 $0.4100
2018-03-14 $0.2980
2017-11-24 $0.2619
2017-08-23 $0.2619
2017-05-24 $0.2619
2017-03-15 $0.2619
2016-11-23 $0.2257
2016-08-24 $0.2257
2016-05-25 $0.2257
2016-03-09 $0.2257
2015-11-25 $0.1896
2015-08-26 $0.1896
2015-05-27 $0.1896
2015-03-11 $0.1896
2014-11-26 $0.1580
2014-08-19 $0.1580
2014-05-28 $0.1580
2014-03-12 $0.1580
2013-11-22 $0.1309
2013-08-20 $0.1309
2013-05-23 $0.1309
2013-03-12 $0.1309
2012-11-19 $0.1038
2012-08-21 $0.1038
2012-05-22 $0.1038
2012-03-13 $0.1038
2011-11-21 $0.0677
2011-08-23 $0.0677
2011-05-24 $0.0677
2011-03-08 $0.0677
2010-11-22 $0.0542
2010-08-24 $0.0542
2010-05-25 $0.0542
2010-03-04 $0.0542
2009-11-20 $0.0181
2009-08-25 $0.0181
2009-05-26 $0.0181
2009-02-24 $0.0181
2008-11-24 $0.0181
2008-08-26 $0.0181
2008-05-27 $0.0181
2008-03-04 $0.0181
2007-11-08 $0.0181
2007-08-09 $0.0181
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.36. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 22.19 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.66%370.75%0.75%
-8.66% to -6.47%400.81%1.56%
-6.47% to -4.29%1202.44%4.00%
-4.29% to -2.10%4288.69%12.68%
-2.10% to 0.09%188038.15%50.83%
0.09% to 2.27%183137.16%87.99%
2.27% to 4.46%3978.06%96.04%
4.46% to 6.65%1152.33%98.38%
6.65% to 8.84%380.77%99.15%
Greater than 8.84%420.85%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.83%3.00% 83.30%68.27%
±2σ -5.75%5.92% 95.78%95.45%
±3σ -8.66%8.83% 98.40%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 7.23. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 95.89 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.96%00.00%0.00%
-6.96% to -4.43%00.00%0.00%
-4.43% to -1.91%00.00%0.00%
-1.91% to 0.62%130.26%0.26%
0.62% to 3.15%339368.84%69.10%
3.15% to 5.68%105621.42%90.53%
5.68% to 8.21%2434.93%95.46%
8.21% to 10.74%981.99%97.44%
10.74% to 13.27%450.91%98.36%
Greater than 13.27%811.64%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -0.22%6.52% 92.86%68.27%
±2σ -3.59%9.90% 96.86%95.45%
±3σ -6.96%13.27% 98.36%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.04. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 61.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -8.00%330.67%0.67%
-8.00% to -6.00%350.71%1.38%
-6.00% to -3.99%981.99%3.37%
-3.99% to -1.98%4098.30%11.67%
-1.98% to 0.02%200340.64%52.30%
0.02% to 2.03%175435.59%87.89%
2.03% to 4.04%4048.20%96.08%
4.04% to 6.04%1232.50%98.58%
6.04% to 8.05%330.67%99.25%
Greater than 8.05%370.75%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.65%2.70% 84.70%68.27%
±2σ -5.33%5.37% 96.33%95.45%
±3σ -8.00%8.05% 98.58%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.12. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.17 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.61%100.98%0.98%
-19.61% to -14.60%100.98%1.96%
-14.60% to -9.59%201.96%3.91%
-9.59% to -4.58%959.30%13.21%
-4.58% to 0.43%36335.52%48.73%
0.43% to 5.44%39238.36%87.08%
5.44% to 10.45%939.10%96.18%
10.45% to 15.46%212.05%98.24%
15.46% to 20.47%70.68%98.92%
Greater than 20.47%111.08%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.25%7.11% 83.95%68.27%
±2σ -12.93%13.79% 95.50%95.45%
±3σ -19.61%20.47% 97.95%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.11. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 37.47 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -18.56%00.00%0.00%
-18.56% to -11.85%00.00%0.00%
-11.85% to -5.14%00.00%0.00%
-5.14% to 1.56%50.49%0.49%
1.56% to 8.27%71169.50%69.99%
8.27% to 14.98%21420.92%90.91%
14.98% to 21.69%474.59%95.50%
21.69% to 28.40%121.17%96.68%
28.40% to 35.11%100.98%97.65%
Greater than 35.11%242.35%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -0.67%17.22% 93.06%68.27%
±2σ -9.62%26.17% 96.19%95.45%
±3σ -18.56%35.11% 97.65%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.92. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.86 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.20%90.88%0.88%
-20.20% to -15.10%20.20%1.08%
-15.10% to -10.01%191.86%2.93%
-10.01% to -4.91%1029.97%12.90%
-4.91% to 0.18%42541.54%54.45%
0.18% to 5.27%34633.82%88.27%
5.27% to 10.37%777.53%95.80%
10.37% to 15.46%201.96%97.75%
15.46% to 20.56%80.78%98.53%
Greater than 20.56%151.47%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.61%6.97% 85.14%68.27%
±2σ -13.40%13.76% 95.70%95.45%
±3σ -20.20%20.56% 97.65%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.78. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 68.63 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -45.19%10.43%0.43%
-45.19% to -33.43%31.28%1.70%
-33.43% to -21.67%10.43%2.13%
-21.67% to -9.91%177.23%9.36%
-9.91% to 1.85%9540.43%49.79%
1.85% to 13.62%10243.40%93.19%
13.62% to 25.38%114.68%97.87%
25.38% to 37.14%41.70%99.57%
37.14% to 48.90%00.00%99.57%
Greater than 48.90%10.43%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.83%17.54% 90.21%68.27%
±2σ -29.51%33.22% 97.02%95.45%
±3σ -45.19%48.90% 99.15%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.95. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 39.48 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -68.07%00.00%0.00%
-68.07% to -45.99%00.00%0.00%
-45.99% to -23.92%00.00%0.00%
-23.92% to -1.84%00.00%0.00%
-1.84% to 20.24%18176.69%76.69%
20.24% to 42.32%4217.80%94.49%
42.32% to 64.40%52.12%96.61%
64.40% to 86.48%31.27%97.88%
86.48% to 108.56%10.42%98.31%
Greater than 108.56%41.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.20%49.68% 95.34%68.27%
±2σ -38.63%79.12% 97.88%95.45%
±3σ -68.07%108.55% 98.31%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.42. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 16.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -41.61%10.42%0.42%
-41.61% to -31.12%00.00%0.42%
-31.12% to -20.63%62.54%2.97%
-20.63% to -10.14%156.36%9.32%
-10.14% to 0.35%11749.58%58.90%
0.35% to 10.85%7130.08%88.98%
10.85% to 21.34%156.36%95.34%
21.34% to 31.83%62.54%97.88%
31.83% to 42.32%10.42%98.31%
Greater than 42.32%41.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.64%14.34% 88.14%68.27%
±2σ -27.62%28.33% 97.46%95.45%
±3σ -41.61%42.32% 97.88%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.69. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -54.13%11.27%1.27%
-54.13% to -39.45%11.27%2.53%
-39.45% to -24.76%11.27%3.80%
-24.76% to -10.07%1012.66%16.46%
-10.07% to 4.61%2430.38%46.84%
4.61% to 19.30%2835.44%82.28%
19.30% to 33.99%1012.66%94.94%
33.99% to 48.67%33.80%98.73%
48.67% to 63.36%00.00%98.73%
Greater than 63.36%11.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.97%24.20% 78.48%68.27%
±2σ -34.55%43.78% 94.94%95.45%
±3σ -54.13%63.36% 97.47%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.99. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 15.70 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -146.01%00.00%0.00%
-146.01% to -98.95%00.00%0.00%
-98.95% to -51.88%00.00%0.00%
-51.88% to -4.82%00.00%0.00%
-4.82% to 42.24%6581.25%81.25%
42.24% to 89.30%1012.50%93.75%
89.30% to 136.36%11.25%95.00%
136.36% to 183.42%00.00%95.00%
183.42% to 230.48%00.00%95.00%
Greater than 230.48%45.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -20.51%104.98% 95.00%68.27%
±2σ -83.26%167.73% 95.00%95.45%
±3σ -146.01%230.48% 95.00%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.64. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 11.51 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -66.97%00.00%0.00%
-66.97% to -50.23%00.00%0.00%
-50.23% to -33.48%11.25%1.25%
-33.48% to -16.73%1012.50%13.75%
-16.73% to 0.02%3948.75%62.50%
0.02% to 16.76%1923.75%86.25%
16.76% to 33.51%810.00%96.25%
33.51% to 50.26%11.25%97.50%
50.26% to 67.01%00.00%97.50%
Greater than 67.01%22.50%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.31%22.35% 85.00%68.27%
±2σ -44.64%44.68% 96.25%95.45%
±3σ -66.97%67.01% 97.50%99.73%