TXRH Deep Analytical Report

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.59% ($2.72) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2004-10-01 → 2026-03-01 (258 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.27% 2.07% 2.00% 2.68% 2.24% 2.61% 163.76 171.28 160.12 175.16
Weekly 4.64% 4.81% 4.53% 6.03% 4.94% 5.74% 159.40 175.96 151.72 184.87
Monthly 8.52% 12.03% 8.76% 12.11% 10.29% 11.96% 151.10 185.62 136.33 205.73
Quarterly 15.67% 22.89% 14.95% 19.67% 17.82% 20.71% 140.14 200.14 117.27 239.17
Annual 35.63% 41.43% 117.27 239.17 82.12 341.55
Option Time Horizon 13.45% 15.64% 146.40 191.58 127.98 219.17
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:37 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $167.48  |  Strike (K): $170.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $8.1000 (Bid $6.7000 / Ask $9.5000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.59%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 35.63% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 35.85% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 41.43% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-17 $0.7500
2025-12-02 $0.6800
2025-09-02 $0.6800
2025-06-03 $0.6800
2025-03-18 $0.6800
2024-12-10 $0.6100
2024-09-04 $0.6100
2024-06-12 $0.6100
2024-03-12 $0.6100
2023-12-05 $0.5500
2023-09-05 $0.5500
2023-06-06 $0.5500
2023-03-07 $0.5500
2022-12-06 $0.4600
2022-09-06 $0.4600
2022-06-07 $0.4600
2022-03-08 $0.4600
2021-12-07 $0.4000
2021-09-07 $0.4000
2021-05-18 $0.4000
2020-03-10 $0.3600
2019-12-10 $0.3000
2019-09-10 $0.3000
2019-06-11 $0.3000
2019-03-12 $0.3000
2018-12-18 $0.2500
2018-09-11 $0.2500
2018-06-12 $0.2500
2018-03-13 $0.2500
2017-12-12 $0.2100
2017-09-12 $0.2100
2017-06-12 $0.2100
2017-03-13 $0.2100
2016-12-12 $0.1900
2016-09-12 $0.1900
2016-06-13 $0.1900
2016-03-14 $0.1900
2015-12-14 $0.1700
2015-09-14 $0.1700
2015-06-15 $0.1700
2015-03-16 $0.1700
2014-12-15 $0.1500
2014-09-15 $0.1500
2014-06-16 $0.1500
2014-03-17 $0.1500
2013-12-09 $0.1200
2013-09-09 $0.1200
2013-06-10 $0.1200
2013-03-11 $0.1200
2012-12-10 $0.0900
2012-09-10 $0.0900
2012-06-11 $0.0900
2012-03-12 $0.0900
2011-12-12 $0.0800
2011-09-12 $0.0800
2011-06-13 $0.0800
2011-03-14 $0.0800
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.57 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.74%290.54%0.54%
-6.74% to -5.04%651.20%1.74%
-5.04% to -3.33%1562.89%4.63%
-3.33% to -1.62%63811.82%16.45%
-1.62% to 0.08%189835.15%51.60%
0.08% to 1.79%174332.28%83.89%
1.79% to 3.49%59010.93%94.81%
3.49% to 5.20%1813.35%98.17%
5.20% to 6.91%551.02%99.19%
Greater than 6.91%440.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.19%2.36% 78.63%68.27%
±2σ -4.47%4.63% 95.22%95.45%
±3σ -6.74%6.91% 98.65%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 35.64 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.18%00.00%0.00%
-3.18% to -1.63%00.00%0.00%
-1.63% to -0.08%00.00%0.00%
-0.08% to 1.47%74313.76%13.76%
1.47% to 3.02%272250.41%64.17%
3.02% to 4.57%118121.87%86.04%
4.57% to 6.12%4177.72%93.76%
6.12% to 7.67%1643.04%96.80%
7.67% to 9.22%821.52%98.31%
Greater than 9.22%911.69%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.96%5.09% 87.93%68.27%
±2σ -1.11%7.15% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -3.18%9.22% 98.31%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.02%350.65%0.65%
-6.02% to -4.51%661.22%1.87%
-4.51% to -3.01%1953.61%5.48%
-3.01% to -1.51%65012.04%17.52%
-1.51% to -0.00%176032.59%50.11%
-0.00% to 1.50%174632.33%82.44%
1.50% to 3.01%64812.00%94.44%
3.01% to 4.51%2013.72%98.17%
4.51% to 6.01%691.28%99.44%
Greater than 6.01%300.56%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.01%2.00% 76.96%68.27%
±2σ -4.01%4.01% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -6.02%6.01% 98.80%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.71 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.55%80.71%0.71%
-13.55% to -10.07%80.71%1.43%
-10.07% to -6.59%403.57%5.00%
-6.59% to -3.11%13812.33%17.34%
-3.11% to 0.37%38033.96%51.30%
0.37% to 3.85%35331.55%82.84%
3.85% to 7.33%12911.53%94.37%
7.33% to 10.80%363.22%97.59%
10.80% to 14.28%161.43%99.02%
Greater than 14.28%110.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.27%5.01% 76.59%68.27%
±2σ -8.91%9.64% 94.91%95.45%
±3σ -13.55%14.28% 98.30%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.21%00.00%0.00%
-7.21% to -3.60%00.00%0.00%
-3.60% to 0.00%00.00%0.00%
0.00% to 3.61%15313.66%13.66%
3.61% to 7.21%55849.82%63.48%
7.21% to 10.82%25122.41%85.89%
10.82% to 14.42%897.95%93.84%
14.42% to 18.02%322.86%96.70%
18.02% to 21.63%171.52%98.21%
Greater than 21.63%201.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.41%12.02% 86.88%68.27%
±2σ -2.40%16.82% 95.98%95.45%
±3σ -7.21%21.63% 98.21%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.38 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.62%40.36%0.36%
-13.62% to -10.22%151.34%1.70%
-10.22% to -6.83%312.77%4.46%
-6.83% to -3.43%15914.20%18.66%
-3.43% to -0.04%35731.87%50.54%
-0.04% to 3.36%36732.77%83.30%
3.36% to 6.75%12611.25%94.55%
6.75% to 10.15%454.02%98.57%
10.15% to 13.54%70.62%99.20%
Greater than 13.54%90.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.57%4.49% 76.96%68.27%
±2σ -9.09%9.02% 95.27%95.45%
±3σ -13.62%13.54% 98.84%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.02. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.36 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.06%10.39%0.39%
-24.06% to -17.67%51.95%2.33%
-17.67% to -11.27%114.28%6.61%
-11.27% to -4.88%4115.95%22.57%
-4.88% to 1.51%5922.96%45.53%
1.51% to 7.91%8432.68%78.21%
7.91% to 14.30%4015.56%93.77%
14.30% to 20.69%155.84%99.61%
20.69% to 27.09%00.00%99.61%
Greater than 27.09%10.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.01%10.04% 71.21%68.27%
±2σ -15.53%18.56% 95.33%95.45%
±3σ -24.06%27.08% 99.22%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.69. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 50.05 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.02%00.00%0.00%
-20.02% to -11.00%00.00%0.00%
-11.00% to -1.99%00.00%0.00%
-1.99% to 7.03%176.59%6.59%
7.03% to 16.05%14656.59%63.18%
16.05% to 25.07%6725.97%89.15%
25.07% to 34.09%197.36%96.51%
34.09% to 43.11%41.55%98.06%
43.11% to 52.13%10.39%98.45%
Greater than 52.13%41.55%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.03%28.08% 92.25%68.27%
±2σ -8.00%40.11% 98.06%95.45%
±3σ -20.02%52.13% 98.45%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.76. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.01 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.87%10.39%0.39%
-26.87% to -20.30%00.00%0.39%
-20.30% to -13.73%124.65%5.04%
-13.73% to -7.16%4417.05%22.09%
-7.16% to -0.59%9135.27%57.36%
-0.59% to 5.98%5722.09%79.46%
5.98% to 12.55%3513.57%93.02%
12.55% to 19.12%124.65%97.67%
19.12% to 25.69%31.16%98.84%
Greater than 25.69%31.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.35%8.17% 74.03%68.27%
±2σ -18.11%16.93% 97.29%95.45%
±3σ -26.87%25.69% 98.45%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.47 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.39%00.00%0.00%
-42.39% to -30.64%00.00%0.00%
-30.64% to -18.88%55.81%5.81%
-18.88% to -7.13%1315.12%20.93%
-7.13% to 4.62%2731.40%52.33%
4.62% to 16.37%2427.91%80.23%
16.37% to 28.12%1011.63%91.86%
28.12% to 39.87%44.65%96.51%
39.87% to 51.62%33.49%100.00%
Greater than 51.62%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.05%20.29% 70.93%68.27%
±2σ -26.72%35.95% 94.19%95.45%
±3σ -42.39%51.62% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 27.49 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.62%00.00%0.00%
-38.62% to -21.45%00.00%0.00%
-21.45% to -4.28%00.00%0.00%
-4.28% to 12.89%22.30%2.30%
12.89% to 30.06%6372.41%74.71%
30.06% to 47.23%1416.09%90.80%
47.23% to 64.39%55.75%96.55%
64.39% to 81.56%11.15%97.70%
81.56% to 98.73%00.00%97.70%
Greater than 98.73%22.30%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.17%52.95% 94.25%68.27%
±2σ -15.72%75.84% 96.55%95.45%
±3σ -38.62%98.73% 97.70%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.46. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.47 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.62%00.00%0.00%
-46.62% to -35.40%00.00%0.00%
-35.40% to -24.18%66.90%6.90%
-24.18% to -12.97%1112.64%19.54%
-12.97% to -1.75%2731.03%50.57%
-1.75% to 9.46%2629.89%80.46%
9.46% to 20.68%1112.64%93.10%
20.68% to 31.89%22.30%95.40%
31.89% to 43.11%44.60%100.00%
Greater than 43.11%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.71%13.20% 72.41%68.27%
±2σ -31.66%28.16% 94.25%95.45%
±3σ -46.62%43.11% 100.00%99.73%