TXRH Deep Analytical Report

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | Category: Equity Large Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 1.49% ($2.72) | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 | Data Range: 2004-10-01 → 2026-02-01 (257 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.28% 2.07% 2.01% 2.70% 1.68% 1.89% 175.84 181.85 172.92 184.92
Weekly 4.64% 4.81% 4.53% 6.05% 3.69% 4.15% 172.33 185.55 166.08 192.53
Monthly 8.52% 12.05% 8.76% 12.10% 7.69% 8.64% 165.58 193.11 153.33 208.55
Quarterly 15.63% 22.96% 14.92% 19.35% 13.32% 14.97% 156.52 204.30 137.00 233.40
Annual 26.64% 29.94% 137.00 233.40 104.96 304.65
Option Time Horizon 10.25% 11.52% 161.40 198.11 145.69 219.49
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-02-22T14:21 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-04-17 (54 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $178.82  |  Strike (K): $185.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $5.0000 (Bid $4.3000 / Ask $5.7000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.72% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.49%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 26.64% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 26.81% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 29.94% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2025-12-02 $0.6800
2025-09-02 $0.6800
2025-06-03 $0.6800
2025-03-18 $0.6800
2024-12-10 $0.6100
2024-09-04 $0.6100
2024-06-12 $0.6100
2024-03-12 $0.6100
2023-12-05 $0.5500
2023-09-05 $0.5500
2023-06-06 $0.5500
2023-03-07 $0.5500
2022-12-06 $0.4600
2022-09-06 $0.4600
2022-06-07 $0.4600
2022-03-08 $0.4600
2021-12-07 $0.4000
2021-09-07 $0.4000
2021-05-18 $0.4000
2020-03-10 $0.3600
2019-12-10 $0.3000
2019-09-10 $0.3000
2019-06-11 $0.3000
2019-03-12 $0.3000
2018-12-18 $0.2500
2018-09-11 $0.2500
2018-06-12 $0.2500
2018-03-13 $0.2500
2017-12-12 $0.2100
2017-09-12 $0.2100
2017-06-12 $0.2100
2017-03-13 $0.2100
2016-12-12 $0.1900
2016-09-12 $0.1900
2016-06-13 $0.1900
2016-03-14 $0.1900
2015-12-14 $0.1700
2015-09-14 $0.1700
2015-06-15 $0.1700
2015-03-16 $0.1700
2014-12-15 $0.1500
2014-09-15 $0.1500
2014-06-16 $0.1500
2014-03-17 $0.1500
2013-12-09 $0.1200
2013-09-09 $0.1200
2013-06-10 $0.1200
2013-03-11 $0.1200
2012-12-10 $0.0900
2012-09-10 $0.0900
2012-06-11 $0.0900
2012-03-12 $0.0900
2011-12-12 $0.0800
2011-09-12 $0.0800
2011-06-13 $0.0800
2011-03-14 $0.0800
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.75%290.54%0.54%
-6.75% to -5.04%641.19%1.73%
-5.04% to -3.33%1562.90%4.63%
-3.33% to -1.63%63411.79%16.42%
-1.63% to 0.08%189235.18%51.60%
0.08% to 1.79%173532.26%83.86%
1.79% to 3.50%58910.95%94.81%
3.50% to 5.21%1803.35%98.16%
5.21% to 6.92%551.02%99.18%
Greater than 6.92%440.82%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.20%2.36% 78.56%68.27%
±2σ -4.47%4.64% 95.20%95.45%
±3σ -6.75%6.92% 98.64%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 35.57 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.18%00.00%0.00%
-3.18% to -1.63%00.00%0.00%
-1.63% to -0.08%00.00%0.00%
-0.08% to 1.47%73613.68%13.68%
1.47% to 3.02%271650.49%64.18%
3.02% to 4.58%117821.90%86.08%
4.58% to 6.13%4127.66%93.73%
6.13% to 7.68%1653.07%96.80%
7.68% to 9.23%831.54%98.35%
Greater than 9.23%891.65%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.95%5.09% 87.92%68.27%
±2σ -1.11%7.16% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -3.18%9.23% 98.35%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.07. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.21 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.02%340.63%0.63%
-6.02% to -4.52%671.25%1.88%
-4.52% to -3.01%1953.63%5.50%
-3.01% to -1.51%64511.99%17.49%
-1.51% to -0.00%175732.66%50.16%
-0.00% to 1.50%173632.27%82.43%
1.50% to 3.01%64612.01%94.44%
3.01% to 4.51%2003.72%98.16%
4.51% to 6.02%691.28%99.44%
Greater than 6.02%300.56%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.01%2.00% 77.00%68.27%
±2σ -4.02%4.01% 94.65%95.45%
±3σ -6.02%6.02% 98.81%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 4.70 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.56%80.72%0.72%
-13.56% to -10.08%80.72%1.43%
-10.08% to -6.59%403.59%5.02%
-6.59% to -3.11%13712.29%17.31%
-3.11% to 0.37%37833.90%51.21%
0.37% to 3.86%35431.75%82.96%
3.86% to 7.34%12811.48%94.44%
7.34% to 10.82%353.14%97.58%
10.82% to 14.31%161.43%99.01%
Greater than 14.31%110.99%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.27%5.02% 76.59%68.27%
±2σ -8.92%9.66% 94.89%95.45%
±3σ -13.56%14.31% 98.30%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.39. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 20.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.22%00.00%0.00%
-7.22% to -3.61%00.00%0.00%
-3.61% to -0.00%00.00%0.00%
-0.00% to 3.61%15213.62%13.62%
3.61% to 7.21%55649.82%63.44%
7.21% to 10.82%25222.58%86.02%
10.82% to 14.43%877.80%93.82%
14.43% to 18.04%322.87%96.68%
18.04% to 21.64%171.52%98.21%
Greater than 21.64%201.79%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.40%12.02% 86.83%68.27%
±2σ -2.41%16.83% 95.97%95.45%
±3σ -7.22%21.64% 98.21%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 6.37 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.64%40.36%0.36%
-13.64% to -10.24%151.34%1.70%
-10.24% to -6.84%312.78%4.48%
-6.84% to -3.44%15814.16%18.64%
-3.44% to -0.04%35631.90%50.54%
-0.04% to 3.36%36532.71%83.24%
3.36% to 6.76%12611.29%94.53%
6.76% to 10.16%454.03%98.57%
10.16% to 13.56%70.63%99.19%
Greater than 13.56%90.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.58%4.49% 76.97%68.27%
±2σ -9.11%9.03% 95.34%95.45%
±3σ -13.64%13.56% 98.84%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.02. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 1.38 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.02%10.39%0.39%
-24.02% to -17.63%51.95%2.34%
-17.63% to -11.24%114.30%6.64%
-11.24% to -4.85%4116.02%22.66%
-4.85% to 1.54%5822.66%45.31%
1.54% to 7.93%8533.20%78.52%
7.93% to 14.32%3915.23%93.75%
14.32% to 20.71%155.86%99.61%
20.71% to 27.10%00.00%99.61%
Greater than 27.10%10.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.98%10.06% 71.48%68.27%
±2σ -15.50%18.58% 95.31%95.45%
±3σ -24.02%27.10% 99.22%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 5.68. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 49.83 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.08%00.00%0.00%
-20.08% to -11.04%00.00%0.00%
-11.04% to -2.01%00.00%0.00%
-2.01% to 7.03%176.61%6.61%
7.03% to 16.07%14556.42%63.04%
16.07% to 25.10%6726.07%89.11%
25.10% to 34.14%197.39%96.50%
34.14% to 43.18%41.56%98.05%
43.18% to 52.21%10.39%98.44%
Greater than 52.21%41.56%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.02%28.11% 92.22%68.27%
±2σ -8.03%40.16% 98.05%95.45%
±3σ -20.08%52.21% 98.44%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.77. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.03 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.90%10.39%0.39%
-26.90% to -20.33%00.00%0.39%
-20.33% to -13.76%124.67%5.06%
-13.76% to -7.18%4417.12%22.18%
-7.18% to -0.61%9035.02%57.20%
-0.61% to 5.96%5822.57%79.77%
5.96% to 12.53%3413.23%93.00%
12.53% to 19.10%124.67%97.67%
19.10% to 25.67%31.17%98.83%
Greater than 25.67%31.17%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.38%8.15% 74.32%68.27%
±2σ -18.14%16.91% 97.28%95.45%
±3σ -26.90%25.67% 98.44%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.49 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.19%00.00%0.00%
-42.19% to -30.47%00.00%0.00%
-30.47% to -18.75%66.98%6.98%
-18.75% to -7.03%1213.95%20.93%
-7.03% to 4.69%2832.56%53.49%
4.69% to 16.41%2326.74%80.23%
16.41% to 28.14%1011.63%91.86%
28.14% to 39.86%44.65%96.51%
39.86% to 51.58%33.49%100.00%
Greater than 51.58%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -10.94%20.32% 70.93%68.27%
±2σ -26.56%35.95% 94.19%95.45%
±3σ -42.19%51.58% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 4.52. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 27.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.90%00.00%0.00%
-38.90% to -21.68%00.00%0.00%
-21.68% to -4.46%00.00%0.00%
-4.46% to 12.75%33.45%3.45%
12.75% to 29.97%6271.26%74.71%
29.97% to 47.19%1416.09%90.80%
47.19% to 64.40%55.75%96.55%
64.40% to 81.62%11.15%97.70%
81.62% to 98.84%00.00%97.70%
Greater than 98.84%22.30%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.01%52.93% 94.25%68.27%
±2σ -15.94%75.88% 96.55%95.45%
±3σ -38.90%98.84% 97.70%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.48. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.51 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.59%00.00%0.00%
-46.59% to -35.40%00.00%0.00%
-35.40% to -24.21%66.90%6.90%
-24.21% to -13.02%1112.64%19.54%
-13.02% to -1.83%2731.03%50.57%
-1.83% to 9.36%2629.89%80.46%
9.36% to 20.55%1112.64%93.10%
20.55% to 31.73%22.30%95.40%
31.73% to 42.92%44.60%100.00%
Greater than 42.92%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.75%13.09% 72.41%68.27%
±2σ -31.67%28.01% 94.25%95.45%
±3σ -46.59%42.92% 100.00%99.73%