TXRH 深度分析报告

Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 分类: Equity Large Cap | 年化股息率: 1.70% ($2.72) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2004-10-01 → 2026-04-01 (259 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 2.27% 2.06% 2.00% 2.67% 2.06% 2.21% 156.52 163.10 153.33 166.50
周度 4.63% 4.80% 4.52% 6.02% 4.53% 4.87% 152.70 167.19 145.93 174.94
月度 8.52% 12.01% 8.75% 12.00% 9.43% 10.14% 145.39 175.59 132.30 192.96
季度 15.71% 22.86% 15.00% 19.87% 16.34% 17.56% 135.69 188.14 115.24 221.54
Annual 32.68% 35.11% 115.24 221.54 83.11 307.18
Option Time Horizon 12.45% 13.38% 141.07 180.97 124.55 204.97
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:47 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $159.78  |  Strike (K): $160.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $7.9500 (Bid $7.4000 / Ask $8.5000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.70%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 32.68% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 32.35% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 35.11% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-17 $0.7500
2025-12-02 $0.6800
2025-09-02 $0.6800
2025-06-03 $0.6800
2025-03-18 $0.6800
2024-12-10 $0.6100
2024-09-04 $0.6100
2024-06-12 $0.6100
2024-03-12 $0.6100
2023-12-05 $0.5500
2023-09-05 $0.5500
2023-06-06 $0.5500
2023-03-07 $0.5500
2022-12-06 $0.4600
2022-09-06 $0.4600
2022-06-07 $0.4600
2022-03-08 $0.4600
2021-12-07 $0.4000
2021-09-07 $0.4000
2021-05-18 $0.4000
2020-03-10 $0.3600
2019-12-10 $0.3000
2019-09-10 $0.3000
2019-06-11 $0.3000
2019-03-12 $0.3000
2018-12-18 $0.2500
2018-09-11 $0.2500
2018-06-12 $0.2500
2018-03-13 $0.2500
2017-12-12 $0.2100
2017-09-12 $0.2100
2017-06-12 $0.2100
2017-03-13 $0.2100
2016-12-12 $0.1900
2016-09-12 $0.1900
2016-06-13 $0.1900
2016-03-14 $0.1900
2015-12-14 $0.1700
2015-09-14 $0.1700
2015-06-15 $0.1700
2015-03-16 $0.1700
2014-12-15 $0.1500
2014-09-15 $0.1500
2014-06-16 $0.1500
2014-03-17 $0.1500
2013-12-09 $0.1200
2013-09-09 $0.1200
2013-06-10 $0.1200
2013-03-11 $0.1200
2012-12-10 $0.0900
2012-09-10 $0.0900
2012-06-11 $0.0900
2012-03-12 $0.0900
2011-12-12 $0.0800
2011-09-12 $0.0800
2011-06-13 $0.0800
2011-03-14 $0.0800
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 8.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.74%290.53%0.53%
-6.74% to -5.03%651.20%1.73%
-5.03% to -3.33%1582.91%4.65%
-3.33% to -1.62%64211.84%16.49%
-1.62% to 0.08%190535.13%51.62%
0.08% to 1.78%174932.26%83.88%
1.78% to 3.49%59210.92%94.80%
3.49% to 5.19%1833.38%98.17%
5.19% to 6.90%551.01%99.19%
Greater than 6.90%440.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.19%2.35% 78.64%68.27%
±2σ -4.47%4.63% 95.24%95.45%
±3σ -6.74%6.90% 98.65%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.02. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 35.74 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.17%00.00%0.00%
-3.17% to -1.62%00.00%0.00%
-1.62% to -0.08%00.00%0.00%
-0.08% to 1.47%74113.66%13.66%
1.47% to 3.02%274050.53%64.19%
3.02% to 4.57%118721.89%86.08%
4.57% to 6.11%4157.65%93.73%
6.11% to 7.66%1673.08%96.81%
7.66% to 9.21%821.51%98.32%
Greater than 9.21%911.68%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.95%5.08% 87.96%68.27%
±2σ -1.11%7.14% 96.00%95.45%
±3σ -3.17%9.21% 98.32%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.07. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.01%350.65%0.65%
-6.01% to -4.51%661.22%1.86%
-4.51% to -3.01%1953.60%5.46%
-3.01% to -1.50%65512.08%17.54%
-1.50% to -0.00%176732.58%50.12%
-0.00% to 1.50%175132.29%82.41%
1.50% to 3.00%65312.04%94.45%
3.00% to 4.51%2023.72%98.17%
4.51% to 6.01%681.25%99.43%
Greater than 6.01%310.57%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.00%2.00% 77.02%68.27%
±2σ -4.01%4.00% 94.67%95.45%
±3σ -6.01%6.01% 98.78%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.29. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.73 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.53%80.71%0.71%
-13.53% to -10.06%80.71%1.42%
-10.06% to -6.59%403.56%4.98%
-6.59% to -3.11%13812.28%17.26%
-3.11% to 0.36%38334.07%51.33%
0.36% to 3.83%35431.49%82.83%
3.83% to 7.31%12911.48%94.31%
7.31% to 10.78%373.29%97.60%
10.78% to 14.25%161.42%99.02%
Greater than 14.25%110.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.27%4.99% 76.60%68.27%
±2σ -8.90%9.62% 94.93%95.45%
±3σ -13.53%14.25% 98.31%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.39. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 21.04 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.18%00.00%0.00%
-7.18% to -3.59%00.00%0.00%
-3.59% to 0.01%00.00%0.00%
0.01% to 3.61%15313.60%13.60%
3.61% to 7.20%56350.04%63.64%
7.20% to 10.80%24822.04%85.69%
10.80% to 14.40%928.18%93.87%
14.40% to 18.00%322.84%96.71%
18.00% to 21.59%171.51%98.22%
Greater than 21.59%201.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.41%12.00% 86.93%68.27%
±2σ -2.39%16.80% 95.91%95.45%
±3σ -7.18%21.59% 98.22%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.72. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.42 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.59%40.36%0.36%
-13.59% to -10.20%151.33%1.69%
-10.20% to -6.81%312.76%4.44%
-6.81% to -3.42%16014.22%18.67%
-3.42% to -0.04%35831.82%50.49%
-0.04% to 3.35%37032.89%83.38%
3.35% to 6.74%12611.20%94.58%
6.74% to 10.13%454.00%98.58%
10.13% to 13.52%70.62%99.20%
Greater than 13.52%90.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -4.55%4.48% 76.89%68.27%
±2σ -9.07%9.00% 95.29%95.45%
±3σ -13.59%13.52% 98.84%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.03. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 1.36 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -24.06%10.39%0.39%
-24.06% to -17.68%51.94%2.33%
-17.68% to -11.29%114.26%6.59%
-11.29% to -4.90%4115.89%22.48%
-4.90% to 1.49%5922.87%45.35%
1.49% to 7.88%8532.95%78.29%
7.88% to 14.27%4015.50%93.80%
14.27% to 20.66%155.81%99.61%
20.66% to 27.04%00.00%99.61%
Greater than 27.04%10.39%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -7.03%10.01% 71.32%68.27%
±2σ -15.55%18.53% 95.35%95.45%
±3σ -24.06%27.04% 99.22%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.69. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 50.15 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.99%00.00%0.00%
-19.99% to -10.99%00.00%0.00%
-10.99% to -1.98%00.00%0.00%
-1.98% to 7.03%176.56%6.56%
7.03% to 16.04%14756.76%63.32%
16.04% to 25.04%6725.87%89.19%
25.04% to 34.05%197.34%96.53%
34.05% to 43.06%41.54%98.07%
43.06% to 52.07%10.39%98.46%
Greater than 52.07%41.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 4.03%28.05% 92.28%68.27%
±2σ -7.98%40.06% 98.07%95.45%
±3σ -19.99%52.07% 98.46%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.75. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 2.00 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (高er Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.83%10.39%0.39%
-26.83% to -20.26%00.00%0.39%
-20.26% to -13.70%124.63%5.02%
-13.70% to -7.13%4517.37%22.39%
-7.13% to -0.57%9034.75%57.14%
-0.57% to 6.00%5822.39%79.54%
6.00% to 12.56%3513.51%93.05%
12.56% to 19.13%124.63%97.68%
19.13% to 25.69%31.16%98.84%
Greater than 25.69%31.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.32%8.19% 73.75%68.27%
±2σ -18.07%16.94% 97.30%95.45%
±3σ -26.83%25.69% 98.46%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.51. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.44 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -42.56%00.00%0.00%
-42.56% to -30.78%00.00%0.00%
-30.78% to -19.00%55.81%5.81%
-19.00% to -7.21%1416.28%22.09%
-7.21% to 4.57%2630.23%52.33%
4.57% to 16.35%2427.91%80.23%
16.35% to 28.14%1011.63%91.86%
28.14% to 39.92%44.65%96.51%
39.92% to 51.70%33.49%100.00%
Greater than 51.70%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.14%20.28% 69.77%68.27%
±2σ -26.85%35.99% 94.19%95.45%
±3σ -42.56%51.70% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.57. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 27.60 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -38.46%00.00%0.00%
-38.46% to -21.31%00.00%0.00%
-21.31% to -4.17%00.00%0.00%
-4.17% to 12.98%22.30%2.30%
12.98% to 30.12%6372.41%74.71%
30.12% to 47.27%1416.09%90.80%
47.27% to 64.41%55.75%96.55%
64.41% to 81.56%11.15%97.70%
81.56% to 98.70%00.00%97.70%
Greater than 98.70%22.30%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 7.26%52.98% 94.25%68.27%
±2σ -15.60%75.84% 96.55%95.45%
±3σ -38.46%98.70% 97.70%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.45. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.43 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -46.71%00.00%0.00%
-46.71% to -35.45%00.00%0.00%
-35.45% to -24.20%66.90%6.90%
-24.20% to -12.95%1112.64%19.54%
-12.95% to -1.69%2731.03%50.57%
-1.69% to 9.56%2528.74%79.31%
9.56% to 20.81%1213.79%93.10%
20.81% to 32.06%22.30%95.40%
32.06% to 43.32%44.60%100.00%
Greater than 43.32%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -16.70%13.31% 71.26%68.27%
±2σ -31.70%28.31% 94.25%95.45%
±3σ -46.71%43.32% 100.00%99.73%