VAC Deep Analytical Report

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | Category: Equity Small Cap | Ann. Div Yield: 4.67% ($3.17) | Last Updated: 2026-03-24 | Data Range: 2011-11-01 → 2026-03-01 (173 months)
Quick Overview
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ Lower
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ Lower
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
Daily 2.61% 2.63% 2.27% 3.35% 3.32% 3.26% 68.50 73.20 66.26 75.67
Weekly 5.58% 7.36% 5.98% 7.91% 7.31% 7.18% 65.82 76.18 61.18 81.96
Monthly 11.43% 20.75% 12.21% 16.82% 15.22% 14.94% 60.82 82.45 52.23 96.00
Quarterly 18.80% 41.97% 18.94% 28.58% 26.35% 25.88% 54.41 92.16 41.80 119.95
Annual 52.71% 51.76% 41.80 119.95 24.68 203.19
Option Time Horizon 19.89% 19.54% 58.04 86.40 47.57 105.41
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-03-23T16:36 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-05-15 (52 days)  |  Spot Price (S): $70.81  |  Strike (K): $90.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-Price: $0.8750 (Bid $0.5500 / Ask $1.2000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.73% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 4.67%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 52.71% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 52.95% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 51.76% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  Price bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, Lower = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-03-04 $0.8000
2025-12-24 $0.8000
2025-09-17 $0.7900
2025-05-23 $0.7900
2025-03-05 $0.7900
2024-12-19 $0.7900
2024-09-19 $0.7600
2024-05-22 $0.7600
2024-02-28 $0.7600
2023-12-20 $0.7600
2023-09-20 $0.7200
2023-05-24 $0.7200
2023-03-01 $0.7200
2022-12-21 $0.7200
2022-09-21 $0.6200
2022-05-25 $0.6200
2022-03-02 $0.6200
2021-12-22 $0.5400
2021-09-22 $0.5400
2020-02-26 $0.5400
2019-12-20 $0.5400
2019-09-18 $0.4500
2019-05-22 $0.4500
2019-02-27 $0.4500
2018-12-19 $0.4500
2018-09-19 $0.4000
2018-05-24 $0.4000
2018-02-28 $0.4000
2017-12-20 $0.4000
2017-09-20 $0.3500
2017-05-23 $0.3500
2017-02-21 $0.3500
2016-12-20 $0.3500
2016-09-20 $0.3000
2016-05-24 $0.3000
2016-02-23 $0.3000
2015-12-17 $0.3000
2015-09-22 $0.2500
2015-06-16 $0.2500
2015-02-24 $0.2500
2014-10-24 $0.2500
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Left Skewed (Negative Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of -0.94. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 26.09 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.76%290.80%0.80%
-7.76% to -5.80%230.64%1.44%
-5.80% to -3.84%832.30%3.74%
-3.84% to -1.88%38610.69%14.43%
-1.88% to 0.08%134337.19%51.62%
0.08% to 2.04%121933.76%85.38%
2.04% to 4.00%36410.08%95.46%
4.00% to 5.96%1093.02%98.48%
5.96% to 7.92%270.75%99.22%
Greater than 7.92%280.78%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.53%2.69% 81.56%68.27%
±2σ -5.15%5.30% 96.15%95.45%
±3σ -7.76%7.92% 98.42%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 11.49. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 278.46 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.88%00.00%0.00%
-4.88% to -2.90%00.00%0.00%
-2.90% to -0.92%00.00%0.00%
-0.92% to 1.05%952.63%2.63%
1.05% to 3.03%230363.76%66.39%
3.03% to 5.00%87724.28%90.67%
5.00% to 6.98%2035.62%96.29%
6.98% to 8.95%661.83%98.12%
8.95% to 10.93%220.61%98.73%
Greater than 10.93%461.27%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.39%5.66% 93.55%68.27%
±2σ -2.24%8.29% 97.67%95.45%
±3σ -4.87%10.93% 98.73%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 3.29. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 64.56 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -6.80%210.58%0.58%
-6.80% to -5.10%240.66%1.25%
-5.10% to -3.39%972.69%3.93%
-3.39% to -1.68%40011.07%15.01%
-1.68% to 0.02%130936.24%51.25%
0.02% to 1.73%123534.19%85.44%
1.73% to 3.43%38110.55%95.99%
3.43% to 5.14%942.60%98.59%
5.14% to 6.85%300.83%99.42%
Greater than 6.85%210.58%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.25%2.30% 80.81%68.27%
±2σ -4.53%4.57% 96.15%95.45%
±3σ -6.80%6.85% 98.84%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of -0.28. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 5.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -16.37%70.93%0.93%
-16.37% to -12.18%141.87%2.80%
-12.18% to -8.00%152.00%4.81%
-8.00% to -3.81%8611.48%16.29%
-3.81% to 0.38%23831.78%48.06%
0.38% to 4.56%27336.45%84.51%
4.56% to 8.75%7910.55%95.06%
8.75% to 12.93%263.47%98.53%
12.93% to 17.12%50.67%99.20%
Greater than 17.12%60.80%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.21%5.96% 80.11%68.27%
±2σ -10.79%11.54% 94.79%95.45%
±3σ -16.37%17.12% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 8.47. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 121.51 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -14.25%00.00%0.00%
-14.25% to -8.73%00.00%0.00%
-8.73% to -3.21%00.00%0.00%
-3.21% to 2.32%141.87%1.87%
2.32% to 7.84%49165.47%67.33%
7.84% to 13.36%17723.60%90.93%
13.36% to 18.88%364.80%95.73%
18.88% to 24.40%162.13%97.87%
24.40% to 29.92%60.80%98.67%
Greater than 29.92%101.33%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.47%15.20% 93.07%68.27%
±2σ -6.89%22.56% 97.47%95.45%
±3σ -14.25%29.92% 98.67%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 2.08. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 13.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.81%20.27%0.27%
-17.81% to -13.33%81.07%1.33%
-13.33% to -8.85%162.13%3.47%
-8.85% to -4.37%8611.47%14.93%
-4.37% to 0.12%31942.53%57.47%
0.12% to 4.60%21929.20%86.67%
4.60% to 9.08%648.53%95.20%
9.08% to 13.56%152.00%97.20%
13.56% to 18.04%70.93%98.13%
Greater than 18.04%141.87%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.86%6.09% 81.73%68.27%
±2σ -11.84%12.07% 94.93%95.45%
±3σ -17.81%18.04% 97.87%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.41. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 2.63 proves the distribution possesses Fat Tails (Higher Outlier Risk).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -32.63%10.58%0.58%
-32.63% to -24.07%00.00%0.58%
-24.07% to -15.49%52.91%3.49%
-15.49% to -6.93%2916.86%20.35%
-6.93% to 1.64%5531.98%52.33%
1.64% to 10.21%5129.65%81.98%
10.21% to 18.78%1911.05%93.02%
18.78% to 27.35%84.65%97.67%
27.35% to 35.92%21.16%98.84%
Greater than 35.92%21.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -9.78%13.07% 76.74%68.27%
±2σ -21.21%24.50% 95.93%95.45%
±3σ -32.63%35.92% 98.26%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 8.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 82.54 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -43.02%00.00%0.00%
-43.02% to -27.46%00.00%0.00%
-27.46% to -11.89%00.00%0.00%
-11.89% to 3.67%00.00%0.00%
3.67% to 19.23%12270.52%70.52%
19.23% to 34.80%3620.81%91.33%
34.80% to 50.36%105.78%97.11%
50.36% to 65.93%31.73%98.84%
65.93% to 81.49%00.00%98.84%
Greater than 81.49%21.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.52%39.99% 94.22%68.27%
±2σ -22.27%60.74% 98.27%95.45%
±3σ -43.02%81.49% 98.84%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 1.55. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 8.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -36.51%10.58%0.58%
-36.51% to -27.35%00.00%0.58%
-27.35% to -18.19%52.89%3.47%
-18.19% to -9.03%2514.45%17.92%
-9.03% to 0.14%6336.42%54.34%
0.14% to 9.30%4928.32%82.66%
9.30% to 18.46%2212.72%95.38%
18.46% to 27.62%52.89%98.27%
27.62% to 36.78%10.58%98.84%
Greater than 36.78%21.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.08%12.35% 79.77%68.27%
±2σ -24.29%24.57% 95.95%95.45%
±3σ -36.51%36.78% 98.27%99.73%
Close-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a Skewness factor of 0.01. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of -0.37 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -52.10%00.00%0.00%
-52.10% to -38.00%00.00%0.00%
-38.00% to -23.89%47.02%7.02%
-23.89% to -9.79%915.79%22.81%
-9.79% to 4.31%1424.56%47.37%
4.31% to 18.42%1831.58%78.95%
18.42% to 32.52%814.04%92.98%
32.52% to 46.62%47.02%100.00%
46.62% to 60.73%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 60.73%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -14.49%23.12% 64.91%68.27%
±2σ -33.30%41.92% 94.74%95.45%
±3σ -52.10%60.73% 100.00%99.73%
High-to-Low Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Highly Right Skewed (Extreme Positive Tail Risk) with a Skewness factor of 6.10. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 42.33 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -87.78%00.00%0.00%
-87.78% to -56.31%00.00%0.00%
-56.31% to -24.83%00.00%0.00%
-24.83% to 6.64%00.00%0.00%
6.64% to 38.12%3865.52%65.52%
38.12% to 69.59%1729.31%94.83%
69.59% to 101.06%23.45%98.28%
101.06% to 132.54%00.00%98.28%
132.54% to 164.01%00.00%98.28%
Greater than 164.01%11.72%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.85%80.08% 96.55%68.27%
±2σ -45.82%122.05% 98.28%95.45%
±3σ -87.78%164.01% 98.28%99.73%
Open-to-Close Returns
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (Positive Asymmetry) with a Skewness factor of 0.86. Further, an Excess Kurtosis of 0.49 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / RangeFrequencyProbCum. Prob
Less than -57.14%00.00%0.00%
-57.14% to -42.93%00.00%0.00%
-42.93% to -28.73%23.45%3.45%
-28.73% to -14.53%1017.24%20.69%
-14.53% to -0.32%2237.93%58.62%
-0.32% to 13.88%1322.41%81.03%
13.88% to 28.08%58.62%89.66%
28.08% to 42.29%46.90%96.55%
42.29% to 56.49%23.45%100.00%
Greater than 56.49%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SDLower BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -19.26%18.61% 67.24%68.27%
±2σ -38.20%37.55% 94.83%95.45%
±3σ -57.14%56.49% 100.00%99.73%