WYNN 深度分析报告

Wynn Resorts, Limited | 分类: Equity Large Cap | 年化股息率: 0.95% ($1.00) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2002-10-01 → 2026-04-01 (283 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 3.09% 2.63% 2.52% 3.49% 2.33% 2.51% 103.24 108.16 100.86 110.71
周度 7.10% 7.80% 6.97% 8.23% 5.13% 5.53% 100.39 111.23 95.37 117.08
月度 14.22% 21.26% 13.98% 16.77% 10.67% 11.51% 94.97 117.57 85.36 130.81
季度 23.19% 45.72% 23.57% 28.68% 18.49% 19.93% 87.84 127.13 73.01 152.94
Annual 36.97% 39.87% 73.01 152.94 50.45 221.35
Option Time Horizon 14.09% 15.19% 91.78 121.66 79.72 140.06
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:46 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $105.67  |  Strike (K): $110.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $4.3500 (Bid $4.0500 / Ask $4.6500)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 0.95%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 36.97% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 37.36% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 39.87% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-02-23 $0.2500
2025-11-17 $0.2500
2025-08-18 $0.2500
2025-05-16 $0.2500
2025-02-24 $0.2500
2024-11-15 $0.2500
2024-08-19 $0.2500
2024-05-17 $0.2500
2024-02-16 $0.2500
2023-11-17 $0.2500
2023-08-18 $0.2500
2023-05-22 $0.2500
2020-02-25 $1.0000
2019-11-13 $1.0000
2019-08-15 $1.0000
2019-05-21 $1.0000
2019-02-14 $0.7500
2018-11-20 $0.7500
2018-08-15 $0.7500
2018-05-16 $0.7500
2018-02-14 $0.5000
2017-11-15 $0.5000
2017-08-08 $0.5000
2017-05-09 $0.5000
2017-02-10 $0.5000
2016-11-15 $0.5000
2016-08-09 $0.5000
2016-05-13 $0.5000
2016-02-19 $0.5000
2015-11-09 $0.5000
2015-08-07 $0.5000
2015-05-07 $0.5000
2015-02-11 $1.5000
2014-11-07 $2.5000
2014-08-08 $1.2500
2014-05-13 $1.2500
2014-02-11 $1.2500
2013-11-18 $3.0000
2013-11-05 $1.0000
2013-08-08 $1.0000
2013-05-07 $1.0000
2013-02-12 $1.0000
2012-11-05 $8.0000
2012-07-27 $0.5000
2012-05-17 $0.5000
2012-02-14 $0.5000
2011-11-21 $5.0000
2011-10-31 $0.5000
2011-07-26 $0.5000
2011-04-29 $0.5000
2010-11-19 $8.0000
2010-08-10 $0.2500
2010-05-10 $0.2500
2009-11-17 $4.0000
2007-11-28 $6.0000
2006-11-20 $6.0000
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.64. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.17%420.71%0.71%
-9.17% to -6.86%480.81%1.52%
-6.86% to -4.54%1662.81%4.33%
-4.54% to -2.22%67011.34%15.67%
-2.22% to 0.09%216436.62%52.28%
0.09% to 2.41%190932.30%84.59%
2.41% to 4.72%59910.14%94.72%
4.72% to 7.04%1752.96%97.68%
7.04% to 9.36%801.35%99.04%
Greater than 9.36%570.96%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.00%3.18% 79.20%68.27%
±2σ -6.08%6.27% 94.82%95.45%
±3σ -9.17%9.36% 98.34%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.94. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 30.80 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.19%00.00%0.00%
-4.19% to -2.21%00.00%0.00%
-2.21% to -0.23%00.00%0.00%
-0.23% to 1.74%72912.33%12.33%
1.74% to 3.72%311552.70%65.03%
3.72% to 5.69%125721.27%86.30%
5.69% to 7.67%4607.78%94.08%
7.67% to 9.65%1682.84%96.92%
9.65% to 11.62%731.23%98.16%
Greater than 11.62%1091.84%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.08%6.35% 88.34%68.27%
±2σ -1.55%8.99% 96.36%95.45%
±3σ -4.19%11.62% 98.16%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.18. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.23 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.49%400.68%0.68%
-7.49% to -5.59%711.20%1.88%
-5.59% to -3.70%1893.20%5.08%
-3.70% to -1.81%67711.45%16.53%
-1.81% to 0.08%199933.82%50.35%
0.08% to 1.98%192732.60%82.95%
1.98% to 3.87%69911.83%94.77%
3.87% to 5.76%2093.54%98.31%
5.76% to 7.66%560.95%99.26%
Greater than 7.66%440.74%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -2.44%2.61% 77.35%68.27%
±2σ -4.96%5.13% 94.76%95.45%
±3σ -7.49%7.66% 98.58%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.95. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.84%50.41%0.41%
-20.84% to -15.51%171.39%1.79%
-15.51% to -10.19%423.43%5.22%
-10.19% to -4.86%14611.91%17.13%
-4.86% to 0.47%40933.36%50.49%
0.47% to 5.79%42234.42%84.91%
5.79% to 11.12%12410.11%95.02%
11.12% to 16.45%352.85%97.88%
16.45% to 21.78%141.14%99.02%
Greater than 21.78%120.98%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.63%7.57% 79.04%68.27%
±2σ -13.74%14.67% 94.86%95.45%
±3σ -20.84%21.78% 98.61%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.13. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 49.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -13.62%00.00%0.00%
-13.62% to -7.77%00.00%0.00%
-7.77% to -1.92%00.00%0.00%
-1.92% to 3.94%1008.15%8.15%
3.94% to 9.79%71558.27%66.42%
9.79% to 15.64%25821.03%87.45%
15.64% to 21.50%887.17%94.62%
21.50% to 27.35%322.61%97.23%
27.35% to 33.21%131.06%98.29%
Greater than 33.21%211.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.99%17.60% 90.46%68.27%
±2σ -5.82%25.40% 96.41%95.45%
±3σ -13.62%33.21% 98.29%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.09. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 10.10 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -20.69%50.41%0.41%
-20.69% to -15.47%141.14%1.55%
-15.47% to -10.24%342.77%4.32%
-10.24% to -5.01%13611.08%15.40%
-5.01% to 0.22%48239.28%54.69%
0.22% to 5.45%36129.42%84.11%
5.45% to 10.68%12610.27%94.38%
10.68% to 15.90%413.34%97.72%
15.90% to 21.13%181.47%99.19%
Greater than 21.13%100.81%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.75%7.19% 79.22%68.27%
±2σ -13.72%14.16% 94.78%95.45%
±3σ -20.69%21.13% 98.78%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.11. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.94 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.73%10.35%0.35%
-40.73% to -30.07%20.71%1.06%
-30.07% to -19.40%113.90%4.96%
-19.40% to -8.73%3813.48%18.44%
-8.73% to 1.93%9232.62%51.06%
1.93% to 12.60%9332.98%84.04%
12.60% to 23.26%269.22%93.26%
23.26% to 33.92%155.32%98.58%
33.92% to 44.59%20.71%99.29%
Greater than 44.59%20.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -12.29%16.15% 76.95%68.27%
±2σ -26.51%30.37% 94.68%95.45%
±3σ -40.73%44.59% 98.94%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 5.40. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 38.93 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -40.59%00.00%0.00%
-40.59% to -24.65%00.00%0.00%
-24.65% to -8.70%00.00%0.00%
-8.70% to 7.25%31.06%1.06%
7.25% to 23.19%19468.55%69.61%
23.19% to 39.14%6021.20%90.81%
39.14% to 55.09%176.01%96.82%
55.09% to 71.04%20.71%97.53%
71.04% to 86.98%10.35%97.88%
Greater than 86.98%62.12%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.93%44.46% 93.64%68.27%
±2σ -19.33%65.72% 97.53%95.45%
±3σ -40.59%86.98% 97.88%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.01. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 4.43 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -41.41%10.35%0.35%
-41.41% to -30.93%10.35%0.71%
-30.93% to -20.44%93.18%3.89%
-20.44% to -9.95%4114.49%18.37%
-9.95% to 0.54%10838.16%56.54%
0.54% to 11.03%7526.50%83.04%
11.03% to 21.52%3010.60%93.64%
21.52% to 32.01%93.18%96.82%
32.01% to 42.50%72.47%99.29%
Greater than 42.50%20.71%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -13.44%14.53% 75.97%68.27%
±2σ -27.43%28.51% 95.05%95.45%
±3σ -41.41%42.50% 98.94%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.40. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.30 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -64.08%00.00%0.00%
-64.08% to -46.68%11.06%1.06%
-46.68% to -29.29%44.26%5.32%
-29.29% to -11.89%1212.77%18.09%
-11.89% to 5.50%3234.04%52.13%
5.50% to 22.90%2526.60%78.72%
22.90% to 40.29%1414.89%93.62%
40.29% to 57.69%22.13%95.74%
57.69% to 75.08%44.26%100.00%
Greater than 75.08%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -17.69%28.70% 70.21%68.27%
±2σ -40.88%51.89% 94.68%95.45%
±3σ -64.08%75.08% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 4.48. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 22.78 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -90.43%00.00%0.00%
-90.43% to -56.13%00.00%0.00%
-56.13% to -21.84%00.00%0.00%
-21.84% to 12.45%11.05%1.05%
12.45% to 46.74%6972.63%73.68%
46.74% to 81.04%1818.95%92.63%
81.04% to 115.33%44.21%96.84%
115.33% to 149.62%00.00%96.84%
149.62% to 183.92%00.00%96.84%
Greater than 183.92%33.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 1.02%92.47% 94.74%68.27%
±2σ -44.70%138.19% 96.84%95.45%
±3σ -90.43%183.92% 96.84%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.27. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 3.22 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -70.07%00.00%0.00%
-70.07% to -52.39%00.00%0.00%
-52.39% to -34.71%33.16%3.16%
-34.71% to -17.03%1818.95%22.11%
-17.03% to 0.65%3031.58%53.68%
0.65% to 18.32%2829.47%83.16%
18.32% to 36.00%99.47%92.63%
36.00% to 53.68%44.21%96.84%
53.68% to 71.36%22.11%98.95%
Greater than 71.36%11.05%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -22.93%24.22% 73.68%68.27%
±2σ -46.50%47.79% 95.79%95.45%
±3σ -70.07%71.36% 98.95%99.73%