ZTS 深度分析报告

Zoetis Inc. | 分类: Equity Mega Cap | 年化股息率: 1.72% ($2.00) | 最后更新: 2026-04-26 | 数据区间: 2013-02-01 → 2026-04-01 (159 个月)
Quick 总览
Timeframe C-C DoR σ
(Historical)
H-L DoR σ
(Historical)
O-C DoR σ
(Historical)
5Y ATRP
(Avg)
Binomial IV
(Period)
Yahoo IV
(Period)
1σ 低er
(68.27%)
1σ Upper 2σ 低er
(95.45%)
2σ Upper
日度 1.62% 1.24% 1.38% 2.35% 2.42% 2.55% 114.08 119.73 111.36 122.66
周度 3.45% 3.02% 3.31% 5.49% 5.32% 5.62% 110.81 123.26 105.07 129.99
月度 6.31% 6.15% 6.21% 11.77% 11.08% 11.70% 104.62 130.56 93.65 145.85
季度 9.99% 9.30% 9.82% 20.08% 19.18% 20.27% 96.47 141.58 79.63 171.53
Annual 38.37% 40.53% 79.63 171.53 54.26 251.74
Option Time Horizon 14.62% 15.45% 100.97 135.27 87.24 156.56
Calculation Notes: Computed at 2026-04-26T02:45 UTC  |  Reference Contract: Call option expiring 2026-06-18 (53 days)  |  Spot 价格 (S): $116.87  |  Strike (K): $120.00 (first OTM call ≥ spot)  |  Observed Mid-价格: $5.6500 (Bid $5.4000 / Ask $5.9000)  |  Risk-Free Rate (r): 3.69% (1-Month CMT, US Treasury)  |  Dividend Yield (q): 1.72%  |  Binomial IV (Annual): 38.37% (CRR binomial tree, American, n=20 steps)  |  BS IV: 38.80% (European Black-Scholes)  |  Yahoo IV (Annual): 40.53% → period-scaled as σperiod = σannual·√h  |  价格 bands: Upper = S·e+σ√h, 低er = S·e−σ√h
Historical Dividend Payouts
Ex-Dividend Date Amount
2026-04-20 $0.5300
2026-01-20 $0.5300
2025-10-31 $0.5000
2025-07-18 $0.5000
2025-04-21 $0.5000
2025-01-21 $0.5000
2024-10-31 $0.4320
2024-07-18 $0.4320
2024-04-18 $0.4320
2024-01-18 $0.4320
2023-10-31 $0.3750
2023-07-20 $0.3750
2023-04-20 $0.3750
2023-01-19 $0.3750
2022-10-31 $0.3250
2022-07-20 $0.3250
2022-04-20 $0.3250
2022-01-19 $0.3250
2021-10-28 $0.2500
2021-07-20 $0.2500
2021-04-20 $0.2500
2021-01-19 $0.2500
2020-10-20 $0.2000
2020-07-16 $0.2000
2020-04-16 $0.2000
2020-01-16 $0.2000
2019-10-21 $0.1640
2019-07-18 $0.1640
2019-04-17 $0.1640
2019-01-17 $0.1640
2018-11-19 $0.1260
2018-07-19 $0.1260
2018-04-19 $0.1260
2018-01-18 $0.1260
2017-11-08 $0.1050
2017-06-13 $0.1050
2017-04-04 $0.1050
2017-01-18 $0.1050
2016-11-01 $0.0950
2016-06-28 $0.0950
2016-04-05 $0.0950
2016-01-19 $0.0950
2015-11-03 $0.0830
2015-08-11 $0.0830
2015-04-07 $0.0830
2015-01-20 $0.0830
2014-11-03 $0.0720
2014-08-18 $0.0720
2014-04-24 $0.0720
2014-01-28 $0.0720
2013-10-30 $0.0650
2013-07-30 $0.0650
2013-04-29 $0.0650
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.26. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 9.18 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.80%180.54%0.54%
-4.80% to -3.59%341.02%1.56%
-3.59% to -2.37%1223.67%5.23%
-2.37% to -1.16%39111.76%16.99%
-1.16% to 0.06%108132.50%49.49%
0.06% to 1.27%111133.40%82.89%
1.27% to 2.49%41312.42%95.31%
2.49% to 3.70%1013.04%98.35%
3.70% to 4.92%330.99%99.34%
Greater than 4.92%220.66%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.56%1.68% 78.05%68.27%
±2σ -3.18%3.30% 95.22%95.45%
±3σ -4.80%4.92% 98.80%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.72. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 27.52 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -1.61%00.00%0.00%
-1.61% to -0.69%00.00%0.00%
-0.69% to 0.24%00.00%0.00%
0.24% to 1.17%51415.45%15.45%
1.17% to 2.09%155346.68%62.13%
2.09% to 3.02%77523.29%85.42%
3.02% to 3.94%2838.51%93.93%
3.94% to 4.87%1183.55%97.48%
4.87% to 5.80%431.29%98.77%
Greater than 5.80%411.23%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 0.86%3.33% 86.08%68.27%
±2σ -0.38%4.56% 96.51%95.45%
±3σ -1.61%5.80% 98.77%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.16. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 5.07 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -4.14%180.54%0.54%
-4.14% to -3.11%260.78%1.32%
-3.11% to -2.07%1143.43%4.75%
-2.07% to -1.03%45013.53%18.27%
-1.03% to 0.01%108432.58%50.86%
0.01% to 1.04%104131.29%82.15%
1.04% to 2.08%40412.14%94.29%
2.08% to 3.12%1233.70%97.99%
3.12% to 4.16%491.47%99.46%
Greater than 4.16%180.54%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -1.38%1.39% 76.41%68.27%
±2σ -2.76%2.77% 95.01%95.45%
±3σ -4.14%4.16% 98.92%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.07. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.67 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -10.08%50.72%0.72%
-10.08% to -7.49%81.16%1.88%
-7.49% to -4.91%304.35%6.23%
-4.91% to -2.32%7611.01%17.25%
-2.32% to 0.27%21130.58%47.83%
0.27% to 2.85%24034.78%82.61%
2.85% to 5.44%9113.19%95.80%
5.44% to 8.03%162.32%98.12%
8.03% to 10.61%121.74%99.86%
Greater than 10.61%10.14%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.18%3.71% 75.80%68.27%
±2σ -6.63%7.16% 95.07%95.45%
±3σ -10.08%10.61% 99.13%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.44. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 20.55 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -3.98%00.00%0.00%
-3.98% to -1.72%00.00%0.00%
-1.72% to 0.54%00.00%0.00%
0.54% to 2.80%10415.05%15.05%
2.80% to 5.07%32346.74%61.79%
5.07% to 7.33%17425.18%86.98%
7.33% to 9.59%527.53%94.50%
9.59% to 11.85%182.60%97.11%
11.85% to 14.11%121.74%98.84%
Greater than 14.11%81.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 2.05%8.08% 85.38%68.27%
±2σ -0.97%11.10% 96.24%95.45%
±3σ -3.98%14.11% 98.84%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.03. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.85 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -9.99%10.14%0.14%
-9.99% to -7.51%111.59%1.74%
-7.51% to -5.03%121.74%3.47%
-5.03% to -2.55%10114.62%18.09%
-2.55% to -0.06%25136.32%54.41%
-0.06% to 2.42%19828.65%83.07%
2.42% to 4.90%7410.71%93.78%
4.90% to 7.38%253.62%97.40%
7.38% to 9.86%101.45%98.84%
Greater than 9.86%81.16%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -3.37%3.25% 76.56%68.27%
±2σ -6.68%6.55% 94.79%95.45%
±3σ -9.99%9.86% 98.70%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.11. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.32 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -17.88%10.63%0.63%
-17.88% to -13.15%21.27%1.90%
-13.15% to -8.41%74.43%6.33%
-8.41% to -3.68%2415.19%21.52%
-3.68% to 1.06%4327.22%48.73%
1.06% to 5.80%4629.11%77.85%
5.80% to 10.53%2515.82%93.67%
10.53% to 15.27%95.70%99.37%
15.27% to 20.00%00.00%99.37%
Greater than 20.00%10.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -5.25%7.37% 68.35%68.27%
±2σ -11.57%13.69% 96.84%95.45%
±3σ -17.88%20.00% 98.73%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 3.66. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 23.83 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.03%00.00%0.00%
-7.03% to -2.42%00.00%0.00%
-2.42% to 2.19%00.00%0.00%
2.19% to 6.81%2616.35%16.35%
6.81% to 11.42%6641.51%57.86%
11.42% to 16.03%4830.19%88.05%
16.03% to 20.65%138.18%96.23%
20.65% to 25.26%21.26%97.48%
25.26% to 29.87%10.63%98.11%
Greater than 29.87%31.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 5.27%17.57% 82.39%68.27%
±2σ -0.88%23.72% 96.86%95.45%
±3σ -7.03%29.87% 98.11%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of 0.43. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 0.59 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -19.15%00.00%0.00%
-19.15% to -14.50%10.63%0.63%
-14.50% to -9.84%95.66%6.29%
-9.84% to -5.19%2817.61%23.90%
-5.19% to -0.54%4327.04%50.94%
-0.54% to 4.12%4427.67%78.62%
4.12% to 8.77%2213.84%92.45%
8.77% to 13.43%85.03%97.48%
13.43% to 18.08%31.89%99.37%
Greater than 18.08%10.63%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.74%5.67% 69.81%68.27%
±2σ -12.95%11.87% 96.86%95.45%
±3σ -19.15%18.08% 99.37%99.73%
收盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Fairly Symmetrical with a 偏度 factor of -0.24. Further, an Excess 峰度 of -0.78 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -26.81%00.00%0.00%
-26.81% to -19.32%00.00%0.00%
-19.32% to -11.83%59.62%9.62%
-11.83% to -4.34%713.46%23.08%
-4.34% to 3.15%1121.15%44.23%
3.15% to 10.64%1630.77%75.00%
10.64% to 18.13%1019.23%94.23%
18.13% to 25.62%35.77%100.00%
25.62% to 33.11%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 33.11%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -6.84%13.14% 65.38%68.27%
±2σ -16.82%23.12% 98.08%95.45%
±3σ -26.81%33.11% 100.00%99.73%
高-to-低 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals 高ly Right Skewed (Extreme 正向 Tail Risk) with a 偏度 factor of 1.99. Further, an Excess 峰度 of 6.60 proves the distribution possesses Extreme Fat Tails (Frequent Outliers, Leptokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -7.36%00.00%0.00%
-7.36% to -0.38%00.00%0.00%
-0.38% to 6.60%00.00%0.00%
6.60% to 13.58%1120.75%20.75%
13.58% to 20.56%2037.74%58.49%
20.56% to 27.53%1426.42%84.91%
27.53% to 34.51%59.43%94.34%
34.51% to 41.49%23.77%98.11%
41.49% to 48.47%00.00%98.11%
Greater than 48.47%11.89%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ 11.25%29.86% 83.02%68.27%
±2σ 1.95%39.16% 98.11%95.45%
±3σ -7.36%48.47% 98.11%99.73%
开盘-to-收盘 收益
Gram-Charlier Analysis: Data reveals Right Skewed (正向 Asymmetry) with a 偏度 factor of 0.53. Further, an Excess 峰度 of -0.54 proves the distribution possesses Normal Tails (Mesokurtic).
Bin Distribution Over Raw Range
Bin / Range频率ProbCum. Prob
Less than -31.24%00.00%0.00%
-31.24% to -23.88%00.00%0.00%
-23.88% to -16.51%11.89%1.89%
-16.51% to -9.15%1222.64%24.53%
-9.15% to -1.79%1935.85%60.38%
-1.79% to 5.58%815.09%75.47%
5.58% to 12.94%713.21%88.68%
12.94% to 20.30%611.32%100.00%
20.30% to 27.67%00.00%100.00%
Greater than 27.67%00.00%100.00%
Standard Deviation Interval Analysis
SD低er BndUpper Bnd Actual %Normal %
±1σ -11.60%8.03% 66.04%68.27%
±2σ -21.42%17.85% 94.34%95.45%
±3σ -31.24%27.67% 100.00%99.73%